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Covid-19 discussion and humor thread [Was: CDC says don't touch your face to avoid Covid19...Vets to the rescue!


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Just now, Steptide said:

I don't know what to think. Part of me thinks two weeks from now everything will be back to normal, and another part of me thinks 2 weeks from now nobody will be allowed to leave their house 

 

It is a very weird, surreal, even unsettling situation where everyone feels like they are both over-reacting and not doing enough at the same time.

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5 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:

 

It is a very weird, surreal, even unsettling situation where everyone feels like they are both over-reacting and not doing enough at the same time.

That's how I feel. One one hand I need to keep some type of normalcy sonthe kids dont freakout, on the other hand I rather just fall asleep for a month. Hope for the best and prepare for the worst is what I've been doing.

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https://www.americanchemistry.com/Novel-Coronavirus-Fighting-Products-List.pdf

 

^

Quote

list of (cleaning) products with EPA-approved emerging viral pathogens claims, maintained by the American Chemistry Council Center for Biocide Chemistries (CBC)

 

 

——————————————

 

 

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1 hour ago, BillsFan4 said:

... He said part of the reason the NBA decided to suspend play so quickly last Wednesday was to raise public awareness of how serious this situation is. I read NHL insiders saying the same thing about the NHL’s decision. ...

i just have a hard time reconciling this with their blatant disregard of the Hong Kong situation and the uproar at that particular time. there is a lack of consistency here.

 

mods, i don't desire for this to be political and if it is deemed to be so, please delete.

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3 minutes ago, Foxx said:

i just have a hard time reconciling this with their blatant disregard of the Hong Kong situation and the uproar at that particular time. there is a lack of consistency here.

 

mods, i don't desire for this to be political and if it is deemed to be so, please delete.

 

The Hong Kong situation was political unrest occurring in a foreign country outside the NBA's base of operations.

 

The Coronavirus is a life threatening disease affecting the entire world, including where the NBA is headquartered.

 

One is taking a side in a fight they arent involved in. The other is helping everyone stay safe (no sides to take).

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1 hour ago, Steptide said:

I don't know what to think. Part of me thinks two weeks from now everything will be back to normal, and another part of me thinks 2 weeks from now nobody will be allowed to leave their house 

i think it (officialdom's response) is going to get worse before it gets better. GUS just issued a, Global Level 4 Health Advisory – Do Not Travel which probably means they are going to close the US borders in a couple days.

 

from the link:

The Department of State advises U.S. citizens to avoid all international travel due to the global impact of COVID-19.  In countries where commercial departure options remain available, U.S. citizens who live in the United States should arrange for immediate return to the United States, unless they are prepared to remain abroad for an indefinite period.  U.S. citizens who live abroad should avoid all international travel.  Many countries are experiencing COVID-19 outbreaks and implementing travel restrictions and mandatory quarantines, closing borders, and prohibiting non-citizens from entry with little advance notice.  Airlines have cancelled many international flights and several cruise operators have suspended operations or cancelled trips.  If you choose to travel internationally, your travel plans may be severely disrupted, and you may be forced to remain outside of the United States for an indefinite timeframe.

 

On March 14, the Department of State authorized the departure of U.S. personnel and family members from any diplomatic or consular post in the world who have determined they are at higher risk of a poor outcome if exposed to COVID-19 or who have requested departure based on a commensurate justification.  These departures may limit the ability of U.S. Embassies and consulates to provide services to U.S. citizens.

 

For the latest information regarding COVID-19, please visit the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) website.

You are encouraged to visit travel.state.gov to view individual Travel Advisories for the most urgent threats to safety and security. Please also visit the website of the relevant U.S. embassy or consulate to see information on entry restrictions, foreign quarantine policies, and urgent health information provided by local governments.

 

Travelers are urged to enroll in the Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) to receive Alerts and make it easier to locate you in an emergency. The Department uses these Alerts to convey information about terrorist threats, security incidents, planned demonstrations, natural disasters, etc. In an emergency, please contact the nearest U.S. Embassy or Consulate or call the following numbers: 1(888) 407-4747 (toll-free in the United States and Canada) or 1 (202) 501-4444 from other countries or jurisdictions.

