Cson76 Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 A few thoughts as I think about how to play the upcoming season. 1. If there is a shortened/limited training camp I am going to hammer under's early in the season. Defense is always ahead of offense in training camp. 2. I'll play against any new coaches/coordinators early and often 3. Going to prioritize older rosters, figure the vets are going to learn faster and possibly know how to come in more prepared physically 4. probably will lay off all pre season win total bets Any other thoughts? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloMatt Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 10 minutes ago, Cson76 said: A few thoughts as I think about how to play the upcoming season. 1. If there is a shortened/limited training camp I am going to hammer under's early in the season. Defense is always ahead of offense in training camp. 2. I'll play against any new coaches/coordinators early and often 3. Going to prioritize older rosters, figure the vets are going to learn faster and possibly know how to come in more prepared physically 4. probably will lay off all pre season win total bets Any other thoughts? Interesting. Like the way you are thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffAlone Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 7 minutes ago, Cson76 said: A few thoughts as I think about how to play the upcoming season. 1. If there is a shortened/limited training camp I am going to hammer under's early in the season. Defense is always ahead of offense in training camp. 2. I'll play against any new coaches/coordinators early and often 3. Going to prioritize older rosters, figure the vets are going to learn faster and possibly know how to come in more prepared physically 4. probably will lay off all pre season win total bets Any other thoughts? other thoughts? I got one... who cares about betting on a season that may or may not even be played? I'm more worried about my toilet paper supply at this point of the pandemic. and that's really my only other thought. Sorry if I didn't add much content to your thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloBillies Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 1 minute ago, BuffAlone said: other thoughts? I got one... who cares about betting on a season that may or may not even be played? I'm more worried about my toilet paper supply at this point of the pandemic. and that's really my only other thought. Sorry if I didn't add much content to your thread You did add something, you discussed #2. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Florida Bills Fanatic Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 50 minutes ago, BuffAlone said: other thoughts? I got one... who cares about betting on a season that may or may not even be played? I'm more worried about my toilet paper supply at this point of the pandemic. and that's really my only other thought. Sorry if I didn't add much content to your thread As it relates to your TP supply worries, my neighbor has a similar concern. He has started buying the local newspaper and is stockpiling them as a fall back. He did comment that the future use is of more value than the information printed therein....can't say that I disagree.....lol My betting advice is to hit the under heavy on weeks where at least one of the teams has a short week of preparation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RoyBatty is alive Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 3 minutes ago, Florida Bills Fanatic said: As it relates to your TP supply worries, my neighbor has a similar concern. He has started buying the local newspaper and is stockpiling them as a fall back. He did comment that the future use is of more value than the information printed therein....can't say that I disagree.....lol My betting advice is to hit the under heavy on weeks where at least one of the teams has a short week of preparation. Hope he or she isnt stupid enough to flush newspaper down the toilet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 How is it that @plenzmd1 did not start this? This is like beating @YoloinOhio to a major Bills news item! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
machine gun kelly Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 How did this thread turn into a TP discussion??. Just kidding. CSon, nice start bud given you’re newness to posting. Very interesting post. Have a Good Friday everyone with those Newspapers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ny33 Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 1 hour ago, BuffAlone said: other thoughts? I got one... who cares about betting on a season that may or may not even be played? I'm more worried about my toilet paper supply at this point of the pandemic. and that's really my only other thought. Sorry if I didn't add much content to your thread Get a bidet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheektowaga Chad Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 I follow the logic on the old vs young players but i think you could argue that betting young players may be better; more time to train less stress about family etc. Not sure if its an advantage either way I do like the coach aspect, new or bad coaches just hammer the other way Also with pre season win totals if you can create your own line, this could be a great spot for a lotto ticket of sorts. Example moving the bills win total to 13 and betting the over to get better odds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffAlone Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 1 hour ago, Florida Bills Fanatic said: As it relates to your TP supply worries, my neighbor has a similar concern. He has started buying the local newspaper and is stockpiling them as a fall back. He did comment that the future use is of more value than the information printed therein....can't say that I disagree.....lol My betting advice is to hit the under heavy on weeks where at least one of the teams has a short week of preparation. newspapers work, but coffee filters are cheaper, and flushable? 29 minutes ago, ny33 said: Get a bidet. call me old fashioned, but the thought of cold water squirting my unpleasant parts kinda seems weird to me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1ManRaid Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 So what I'm hearing is that trading for an established #1 WR was a good idea, loading up on defense in FA for the early boost, and continuity on the O-line helps. Neat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikie2times Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 2 hours ago, Cson76 said: A few thoughts as I think about how to play the upcoming season. 1. If there is a shortened/limited training camp I am going to hammer under's early in the season. Defense is always ahead of offense in training camp. 2. I'll play against any new coaches/coordinators early and often 3. Going to prioritize older rosters, figure the vets are going to learn faster and possibly know how to come in more prepared physically 4. probably will lay off all pre season win total bets Any other thoughts? Same thing I always do, take advantage of public perception and theories that aren't back by any evidence. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Over 29 years of fanhood Posted March 27, 2020 Share Posted March 27, 2020 3 hours ago, Cson76 said: A few thoughts as I think about how to play the upcoming season. 