SDS Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 Would anyone care to have a contest on guessing the electoral college count? We can do it closest to the total or we could do something by guessing the maps? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALF Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 How the White House will be won: The 8 states that will decide the election critical battlegrounds — Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/14/swing-states-2020-presidential-election-429160 After 2016 I would never try to guess the electoral college, anyone who can come close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SDS Posted October 17, 2020 Author Share Posted October 17, 2020 24 minutes ago, ALF said: How the White House will be won: The 8 states that will decide the election critical battlegrounds — Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/14/swing-states-2020-presidential-election-429160 After 2016 I would never try to guess the electoral college, anyone who can come close does this mean you aren’t interested in guessing? Lol We could include something for the winner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoTier Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 I think in order to make any kind of educated guess, you have to look at the individual states anyway, so I'll go with the guessing the map. How about who gets the most states correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
49er Fan Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 Biden 379 Trunp 159 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SDS Posted October 17, 2020 Author Share Posted October 17, 2020 Just now, 49er Fan said: Biden 379 Trunp 159 not yet. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giuseppe Tognarelli Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 Would love to! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 I’m in. Biden’s going to win, the question is, by how much. I still think it‘ll be fairly close, EC-vote-wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spartacus Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 Trump will have a substantial lead in the EC at the end of day Nov 3. then the fun begins 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SectionC3 Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 Yes. Great idea! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 Trump 282 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike in Horseheads Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 57 minutes ago, aristocrat said: Trump 282 Need to change your location! 😁 8 hours ago, SoTier said: I think in order to make any kind of educated guess, you have to look at the individual states anyway, so I'll go with the guessing the map. How about who gets the most states correct? States and EC votes could be different especially if Biden wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SDS Posted October 17, 2020 Author Share Posted October 17, 2020 12 minutes ago, Mike in Horseheads said: Need to change your location! 😁 States and EC votes could be different especially if Biden wins Two states apportion their votes too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike in Horseheads Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 Just now, SDS said: Two states apportion their votes too Maine and Nebraska I believe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shoshin Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 Best site to play with numbers. Great idea. https://www.270towin.com/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 Sure. Sounds like fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 (edited) 1 hour ago, Mike in Horseheads said: Need to change your location! 😁 States and EC votes could be different especially if Biden wins well charlotte is where i vote so it's technically correct. that's if i ever get my damn absentee ballot in the mail. Edited October 17, 2020 by aristocrat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike in Horseheads Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, aristocrat said: well charlotte is where i vote so it's technically correct. that's if i ever get my damn absentee ballot in the mail. Already voted, you can assume right on national ticket but some state and local the other way. ... Could always change it to on the road Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mead107 Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 (edited) 386,000,000 votes will be for Joe. Edited October 17, 2020 by mead107 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoTier Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 2 hours ago, shoshin said: Best site to play with numbers. Great idea. https://www.270towin.com/ That's the map that I was thinking of when I said "who gets the states right". A dozen or so posters could get the right overall number of EC votesm but the winner would be the one who got the most states right to come up with the winning EC count. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SDS Posted October 17, 2020 Author Share Posted October 17, 2020 1 minute ago, SoTier said: That's the map that I was thinking of when I said "who gets the states right". A dozen or so posters could get the right overall number of EC votesm but the winner would be the one who got the most states right to come up with the winning EC count. I like it. Tie breaker goes to? National vote margin takes a really long time to sort out. Like six months. What would be quicker, yet still interesting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoTier Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 2 minutes ago, SDS said: I like it. Tie breaker goes to? National vote margin takes a really long time to sort out. Like six months. What would be quicker, yet still interesting? How about the national vote margin on December 8, which is the deadline, I think, for states to declare a winning candidate so that their electoral votes counted by the EC. With all the millions of early voters, I think that all the states will have enough of the absentee/mail-in votes counted by then to declare state winners. