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Josh Allen 2019 Regular Season at 58.8% Completion Percentage


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On 10/20/2019 at 11:27 AM, transplantbillsfan said:

 

With that 4th quarter I think Allen might push himself up to #1 or #2 in QB passer rating in the 4th quarter this year.

 

On 10/20/2019 at 6:12 PM, transplantbillsfan said:

Anyone wondering Allen's 4th quarter stats for the whole season:

 

22/32 (68.8%)

312 yards (9.8 YPA)

4TDs

0 INTs

139.6 QB Rating

 

Guess that's what happened 

 

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I guess 13 drops (our current stat) for the entire team is probably not unusual, but I'm thinking 6 drops out of 23 attempts (Dawson Knox) IS outside the norm.

Tied for the most in the NFL, with few targets.

https://www.foxsports.com/nfl/buffalo-bills-team-stats?season=2019&week=0&category=RECEIVING

 

Knox catches those, Josh's completion % is 65.6% instead of 62.4%.

Now that Kroft is back and seemingly survived his first game, I wouldn't be surprised to see Knox's snap count to come way down.  

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13 hours ago, The Red King said:

Having to perform constant late comebacks, even against bad teams, was the hallmark of the early SB Bills, lest you forget, nobody circles the wagons like?  I mean c'mon, they were called the Cardiac Kids for awhile.

 

Just win, baby.

This is a good point, and it seems lost on many. While the comebacks can be nerve wracking, they can also be damn entertaining. At some point, anticipating calamity became ingrained in the minds of Bills fans rather than just pulling for their team on the next play. Sure, blowing every team out while cruising to easy wins doesn’t really happen at a high statistical rate in the NFL. This season is no different, as I believe the % of games decided by a TD or less was 55% heading into last week. I’d much rather watch my team win in fourth quarter rallies than find new and inventive ways to lose them. 

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On 10/21/2019 at 7:20 AM, Augie said:

This is what it’s like after a WIN!

 

I’m going to run and hide if and when we lose!

I know huh! The fact is Augie when's the last time you saw TBD this alive though. Debates passionate discussions and comments. It hasn't felt this good to be a Bills fan in a while .I say let them eat each other ?

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13 hours ago, The Red King said:

Having to perform constant late comebacks, even against bad teams, was the hallmark of the early SB Bills, lest you forget, nobody circles the wagons like?  I mean c'mon, they were called the Cardiac Kids for awhile.

 

Just win, baby.

Just looked it up. Kelly had 21 4th quarter comebacks in 160 starts.  (13%).  Allen has 5 in 17 starts (29%).  The Bills would dominate early in games in the 90s and won’t need to come back.  It’s a very overrated stat.  If we had more consistent offense on the first 6 games, Allen wouldn’t have so many comebacks.

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Just now, C.Biscuit97 said:

Just looked it up. Kelly had 21 4th quarter comebacks in 160 starts.  (13%).  Allen has 5 in 17 starts (29%).  The Bills would dominate early in games in the 90s and won’t need to come back.  It’s a very overrated stat.  If we had more consistent offense on the first 6 games, Allen wouldn’t have so many comebacks.

it's overrated because it applies to a bills player...isn't it?

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2 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

Just looked it up. Kelly had 21 4th quarter comebacks in 160 starts.  (13%).  Allen has 5 in 17 starts (29%).  The Bills would dominate early in games in the 90s and won’t need to come back.  It’s a very overrated stat.  If we had more consistent offense on the first 6 games, Allen wouldn’t have so many comebacks.

 

Image result for it's not how you start it's how you finish

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7 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

Has the intended point been proven yet?  

 

Josh is improving and the media experts that said he was inaccurate are full of it.  Case closed. 

 

 

His completion percentage places him around 25th amongst active QBs.

 

 

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Just now, Bray Wyatt said:

 

I mean look at the top 10 list of 4th quarter come backs. Such ***** Qb's on there all over rated

our man always makes great points!

Just now, Nextmanup said:

His completion percentage places him around 25th amongst active QBs.

 

 

but he has been improving...right?  that's what we wanted to see.

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53 minutes ago, Nextmanup said:

His completion percentage places him around 25th amongst active QBs.

 

 

 

21st actually among the 32 QBs with 100+ attempts.

 

But the broader issue is that this year he falls within the perfectly acceptable range of completion percentage if you're thinking of standard deviation. 

 

Last year, he did not.

 

The 5 QBs listed with a completion percentage greater than Allen are no more than 2.4% higher.  The 5 QBs listed with completion percentage lower than Allen are 2.3% lower.

 

The bottom of the pack of Mayfield and Rosen are 5.8% and 9.2% lower.  Those guys are where Allen was last year.  And if you actually look at the list of completion percentage this year, those guys are the outliers on the bottom end and Derek Carr is the outlier on the top end.

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1 hour ago, BeefCurtns said:

I know huh! The fact is Augie when's the last time you saw TBD this alive though. Debates passionate discussions and comments. It hasn't felt this good to be a Bills fan in a while .I say let them eat each other ?

 

Winning always feels SO MUCH better than the other options! It certainly is invigorating for everyone! 

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2 hours ago, teef said:

it's overrated because it applies to a bills player...isn't it?

Omg. You’re such a soccer mom. Someone said something not amazing about my baby! Let me get the other soccer moms to yell at them!

 

We’re 5-1. Things are good.  But sorry for not throwing a party because we have pathetically low standards for good qb play.  Allen “led” a comeback against the Titans and we scored 2 tds!!! He led a comeback against one of the worst teams in modern history!  We came back against the 0-7 Bengals!  

 

Look, he’s improved in some things but this defense carries this team.  If we had a more consistent offense, we could do some real damage in this crappy AFC.  Our qb expectations are so pathetically low. 

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