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VW82

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Everything posted by VW82

  1. I briefly lost faith part way through last season but McD has been a steadying presence his entire Bills tenure. We have a culture of accountability and winning that starts with him. McD definitely has his faults. He's too conservative. He meddles with the offense, putting guys in bad positions (e.g. forcing a pass blocking line to run more than they're suited) because he wants complimentary football. Reid owns him. With all that said, until we have a roster so unequivocally talented as to only be held back by their coach, McD still has value here. Besides, I get the impression that McBeane are an item, and that combo has proven capable across multilple seasons now. The grass isn't always greener, and we had a lot of years of some *****-brown grass in Buffalo.
  2. With more releases (so far) than restructures, I wonder if that means Beane will be aggressive trading futures for more picks this year. We need players.
  3. This is super interesting on a number of fronts, but the main thing is Morse was perhaps the last thing holding McD back from turning this offense into run first so he can play more complimentary football. We need a big RB and to replace Gabe with another blocking WR, but now we can run 11 personnel with more of a bruising interior. BTW I hate this development. Morse was still good and I liked the Daboll version of our offense better.
  4. I would encourage everyone to read Joe B's breakdown of Bills road to get under the cap which includes options for Hines. It's excellent. I actually felt more optimistic after reading it. We might not have to do a complete teardown this year despite being objectively screwed. https://theathletic.com/5238669/2024/02/02/buffalo-bills-offseason-salary-cap/
  5. I don’t know what Beane is supposed to do given our cap situation. It’s entirely his fault and he should sound sheepish but he’s going to need to pull several rabbits out of his hat just to field a full roster next year. It’s made especially worse with the fact that the guys we’d ideally like cut to create space like Von, we can’t. We are no longer a few plays away. This team needs a reset year in the worst way.
  6. Josh takes so many hits and he isn’t effective as a pure pocket passer, hence the sped up timeline. So it’s not that he can’t win in his 30s but he’ll likely need much more help to win at that point.
  7. I definitely was one of the haters. You just don’t see guys with poor decision making who also aren’t accurate at the college level succeed in the NFL. It almost never happens. Josh is a unicorn.
  8. I would imagine that Brady didn't get the permanent role without some level of buy-in to McD's complimentary football approach. This is for those thinking we might put all our resources into the receiver room and open up the offense again. I don't think that's going to happen. Bet we run it back on offense with some minor changes due to cap and double down on the second half of 2023.
  9. First of all, there isn't actually a problem. We were 4th in points allowed and 5th in points scored. We're basically top 5ish in those categories most years. The vast majority of NFL teams would take McD and/or Beane in a heartbeat. But as to why we can't get over the hump, it's both. Beane has made some nice picks but he's also whiffed badly on some, and the only sure fire star he's drafted is Josh. Beane also F'd our cap. He continues to blame it on covid but not every team in the NFL is screwed like we are. Meanwhile, McD gave us a culture of winning and accountability for the first time in two decades. He has a system that works against most of the NFL even if fans refuse to give him credit. But he's also too conservative and certain teams just have his number (e.g. Chiefs and Bengals). We're a small team that can win on speed until we play big teams in Jan, and then we lose. We get outcoached againt the Andy Reids of the L every year when it counts. We've also had both our FO and coaching staff pilfered by other teams looking to leach off our success. It's complicated. The good news is we're too F'd with the cap to worry about this stuff next year. McBeane are good at rebuilding and that's what we need to focus on.
  10. 6th, 18th, 1st, 2nd, 18th 2nd, 16th, 1st, 2nd, 4th The first row is Bill Belichick's defensive rankings in total points allowed during their first wave of SBs (01-05). The second row is McD's defensive rankings in total points allowed during our last five seasons. I also like our 2020 game vs. Ravens as a nominee for Magnum Opus.