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SDS Posted October 17, 2020 Author Share Posted October 17, 2020 7 minutes ago, SoTier said: How about the national vote margin on December 8, which is the deadline, I think, for states to declare a winning candidate so that their electoral votes counted by the EC. With all the millions of early voters, I think that all the states will have enough of the absentee/mail-in votes counted by then to declare state winners. oh, unless it’s 2000 and I expect a winner to be declared way before then. But that might not be a bad selection given that it is a tiebreaker anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike in Horseheads Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 1 hour ago, SoTier said: That's the map that I was thinking of when I said "who gets the states right". A dozen or so posters could get the right overall number of EC votesm but the winner would be the one who got the most states right to come up with the winning EC count. Thats a great map, thanks for sharing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Gun Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 Trump gets over 300 votes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westside Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 I think it will be a larger margin victory for Trump than 2016. With the emails coming out about the Bidens being in the pocket of china and russia. This scandal is only going to get worse for the Bidens. Which I think it should because it stinks to high heaven the money they collected for no apparent reason at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoTier Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 9 hours ago, Mike in Horseheads said: Thats a great map, thanks for sharing Actually, shoshin originally posted the link in this thread, so he should get the thanks. I'd seen it before but I didn't post the link originally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thurmal34 Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 (edited) I’m in. 385 to Biden. 135ish to Trump. It’s ovah. It won’t be close. Edited October 18, 2020 by Thurmal34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldmanfan Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 Biden by about the same as Trump won in 2016. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westside Posted October 18, 2020 Share Posted October 18, 2020 4 hours ago, Thurmal34 said: I’m in. 385 to Biden. 135ish to Trump. It’s ovah. It won’t be close. You're a republican, so it must be true! Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keepthefaith Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 14 hours ago, Thurmal34 said: I’m in. 385 to Biden. 135ish to Trump. It’s ovah. It won’t be close. That's a really foolish notion. Not because Trump will necessarily win, but because the map would have to be historically bad for Trump. Joe's a very weak candidate. Only Trump's low likability and the 4 years of the media pounding Trump are keeping Joe in this thing. Joe could win though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloHokie13 Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 Sounds fun! I'm going 299 Trump, 239 Biden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SDS Posted October 19, 2020 Author Share Posted October 19, 2020 I’m going to set up a new topic regarding this. I’m going to have people fill out the blank map on the 270 site and then post the screenshot. I’ll try and figure out a prize for this. I think the best thing would be able to be transfer something via email. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kemp Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 Which numbers will be using? The original or after Trump declares it was fixed against him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 2 hours ago, Kemp said: Which numbers will be using? The original or after Trump declares it was fixed against him? whichever ones you think are best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kemp Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 Just now, RiotAct said: whichever ones you think are best. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoTier Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 12 hours ago, keepthefaith said: That's a really foolish notion. Not because Trump will necessarily win, but because the map would have to be historically bad for Trump. Joe's a very weak candidate. Only Trump's low likability and the 4 years of the media pounding Trump are keeping Joe in this thing. Joe could win though. Why do you think it could not be historically bad for Trump? In 1928, Republican Herbert Hoover won all the states except 7, taking 444 electoral votes to 87 for his opponent, Al Smith. Then the Great Depression happened. In 1932, Franklin Roosevelt won all but 6 states and beat Hoover 472 electoral votes to 59. The coronavirus pandemic is the biggest crisis the US has faced since the Great Depression. The 2020 election is a referendum on how Trump has handled the pandemic, and all indications are that most Americans give him a failing grade on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 Biden 304 Trump 233 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shoshin Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 (edited) 11 hours ago, SDS said: I’m going to set up a new topic regarding this. I’m going to have people fill out the blank map on the 270 site and then post the screenshot. I’ll try and figure out a prize for this. I think the best thing would be able to be transfer something via email. I'll sponsor $200 donation to the winner's legitimate charity of choice (nothing stupid just to tweak people but a good cause we'd all get behind). I'll post an image of the receipt once I make the donation. Make it something positive. Edited October 19, 2020 by shoshin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keepthefaith Posted October 19, 2020 Share Posted October 19, 2020 4 minutes ago, SoTier said: Why do you think it could not be historically bad for Trump? In 1928, Republican Herbert Hoover won all the states except 7, taking 444 electoral votes to 87 for his opponent, Al Smith. Then the Great Depression happened. In 1932, Franklin Roosevelt won all but 6 states and beat Hoover 472 electoral votes to 59. The coronavirus pandemic is the biggest crisis the US has faced since the Great Depression. The 2020 election is a referendum on how Trump has handled the pandemic, and all indications are that most Americans give him a failing grade on that. Biden ain't no Ronald Reagan or Franklin Roosevelt. He's a very weak candidate, limping to the finish line having campaigned so little and with controversy mounting around him. His greatest strength is anti-Trump sentiment. The "Trump is responsible for 200K deaths" things rings hollow with many. No President and no world leader anywhere was or could have been successful in keeping Covid-19 outside their borders. The federal government has thrown the kitchen sink at this thing, and state governments have issued very tight restrictions and still many vulnerable people have passed away. Biden would have to win nearly every swing state to get to that total. It's just not going to happen. I think everyone should be expecting this thing to be quite competitive unless something huge happens in the next couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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