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Posted
21 minutes ago, Success said:

 

I'd certainly be happy w/ 12-5, and think that will win the division as long as a W is against the Pats.  

 

But this is laid out too obviously.  I could see us beating the Chiefs and losing to the Texans, or beating the Eagles and losing to the Bengals.  Or beating everyone, of course.

 

Yeah it's kind of funny how that works in the mind isn't it? I could see us winning every single game remaining but could never ever conceive us losing every single game remaining? It just, well, it's just funny.

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Posted
27 minutes ago, Success said:

 

I'd certainly be happy w/ 12-5, and think that will win the division as long as a W is against the Pats.  

 

But this is laid out too obviously.  I could see us beating the Chiefs and losing to the Texans, or beating the Eagles and losing to the Bengals.  Or beating everyone, of course.

 

 

People are way too high on the Pats. This is an average to slightly above average team that will have struggles as the season gets tougher in late November and December.

 

Maye is really good, but he also is still young.

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Posted
On 10/14/2025 at 9:05 AM, Gregg said:

 

A must win is coming up vs Carolina. The Panthers have been playing well lately. I would hope this will be one of those games where the Bills win big and the game is over by halftime or 3rd quarter. To be fair the Bills have won many regular season games like that over the years. It wouldn't surprise if this ends up being a close game that goes down to the wire. I don't even want to think about 4-3.

At what point do we go into tank mode and try to clear up cap space anyway we can 

Posted
On 10/14/2025 at 9:49 AM, PayDaBill$ said:

I don’t think Carolina is a give-me, and Philly I doubt that’s a win especially if we can’t correct what we’ve been seeing. 

Philadelphia looks even worse on offense than we do. Their defense is better than ours though 

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  • 4 weeks later...
Posted

11/20@ Texans8:15 PM

11/30@ Steelers4:25 PM

12/07BENGALS4:25 PM

12/14@ Patriots1:00 PM

12/21@ Browns1:00 PM

 

One home game sandwiched between FOUR Road Games....That is just brutal especially these are teams that are pesky. 

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Posted
On 10/14/2025 at 8:48 AM, dorquemada said:

So, here's who we have left.  I'm interested in the collective's thoughts around which of these games we'll win.  

 

@Carolina - Manhandled Atlanta a few weeks back.  Not a good team but seemingly unpredictable.  Really no idea on this one.  Coming off the bye I have to believe it's a W
 

KC - KC is coming on and we're fading, or that will be the narrative.  KC hasn't beat us in a while in regular season but getting some guys back as we're losing more.  Calling this an L.  Even if the rosters were more or less equal there's a yawning chasm between the capabilities of the coaching staffs.  As organizations ultimately reflect their leadership, this becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.
 

@Miami - this is the acid test.  If we can't win this time to tank for whatever undersized high  motor DL that Beane covets most.  Call it a W
 

Tampa - Tampa playing solid ball now. Mayfield finally delivering on his promise.  This is an L
 

@Houston - No idea here.  They seem to have some of the same problems the bills do, and we havent been good against them.  L
 

@Pittsburgh - Again, a team that gives us fits.  Rogers will likely feast on our bend then break defense.  Cutesy playcalling against the D will go nowhere L
 

Cincinnati - should be a W.  They're just in a tough place though we have exactly nobody to cover those WRs.
 

@New England - right now this is a L strait up, but hoping we see a regression to the mean between now and then.  Hope is our best strategy!
 

@Cleveland - pretty sure they're running for the busses by this point and we'll be in dire straits needing a W to try to get a wild card spot.  Maybe we'll be playing against the legendary Shedeur?
 

Philadelphia - unless the eagles have the top spot locked up and are starting their scrubs, I dont see a win here.  Or why not, Allen decides to don the cape and goes all world.  W
 

New York Jets - we'll need a win to get a wildcard.  Jets are hapless.  W

 

Does 10-7 get us a wild card? Not sure it matters because we simply don't have the horses to make noise in January.

 

 

 

I'm sure you started this thread in a place of anger after the Falcons game, but after the Bills beat the Fins on Sunday, they will be 7-2.

