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Don't like drafting for need just for need sake.


gjv

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I always think it can - and probably is - a bit of a mix.  If you're drafting BPA, you probably have a few guys that you would take at any given position in the draft - and if you're on the fence, of course need will end up being the deciding factor.

 

Or, if you think you really need a player and it's too much of a reach, you can try to trade down.

 

 

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Draft evaluation by the scouts  is as suspect as as any other part of the draft process, it’s where the errors start, or is it the GMs ignoring good advice, we never know as we are on the outside looking in,  the draft is a crap shoot on a good day, 

 

Don’t fool yourself, all draft choices are need driven, it’s always been that way, and it’s never going to change. 

 

GO BILLS!!!

Edited by Don Otreply
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1 hour ago, Jay_Fixit said:

Only if the BPA happens to be at a position of need. Otherwise drafting need over BPA is a terrible strategy.

There has to be a balance. You don't reach for a late 2nd Round prospect in the 1st. But if your board has a RB a couple of spots higher than a G prospect also available, when you have a clear need at G, and you take the RB? That's just blatant stupidity. You take the BPA at the position of need, if it is within reason. 

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If you have a glaring need and it was not addressed in free agency then you will draft accordingly.  Now if the talent does not meet your drafting position you either trade down, garnering additional picks) or taking a talent that bolsters another position.  You draft for now and the future.  

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There's always a blend between BPA and need.

 

For example, even if Beane is a BPA guy, if there's a great QB on the board when we pick, why bother?  It would be a waste of a pick.

 

On the other hand, a team needs playmakers.  The best way to get playmakers is to not reach for need and instead go BPA.  And then fill the rest of your roster with FAs - even if all you can afford are JAGs.  

 

I remember hearing a GM talk once  - Ron Wolf maybe.  He said the goal is to draft All-Pros - one or two each draft.  It didn't matter, he said, if your 1st round draft pick was a bust if you found a couple All-Pros in the 3rd and 4th rounds.  Every team has JAGs.  Championship teams have enough elite players to set them apart.  He also said you don't draft to plug roster holes.  You draft for All-Pros.  That's it.  

 

Edited by hondo in seattle
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7 hours ago, PrimeTime101 said:

I am pretty sure that is what doc just said lol

Not even close.

 

Always BPA. Never because you need a position. If BPA is a player that just happens to be a position you need, then it works.

 

I don’t mince words. Read carefully next time.

Edited by Jay_Fixit
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15 hours ago, Billz4ever said:

 

Josh Allen is who makes our OL look better than it really is.

 

If Josh were simply a regular pocket passer with so-so mobility, this team probably sets a new record for sacks taken this past season.

And according to WGR young guns, it’s why they make the case that you can “get away” with an average offensive line. 
 

Allen gets them out of trouble.

 

But they’re also the people that constantly shove DVOA down everyone’s throats and scream about efficient passing offense.

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16 hours ago, gjv said:

I don't agree with this draft philosophy;https://www.newyorkupstate.com/buffalo-bills/2023/02/the-height-of-stupidity-are-the-bills-crazy-to-consider-drafting-a-running-back-in-round-one.htmlUpgrading the O-line for next season has to be a priority, no questions asked. That being said, will an O-lineman be available at 27 that can come in and start? If the draft prospect evaluators are correct, this is a weak draft for a "draft and start O-lineman". There appears to be a decent size group of quality O-line prospects in the late round 2 and round three gradings. Therefore, barring a Bong user falling into our lap, it doesn't appear likely the Bills will be able to upgrade their starting O-line via the draft. It appears more likely they can find some O-line depth in the draft with future starting potential. Unfortunately, the cap-strapped Bills will have to look to free agency to upgrade the starting o-line. With all that, I would much prefer the Bills select a player with true or close to true first-round qualities no matter the position. And should Bijan Robinson be in decent price range, I would be thrilled to have the Bills jump in front of Dallas and grab him. A backfield with Allen and Robinson might be deemed illegal by the NFL.