1. If there is a shortened/limited training camp I am going to hammer under's early in the season. Defense is always ahead of offense in training camp. 2. I'll play against any new coaches/coordinators early and often 3. Going to prioritize older rosters, figure the vets are going to learn faster and possibly know how to come in more prepared physically 4. probably will lay off all pre season win total bets Any other thoughts? just in general- smart takes .... didn’t even think about it, but bookies must be starving right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ehfeuh57 Posted March 28, 2020 Share Posted March 28, 2020 (edited) A lot of great info except for the part about what team you're betting on Edited March 28, 2020 by DrDare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted March 28, 2020 Share Posted March 28, 2020 I started a thread last week (that got shut down because people couldn't stay on topic and turned it into a COVID thread) in which I opined that teams with the most stability (coaching staff/roster) will have a big advantage if teams can't have their full complement of minicamp, OTAs, and training camp. I think this translates into a lot of sound betting advice, which has been noted by the OP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted March 28, 2020 Share Posted March 28, 2020 18 hours ago, BuffAlone said: other thoughts? I got one... who cares about betting on a season that may or may not even be played? I'm more worried about my toilet paper supply at this point of the pandemic. and that's really my only other thought. Sorry if I didn't add much content to your thread Never hurts to be prepared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffAlone Posted March 28, 2020 Share Posted March 28, 2020 17 minutes ago, PromoTheRobot said: Never hurts to be prepared. yeah. was mostly a poor toilet paper joke, but? IS getting crazy out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Patriots always cheat Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 (edited) I have an idea that when the NFL does the schedule the AFC- NFC games should be played first they count the least for tiebreakers in seeding for the playoffs so if something like this happens and training camp and preseason is shortened that will let those games help teams get up to speed before the more important divisional and conference games. Another thought came to me if this lingers longer than expected the league can scratch the AFC-NFC games extend the season start to October and save the season and keep the super bowl and the next off season schedule on time. I think the league needs to come up with a plan to address this instead of waiting to the last minute when the logistics of making big change could be too great to save the season. I don't want to wait to 2021 to watch the Bills play again and with that kind break it would slow the development of the younger players which will affect the product on the field longer term. Edited March 29, 2020 by The Patriots always cheat To add one more thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan17 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 On 3/27/2020 at 2:15 PM, BuffAlone said: other thoughts? I got one... who cares about betting on a season that may or may not even be played? I'm more worried about my toilet paper supply at this point of the pandemic. and that's really my only other thought. Sorry if I didn't add much content to your thread Yet, you found the strength and courage to post on a message board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffAlone Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 6 hours ago, BillsFan17 said: Yet, you found the strength and courage to post on a message board. how cute. relax, its a toilet paper joke that sounds $hiTtY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan17 Posted March 29, 2020 Share Posted March 29, 2020 (edited) 6 hours ago, BuffAlone said: how cute. relax, its a toilet paper joke that sounds $hiTtY Why are you telling me to relax? Do you feel like the situation is getting out of hand? I dont get it. Moreover, do you often call the behavior of grown men cute? Edited March 29, 2020 by BillsFan17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffAlone Posted March 30, 2020 Share Posted March 30, 2020 2 hours ago, BillsFan17 said: Why are you telling me to relax? Do you feel like the situation is getting out of hand? I dont get it. Moreover, do you often call the behavior of grown men cute? are you seeking confrontation over a poorly stated joke? what's the problem cutie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan17 Posted March 30, 2020 Share Posted March 30, 2020 1 minute ago, BuffAlone said: are you seeking confrontation over a poorly stated joke? what's the problem cutie? What about that seems confrontational? Moreover, again with the cutie comment, to a grown man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffAlone Posted March 30, 2020 Share Posted March 30, 2020 15 minutes ago, BillsFan17 said: What about that seems confrontational? Moreover, again with the cutie comment, to a grown man. wby do you insist on prolonging something that isn't? I didn't confront you. you confronted me. grow up, grown man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Frankish Reich Posted March 30, 2020 Share Posted March 30, 2020 On 3/27/2020 at 12:03 PM, Cson76 said: A few thoughts as I think about how to play the upcoming season. 1. If there is a shortened/limited training camp I am going to hammer under's early in the season. Defense is always ahead of offense in training camp. 2. I'll play against any new coaches/coordinators early and often 3. Going to prioritize older rosters, figure the vets are going to learn faster and possibly know how to come in more prepared physically 4. probably will lay off all pre season win total bets Any other thoughts? First ... yeah, it is kinda down low on my priorities list right now. Second ... I wonder about (1). Traditionally it was probably true that defenses were ahead of offenses in the first few games. But in the last couple years, isn't scoring highest in the first quarter of the season with the rise of pass-heavy offenses? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted March 30, 2020 Share Posted March 30, 2020 Have toilet paper futures been mentioned yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted March 30, 2020 Share Posted March 30, 2020 25 minutes ago, The Frankish Reich said: First ... yeah, it is kinda down low on my priorities list right now. Second ... I wonder about (1). Traditionally it was probably true that defenses were ahead of offenses in the first few games. But in the last couple years, isn't scoring highest in the first quarter of the season with the rise of pass-heavy offenses? I am not sure of if it is across the board but week one each of past 3 years has had some eye popping offense numbers. I am though curious if it is extremes based on continuity. Maybe the teams with may of same players just are better. I remember in early 90's that oilers were 0-3 I think with bad numbers because of new system but them ran off 10 in a row. Early season does not mean much except for W and L. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Frankish Reich Posted March 30, 2020 Share Posted March 30, 2020 16 hours ago, Buffalo Timmy said: I am not sure of if it is across the board but week one each of past 3 years has had some eye popping offense numbers. I am though curious if it is extremes based on continuity. Maybe the teams with may of same players just are better. I remember in early 90's that oilers were 0-3 I think with bad numbers because of new system but them ran off 10 in a row. Early season does not mean much except for W and L. Interesting ... the recent NFL is kind of an "everything I thought I knew is wrong" thing. I'm still having trouble wrapping my brain around the idea that year-to-year offensive performance is more consistent than defensive performance, and that's been shown to be true for some time now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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