 

If you decide to travel abroad or are already outside the United States:

 

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Are there any experts who think things will be back to normal in a couple weeks? If so I must have missed it (but would LOVE for it to be true).

 

 

Dr. Fauci said that there is no doubt the U.S. is still in the escalation phase of this virus.

 

Testing still isn’t wide spread so it’s tough to properly contain. Many people still aren’t respecting the social distancing guidelines. Some states aren’t even taking any measures yet. 7 states have no bans on gathering size, no restaurant or bad closures, no state mandated school closing, etc. 

 

Dr. Fauci said that we will see this spread unevenly throughout the country. You’ll see states hit hard at different times (like Washington state was hit and like N.Y. is being hit right now (hospitals are being hit hard in nyc, 2 big medical ships are on the way to help with the overflow of expected cases in coming days)).

 

I feel like it would be an absolute miracle if things are back to normal in a couple weeks. Dr. Fauci said it’ll take several weeks just to see what impact the social distancing measures have on the virus spread. 

 

I pray that things go back go back to normal soon, but I am not very hopeful. 

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This feels strangely like a hurricane watch, but on a global scale. Everybody is worried about the same thing, watching all the news, stocking up on supplies and hunkering down.......and waiting, waiting, waiting to see what happens. 

 

I’ve got a dilemma and I’m curious what the educated folks here think. While we have been basically hiding here at home, we have a bath renovation and some electrical work planned. We got word from the contractor and the designer they want to start in about 10 days. I’m not crazy about bringing plumbers, electricians, painters, etc. into our house right now! These are the people I’m hiding from!  It should be less than a week of work in a relatively confined area with easy in/out access off the garage. It’s not like I’ll be working WITH them.

 

Am I going overboard, or is it perfectly reasonable to tell them “we’ll get back to you about a start date”. (I do want to get the work done and over with, of course.) 

 

 

.

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15 minutes ago, BillsFan4 said:

Are there any actual experts who think things will be back to normal in a couple weeks? If so I must have missed it (but would LOVE for it to be true).

 

 

Dr. Fauci said that there is no doubt the U.S. is still in the escalation phase of this virus.

 

Testing still isn’t wide spread so it’s tough to properly contain. Many people still aren’t respecting the social distancing guidelines. Some states aren’t even taking any measures yet. 7 states have no bans on gathering size, no restaurant or bad closures, no state mandated school closing, etc. 

 

Dr. Fauci said that we will see this spread unevenly throughout the country. You’ll see states hit hard at different times (like Washington state was hit and like N.Y. is being hit right now (hospitals are being hit hard in nyc, 2 big medical ships are on the way to help with the overflow of expected cases in coming days)).

 

I feel like it would be an absolute miracle if things are back to normal in a couple weeks. Dr. Fauci said it’ll take several weeks just to see what impact the social distancing measures have on the virus spread. 

 

I pray that things go back go back to normal soon, but I am not very hopeful. 

it certainly is way too early to have any sort of an accurate gauge or even a trend line at this point but...

 

numbers from Washington where it was first reported to have hit American shores.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1240687815219752962

 

it would seem there is a leveling off of numbers reported in the last two days?

Edited by Foxx
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27 minutes ago, Augie said:

This feels strangely like a hurricane watch, but on a global scale. Everybody is worried about the same thing, watching all the news, stocking up on supplies and hunkering down.......and waiting, waiting, waiting to see what happens. 

 

I’ve got a dilemma and I’m curious what the educated folks here think. While we have been basically hiding here at home, we have a bath renovation and some electrical work planned. We got word from the contractor and the designer they want to start in about 10 days. I’m not crazy about bringing plumbers, electricians, painters, etc. into our house right now! These are the people I’m hiding from!  It should be less than a week of work in a relatively confined area with easy in/out access off the garage. It’s not like I’ll be working WITH them.

 

Am I going overboard, or is it perfectly reasonable to tell them “we’ll get back to you about a start date”. (I do want to get the work done and over with, of course.) 

 

 

.

you might want to consider using a ZipWall and just shutting off the area completely. condone off that part of the house, have them install it. it is relatively cheap and easy to install. with care, it should be a pretty effective barrier. of course, only you can make the right decision for you and yours, do your due diligence before deciding one way or the other.