I don’t either
 

But I think we are fortunate that this is a draft that our needs match the best players when we draft

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15 hours ago, JaCrispy said:

No more trading up…and certainly no trading up for a RB…

You've got to be willing to trade up and down.  Philly traded up two spots to land Devontae Smith because they knew he was the last of the three WR's in the top tier.  They pry don't regret it.  Meanwhile, we traded down twice to select Cook acquiring two extra sixth round picks.  One happened to be used on Christian Benford.

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1 hour ago, Straight Hucklebuck said:

And according to WGR young guns, it’s why they make the case that you can “get away” with an average offensive line. 
 

Allen gets them out of trouble.

 

But they’re also the people that constantly shove DVOA down everyone’s throats and scream about efficient passing offense.

The thing is, it has to be an average line ranked with an average QB. Then when you have a QB like Allen, you can get away with it. Having an average OL with Allen as QB, tells me it's NOT good at all. For example,  Ours.😉

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5 hours ago, Doc Brown said:

You've got to be willing to trade up and down.  Philly traded up two spots to land Devontae Smith because they knew he was the last of the three WR's in the top tier.  They pry don't regret it.  Meanwhile, we traded down twice to select Cook acquiring two extra sixth round picks.  One happened to be used on Christian Benford.

I’m all for trading back and acquiring more picks…I just don’t trust Beane to throw away draft picks, by trading up, and make the right decision…Plus we need to start accumulating players on rookie deals to fill out the roster…👍

Edited by JaCrispy
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22 hours ago, BarleyNY said:

FA is for need, the draft is for long term team building. Teams that draft for need do so at their own peril. 

Every team drafts for need…

12 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:

There's always a blend between BPA and need.

 

For example, even if Beane is a BPA guy, if there's a great QB on the board when we pick, why bother?  It would be a waste of a pick.

 

On the other hand, a team needs playmakers.  The best way to get playmakers is to not reach for need and instead go BPA.  And then fill the rest of your roster with FAs - even if all you can afford are JAGs.  

 

I remember hearing a GM talk once  - Ron Wolf maybe.  He said the goal is to draft All-Pros - one or two each draft.  It didn't matter, he said, if your 1st round draft pick was a bust if you found a couple All-Pros in the 3rd and 4th rounds.  Every team has JAGs.  Championship teams have enough elite players to set them apart.  He also said you don't draft to plug roster holes.  You draft for All-Pros.  That's it.  

 


It’s always BPA based on need.  Anyone who tells you it’s strictly BPA has been hoodwinked by GM speak.  
 

If you have an All-Pro Center, you aren’t going to take another Center even if he is BPA. 

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21 hours ago, Solomon Grundy said:

I believe that the offensive line can be fixed in this draft in rds 2-4. Lest we forget that the Bills once fielded a high powered offense with Kelly and Thurman sharing the backfield. How about "Air Coryell" with Fouts and Chuck Muncie. I love how folks say that by drafting Bijan you take the ball out of Josh's hands. Can't having Bijan give the Bills more possessions creating more attempts for the offense? Less 3 and outs? If Bijan falls to the Bills at 27, to me it's a no brainer. Draft RT, C in that order to fix line. Sign OBJ and be in the SB talk again next season

It can as long as we don’t draft cody ford in rd 2, Spencer brown rd 3 and Tommy Doyle rd 3.  Beane has done nothing in the draft to suggest he can fix the line in rd 2-4.

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23 hours ago, BarleyNY said:

FA is for need, the draft is for long term team building. Teams that draft for need do so at their own peril. 

When the best player on the board is also at a team’s biggest need, they should trade up for that player.  Best player available is critical, but players are only cheap for 4 seasons.  In today’s NFL, you can’t afford to sit players and waste their cost controlled years backing up established starters.  

 

It doesn’t have to be a decision of BPA versus need.  It should be both, and GMs need to be savvy enough to move up and down the draft board to find that fit.  It’s what I think Kansas City did in moving up for McDuffie when they needed a CB and Trent was easily the highest player at any position left on their draft board.  I don’t think that Elam was the highest player on Buffalo’s board, but he was the highest CB so they went and got him.

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