entropyrules Posted December 10, 2023 Share Posted December 10, 2023 (edited) 24 minutes ago, PlayoffsPlease said: Math new or old? Edited December 10, 2023 by entropyrules Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
co_springs_billsfan Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 Somebody give me updated odds to put in my veins 1 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DapperCam Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, co_springs_billsfan said: Somebody give me updated odds to put in my veins Up to 39% in the NYT simulator. Can get it up to 72% with favorable results the next week. Week 14 TEN over MIA Â Week15 MIN over CIN CHI over CLE DET over DEN TEN over HOU NYJ over MIA BUF over DAL Â With no results other than a Bills win next week we are up to 60%. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strive_for_five_guy Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 1 hour ago, DapperCam said: Up to 39% in the NYT simulator. Can get it up to 72% with favorable results the next week. Week 14 TEN over MIA Â Week15 MIN over CIN CHI over CLE DET over DEN TEN over HOU NYJ over MIA BUF over DAL Â With no results other than a Bills win next week we are up to 60%. 1 1 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABILLBACKER Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 4 hours ago, DapperCam said: Up to 39% in the NYT simulator. Can get it up to 72% with favorable results the next week. Week 14 TEN over MIA  Week15 MIN over CIN CHI over CLE DET over DEN TEN over HOU NYJ over MIA BUF over DAL  With no results other than a Bills win next week we are up to 60%. Some of these games will go in our favor.  1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schoolhouserock Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 9 minutes ago, LABILLBACKER said: Some of these games will go in our favor.  Yes! Especially BUF over DAL, right? …RIGHT?! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LABILLBACKER Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 9 minutes ago, schoolhouserock said: Yes! Especially BUF over DAL, right? …RIGHT?! We're ambushing Dak on Sunday. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikie2times Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 11 minutes ago, schoolhouserock said: Yes! Especially BUF over DAL, right? …RIGHT?! We always get the breaks playing Dallas at home in a big game  3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chongli Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 49 minutes ago, Mikie2times said: We always get the breaks playing Dallas at home in a big game   Well, except in 2007 when we played them at home on MNF and lost 25-24 in the last few seconds. Heartbreaker!  https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/200710080buf.htm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikie2times Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 Just now, chongli said:  Well, except in 2007 when we played them at home on MNF and lost 25-24 in the last few seconds. Heartbreaker!  https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/200710080buf.htm Ya, that was the train wreck I was joking about. What a miserable game. Crowd was unreal. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sherlock Holmes Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 1 hour ago, schoolhouserock said: Yes! Especially BUF over DAL, right? …RIGHT?!  1 hour ago, LABILLBACKER said: We're ambushing Dak on Sunday.  1 hour ago, Mikie2times said: We always get the breaks playing Dallas at home in a big game   41 minutes ago, chongli said:  Well, except in 2007 when we played them at home on MNF and lost 25-24 in the last few seconds. Heartbreaker!  https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/200710080buf.htm  3 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QCity Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 6 hours ago, co_springs_billsfan said: Somebody give me updated odds to put in my veins  Overall odds go up 14% to about 35% right now. A Tennessee win over Miami tonight will increase that another 2%  A 3-1 finish (which IMO feel is most likely) has about a 70% chance to get in.  1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledInIllinois Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 47 minutes ago, chongli said:  Well, except in 2007 when we played them at home on MNF and lost 25-24 in the last few seconds. Heartbreaker!  https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/200710080buf.htm Tony Romo throws 5 picks! And... God blesses us with Trent-a-tive Edwards @ Qb! 😕😞 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott7975 Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 1 hour ago, LABILLBACKER said: We're ambushing Dak on Sunday. Yeah. Here we go… on a run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlgarsh Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 The best news is that somehow the Chargers haven't canned Staley yet. He's the worst coach now that McDaniels was axed. Even Eberflus has the Bears playing hard every week and competitive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjt328 Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 I've been playing with the ESPN playoff simulator, and it's still a very tough road ahead for the Bills. I still can't figure out a realistic way to make the playoffs, unless we win-out and finish 11-6.  Miami's next two games are against the Titans and Jets. They should easily defeat both. But if they lose to Dallas and Baltimore after that, they would be looking at an 11-5 record going into the final week. So there is still a possible road to the AFC East title.... but only if the Bills finish the season undefeated.  Based on tie-breakers for the Wild Card, the Bills are pretty much dead-last. Which is why (even after beating the Chiefs and a couple games going our way this week), we still sit at a terrible #11 in seeding. If we can win-out, all those teams in competition with us only need to lose 7 games. If we drop even one close game along the way, we need the others to lose 8. And that could get very tricky.  Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pine Barrens Mafia Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 13 hours ago, chongli said:  Well, except in 2007 when we played them at home on MNF and lost 25-24 in the last few seconds. Heartbreaker!  https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/200710080buf.htm  hey, thanks for the reminder, really needed that  >_>  1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DBilz2500 Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 1 hour ago, mjt328 said: I've been playing with the ESPN playoff simulator, and it's still a very tough road ahead for the Bills. I still can't figure out a realistic way to make the playoffs, unless we win-out and finish 11-6.  Miami's next two games are against the Titans and Jets. They should easily defeat both. But if they lose to Dallas and Baltimore after that, they would be looking at an 11-5 record going into the final week. So there is still a possible road to the AFC East title.... but only if the Bills finish the season undefeated.  Based on tie-breakers for the Wild Card, the Bills are pretty much dead-last. Which is why (even after beating the Chiefs and a couple games going our way this week), we still sit at a terrible #11 in seeding. If we can win-out, all those teams in competition with us only need to lose 7 games. If we drop even one close game along the way, we need the others to lose 8. And that could get very tricky.  Wins over Chargers, Pats, Fins and L vs. cowboys gets us to 70% playoff odds with 10-7 record and 7-5 in the conference. I think finals wildcards end up being Browns, Broncos/Chiefs(with other winning division), and Bills being last wildcard. I don’t think Steelers, colts, Bengals  or Texans make it in with their QB situations and all their injuries. Just my 2 cents Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Goin Breakdown Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 15 hours ago, LABILLBACKER said: Some of these games will go in our favor.  Man idk. Maybe I'm being negative here but if I had no dog in the fight here I wouldn't bet on any of those teams to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlgarsh Posted December 11, 2023 Share Posted December 11, 2023 If they get to 10-7 they'll be in, as long as the only L is Dallas. Any more conference losses make it next to impossible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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