SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 minute ago, The Red King said: Would Indy somehow squeek in if they got into a three way tie, perhaps? ? TIEBREAKERS AFC tiebreakers: Pittsburgh is ahead of Tennessee based on conference record (6-4 to the Titans' 6-5). Not listed BUT the Colts have to win out to stand a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thenorthremembers Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 9 hours ago, Joe in Winslow said: That's a REAL shame, isn't it, @thenorthremembers Lol. Couldnt be more happy I was wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichRiderBills Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 (edited) 4 % to win AFCE seems like some sort of unrealistically low PFF garbage. Odds of bills beating pats are probably like 35 to 40 percent, and odds of Pats losing to phins is probably 20 percent or maybe a little better. Dont see how both happening could get that low. Edited December 16, 2019 by RichRiderBills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 7 minutes ago, RichRiderBills said: 4 % to win AFCE seems like some sort of unrealistically low PFF garbage. Odds of bills beating pats are probably like 35 to 40 percent, and odds of Pats losing to phins is probably 20 percent or maybe a little better. Dont see how both happening could get that low. The "odds" of the Bills beating the Patriots are good IMO. The "odds" of Miami beating the Patriots are minuscule IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foxx Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 hour ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: ... With 10 wins the Bills are LOCKED in at the 5 seed. i don't think we're, 'locked' at the 5th seed. theoretically, we could finish as high as 2nd or anywhere in between. but definitely no lower than 5th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanSD Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 23 minutes ago, RichRiderBills said: 4 % to win AFCE seems like some sort of unrealistically low PFF garbage. Odds of bills beating pats are probably like 35 to 40 percent, and odds of Pats losing to phins is probably 20 percent or maybe a little better. Dont see how both happening could get that low. Let's say there's a 30% chance that we beat New England, a 20% chance that New England loses to Miami, and a 75% chance that we beat the Jets. 0.3 X 0.2 X 0.75 = 4.5% 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJB Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, BillsFanSD said: Let's say there's a 30% chance that we beat New England, a 20% chance that New England loses to Miami, and a 75% chance that we beat the Jets. 0.3 X 0.2 X 0.75 = 4.5% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buffalobillswin Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 I really hope the Bills have earned not playing on Saturday at 4:30 in the playoffs. I want a Saturday night or Sunday game! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerJ Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 2 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: NFL http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture ESPN Playoff Machine http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine ESPN standings https://www.espn.com/nfl/standings/_/view/playoff NYT https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/upshot/nfl-playoff-picture.html > 99% to make it. ???? > 99 LOL CBS https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/standings/playoffrace PLAYOFF PICTURE SCENARIOS: WEEK 15 AFC SCENARIOS: NFC SCENARIOS: No remaining AFC clinch scenarios for Week 15. No remaining NFC clinch scenarios for Week 15. AFC CLINCHES: NFC CLINCHES: BALTIMORE clinched a playoff berth (Week 14), the AFC North division title (Week 15)KANSAS CITY clinched the AFC West division title (Week 14)NEW ENGLAND clinched a playoff berth (Week 15)BUFFALO clinched a playoff berth (Week 15) NEW ORLEANS clinched the NFC South division title (Week 13)SEATTLE clinched a playoff berth (Week 15)SAN FRANCISCO clinched a playoff berth (Week 15)GREEN BAY clinched a playoff berth (Week 15) During the regular season, the seeds reflect how the playoffs would stand if the season ended up to that point. The NFL playoffs are not based on a pure bracket system. In the divisional playoffs, the No. 1 seed is assured of playing the lowest-seeded Wild Card survivor. There are no restrictions on intra-division games and the higher seed of any matchup will have home-field advantage. AFC SEED TEAM DIVISION RECORD 1 (y) Baltimore North 12-2-0 2 (x) New England East 11-3-0 3 (y) Kansas City West 10-4-0 4 Houston South 9-5-0 5 (x) Buffalo East 10-4-0 6 Pittsburgh North 8-6-0 STILL ALIVE SEED TEAM DIVISION RECORD 7 Tennessee South 8-6-0 8 Indianapolis South 6-7-0 Colts may be eliminated tonight if I heard correctly last night. With 10 wins the Bills are LOCKED in at the 5 seed. Yup. There are two teams below them that can match 10 wins, but Buffalo owns the first tie breaker on both of them (head to head). I admit though that I haven't looked at how it works if the Titans managed to go on and win the AFC South . Could Houston end up with 10 wins? What would the tiebreaker be there? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CorkScrewHill Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, The Red King said: Would Indy somehow squeek in if they got into a three way tie, perhaps? ? They have a lot of variables that have to go their way .. currently listed at less than a 1% chance. Edited December 16, 2019 by CorkScrewHill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanSD Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 39 minutes ago, TigerJ said: I admit though that I haven't looked at how it works if the Titans managed to go on and win the AFC South . Could Houston end up with 10 wins? What would the tiebreaker be there? If Houston gets to 10 wins, they win the AFCS even if Tennessee wins out. (Conference record, I think). