JerseyBills Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 (edited) httpsnames://torotimes.com/posts/houston-texans-make-major-jump-in-stefon-diggs-next-team-odds-01ht5m9ag0r9 So I would never say never but we all know there's pretty much no chance Stef is traded , unless it's an offer Beane just can't refuse, but what I find interesting here are the odds on where Diggs starts in 2024 and as a gambler I'm likely going to put my $ where my mouth is because these odds are great and it's easy easy $. From article - When DraftKings Sportsbook first released odds on Stefon Diggs’ next team in February, the Buffalo Bills were big favorites (-300) to retain the four-time Pro Bowl wide receiver while the Houston Texans were 10-to-1 to land to get him (or +1000). For non gamblers you'd need to spend 300 to win 100 on Diggs staying in Buf and spend 10$ to win 100 if he landed in Hou.. Back to article - There’s been a shift in those odds over the last month with Houston jumping up the board, though the odds are still projecting a return to Buffalo. By March 18, DraftKings’ new odds had Buffalo as the favorite (-230) and Houston up to +550 - again as the third-favorite - behind the Dallas Cowboys (+400). With the Cowboys being stagnant in free agency, they’ve dropped to +850 to land Diggs while Houston’s price has been bumped to +350 in the latest market shift. Those odds carry an implied probability of 22.22% that Houston would make a giant splash by giving quarterback C.J. Stroud an elite outside weapon next season. So now, big difference , you can now spend only 230 to win 100 for Diggs staying in Buff and Hou dropped all the way to +350, 👀👀 meaning instead of winning 100$ on a 10$ bet , now , a 10$ bet will only win you 35$ if Diggs landed on Houston. That's a MASSIVE DIFFERENCE Just caught my eye and very interesting to see the numbers move that significantly, especially towards Hou . I know what I'm doing, I'm 100% putting 1150$ to win an easy 500$ on Diggs starting the season as a Buffalo Bill. Maybe much more. Just wanted to give my gamblers an easyyyy money maker that is Bills related!🤑 Edit- For the record I didn't put any $ on this but definitely would have at some point in off season. Also, don't gamble unless you have a great system and are doing tons of research or if you follow someone that has a stellar betting record, they're rare but they do exist Edited April 3 by JerseyBills 1 1 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punching Bag Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 And I am sure he will repay you if you lose money since it is easy. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloBillyG Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 It's a trap. Bet it all on Arizona. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoonerBillsFan Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 10 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said: It's a trap. Bet it all on Arizona. I'm going with Washington. They have the cap room and 2 2nd and 3rd round picks 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanForever19 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 (edited) Oh yay - another Diggs trade thread. Joy. If Diggs were to be or will be traded (which was/is very unlikely) - it would have happened before 3/17 and now it wouldn't happen until after 6/1. Beane's not locking in his 18.5m salary (which was guaranteed on 3/17) first before moving him or taking on a full 31m Dead Cap hit all at once (which is what it would be to do it post 3/17 and before 6/1). I'd be EXTREMELY surprised if it were to happen even after 6/1 and before next season - as, capped or not, I don't see Beane making Pegula dish out an 18.5m dollar check for a player that won't be here. Edited March 31 by BillsFanForever19 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Estro Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 It's a cool article, but the bet doesn't exist. I've scoured the draftkings odds for anything Diggs related. They don't exist. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJB Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Put 5000K on it and don’t tell the wife 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloBillyG Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 1 hour ago, SoonerBillsFan said: I'm going with Washington. They have the cap room and 2 2nd and 3rd round picks 🤔🤔 And Dan Quinn is the coach there now...who was Stef's brothers DC in Dallas. Interesting dot connection there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section122 Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 4 hours ago, Estro said: It's a cool article, but the bet doesn't exist. I've scoured the draftkings odds for anything Diggs related. They don't exist. Different states allow betting on different things for example in ny you cant bet on postseason awards or any college sport that plays home games in ny (su for example) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 13 hours ago, JerseyBills said: Those odds carry an implied probability of 22.22% that Houston would make a giant splash by giving quarterback C.J. Stroud an elite outside weapon next season. He has Nico Collins, a kid on the rise. In fact Collins plus Dell combined for 2000 yards and 15 TDs from a rookie Ohio State QB. They average a whopping 16.2 and 15.1 YPC. Throw in a solid TE Schultz and Noah Brown a (17.2 per). This team has a lot of deep outside weapons. What would they give up for a declining Diggs? