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1st month of the season is done. What are your impressions so far on the season?


Royale with Cheese

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My thoughts:


Surprises

-Houston and Arizona have some real fight with Stroud looking quiet good and the sum of parts playing being the means in the desert

-I thought Miami would be good to quite good this year but the level they are pacing is truly impressive

-I had the Jags as a top seed and they look like a work in progress again. Plenty of time, but the longer they don't string some wins together the more open they leave the division to someone else

-Overall level of play is very much towards defenses to start the year and there has been some very sloppy football.

-Green Bay has already played better then I thought and maybe a wildcard is possible

-Injuries. I can't remember a season so early on with the level of just awful injuries to start and to such high profile players. Rodgers Chubb & now Mike Williams (still a shock regardless of past) plus Burrow still being down has certainly been a lot.

-LA Rams, very early and things can change but they look like maybe a wild card race could happen

 

Expected

-Never bought the Bears hype although this implosion is bordering on cleaning the coaching staff and starting fresh. They are approaching really rudderless in terms of direction. This team badly needs an outside football guy to step in as president of operations with a true plan to right the ship.

-Regressing to the mean sucks for teams and the Vikings and Giants are learning the hard way. I had MIN as a playoff team but the 7th seed WC and for the reason they are showing. Not sure at 0-3 if they can dig out. The Giants I think over achieved big time last year like the Bills in 2017 and now life is hard when your talent isn't as high as you thought. Long term still buy in for Daboll and crew but I can easily see 6-11 on the horizon.

-The Ravens look good even if they are never allowed players to avoid catastrophic injuries, still think they finish like 12-5 

-49ers with a competent QB is really interesting. Cannot wait to see them take on PHI healthy this year

-One month in and the Lions are slowly climbing the ladder like we all thought for their first division crown. Thursday isn't a must win but they can send a solid message to the rest of the division.

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3 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

 

- The Jags are not good.  Trevor Lawrence doesn't look like he's supposed to after last year.  Maybe Kyle Brandt was right?

 

 

While Trevor is admittedly a promising young QB, he is also maybe the most over rated QB in the NFL right now in terms of how people rate him vs his actual level of play.  He is consistently just given a top 10 designation that is undeserved IMHO, and even some people foolishly listing him in the top 5 coming into this season (or even better than Allen if you are that troll Nick "never" Wright)

 

Honestly, I can't even list him in the top 10 QB's in the NFL this season:

 

Top 5 - In Order

Mahomes, Allen, Burrow, Hurts, Herbert

 

Next 5 - In NO particular order

Tua, Cousins, Purdy, Stafford, Lamar

 

Yup, I have Purdy in the top 10, and he is playing better than most QB's even several listed in the top 10 with him.  He is the 4th highest rated QB in the NFL and has the 2nd highest avg per pass.  Some may call him a product of the system, but I don't care because he plays in that system...and he is playing at a top 10 QB level right now in SF and is a big reason why they are the SB favorites right now.  I have watched every game he has played as my wife is as big a Niner fan as I am a Bills fan...and he just keeps impressing me and its time to start realizing he is for real.  

 

For me, Trevor falls in that next tier of 11-15 type of QB's.  This is the tier where you would be picking 5 guys out of say the following QB's depending on how you view each of these guys:

 

Trevor, Dak, Stroud, Goff, Geno, Carr, Love, Jones, Wilson

 

I don't have an issue if someone wants to list him first in this group as the 11th best guy here using his potential as the deciding factor.  But even most of these guys are playing better this year so far than him. 

 

 

 

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17 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:

 

While Trevor is admittedly a promising young QB, he is also maybe the most over rated QB in the NFL right now in terms of how people rate him vs his actual level of play.  He is consistently just given a top 10 designation that is undeserved IMHO, and even some people foolishly listing him in the top 5 coming into this season (or even better than Allen if you are that troll Nick "never" Wright)

 

Honestly, I can't even list him in the top 10 QB's in the NFL this season:

 

Top 5 - In Order

Mahomes, Allen, Burrow, Hurts, Herbert

 

Next 5 - In NO particular order

Tua, Cousins, Purdy, Stafford, Lamar

 

Yup, I have Purdy in the top 10, and he is playing better than most QB's even several listed in the top 10 with him.  He is the 4th highest rated QB in the NFL and has the 2nd highest avg per pass.  Some may call him a product of the system, but I don't care because he plays in that system...and he is playing at a top 10 QB level right now in SF and is a big reason why they are the SB favorites right now.  I have watched every game he has played as my wife is as big a Niner fan as I am a Bills fan...and he just keeps impressing me and its time to start realizing he is for real.  