 

170426_MDK_rgb_leaving.jpg

 

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vUcAu6rD8rU

 

ETA: if you decide to go this route, a second barrier outside of the initial one would be my recommendation. you know, just to be doubly safe.

Edited by Foxx
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I like Foxx’s idea, If you can limit it to a section of the house that you can then clean/disinfect afterwards.

 

The way I look at it - I know what precautions I am taking. I know what precautions those in my household are taking. I DON’T know what precautions other people are taking. So you have to kind of have faith they are taking the recommended measures. What are they doing when they’re not working at your house? That’s my concern.

 

Personally, I am limiting my contact with those I don’t know/trust as much as possible. But I have high risk family members I’m in contact with daily. 

Edited by BillsFan4
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37 minutes ago, Augie said:

This feels strangely like a hurricane watch, but on a global scale. Everybody is worried about the same thing, watching all the news, stocking up on supplies and hunkering down.......and waiting, waiting, waiting to see what happens. 

 

I’ve got a dilemma and I’m curious what the educated folks here think. While we have been basically hiding here at home, we have a bath renovation and some electrical work planned. We got word from the contractor and the designer they want to start in about 10 days. I’m not crazy about bringing plumbers, electricians, painters, etc. into our house right now! These are the people I’m hiding from!  It should be less than a week of work in a relatively confined area with easy in/out access off the garage. It’s not like I’ll be working WITH them.

 

Am I going overboard, or is it perfectly reasonable to tell them “we’ll get back to you about a start date”. (I do want to get the work done and over with, of course.) 

 

 

.

 

I dont think youre crazy, or going overboard, but I probably wouldnt cancel them either. I think you can find a way to be safe and still get it done.

 

Heck, my refi is scheduled to close on Monday, so i have to go to the closing attorney's office to sign papers. I'm bringing my own pen tho!

 

 

24 minutes ago, Foxx said:

 

 

ETA: if you decide to go this route, a second barrier outside of the initial one would be my recommendation. you know, just to be doubly safe.

 

Ah, the ol double bagger. Reminds me of college.

Edited by DrDawkinstein
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2 hours ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said:

 

...by no means an attempt to politicize it...if that was my intention , I would have referenced a political party or politician.....however if, IF the reported delay with CDC is true, its policies should be reviewed well down the road so a similar delay does not happen again...……….

The structure was in place with the disbanded pandemic response team and it can be reassembled moving forward. 

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34 minutes ago, Foxx said:

it certainly is way too early to have any sort of an accurate gauge or even a trend line at this point but...

 

numbers from Washington where it was first reported to have hit American shores.

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1240687815219752962

 

it would seem there is a leveling off of numbers reported in the last two days?

 

Washington got the memo on social distancing and acted on it earlier than other places. Less public transportation. More of a work from home economy. Could be a lot of reasons for its leveling on new cases (not that a linear progression is great either). 

 

NY's case rise is much more dire. Same with NJ and the Philadelphia area. 

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2 hours ago, BillsFan4 said:

Anyone listening to the Adam Silver interview on ESPN? 

 

He said part of the reason the NBA decided to suspend play so quickly last Wednesday was to raise public awareness of how serious this situation is. I read NHL insiders saying the same thing about the NHL’s decision. 

 

I do think it had a major impact on raising awareness. 

The cynic in my wonders if liability may not have been their biggest concern.

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24 minutes ago, RaoulDuke79 said:

PA Governor just shut down all non life sustaining businesses as of 8 pm tonight.

 

Zero warning. People will not be able to pick up checks. Terrible for cashflow. Especially for shared office workers. 

 

The news headline says 8pm tonight. It's midnight tomorrow. Same difference though. 

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Just now, K-9 said:

The structure was in place with the disbanded pandemic response team and it can be reassembled moving forward. 

 

 

 

....it's good to see that Trump (according to published reports) has asked the CDC/FDA to reduce certain standards with "fast track" being the intention.....

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6 hours ago, K-9 said:

 I was referring specifically to not seeing him appear alongside the other members of the Covid-19 task force. 

