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The Steelers are going to be the #1 seed


Miyagi-Do Karate

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10 hours ago, beebe said:

 

Sounds like you'll be making a lot of money. And by definition, a division game is NOT a coin flip when the spread is -7 or higher. 

If I am getting 7 or more against the Ravens I am taking the Steelers all day. They may lose but only by 3-4 points IMO

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11 hours ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:

I really can’t believe this, but the Steelers will probably end up as the 1-seed with home field advantage, and yet  there are probably at least 20 better teams in the NFL.

 

check out the remainder of their schedule:

 

@ CLE (Dorian Thompson-Robinson)
@ CIN (Jake Browning)
vs AZ (Kyler Murray)
vs NE (Mac Jones/Bailey Zappe?)
@ IND (Gardner Minshew)
vs CIN (Jake Browning)
@ SEA (Geno Smith)
@ BAL (Lamar Jackson)

 

https://x.com/steelersnetwork/status/1725601870121672977?s=46&t=uEztWLHQe9squs0mVCzJCQ

vs PIT ( Kenny Pickett)

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9 hours ago, CaptnCoke11 said:

4?  No way 

At least 4.

 

They have a good defense. Their offense is terrible. The way they have been winning is not sustainable and they will not likely keep it up.

 

Think of them as the Giants from last year. Yes, you are what your record says but watching that team they don't have the talent, especially on offense to keep going without a TON of luck.

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This same thing happened in 2020.  Pittsburgh didn’t pass the eye test, yet they were 11-0 to start the season.  They lost 4 of 5 down the stretch before losing in the first round of the playoffs.  Nothing suggests that this season will be any different.

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2 hours ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said:

This possibility just goes to show how incredibly influential schedule and luck are.

 

For the Bills, this season has been a remarkable combination of injuries, bad luck, a brutal schedule, and legendary mistakes.

Brutal schedule???? They’ve lost to Zack Wilson, the corpse of Russ Wilson (at home) and Mac Jones, and they tried their damndest to lose to Tyrod Taylor.  The Bills have had an EASY schedule this year, up to this point. They’ve played three good teams.

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12 minutes ago, mannc said:

Brutal schedule???? They’ve lost to Zack Wilson, the corpse of Russ Wilson (at home) and Mac Jones, and they tried their damndest to lose to Tyrod Taylor.  The Bills have had an EASY schedule this year, up to this point. They’ve played three good teams.

I didn't say anything about up to this point. The schedule in totality is one of the hardest in the NFL.

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5 minutes ago, Giuseppe Tognarelli said:

I didn't say anything about up to this point. The schedule in totality is one of the hardest in the NFL.

It’s not.  We play another backup this week and then three tough games. That’s it.  The schedule has nothing to do with us being 5-5. If we actually had a tough schedule we’d be 3-7.

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21 minutes ago, mannc said:

Brutal schedule???? They’ve lost to Zack Wilson, the corpse of Russ Wilson (at home) and Mac Jones, and they tried their damndest to lose to Tyrod Taylor.  The Bills have had an EASY schedule this year, up to this point. They’ve played three good teams.


Yep.  If we weren’t playing like crap, we’d be 7-3 or 8-2 right now, and probably

not even having these conversations.  We’d be talking about our chance at the 1 seed.

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8 hours ago, Richard Noggin said:

 

You can see how all the evidence you're presenting actually suggests Pittsburgh will regress to the mean, right? That they've been incredibly fortunate so far in 2023, and that's unlikely to continue? (I guess Minnesota last season was this way for the entire REGULAR SEASON, winning close games despite being outplayed. But it's not the likely outcome.)


what if this is the mean? the difference is tomlin:
 

“Mike Tomlin finds a way in these muck-and-grind affairs. Somehow, the Steelers have won a franchise-record eight consecutive one-score games. They have won 95 one-score games since Tomlin became coach in 2007, more than any team in the NFL, according to a graphic on the CBS telecast.”

 

https://www.post-gazette.com/sports/joe-starkey/2023/11/12/matt-canada-patrick-peterson-elandon-roberts-mike-tomlin-packers-afc-north-standings/stories/202311070166#

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13 hours ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:


I hear you. But given that collection of QBs, their defense will score for them and they will win all those games, except possibly the Baltimore game. And that is a divisional game, which will be a total coin flip.
 

Every win has been a coin flip for them this year, and they have won them:

 

“ All six wins for the Steelers this season have come by a single score. The Steelers are 6-3, but outscored on the season by 26 points and for the ninth straight game were outgained by their opponent.”

 

https://www.audacy.com/937thefan/sports/pittsburgh-steelers/steelers-gain-ground-with-a-6th-one-score-win

 

Steelers D has scored 2 TDs....

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