When do players decline when they age?

[PoundingDog]

A friend of mine kept a chart someone did 2 years ago using PFF rankings on players declining by age. 

 

Here is how to read the table. Take RBs age 26.1 under Top 10 90th Percentile column; that says among top 10 running backs, on average only 1 is of age 26.1 or older (90% will be younger). RBs age 25.2 under column Top 10 80th Percentile; that says among top 10 running backs, on average only 2 are of age of 25.2 (80% will be younger). RBs age 27 under Top 20 85th Percentile; that says among top 20 running backs, on average only 3 players will be of age 27 or older (85% will be younger). 

 

Of course it's a statistics analysis, and there are debates on the different standards in ranking the players by position. I'd say last year it definitely broke the norm  for running backs where both Barkley (age 27) and Henry (31) should be in top 10. But this is the kind of things teams may look at to counter the agents in contract negotiations. 

 

Allen (29) has a lot of years left based on this chart. Dawkins (31) is getting there. James Cook (26 in September) is an interesting case - maybe why he wants the money now. I don't know how many other Bills players can be considered top 20 in their position.

 

Now look at the Chiefs, Kelce is going to be 36 in early Oct. Chris Jones is 31. We are hoping they follows the statistic norms, but luck may be that both Kelce and Jones are THE OLD ONEs in top 10 that divide the 90th Percentile in their respective position group.

 

Edited 5 hours ago by PoundingDog

[WotAGuy]

This is too much work for me. Tired. 

[djp14150]

11 minutes ago, PoundingDog said:

A friend of mine kept a chart someone did 2 years ago using PFF rankings on players declining by age. 

 

Here is how to read the table. Take RBs age 26.1 under Top 10 90th Percentile column; that says among top 10 running backs, on average only 1 is of age 26.1 or older (90% will be younger). RBs age 25.2 under column Top 10 80th Percentile; that says among top 10 running backs, on average only 2 are of age of 25.2 (80% will be younger). RBs age 27 under Top 20 85th Percentile; that says among top 20 running backs, on average only 3 players will be of age 27 or older (85% will be younger). 

 

Of course it's a statistics analysis, and there are debates on the different standards in ranking the players by position. I'd say last year it definitely broke the norm  for running backs where both Barkley (age 27) and Henry (31) should be in top 10. But this is the kind of things teams may look at to counter the agents in contract negotiations. 

 

Allen (29) has a lot of years left based on this chart. Dawkins (31) is getting there. James Cook (26 in September) is an interesting case - maybe why he wants the money now. I don't know how many other Bills players can be considered top 20 in their position.

 

Now look at the Chiefs, Kelce is going to be 36 in early Oct. Chris Jones is 31. We are hoping they follows the statistic norms, but luck may be that both Kelce and Jones are THE ONE in top 90th Percentile in their respective position group.

 

 

RBs have the must touches of the ball and thus have the most contact

 

you can older backs if they hadn’t been used much as backups. You drsfted st 24, first 2 yrs little play, thrn you play 25-28 similar to others who may be 21-24 yr olds.

 

RBs tired out after they pass Y touches st whatever sge it occurs.

 

WRs don’t take as much hard contact. They usually encounter DBs. It’s usually nota heavy hit.

[Augie]

17 minutes ago, WotAGuy said:

This is too much work for me. Tired. 

 

So, we will put you down as an “over”. Thanks! 

 

 

It’s funny how some guys just never get hurt. I remember some OL guy who retired after about 14 seasons and he only missed a few snaps. I’m sorry, are you made of something else? You can get that at other positions, as well.

 

And then some guys just can’t stay on the field. I guess that’s why we look at averages, but those guys who just do battle and always keep going amaze me. 

 

.

Edited 5 hours ago by Augie

[Victory Formation]

Typically around 30 or so. Some go longer, some go less but I think that’s the general median.

[HOUSE]

When you pull a groin warming up for a none contact mini camp

[Donuts and Doritos]

1 minute ago, HOUSE said:

When you pull a groin warming up for a none contact mini camp

Or slip on a mat walking to the field.

[buffblue]

Title is confusing. It's like asking when does my hair go out when I go bald