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Wild Card Weekend - Wild Card Weather


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2 minutes ago, letsgoteam said:

LoL true, true

 

I'm just taking in general with the new stadium.


Yeah… but we both know it ain’t happening …


This Bills team needs to be able to play in these conditions… hope they 

learnt something from the last playoff game …

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5 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:


Yeah… but we both know it ain’t happening …


This Bills team needs to be able to play in these conditions… hope they 

learnt something from the last playoff game …

I dont disagree.

 

However there will be a time and place that bad weather is going to cost the Bills a playoff game. A legit "weather" made them lose game. Im talking a stupid 3-0 game, 8-6, 8-7, etc, etc.

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1 minute ago, letsgoteam said:

I dont disagree.

 

However there will be a time and place that bad weather is going to cost the Bills a playoff game. A legit "weather" made them lose game. Im talking a stupid 3-0 game, 8-6, 8-7, etc, etc.


Yeah .., it certainly doesn’t help them  …

 

The line for this game  is still -10… so when that starts moving I’ll be concerned…

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On 1/8/2024 at 1:54 AM, Riverboat Ritchie said:

I actually think the high wind could hurt us.  Pitt looked pretty good running the ball and with high winds we will need to also. Get it done. Go Bills. 

Until Rudolph has to throw the ball. This is where big armed QB’s (Allen) earn their keep.Go Bills.

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I think the bad weather hurts Buffalo more than Pittsburgh in terms of being explosive.  BUT, the Bills are not very explosive these days and Allen is more used to playing in the snow/wind at Highmark Stadium than Mason Rudolph.  Plus the Bills D is pretty good and they should be able to smother the Steelers in crappy weather.  Allen is the X-factor.  His legs and ability to make plays off script will be greater than anything Rudolph can do here.

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3 hours ago, billsfan_34 said:

Until Rudolph has to throw the ball. This is where big armed QB’s (Allen) earn their keep.Go Bills.

 

We keep hearing about what s monster Cook's been under Brady.  Shouldn't even be a problem then.  

 

 

39 minutes ago, zow2 said:

I think the bad weather hurts Buffalo more than Pittsburgh in terms of being explosive.  BUT, the Bills are not very explosive these days and Allen is more used to playing in the snow/wind at Highmark Stadium than Mason Rudolph.  Plus the Bills D is pretty good and they should be able to smother the Steelers in crappy weather.  Allen is the X-factor.  His legs and ability to make plays off script will be greater than anything Rudolph can do here.

 

Weather schmeather, we're a better team playing at home.  Find a way to win.  

 

If not, well, this place will be a real hoot with the monster pendulum swing that would take place.  

 

 

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We have beautiful buffalo winter weather this Sunday... 25 degree, 10-25 mph wind, 50 percent chance of 1-2 inch of snow.  We cannot ask for better weather.   We are built to play in this weather.  Go Bills...

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I'll be applauding everyone who's in the stands, and wishing I was there with you to see it all in person (I'm serious!). No matter how accurate the snow chart is or isn't, the temps will be brutal for all. Can we start a new poll thread on which players are most likely to go sleeveless/no hand warmers? 😁

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1 hour ago, PBF81 said:

 

We keep hearing about what s monster Cook's been under Brady.  Shouldn't even be a problem then.  

 

 

 

Weather schmeather, we're a better team playing at home.  Find a way to win.  

 

If not, well, this place will be a real hoot with the monster pendulum swing that would take place.  

 

 

What are your thoughts on Bernard being able to defend UTM runs in potentially bad weather? 

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40 minutes ago, JDHillFan said:

What are your thoughts on Bernard being able to defend UTM runs in potentially bad weather? 

 

To start, it's not simply Bernard.  It's the team.  We currently rank 28th in Yards-per-Carry allowed.  That doesn't match up well in this particular situation.  

 

We may be fine, obviously.  This befalls coaching however.   Our starting DL is healthy again, we're not missing any great run defenders in the front-7 because of injury.  

 

Who knows, we'll find out in a few days.  :) 

 

 

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2 minutes ago, PBF81 said:

 

To start, it's not simply Bernard.  It's the team.  We currently rank 28th in Yards-per-Carry allowed.  That doesn't match up well in this particular situation.  

