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Do we even want a home playoff game? Allen is a better road QB...


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Allen's stats are actually better on the road this year than they are at home...especially in terms of Yards/game...on the road he averages 322 yards versus 244 at home. Rating is higher, sacks are less, higher completion percentage, same # of TD's in 1 fewer game...

 

Split Value G W L T Cmp Att Inc Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Sk Yds Y/A AY/A A/G Y/G Att Yds Y/A TD A/G Y/G Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD Ctch% Y/Tgt R/G Y/G TD Pts Fmb FL FF FR Yds TD
Place Home 7 6 1 0 155 229 74 67.69 1709 14 5 100.9 18 95 7.46 7.70 32.7 244.1 58 204 3.52 5 8.3 29.1 0 0 0   0 0.0%   0.0 0.0 5 30 5 4 0 0 -2 0
  Road 6 4 2 0 168 242 74 69.42 1932 14 4 105.6 6 46 7.98 8.40 40.3 322.0 35 146 4.17 1 5.8 24.3 1 1 12 12.00 1 100.0% 12.00 0.2 2.0 2 12 3 2 0 0 0

 

So the question then becomes, would it actually be BETTER for the Bills if we played our playoff games on the road?

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When your sample is 13 games played with different teams of different skill levels, I think this belongs in that "correlation is not causation" bin.  I think a lot of the difference in stats can be ex

Every QB will play better on average outside Bills Stadium  than in Bills Stadium (due to the weather). You do bring up a good question and my answer is "It Depends"   If the opposing QB is

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Every QB will play better on average outside Bills Stadium  than in Bills Stadium (due to the weather). You do bring up a good question and my answer is "It Depends"

 

If the opposing QB is going to be more adversely affected by Buffalo weather than Allen, play the game at Bills Stadium. If it is the opposite, playing on the road may be better for us. In other words, it is a relative, not absolute thing

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I would be curious to look up the Bills tenure with MCD at coach the past few years as I feel just on recollection in my mind we have been 

a better road team overall. 

 

But  To have he right of being AFC East Champs, the  number 2  seed possibly and rewarded with 2 games at home. I think the team would rather be on home turf. Too bad the fans can't be apart. The stadium would be rocking..

 

 

 

Edited by loveorhatembillsfan4life
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1 minute ago, matter2003 said:

Allen's stats are actually better on the road this year than they are at home...especially in terms of Yards/game...on the road he averages 322 yards versus 244 at home. Rating is higher, sacks are less, higher completion percentage, same # of TD's in 1 fewer game...

 

Split Value G W L T Cmp Att Inc Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Sk Yds Y/A AY/A A/G Y/G Att Yds Y/A TD A/G Y/G Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD Ctch% Y/Tgt R/G Y/G TD Pts Fmb FL FF FR Yds TD
Place Home 7 6 1 0 155 229 74 67.69 1709 14 5 100.9 18 95 7.46 7.70 32.7 244.1 58 204 3.52 5 8.3 29.1 0 0 0   0 0.0%   0.0 0.0 5 30 5 4 0 0 -2 0
  Road 6 4 2 0 168 242 74 69.42 1932 14 4 105.6 6 46 7.98 8.40 40.3 322.0 35 146 4.17 1 5.8 24.3 1 1 12 12.00 1 100.0% 12.00 0.2 2.0 2 12 3 2 0 0 0

 

So the question then becomes, would it actually be BETTER for the Bills if we played our playoff games on the road?

 

When your sample is 13 games played with different teams of different skill levels, I think this belongs in that "correlation is not causation" bin.  I think a lot of the difference in stats can be explained by the strategic decision to pound the rock against NE and the Chargers (both happening to be home games) and the 7 sack flurry in the 2nd half against Seattle.

 

We want a home playoff game because the same factors that make our stadium hard for us, make it hard for other QB as well and presumably knowing the field and how to move on it and having more comfortable, familiar training and lodging surroundings will help.

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3 minutes ago, loveorhatembillsfan4life said:

I would be curious to look up the Bills tenure with MCD at coach the past few years as I feel just on recollection in my mind we have been 

a better road team overall. 

 

But  To have he right of being AFC East Champs, the  number 2  seed possibly and rewarded with 2 games at home. I think the team would rather be on home turf. Too bad the fans can't be apart. The stadium would be rocking..

 

 

 

 

Allen is 14-7 at home versus 11-9 on the road.  However,  even his career splits are better on the road, not just this year. He averages over 40 yards/game more on the road and has a higher rating and completion percentage with fewer INTs in 50 more attempts.  This may be a great thing however...a lot of QBs wilt on the road...Allen plays BETTER on the road, and it isn't like he is bad at home or anything...

 

Allen Career Splits:

Split Value G W L T Cmp Att Inc Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Sk Yds Y/A AY/A A/G Y/G Att Yds Y/A TD A/G Y/G Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD Ctch% Y/Tgt R/G Y/G 2PM TD Pts Fmb FL FF FR Yds TD
Place Home 21 14 7 0 356 601 245 59.23 4093 29 16 84.8 49 287 6.81 6.58 28.6 194.9 155 792 5.11 13 7.4 37.7 1 0 0   0 0.0% 0.00 0.0 0.0 1 13 36 18 7 0 3 -2 0
  Road 20 11 9 0 407 651 244 62.52 4711 29 14 90.2 41 304 7.24 7.16 32.6 235.6 136 699 5.14 10 6.8 35.0 1 1 12 12.00 1 100.0% 12.00 0.1 0.6   11 12 12 5 0 1 -15 0
Edited by matter2003
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Its really tricky.  This O is like the old Rams 'greatest show on turf' and seem to play best in pristine situations.  Its hard to come to terms with because we've always wished for terrible weather, and home games.  Right now, I'd rather see them play in good conditions, wherever, versus in the slop.  Power running teams are what give us trouble, and will be more so in those conditions.

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33 minutes ago, matter2003 said:

Allen's stats are actually better on the road this year than they are at home...especially in terms of Yards/game...on the road he averages 322 yards versus 244 at home. Rating is higher, sacks are less, higher completion percentage, same # of TD's in 1 fewer game...

 

Split Value G W L T Cmp Att Inc Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Sk Yds Y/A AY/A A/G Y/G Att Yds Y/A TD A/G Y/G Tgt Rec Yds Y/R TD Ctch% Y/Tgt R/G Y/G TD Pts Fmb FL FF FR Yds TD
Place Home 7 6 1 0 155 229 74 67.69 1709 14 5 100.9 18 95 7.46 7.70 32.7 244.1 58 204 3.52 5 8.3 29.1 0 0 0   0 0.0%   0.0 0.0 5 30 5 4 0 0 -2 0
  Road 6 4 2 0 168 242 74 69.42 1932 14 4 105.6 6 46 7.98 8.40 40.3 322.0 35 146 4.17 1 5.8 24.3 1 1 12 12.00 1 100.0% 12.00 0.2 2.0 2 12 3 2 0 0 0

 

So the question then becomes, would it actually be BETTER for the Bills if we played our playoff games on the road?

 

Those stats are pretty similar. Kinda splitting hairs. 100.9 vs 105.6 ratings prove that Josh is just a very good QB no matter what.

 

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Forget home and road playoff games. Put the playoffs in a bubble in Arizona. Allen has been lights out in two games in Glendale this year.

 

But the way things are shaping up, looks like playoff road games in KC and Pitt. will be the only options, unless Pitt. keeps sliding or we fall apart in the last three weeks.

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