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stevestojan

Early Week 7 Line: Bills -15.5 over Dolphins

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9 hours ago, RiotAct said:

we’re going to drop a forty-burger on their sorry asses

That's just average for Miami's opponents thus far this season.

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10 minutes ago, TigerJ said:

That's just average for Miami's opponents thus far this season.

exactly!

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15 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

???

 

So far? 

NYETS   17 pts -   # 25th in PPG,     # 4  in Defense (total yards)  (with a gazillion Bills turnovers) 

GI Ants  28 pts -   # 24th in PPG,     #31 in Defense (total yards) 

BeenGals 21 pts - # 27th in PPG,    #32 in Defense (total yards) 

NE** **  10  pts -  # 1st in PPG,      # 2  in Defense (total yards)  (with half a gazillion Bills turnovers) 

Tenny   14  pts -    # 6th in PPG,      # 11  in Defense (total yards) 

 

18 PPG    For Buffalo's offense .   Considering the Bills played 3 of the NFL's top 10(ish) defenses. 

 

To be fair, there's not 3 top 10 teams there in scoring and that's what you are talking about.  You have the 24th, 25th and 27th teams in scoring allowed.  The Pats and Titans are good, but this team has not exactly scored a lot.

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Though I think we have the capability of winning by that much, unless the defense gets some points off turnovers, I don't see us winning by over 2 TD's. 

This team plays more like the Bills of old, where they'll play up or down to the competition.

They'll step up & play good teams close, or they'll play poorly, and let bad teams stay in games.

Even if the Dolphins are a dumpster fire, there's always a couple games each year where the 0 - X team comes out & beats the favorite, so I'm not expecting a complete blowout.

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8 hours ago, DCofNC said:

To be fair, there's not 3 top 10 teams there in scoring and that's what you are talking about.  You have the 24th, 25th and 27th teams in scoring allowed.  The Pats and Titans are good, but this team has not exactly scored a lot.

 

Did you not see the #'s? 

 

Three games the Bills scored on average 22 ppg.  More than the opponents allowed in ppg.

Two games of 10 and 14 points against two teams good at keeping other teams from scoring.    The Bills were the first team to score a TD against the Pats D this season.  (The Giants added one themselves last night.)

 

If the Bills have one blowout game of say 45 to 12, avg goes up.   There are half a dozen good teams that are averaging 22 PPG through week 5. 

Other than the overabundance of turnovers - It is not that bad imo.

Edited by SlimShady'sGhost

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11 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

 

Did you not see the #'s? 

 

Three games the Bills scored on average 22 ppg.  More than the opponents allowed in ppg.

Two games of 10 and 14 points against two teams good at keeping other teams from scoring.    The Bills were the first team to score a TD against the Pats D this season.  (The Giants added one themselves last night.)

 

If the Bills have one blowout game of say 45 to 12, avg goes up.   There are half a dozen good teams that are averaging 22 PPG through week 5. 

Other than the overabundance of turnovers - It is not that bad imo.

I see the numbers, but you have to be honest about them. 22ppg vs the 24th, 25th and 27th defense in scoring.   There have been signs of life, but this is not a very good offense right now.  Most of the issues stem from turnovers, there should have been a lot more points in all of those games, but you don't get "should have been" points.  We all love it when Brady throws a pick in the endzone, but on the same token, can't claim we scored on a fumble on the 10, ect..

 

Execution has to happen, not excuses.

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38 minutes ago, DCofNC said:

I see the numbers, but you have to be honest about them. 22ppg vs the 24th, 25th and 27th defense in scoring.   There have been signs of life, but this is not a very good offense right now.  Most of the issues stem from turnovers, there should have been a lot more points in all of those games, but you don't get "should have been" points.  We all love it when Brady throws a pick in the endzone, but on the same token, can't claim we scored on a fumble on the 10, ect..

 

Execution has to happen, not excuses.

 

https://www.espn.com/nfl/stats/team/_/view/offense/stat/total/table/passing/sort/totalPointsPerGame/dir/desc

 

Team PPG
Green Bay Packers
23.8
New Orleans Saints
23
Indianapolis Colts
22.6
Minnesota Vikings
22.4
Jacksonville Jaguars
22.2
Oakland Raiders
20.6
Los Angeles Chargers
20.6
Atlanta Falcons
20.4

I was being honest with them.   Would I like to see more PPG  Hell yes.

They are close to many teams thus far this season.  

 

It is not PANIC mode here at the BYE.

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25 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

 

https://www.espn.com/nfl/stats/team/_/view/offense/stat/total/table/passing/sort/totalPointsPerGame/dir/desc

 

Team PPG
Green Bay Packers
23.8
New Orleans Saints
23
Indianapolis Colts
22.6
Minnesota Vikings
22.4
Jacksonville Jaguars
22.2
Oakland Raiders
20.6
Los Angeles Chargers
20.6
Atlanta Falcons
20.4

I was being honest with them.   Would I like to see more PPG  Hell yes.

They are close to many teams thus far this season.  

 

It is not PANIC mode here at the BYE.

Ok, so check the records of the teams in question here, THEN reference back to the fact the Bills average less than all of them in reality and then you can try to twist it to your belief that you only count the games against teams picking in the top 10 of next years draft because of their defence being 24th or worst in scoring. I'm sorry, your argument doesn't hold any water at all.  You still have a team who has averaged 18 ppg in the real world. Your argument for "Good" teams is laughable at best.  Saints - Teddy Bridgewater is doing more, Colts - Jacoby Brissett isn't exactly a great QB, Vikings - are you even trying?, Jags - the Mustache!, Falcons are good this year? C'mon now.

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I don't think Miami wants to go 0-16 this year, so they'll actually try in a few games.

 

This game may be one if them, not saying Miami will pull a W, but I doubt Bills put up 45

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On 10/10/2019 at 3:17 AM, stevestojan said:

Not sure the last time I saw the Bills favored by more than two TDs, but I’ll take it. 

 

Dear Josh Allen,

1) Please don't take this game lightly.  Please.

2) Please don't take it too seriously, either.  Eventually some will come up with the "Battle of the Wrong Josh" idea.  Steady as She Goes, Sir.  You're playing the Dolphins D, leave their offense to our defense.

3) You got nothin' to prove to those "Wrong Josh" types.  Play your game, stick to your team.

 

12 hours ago, DCofNC said:

I see the numbers, but you have to be honest about them. 22ppg vs the 24th, 25th and 27th defense in scoring.   There have been signs of life, but this is not a very good offense right now.  Most of the issues stem from turnovers, there should have been a lot more points in all of those games, but you don't get "should have been" points.  We all love it when Brady throws a pick in the endzone, but on the same token, can't claim we scored on a fumble on the 10, ect..

 

Execution has to happen, not excuses.

 

You know, maybe it's just me, but the only "number of points" I care about is whether or not we finish with more than the opposition. 

That's 4 "Yes" and 1 "No" for now.

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1 hour ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

Dear Josh Allen,

1) Please don't take this game lightly.  Please.

2) Please don't take it too seriously, either.  Eventually some will come up with the "Battle of the Wrong Josh" idea.  Steady as She Goes, Sir.  You're playing the Dolphins D, leave their offense to our defense.

 

I don't really worry about Allen taking anything lightly. He cares too much for that. I'm actually much more interested in seeing him NOT take any particular game TOO seriously. He's at his best when he's not overthinking and just playing football.

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If the phins lose by 20 at home to fhe skins I could see the line going higher. Phins are historically awful. They havent covered yet this season. 

But like others have said any given Sunday. If I bet it ill lay the points.I could see a 28-3 if the defense keeps up their end.

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