 

We may be fine, obviously.  This befalls coaching however.   Our starting DL is healthy again, we're not missing any great run defenders in the front-7 because of injury.  

 

Who knows, we'll find out in a few days.  :) 

 

 


we are really that bad against the run? I feel like we have been pretty good all year. The first few games we gave up a couple long ones, but seems we have settled down. 

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2 hours ago, PBF81 said:

 

We keep hearing about what s monster Cook's been under Brady.  Shouldn't even be a problem then.  

 

 

 

Weather schmeather, we're a better team playing at home.  Find a way to win.  

 

If not, well, this place will be a real hoot with the monster pendulum swing that would take place.  

 

 

Cook will get his touches but Allen most likely will audible out of runs if he sees something advantageous- LFG 🦬

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30 minutes ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:


we are really that bad against the run? I feel like we have been pretty good all year. The first few games we gave up a couple long ones, but seems we have settled down. 

 

We seem to be  hit-n-miss.  

 

We've played against almost none of the league's top-10 RBs.  Swift (5th) posted his fourth best game of the season against us.  Mixon (8th) we shut down.  Mostert (10th) we shut down in the one game early in the season, but Achane had a great game in his place. 

 

Etienne (11th) had his best game of the season against us as did Jax otherwise.  Barkley (16th) had his second best yardage game of the season against us.  

 

Harris is 7th and the Steelers rank 13th in Rushing.  The only teams we've played among the top-12 in rushing are Miami (6th) and the Eagles (8th).   

 

10 of the 17 games we've played have been against teams ranking 22nd or worse in rushing including the three worst.  (30th, 31st, and 32nd)  

 

7 of 17 are among teams ranking in the bottom quartile.  

 

FWIW 

 

Without running an analysis, we seem to give up big plays rushing.  We seem to be focused on our pass rush and TFLs, so once a play breaks down defensively, we seem to be exposed at the second level so to speak.  If true, that's why much of this game rests upon McD's shoulders.  

 

 

Edited by PBF81
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5 minutes ago, PBF81 said:

 

We seem to be  hit-n-miss.  

 

We've played against almost none of the league's top-10 RBs.  Swift (5th) posted his fourth best game of the season against us.  Mixon (8th) we shut down.  Mostert (10th) we shut down in the one game early in the season, but Achane had a great game in his place. 

 

Etienne (11th) had his best game of the season against us as did Jax otherwise.  Barkley (16th) had his second best yardage game of the season against us.  

 

Harris is 7th and the Steelers rank 13th in Rushing.  The only teams we've played among the top-12 in rushing are Miami (6th) and the Eagles (8th).   

 

10 of the 17 games we've played have been against teams ranking 22nd or worse in rushing including the three worst.  (30th, 31st, and 32nd)  

 

7 of 17 are among teams ranking in the bottom quartile.  

 

FWIW 

 

Without running an analysis, we seem to give up big plays rushing.  We seem to be focused on our pass rush and TFLs, so once a play breaks down defensively, we seem to be exposed at the second level so to speak.  If true, that's why much of this game rests upon McD's shoulders.  

 

 


great analysis; thanks. 

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By the way, I recommend this website

to any of the weather worriers like Myself. I have found the predictions on wind speed and wind gusts to be quite accurate.

 

right now, they are calling for 25 MPH winds at 1 PM. Gusts of 50 MPH. The gusts are going to be the real variable. Without those, We should be able to have some windows to throw even if the wind is at 25. 
 

I have found that if the wind speed drops to like 20, it’s usually not a factor. So hoping we get a little Bit of a break since the rest of Sunday looks like the wind will be less than 20.

 

https://www.windy.com/42.752/-78.746?2024011415,42.551,-78.746,9

 

 

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55 minutes ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:


we are really that bad against the run? I feel like we have been pretty good all year. The first few games we gave up a couple long ones, but seems we have settled down. 

No.  Bills are 15th in run defense, giving up 110.6 YPG.  Pitt is 19th at 115.1.  Bills run offense is 7th at 130.1 YPG.  Pitt is 13th at 118.2 YPG..  I suppose the yards per carry could be worse if teams do not run against the Bills as much.

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