strive_for_five_guy Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 The Bills better be looking at next week as our Super Bowl. 1 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 per NYT: 80% chance if beat chiefs and other 3 games but lose to cowboys. 50 % if they lose 2 more games. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Generic_Bills_Fan Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 3 hours ago, MJS said: The Bills don't usually do that, so what are you talking about? Yea seriously…if we run the table or win 4 games against most or all of Dallas/kc/miami, why would we assume one on done? 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr.Sack Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 McDermott will go into KC and clap his team to victory. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShakAttack Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 Wonder if there is any shot Miami resting starters by week 18. 1 minute ago, Dr.Sack said: McDermott will go into KC and clap his team to victory. It wasn’t easy, and I had to keep reminding myself throughout the game, but I was actually rooting for KC today merely because I did not want to see them coming off a loss. And oddly enough, they lose the game and it felt oh so Bills-esque… but coming from the Chiefs!?!? So now I am starting to believe that it isn’t the Bills, these years of misfortune, maybe it’s just me! After all, the first NFL game I have ever watched was …….. Wide Right Sorry guys, I’d stop if I could. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr.Sack Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 21 minutes ago, BobBelcher said: Wonder if there is any shot Miami resting starters by week 18. It wasn’t easy, and I had to keep reminding myself throughout the game, but I was actually rooting for KC today merely because I did not want to see them coming off a loss. And oddly enough, they lose the game and it felt oh so Bills-esque… but coming from the Chiefs!?!? So now I am starting to believe that it isn’t the Bills, these years of misfortune, maybe it’s just me! After all, the first NFL game I have ever watched was …….. Wide Right Sorry guys, I’d stop if I could. KC’s defense looks like it is starting to take damage. I won’t get my hopes up. I fully expect a beat down. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QCity Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 (edited) 31 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said: per NYT: 80% chance if beat chiefs and other 3 games but lose to cowboys. 50 % if they lose 2 more games. This is wrong. Losing 2 basically eliminates them (3% chance). As of this week if they can go 4-1 they have a ~59% chance of getting in. The Jacksonville/Cincy Monday Night game has almost no effect. Edited December 4, 2023 by QCity 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drew21PA Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 One game at a time beat KC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 (edited) 5 minutes ago, QCity said: This is wrong. Losing 2 basically eliminates them (3% chance). As of this week if they can go 4-1 they have a ~59% chance of getting in. The Jacksonville/Cincy Monday Night game has almost no effect. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#kc-buf-14=loss&lac-buf-16=loss&buf-ne-17=win&mia-buf-18=loss https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#buf-dal-15=win&buf-ne-17=win&mia-buf-18=loss Something else to say to me mr stats? Edited December 4, 2023 by Joe Ferguson forever Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray Stonada Posted December 4, 2023 Author Share Posted December 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#kc-buf-14=loss&lac-buf-16=loss&buf-ne-17=win&mia-buf-18=loss You didn’t fill in the loss against the cowboys. When you do the chance goes down to 56%. If we lose twice our chance is less then 8%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 1 minute ago, Ray Stonada said: You didn’t fill in the loss against the cowboys. When you do the chance goes down to 56%. If we lose twice our chance is less then 8%. read what i typed the first post re the new probs.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray Stonada Posted December 4, 2023 Author Share Posted December 4, 2023 Just now, Joe Ferguson forever said: read what i typed the first post re the new probs.... I did. You’re wrong. You’re not filling the form out right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Ray Stonada said: I did. You’re wrong. You’re not filling the form out right. why the "X". i didn't stipulate which 2 games they lose for 50%. so sue me. Lawyers who wants a gig? AND? Edited December 4, 2023 by Joe Ferguson forever 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
transplantbillsfan Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 3 hours ago, FireChans said: We are like 1.5 games back for a WC spot today. Our season is very much alive. Gotta come out of the bye week on a mission Yep... and KC lost today, too. I know some fans were weirdly rooting for KC, but this makes everything even more alive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 As far as betting odds go, bills chances didn't budge even after a favorable day. DK had them at +500 to make it before today and they are +500 now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Ferguson forever Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Process said: As far as betting odds go, bills chances didn't budge even after a favorable day. DK had them at +500 to make it before today and they are +500 now. good to know. I'll go to the site soon to make a bet. 9 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said: why the "X". i didn't stipulate which 2 games they lose for 50%. so sue me. Lawyers who wants a gig? AND? now a lol. i worded it quite carefully. Edited December 4, 2023 by Joe Ferguson forever Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ray Stonada Posted December 4, 2023 Author Share Posted December 4, 2023 18 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said: why the "X". i didn't stipulate which 2 games they lose for 50%. so sue me. Lawyers who wants a gig? By not “stipulating” two games as losses you’re just leaving them undecided. So your percentages are wrong. It’s not 50% if they lose two games, it is much, much lower: 3% to 7% depending on which two they lose. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QCity Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 50 minutes ago, Joe Ferguson forever said: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#kc-buf-14=loss&lac-buf-16=loss&buf-ne-17=win&mia-buf-18=loss https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/upshot/buffalo-bills-nfl-playoff-picture.html#buf-dal-15=win&buf-ne-17=win&mia-buf-18=loss Something else to say to me mr stats? Yeah, PEBKEC. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punch Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 1 hour ago, BobBelcher said: Wonder if there is any shot Miami resting starters by week 18. Do you really see McDaniel conceding the AFC East by resting starters? That would surprise me, but they aren't winning that game even with Marino in his prime, the 'Killer Bs' and Larry ***** Csonka, so who knows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannc Posted December 4, 2023 Share Posted December 4, 2023 46 minutes ago, Punch said: Do you really see McDaniel conceding the AFC East by resting starters? That would surprise me, but they aren't winning that game even with Marino in his prime, the 'Killer Bs' and Larry ***** Csonka, so who knows. A lot of things could be in play in that last game. For example, maybe Miami avoids playing us in the wildcard game—and instead gets Pittsburgh or the Colts—if they lose to us…in which case, maybe they sit some guys. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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