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uticaclub Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Not many books are taking action of this. DraftKings is just trying to stir up interest. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve Billieve Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 You convinced me. I bet $10. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Estro Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 This bet would show up in my app in NJ. It's no where to be found. Pretty sure it doesn't exist. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beck Water Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 13 hours ago, DJB said: Put 5000K on it and don’t tell the wife Still a TBD classic 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GASabresIUFan Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 I don’t know anything about gambling, but this sounds like Draft Kings has heard and verified trade talks between Buffalo and Houston. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloBillies Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Prop bets like that have so few bettors that the odds can sway pretty heavily on just a few heavier bets. Probably why. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gonzo1105 Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 I would move Diggs for a 1st rounder or early 2nd rounder and yes take the dead cap. It would allow us to get much younger at WR by taking two guys with elite traits early in the draft and grow with Allen. Diggs at best has 2 more solid seasons in him imo 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannc Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 16 hours ago, JerseyBills said: httpsnames://torotimes.com/posts/houston-texans-make-major-jump-in-stefon-diggs-next-team-odds-01ht5m9ag0r9 So I would never say never but we all know there's pretty much no chance Stef is traded , unless it's an offer Beane just can't refuse, but what I find interesting here are the odds on where Diggs starts in 2024 and as a gambler I'm likely going to put my $ where my mouth is because these odds are great and it's easy easy $. From article - When DraftKings Sportsbook first released odds on Stefon Diggs’ next team in February, the Buffalo Bills were big favorites (-300) to retain the four-time Pro Bowl wide receiver while the Houston Texans were 10-to-1 to land to get him. For non gamblers you'd need to spend 300 to win 100 on Diggs staying in Buf and spend 10$ to win 100 if he landed in Hou.. Back to article - There’s been a shift in those odds over the last month with Houston jumping up the board, though the odds are still projecting a return to Buffalo. By March 18, DraftKings’ new odds had Buffalo as the favorite (-230) and Houston up to +550 - again as the third-favorite - behind the Dallas Cowboys (+400). With the Cowboys being stagnant in free agency, they’ve dropped to +850 to land Diggs while Houston’s price has been bumped to +350 in the latest market shift. Those odds carry an implied probability of 22.22% that Houston would make a giant splash by giving quarterback C.J. Stroud an elite outside weapon next season. So now, big difference , you can now spend only 230 to win 100 for Diggs staying in Buff and Hou dropped all the way to +350, 👀👀 meaning instead of winning 100$ on a 10$ bet , now , a 10$ bet will only win you 35$ if Diggs landed on Houston. That's a MASSIVE DIFFERENCE Just caught my eye and very interesting to see the numbers move that significantly, especially towards Hou . I know what I'm doing, I'm 100% putting 1150$ to win an easy 500$ on Diggs starting the season as a Buffalo Bill. Maybe much more. Just wanted to give my gamblers an easyyyy money maker that is Bills related!🤑 I appreciate the gambling insights but to me this is a non-story unless the odds of Diggs leaving Buffalo have moved a lot, and it sounds like they haven’t. He’s still going nowhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warcodered Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Odds moving trying to draw people into making that bet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brianthomas Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 3 hours ago, Estro said: This bet would show up in my app in NJ. It's no where to be found. Pretty sure it doesn't exist. its Draftkings Sportsbook, even quoted in the article the OP posted. DK users in NY & im guessing NJ as well, dont have the same access to what others in the nation do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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