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New England Week


TFBillsfan

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4 hours ago, Scott7975 said:

 

Define success.  To me success on first down, or any down, is staying ahead of the sticks.  Making the next down manageable.  Excluding the last drive where they obviously burned clock and the fumble drive, the Bills ran the ball on first down 13 times.  The average first down carry was 4.4 yards.  That to me is a success on first down.  

I’m not a great stats guy, I tend to just go by what I think I see (and trust me I am often wrong) and use stats to confirm or deny my initial impressions.

Also, as a disclaimer, I absolutely LOVE running the ball, I mean look at my username. I was ecstatic with the Dallas game. But, I also think we are a pass first team because that’s where our greatest weapon operates mostly and having good balance is the key. 

 

These stats are from Truemedia via Cover1. The Bills ran on first down 18 times which was 78% of the time, they threw on first down 5x. Yes, they average 4.1 ypc when running which isn’t bad. They threw 5 times on first down. The crap screen to Diggs to start, the TD to Gabe, the other big throw to Gabe, and 2 good gainers to Knox. The EPA for passing on first down was 1.66 which is ridiculously good. We average 0.91 which is 7th in the league. Given that success I’d have liked Brady to throw a bit more on first to be less predictable.

 

So, all I’m saying is that although I love running the ball, I thought Brady was a little predictable on first and second down. I’d have liked a more pass centric game plan but Josh was getting pressured quick and his accuracy didn’t seem to be great. Hey, the game plan worked even if it was another nail biter against a team we had a significant talent advantage over.

 

The bottom line is we won the game so this is all academic BS. I’m hoping he his game-plan against NE takes more advantage of their weaknesses which doesn’t mean not running the ball but having a more pass-centric plan that will open up the run.

 

 

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16 hours ago, finn said:

Another difference, this one negative, is that they have Von Miller back... I wondered who was the defensive end who didn't seem to be even trying. It's Von Miller. He seems content to be steered out of the play every time and be a spectator to Ed Oliver's disruptive mayhem... Might be best to deactivate him and put a productive player on the field. 

 

16 hours ago, RiotAct said:

Nope - he just needs live action in 39 more games and then he’ll be good to go!

 

The true path is in the middle. He'll never recover his form unless he gets an appreciable amount of game snaps. Everyone's dogging Von now and based on his play, justifiably.

 

But I'm hoping he regains the confidence to push his body to the limits soon. I believe most of what's holding him back is mental.

 

13 hours ago, Prospector said:

Have Zo roam around looking for Billacheat videographers in the stands. Marshal law

 

Marshall law in combination with corporal punishment!

 

8 hours ago, RunTheBall said:

Hey, the game plan worked even if it was another nail biter against a team we had a significant talent advantage over.

 

The bottom line is we won the game so this is all academic BS. I’m hoping he his game-plan against NE takes more advantage of their weaknesses which doesn’t mean not running the ball but having a more pass-centric plan that will open up the run.

 

And a big reason it was a nail biter is because Josh was not sharp.

 

Brady wisely recognized the need to alleviate pressure from Josh... not compound it.

 

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8 hours ago, TheyCallMeAndy said:

Bills just released their backup RT to open a roster spot…. 

 

Backup to backup RT.  Bates is on roster for flexibility which they have not needed this year.

David Edwards has had 12.9% of snaps mostly as a 6th lineman.

Ryan Bates has had 3.24% of snaps mostly as substitute in blowout games.

 

 

 

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