 

I don't see them going 3-5 to finish the season, so your 10-7 prediction seems a little low......at worse they will go 5-3, so that's 12-5, hopefully 13-4.......the only question will be if they will be a 12 or 13 win Wild Card team, or winning Division Title number 6.

 

We shall see.

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Posted

I expect good coaches will look at our banged up defense and commit to try a ground and pound approach. It’s a good idea. The Bills D should expect it. 

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Posted (edited)
On 10/14/2025 at 2:48 PM, dorquemada said:

So, here's who we have left.  I'm interested in the collective's thoughts around which of these games we'll win.  

 

@Carolina - Manhandled Atlanta a few weeks back.  Not a good team but seemingly unpredictable.  Really no idea on this one.  Coming off the bye I have to believe it's a W
 

KC - KC is coming on and we're fading, or that will be the narrative.  KC hasn't beat us in a while in regular season but getting some guys back as we're losing more.  Calling this an L.  Even if the rosters were more or less equal there's a yawning chasm between the capabilities of the coaching staffs.  As organizations ultimately reflect their leadership, this becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.
 

@Miami - this is the acid test.  If we can't win this time to tank for whatever undersized high  motor DL that Beane covets most.  Call it a W
 

Tampa - Tampa playing solid ball now. Mayfield finally delivering on his promise.  This is an L
 

@Houston - No idea here.  They seem to have some of the same problems the bills do, and we havent been good against them.  L
 

@Pittsburgh - Again, a team that gives us fits.  Rogers will likely feast on our bend then break defense.  Cutesy playcalling against the D will go nowhere L
 

Cincinnati - should be a W.  They're just in a tough place though we have exactly nobody to cover those WRs.
 

@New England - right now this is a L strait up, but hoping we see a regression to the mean between now and then.  Hope is our best strategy!
 

@Cleveland - pretty sure they're running for the busses by this point and we'll be in dire straits needing a W to try to get a wild card spot.  Maybe we'll be playing against the legendary Shedeur?
 

Philadelphia - unless the eagles have the top spot locked up and are starting their scrubs, I dont see a win here.  Or why not, Allen decides to don the cape and goes all world.  W
 

New York Jets - we'll need a win to get a wildcard.  Jets are hapless.  W

 

Does 10-7 get us a wild card? Not sure it matters because we simply don't have the horses to make noise in January.

 

 

 

It's funny how different things look in a few weeks. No offense but the OP seems laughably pessimistic now... 

 

To do it from the vantage of Nov 7:

 

@Miami - W
 

Tampa - Tampa playing alright, but I feel we get them at home W
 

@Houston - Great defense but we can bully great defenses and our defense is rolling.  W
 

@Pittsburgh - Sooner or later we slip up L
 

Cincinnati -  W.  
 

@New England - no way we don't come out fired up for this one. Bills love to crush when it matters W
 

@Cleveland -  W 
 

Philadelphia - Feel like we will let one slip here  L
 

New York Jets -  W

 

I don't think this is crazy, we would end up 13-4. If we really take care of business, 14-3. No 1 seed in play.

 

Edited by Ray Stonada
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Posted
3 hours ago, Ray Stonada said:

 

It's funny how different things look in a few weeks. No offense but the OP seems laughably pessimistic now... 

 

To do it from the vantage of Nov 7:

 

@Miami - W
 

Tampa - Tampa playing alright, but I feel we get them at home W
 

@Houston - Great defense but we can bully great defenses and our defense is rolling.  W
 

@Pittsburgh - Sooner or later we slip up L
 

Cincinnati -  W.  
 

@New England - no way we don't come out fired up for this one. Bills love to crush when it matters W
 

@Cleveland -  W 
 

Philadelphia - Feel like we will let one slip here  L
 

New York Jets -  W

 

I don't think this is crazy, we would end up 13-4. If we really take care of business, 14-3. No 1 seed in play.

 

 

Yup, glad to have been wrong!

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Posted
On 10/14/2025 at 8:48 AM, dorquemada said:

So, here's who we have left.  I'm interested in the collective's thoughts around which of these games we'll win.  

 

@Carolina - Manhandled Atlanta a few weeks back.  Not a good team but seemingly unpredictable.  Really no idea on this one.  Coming off the bye I have to believe it's a W
 

KC - KC is coming on and we're fading, or that will be the narrative.  KC hasn't beat us in a while in regular season but getting some guys back as we're losing more.  Calling this an L.  Even if the rosters were more or less equal there's a yawning chasm between the capabilities of the coaching staffs.  As organizations ultimately reflect their leadership, this becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.
 

