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Beanes drafts rate very highly


78thealltimegreat

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5 minutes ago, hondo in seattle said:

The Basham trade caused a bit of anti-Beane hysteria that I'm glad the OP is trying to correct.

 

But I have to wonder about the methodology that ranks Beane as the NFL's third-best drafter since 2018.  It's not as nuanced as DVR, but I heard a GM once say that teams consist of jags and standouts.  It's the standouts who get you into the playoffs and to the Super Bowl.  You need enough of them, and you need them at the right positions.  

 

I'm a simple guy.  I like his two-bucket approach.  And in my mind, here are our standouts:

 

Allen (draft - Beane)

Diggs (trade)

Poyer (FA)

Hyde (FA)

White (draft - Whaley)

Milano (draft - Whaley)

Miller (FA).

 

The rest of the roster is a bunch of jags of various flavors.  I guess you could argue, based on the DVR data, that our jags are incrementally better than the jags on other teams.  And we do have to give Beane credit for the free agent acquisitions.  Overall, he has built a nice roster.  But I do wish he'd find more playmakers in the draft.  Only one impact player in six years doesn't get us into the big game.  

I’ve had my issues with Brandon as well but I had no idea his drafts compared to the rest of the league are quite good. His problem is until they win a Lombardi trophy everything he does will get nitpicked. Like last year when he selected Elam with George Pickens staring right at him. 

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Also, the Football Team (best name ever) being so high really makes this list pretty questionable.

14 minutes ago, ngbills said:

Rounds 1-2 matter most. So when you are near last in 2nd round that hurts. Being bad at second rounders greatly outweighs being good at 4-7 round picks. 

Could also the trade ups are the real killers. Almost every pick in the draft is a lottery ticket and when you trade up, you give up shots to win so you have to Nail  those picks. Especially when you are hamstrung by the cap. 

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55 minutes ago, FilthyBeast said:

 

The issue still remains though that if you subtract JA17 from the equation, both Beane and McD are no different that every other failed GM/HC that's come through Buffalo since 2000 and that's what a lot of Bills mafia doesn't seem to understand or want to acknowledge.

And if your aunt had stones, she'd be your uncle

 

so freaking what

 

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8 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

Could also the trade ups are the real killers. Almost every pick in the draft is a lottery ticket and when you trade up, you give up shots to win so you have to Nail  those picks. Especially when you are hamstrung by the cap. 

Exactly. In addition, I doubt this list counts for position played. Drafting and hitting on premium positions is what is most important. Back to Singletary - how easily could average level free agent $ replaced what he provided? So why waste these picks on positions that can easily be replaced in free agency.

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7 minutes ago, jletha said:

https://twitter.com/AdamSchefter/status/1696880451481223324?s=20

 

Remember when Roseman drafted this guy one spot before Justin Jefferson...Im sure they are calling for his head in Philly

It’s Philly. They call for someone’s head every hour. They lost their minds over the Hurts pick as well. 
 

this just in. Most fans are emotional and dumb (I’m just emotional 😂).

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I think that Beane should listen to his scouts a lot more when it comes to early round picks instead of his other higher ups and McDermott.

 

Obviously, I'm not in the room but the vast majority of the time, THE GM, HC etc. only go and see the top guys and scout them due to time. Then the scouts do the dirty work and usually in Day 3 its the scouts that are pounding the table for guys to the GM instead of the GM dictating. The Bills scouting staff has found multiple day 3 guys but can't seem to figure out Day 2 very well. 

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Also ignored is draft position...for most of Mcbeane's tenure (ie all but one year) they have been a playoff team. During that same time, the Bengals were pretty bad for all but two of those seasons. It's a lot easier to be a genius if you are picking in the top 5 of every round.

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For fun, I went back and looked at these drafts...if you think our picks are bad, you should see some of the other guys. Like, at least Epenessa and Basham play.

 

The year we drafted Singletary, the 5 best guys in the third round were: Singletary, Dionte Johnson (taken before our pick), Mclaurin, Mcgovern and Damien Harris...

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32 minutes ago, Mikey152 said:

Also ignored is draft position...for most of Mcbeane's tenure (ie all but one year) they have been a playoff team. During that same time, the Bengals were pretty bad for all but two of those seasons. It's a lot easier to be a genius if you are picking in the top 5 of every round.


Yep.

 

In the last 3 seasons excluding this years, the Bengals had two top 5 pick’s including #1 overall.

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Some fans like to focus on Beane's misses. But sometimes when I read those posts, I can't tell if they understand that EVERY GM in the league has them - in the higher rounds, and the lower rounds, and everything in between.  

 

The draft is such a crapshoot. On balance, Beane has done well.  And I think this last draft may go down as his best (outside of the Allen pick).

 

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19 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

 

Singletary, Phillips and Knox all played a lot.  Most 3rd rounders do not start and are mostly back ups. 

Most is an accurate statement. 

However 9% make All-Pro status and about 35% start all the games they are eligible for. These are general stats I saw from a few sites. 

So teams routinely find players that start lots of games and they find the superstar from time to time. 

So Beane has done a decent job getting reliable if not great starters. Could be a lot worse but could be a lot better too.

I still think Knox can be a star if given the volume. 

Intrigued about Williams taken this year. I hope he gets some playing time. 

 

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