 

For me, Trevor falls in that next tier of 11-15 type of QB's.  This is the tier where you would be picking 5 guys out of say the following QB's depending on how you view each of these guys:

 

Trevor, Dak, Stroud, Goff, Geno, Carr, Love, Jones, Wilson

 

I don't have an issue if someone wants to list him first in this group as the 11th best guy here using his potential as the deciding factor.  But even most of these guys are playing better this year so far than him. 

 

 

 

 

I would have Purdy top 10 as well.  I think he's absolutely for real.

 

I think you have Trevor correct.  I wouldn't have Love in there yet...I think he's around 20.  I probably would have Dak over Cousins.

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What stinks is every offseason we look at the AFC West and think... ok this year the Broncos, Chargers, and Raiders will give the Chiefs a run. What we see so far is that the Chiefs have no competition for their division title. Not only that it should be a breeze to sweep them all for a top overall record.

 

The Broncos are a joke and Sean Payton might actually be worse than Nathaniel Hackett. 

If the Chargers had lost to Minnesota I think that they would have started to think about firing HC Brandon Staley. 

The Raiders are now gutless under HC Josh McDaniels. They should have gone for it on fourth down.

Lots of change coming in this division...again. 

 

I know it's early...this showdown with Miami might just be for the Division as the only really difficult teams they face are the Eagles, and Chiefs. Man, if only Von were playing in this game. Miami looks like the hottest team in the AFC right now. 

 

The Colts lead the AFC South at 2-1.

 

The Cowboys were just beaten by Arizona. 🤣

 

The 49ers look like they may take the NFC this year. 

 

 

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The AFC is Kansas City, Miami, and Buffalo in that order right now.  This looks like the best Chiefs team I’ve ever seen despite a week 1 fluke without Travis Kelce and Chris Jones.  They’ve put together a top 5 defense, and it’s the youngest defense in the NFL.  Miami looks incredible when they’re clicking, but the Patriots played them very close, and the Broncos quit.  They’re incredibly scary and nobody will want to play them if Tua stays healthy.  Buffalo is exactly what I thought they would be so far.  They’re a veteran team that was a finished product from day 1.  Their biggest challenge will be staying healthy and fresh given that they’re the oldest team in the league.

 

The NFC is Philadelphia and SF.  Philly has no weakness.  They haven’t been blowing anyone out, but they’re 3-0 and similar to Kansas City, they look like a team that has another gear that they’re not planning on using until the games really matter.  San Fran plays beautiful football.  Purdy looks like a really good QB, but we’ll see if he’s a guy who can go win a game when rather than just be a really good game manager.

 

Unless Cincinnati figures it out, I just don’t see anyone else who is capable of winning it all.  That said, it’s a LONG season and teams look vastly different in December than they do in September.

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11 minutes ago, ndirish1978 said:

Our Defensive front 7 looks a LOT better than I thought they were. Our CBs look decent to average. Our offense is not great. I thought Josh was going to be off to the races but he seems to have regressed in his processing.  

Hoo boy 

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8 hours ago, GoBills808 said:

I think the Dolphins are the best team rn

 

They put a college score line on an NFL team, they should be #1 and Niners #2

 

 

I think the Dolphins looked very good but that score was just as much about Denver looking really really bad.

 

I mean, two of those TDs came on one drive that went three yards total and one that went eight yards total. Take those away and it's 56 points, which is still fantastic but not epochal.

 

And the Broncos looked unable to make tackles. I'd put the Fins as top five, but not #1. They still have a lot more to prove.

 

This is an interesting thread. Thanks, everyone.

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My thoughts? If the Cowboys, Giants, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, and Jets keep playing as they have, we're going to have an easier schedule than initially thought. And I might be getting ahead of myself, but I hope that fluke loss to the Jets does not come back to bite us.

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7 hours ago, GoBills808 said:

I read it

 

I kind of stopped when I hit the part about how much you think defense and special teams matters tho

 

 

He's right, of course. Defense and STs absolutely do make a huge difference, whether negative or positive. Over the course of a season, those will cause wins and losses.

 

 

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