@Miami - this is the acid test.  If we can't win this time to tank for whatever undersized high  motor DL that Beane covets most.  Call it a W
 

Tampa - Tampa playing solid ball now. Mayfield finally delivering on his promise.  This is an L
 

@Houston - No idea here.  They seem to have some of the same problems the bills do, and we havent been good against them.  L
 

@Pittsburgh - Again, a team that gives us fits.  Rogers will likely feast on our bend then break defense.  Cutesy playcalling against the D will go nowhere L
 

Cincinnati - should be a W.  They're just in a tough place though we have exactly nobody to cover those WRs.
 

@New England - right now this is a L strait up, but hoping we see a regression to the mean between now and then.  Hope is our best strategy!
 

@Cleveland - pretty sure they're running for the busses by this point and we'll be in dire straits needing a W to try to get a wild card spot.  Maybe we'll be playing against the legendary Shedeur?
 

Philadelphia - unless the eagles have the top spot locked up and are starting their scrubs, I dont see a win here.  Or why not, Allen decides to don the cape and goes all world.  W
 

New York Jets - we'll need a win to get a wildcard.  Jets are hapless.  W

 

Does 10-7 get us a wild card? Not sure it matters because we simply don't have the horses to make noise in January.

 

 

There is no way the Bills lose 3 out of their next 5 games. The Texans you projected as a loss? They’ve been terrible this year. I also don’t think the Bills will get swept by New England. Tampa Is the only one I agree with that is a loss. They are the most underrated team in the league IMO and I think we ultimately face off against them  in the SB. 

Posted
Just now, ChronicAndKnuckles said:

There is no way the Bills lose 3 out of their next 5 games. The Texans you projected as a loss? They’ve been terrible this year. I also don’t think the Bills will get swept by New England. Tampa Is the only one I agree with that is a loss. They are the most underrated team in the league IMO and I think we ultimately face off against them  in the SB. 

 

The Texans have a good defense, and the Bills will be going on the road on a short week. It wouldn't surprise me if they lost that one. Tampa is a 50-50 game to me. It helps that it's in OP. I could see a loss at Houston but then a win at Pittsburgh. They will have a mini bye going into that one with 10 days to prepare. The Eagles game is like Tampa that could go either way. The rest of them should be wins and that includes the NE game.

Posted
22 minutes ago, ChronicAndKnuckles said:

There is no way the Bills lose 3 out of their next 5 games. The Texans you projected as a loss? They’ve been terrible this year. I also don’t think the Bills will get swept by New England. Tampa Is the only one I agree with that is a loss. They are the most underrated team in the league IMO and I think we ultimately face off against them  in the SB. 

 

Yeah my forecast was pessimistic based on the then current evidence and a rough hangover.  I hereby disavow my prior predictions.

20 minutes ago, Gregg said:

 

The Texans have a good defense, and the Bills will be going on the road on a short week. It wouldn't surprise me if they lost that one. Tampa is a 50-50 game to me. It helps that it's in OP. I could see a loss at Houston but then a win at Pittsburgh. They will have a mini bye going into that one with 10 days to prepare. The Eagles game is like Tampa that could go either way. The rest of them should be wins and that includes the NE game.

 

You know we got another stinker in store.  Texas are a PITA to us

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Posted
7 hours ago, Dr.Sack said:

I expect good coaches will look at our banged up defense and commit to try a ground and pound approach. It’s a good idea. The Bills D should expect it. 


Ok, but if Benford misses time, now we

have a banged up Secondary.  What ya gonna do now?  3D Chess. 

Posted

I follow a guy named Ken Massey who crunches all the results [from many sports]. 

 

He has us favored in all the rest of our games, He sees the toughest [lowest probability of winning] as at Houston 57% and home vs. Philly 59%. He has @NE as 61%, & @Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay both at 64%.

 

The Tampa game is shaping up as HUGE for a non-conference game as the Bucs are in a food fight with Rams, Seahawks, and Eagles for the bye in the NFC.

 

 

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