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CorkScrewHill Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 hour ago, Foxx said: i don't think we're, 'locked' at the 5th seed. theoretically, we could finish as high as 2nd or anywhere in between. but definitely no lower than 5th. 2nd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out, and Chiefs lose 1; 3rd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out; and Chiefs win out; 5th seed any other scenario. We cannot be the 4th seed as for us to win the division we would need to win out and the Texans could not catch us in that scenario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, CorkScrewHill said: 2nd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out, and Chiefs lose 1; 3rd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out; and Chiefs win out; 5th seed any other scenario. We cannot be the 4th seed as for us to win the division we would need to win out and the Texans could not catch us in that scenario. Great info. 3 seed would amazing and a home playoff game likely against steelers. pats would have to go to houston where they already lost this year. We'd likely have a nice win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eball Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 hour ago, buffalobillswin said: I really hope the Bills have earned not playing on Saturday at 4:30 in the playoffs. I want a Saturday night or Sunday game! Well, we've gone from "just happy to be here" to demanding specific time slots in a hurry, haven't we! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rock-A-Bye Beasley Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 (edited) 1 hour ago, TigerJ said: Yup. There are two teams below them that can match 10 wins, but Buffalo owns the first tie breaker on both of them (head to head). I admit though that I haven't looked at how it works if the Titans managed to go on and win the AFC South . Could Houston end up with 10 wins? What would the tiebreaker be there? Looks like Houston would win the tie breaker (division record) against TEN even if they lose to them in week 17. So, if Houston beats Tampa Bay next week I think we are going to Houston unless we win the division. Edited December 16, 2019 by Chemical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
teef Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 they don't have times worked out for these yet...do they? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsfanmiami(oh) Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, teef said: they don't have times worked out for these yet...do they? The times are set but they don’t assign the games till after week 17 games end I believe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannc Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 1 hour ago, buffalobillswin said: I really hope the Bills have earned not playing on Saturday at 4:30 in the playoffs. I want a Saturday night or Sunday game! Don’t count on it. 32 minutes ago, CorkScrewHill said: 2nd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out, and Chiefs lose 1; 3rd seed if Bills win out, pats lose out; and Chiefs win out; 5th seed any other scenario. We cannot be the 4th seed as for us to win the division we would need to win out and the Texans could not catch us in that scenario. Why would Chiefs be ahead of us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAJBobby Posted December 16, 2019 Share Posted December 16, 2019 3 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said: NFL http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture ESPN Playoff Machine http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine ESPN standings https://www.espn.com/nfl/standings/_/view/playoff NYT https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/upshot/nfl-playoff-picture.html > 99% to make it. ???? > 99 LOL CBS https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/standings/playoffrace PLAYOFF PICTURE SCENARIOS: WEEK 15 AFC SCENARIOS: NFC SCENARIOS: No remaining AFC clinch scenarios for Week 15. No remaining NFC clinch scenarios for Week 15. AFC CLINCHES: NFC CLINCHES: BALTIMORE clinched a playoff berth (Week 14), the AFC North division title (Week 15)KANSAS CITY clinched the AFC West division title (Week 14)NEW ENGLAND clinched a playoff berth (Week 15)BUFFALO clinched a playoff berth (Week 15) NEW ORLEANS clinched the NFC South division title (Week 13)SEATTLE clinched a playoff berth (Week 15)SAN FRANCISCO clinched a playoff berth (Week 15)GREEN BAY clinched a playoff berth (Week 15) During the regular season, the seeds reflect how the playoffs would stand if the season ended up to that point. The NFL playoffs are not based on a pure bracket system. In the divisional playoffs, the No. 1 seed is assured of playing the lowest-seeded Wild Card survivor. There are no restrictions on intra-division games and the higher seed of any matchup will have home-field advantage. AFC SEED TEAM DIVISION RECORD 1 (y) Baltimore North 12-2-0 2 (x) New England East 11-3-0 3 (y) Kansas City West 10-4-0 4 Houston South 9-5-0 5 (x) Buffalo East 10-4-0 6 Pittsburgh North 8-6-0 STILL ALIVE SEED TEAM DIVISION RECORD 7 Tennessee South 8-6-0 8 Indianapolis South 6-7-0 Colts may be eliminated tonight if I heard correctly last night. With 10 wins the Bills are LOCKED in at the 5 seed. Man that X looks so nice after week 15 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 16, 2019 Author Share Posted December 16, 2019 26 minutes ago, teef said: they don't have times worked out for these yet...do they? playoff games? No BUT I suspect 2 on Saturday 3:30 is and 8"00 ish and 2 on Sunday 12:30 - 1PM and then 4:30 11 minutes ago, MAJBobby said: Man that X looks so nice after week 15 it sure does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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