Keon Coleman- Predict how you will feel about Keon Coleman after the 2025 season.

[Sierra Foothills]

4 hours ago, HOUSE said:

Jerry Rice 4.71

 

Edited/updated.

 

Thank you.

 

[Mat68]

68 catches 1150 yards 8 Tds

[Don Otreply]

I’m thinking 700 / 800 yards, something around 7 to eleven TDs, 

 

 

[VW82]

I'm cautiously optimistic about him this year based on everything we've heard from camp, but it's going to take time for Keon to become a legit threat. I don't think it's realistic to think he'll be that this year. He's too raw and too slow. 

 

I'm betting we'll know what we have by end of year 3. 

[BarleyNY]

I was in Ocean City, MD at a music festival this weekend. We were chatting with a nice couple from Long Island who, upon hearing that we were from Buffalo, told us this. Their daughter attends FSU and got to be friends with Keon while he was there. They said that Keon is the nicest kid you’ll ever meet. Just a genuinely good person and total goofball. 

Edited Wednesday at 12:39 AM by BarleyNY

[EmotionallyUnstable]

72 receptions, 862 yards, 4 TDs is the pace through 4 games

 

To maintain this pace we’ll need to average 4/50 over the rest of the season. I think that’s a fair to expect at this point. 

[DCofNC]

He’s still just not good at separating, but he does seem to be using his body well and coming down with contested catches.  I’m not sure he’ll ever be much more than a solid #3 if this is his game, but hopefully he keeps working and proves my theory wrong.

[Mikie2times]

1 hour ago, DCofNC said:

He’s still just not good at separating, but he does seem to be using his body well and coming down with contested catches.  I’m not sure he’ll ever be much more than a solid #3 if this is his game, but hopefully he keeps working and proves my theory wrong.

Shakir, Davis, Benjamin, Funchess, and Coleman are the most effective WR's Beane has drafted in his career. Not exactly a group to write home about. Shakir is the best of the lot, but one thing is clear, outside of Shakir, he likes them big and slow. Maybe he calls it "physical". Good thing he's better at drafting on defense. 

[Avisan]

2 hours ago, DCofNC said:

He’s still just not good at separating, but he does seem to be using his body well and coming down with contested catches.  I’m not sure he’ll ever be much more than a solid #3 if this is his game, but hopefully he keeps working and proves my theory wrong.

His separation metrics are pretty good this season, though..?  What are you basing this off of?

[hondo in seattle]

On 8/29/2025 at 4:39 PM, LABILLBACKER said:

There will be a marginal improvement from last season. He's likely to play 16 games.  I project him out to 50/ 900/ 7td. He's a work in progress built to improve, but he won't become a star this year.  The targets will get spread around. 

 

I agree with almost all of this.  But I don't think he'll get 900 yards on his 50 catches.  I don't see him averaging 18 ypc.  

[LABILLBACKER]

5 hours ago, EmotionallyUnstable said:

72 receptions, 862 yards, 4 TDs is the pace through 4 games

 

To maintain this pace we’ll need to average 4/50 over the rest of the season. I think that’s a fair to expect at this point. 

What's exciting is his catch% is way up from 50% last year to 77% this year. 

[TheBrownBear]

2 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:

 

I agree with almost all of this.  But I don't think he'll get 900 yards on his 50 catches.  I don't see him averaging 18 ypc.  

It seems Josh is getting the ball out more on time this year which is limiting Coleman's chunk play opportunities in scramble drill situations.  Keon has definitely taken a step this season, but it won't be reflected in his YPR numbers.

[DCofNC]

6 hours ago, Avisan said:

His separation metrics are pretty good this season, though..?  What are you basing this off of?

Opening my own eyes.  His separation metrics get skewed when teams play zone and don’t man anyone.  When it comes down to someone actually manning him up from the line, he’s just a big guy that jumps over them.

[Avisan]

53 minutes ago, DCofNC said:

Opening my own eyes.  His separation metrics get skewed when teams play zone and don’t man anyone.  When it comes down to someone actually manning him up from the line, he’s just a big guy that jumps over them.

Do you have any evidence that Keon Coleman is benefitting more than other receivers from facing man coverage?

[zow2]

4 hours ago, TheBrownBear said:

It seems Josh is getting the ball out more on time this year which is limiting Coleman's chunk play opportunities in scramble drill situations.  Keon has definitely taken a step this season, but it won't be reflected in his YPR numbers.

 

That's a good point.  It's been noticeable that Josh is planted in the pocket on many passing plays and getting the ball out.  Several times on 3rd and 7+ he's dumped it off well short of the sticks as the pocket was breaking down.  Allen's best passing plays are when he leaves the pocket and throws on the run.  Of course that exposes him to injury and I'm sure the Bills are instructing him to play it safe for now, then in playoffs he can do what he does.

[NewEra]

9 hours ago, Avisan said:

His separation metrics are pretty good this season, though..?  What are you basing this off of?

Being a pillar of negativity 

3 hours ago, DCofNC said:

Opening my own eyes.  His separation metrics get skewed when teams play zone and don’t man anyone.  When it comes down to someone actually manning him up from the line, he’s just a big guy that jumps over them.

He had his man beat on Josh’s int.  A tad overthrown and a great play by the safety. 

[warrior9]

3 hours ago, DCofNC said:

Opening my own eyes.  His separation metrics get skewed when teams play zone and don’t man anyone.  When it comes down to someone actually manning him up from the line, he’s just a big guy that jumps over them.

So because you don't like the guy you "opening your own eyes" and coming up with out of the blue reasoning (which isn't true) why metrics are wrong?  

 

Did you know that Coleman is actually targeted SIGNIFICANTLY more in man than zone (like 14% higher). 

 

Furthermore, can you point to more than 2 plays he's made in the NFL where he "just jumps over" guys? 

 

I think you need to "open your own eyes" a little bit more and not let your feelings for a draft pick affect your view on the player. Is he the best? Nope... but is he improving? Yes.. is he "just a big guy that jumps over them?" also no. If so, I have not seen it. Maybe I need to "open my own eyes" and REALLLLLLY look for him "just jumping over guys."

Edited Wednesday at 02:12 PM by warrior9

[Maine-iac]

Separation metrics might be one of the dumbest stats out there.  Tons of great WR's have terrible separation metrics because they are X WR's who catch passes in tight coverage.  Slot WR's and TE's routinely have great separation metrics because they have a two way run with routes and run tons of crossing routes and go in motion.  I also had a nice chuckle reading about 2 pages back about how there was no way the offense could continue on like it did last year and here we are 4 weeks in and probably doing even a little better.  

Edited Wednesday at 02:11 PM by Maine-iac

[billsfan89]

Keon's having a nice second year, his stats outside of week 1 aren't eye popping but this teams WR's are going to some ups and downs stats wise. I think one thing that's underrated about Keon is the blocking he brings in the running game and YAC situations. It's not a glamours thing to be a very strong blocker at WR but it adds value to the team and opens up what they can run playbook wise. I think he will finish pushing 1k yards and 70+ catches with 5-6 TD's on solid but not great efficiency. That's right where this team needs him to be.

Edited Wednesday at 02:35 PM by billsfan89

[gobills404]

He leads all of our skill players in snaps (even over Cook), targets, receptions, and yards. Not saying he should be free from all criticism but Josh and Joe Brady clearly like him a lot. I don’t think that would be the case if his lack of separation was as hindering as some people make it out to be.