  11. I did research it before responding to you. I even provided cap figures for you to prove spending is in favour of offense. ??? Here's our top three picks by year since McD took over: 2017: Tre (defense), Zay (offense), Dawkins (offense) 2018: Josh (offense), Edmunds (defense), Harry (defense) 2019: Oliver (defense), Ford (offense), Singletary (offense) 2020: Epenesa (defense), Moss (offense), Gabe (offense) 2021: Rousseau (defense), Basham (defense) Brown (offense) 2022: Elam (defense), Cook (offense), Bernard (defense) 2023: Kincaid (offense), Torrence (offense), Williams (defense) We used our top pick on defense 5 of the 7 years, but then went offense in 9 of 14 picks over the next two selections. Have we been aggressively targeting defense with our 1s or did it just fall that way? Also, it's not an accident that we chose to use trades and FA to beef up the offense in Josh's early years with guys like Diggs, Brown, Beasley, Morse, Sanders, etc. You don't give your young and struggling QB a bunch of rookies to play with. Maybe some of this was by design.
  12. Nor should he. Do people really expect guys to be giving Bills discounts? Do you guys also give your employers discounts?
  13. McD and Beane just signed extensions. They're not going anywhere for at least a year and maybe two. The notion that we've mainly focused on defense isn't accurate. The issue is some of our draft picks on offense haven't worked out (e.g. Ford, Moss,..Singletary and Knox were ok...). We just used our first two picks on offense last year, and the year before we took Cook in Rd2. Further, we spend more of our cap on offense than defense. Next year is projected to be ~163M offense vs 124M defense. We have greater long-term commitments on offense than defense. Lots of that is Josh, but you don't get to do this analysis pretending like Josh isn't going to cost 40m/yr. Expensive QBs mean there's less $$ to put talent around them. Hindsight is easy. Two years ago we lost because we couldn't generate enough pressure with out front four, hence the Vonn signing. It didn't work out. We just as easily could've signed a WR and had them blow out their ACL.
  14. I agree with the author. We’ve already invested in the offense with Kincaid and Cook. Shakir is fine. Yes, we need a #2 but that can be done via FA. Meanwhile, Tre/Hyde/Poyer aren’t coming back. Who knows what Milano will look like when he eventually comes back. We have FA dilemmas on the defensive line. I’m always going to default to BPA, and so if that’s clearly a WR in Rd1 then so be it, but most of our needs are on the other side of the ball. This should probably be a rebuilding season anyway.
  15. If we were still running Dorsey's offense, I could see the need to invest much more in our WR group. But we collectively decided that Josh wasn't at his best strictly being a pocket QB, and so I'm not so sure putting all our draft eggs in the WR basket makes much sense. We need to replace Gabe as he's likely a goner in FA. Perhaps from that perspective, it makes sense to draft someone in Rd1 or Rd2 who can eventually take over from Diggs as the #1. Basically, it's a need pick. I'd argue that we're almost better off investing in OL to insure our running game remains strong. We've already invested in Cook. We have a stated goal of 11.5 personnel. Maybe we just need to find the next round of Shakir/Beasley/Harty/Mckenzie that can get open so Josh isn't having to throw them open which he struggles with. At some point, I'd like to see us invest in a C who can not only pass pro but move the pile a little. Imagine EWood with this group.
  16. Has the media decided on a name for this game yet? For me, it will always be the touchback game. Bills losses are named after the various ways our team rips our heart out of our chest. Wide right. Throw back. 13 seconds. The touch back was the point where we went from no hope to hope only the best player in franchise history to not come through.
  17. Next year feels like a rebuilding year given our cap challenges and the collective age of our core. Confidence or no, this regime we be here next season. No way Pegula takes the hit after giving out huge extensions.
  18. Allen had only 186 yards on 39 attempts. No, this was not nearly as good as the 13 seconds game. The offense was good today for three quarters because they ran the ball. As soon as it was up to Allen to win it for us, he decided to throw low percentage bombs that missed. And yeah, one was a drop by our WR1. One required our #5 receiver to lay out for it and he almost made the play. One was Josh taking long enough to throw that he maybe got disrupted instead of taking the easy first down. Josh arguably cost us the game at the end. That didn't happen in 13 seconds.
  19. We just extended him. McD isn't going anywhere. Neither is Beane.
  20. Defense was swiss cheese all game and then finally came through twice when it looked like we were done, only for the offense to stall out with Josh missing open guys on key plays. It stings. We're still not good enough. Coaching still isn't good enough against the better teams. We still don't get pressure when it matters. Mahomes > Allen still.
  21. Josh missed twice there with open guys who would've got the first down. Great players come through in these moments.
  22. If we get conservative and kick a FG here I'm going to....
  23. How do we not audible out of that? They're literally selling out to stop the run.
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