 

Lol!   Well, you're right about Redfield and the CDC (Thanks, Obama!)...

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/03/19/cdc-top-us-public-health-agency-is-sidelined-during-coronavirus-pandemic/

 

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/mike-pences-office-abruptly-cancels-cdc-officials-interview-with-yahoo-finance-201712184.html

 

 

EDIT:    And after thinking about it some more, I think you're right about Fauci as well.    He upstaged Trump at the daily rally (Opps!  I mean press conference) last week and he hasn't been seen there since.    :doh:

 

 

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38 minutes ago, Sundancer said:

 

Zero warning. People will not be able to pick up checks. Terrible for cashflow. Especially for shared office workers. 

 

The news headline says 8pm tonight. It's midnight tomorrow. Same difference though. 

List of life sustaining businesses.

20200319 Life Sustaining Business | Transport | Agriculture
https://www.scribd.com/document/452416026/20200319-Life-Sustaining-Business

 

Looks like I'm still grinding. Gotta keep Teef supplied with equipment. 

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54 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:

 

 

 

Heck, my refi is scheduled to close on Monday, so i have to go to the closing attorney's office to sign papers. I'm bringing my own pen tho!

 

 

 

 

WTF? Even before this happened i am shocked this is still done in person...

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These for profit companies like I work for dont care at all. We were told to ignore this and we are open as usual. I work in manufacturing. 

 

I'm damned if I do and damned if I dont. 

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2 hours ago, Steptide said:

I don't know what to think. Part of me thinks two weeks from now everything will be back to normal, and another part of me thinks 2 weeks from now nobody will be allowed to leave their house 

 

The latter.  It's the epidemic curve.  We haven't even started to level out yet, and I don't see that we're doing enough to get there.

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

The latter.  It's the epidemic curve.  We haven't even started to level out yet, and I don't see that we're doing enough to get there.

 

 

 

In 2 weeks, we will still be climbing the curve nationally. 

 

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11 minutes ago, Sundancer said:

In 2 weeks, we will still be climbing the curve nationally.

 

If we shut down more fiercely right now, there is a chance that the real cases will stop climbing, and in two weeks we will level off or start to decline in new positive test results.  Chart is from this article, which I recommend.


In this chart, the blue bars represent actual cases (first appearance of symptoms in cases that may have been diagnosed later)

The yellow bars represent diagnosed cases.  Click to embiggen.

 

What you can see is that two weeks after a hard shutdown, the true new cases had plummeted AND the positive test results were trending down.

But then, before things could be opened up again, procedures for testing, contact tracing, and supervised quarantine had to be put in place.

 

image.thumb.png.673dcefa75e21d8bcec1d7fa8122df6e.png

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12 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

If we shut down more fiercely right now, there is a chance that the real cases will stop climbing, and in two weeks we will level off or start to decline in new positive test results.


In this chart, the blue bars represent actual cases (first appearance of symptoms in cases that may have been diagnosed later)

The yellow bars represent diagnosed cases.  Click to embiggen.

 

What you can see is that two weeks after a hard shutdown, the true new cases had plummeted AND the positive test results were trending down.

But then, before things could be opened up again, procedures for testing, contact tracing, and supervised quarantine had to be put in place.

 

image.thumb.png.673dcefa75e21d8bcec1d7fa8122df6e.png

 

Fantastic chart. This makes sense in view of Bill Gates's suggestion that the shutdown has to last 10 weeks and be widespread to get the caseload down to near 0. And then you re-open with massive testing and (of course by then) awareness because it's easy to just fall back into the exponential growth trap.

 

10 weeks only works if people abide by it. 

 

And even with this, we will likely see more waves as is predicted in the Imperial College report. God knows when we will allow people back from other countries. A looooooooooooooong time thereafter. 

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18 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

If we shut down more fiercely right now, there is a chance that the real cases will stop climbing, and in two weeks we will level off or start to decline in new positive test results.  Chart is from this article, which I recommend.


In this chart, the blue bars represent actual cases (first appearance of symptoms in cases that may have been diagnosed later)

The yellow bars represent diagnosed cases.  Click to embiggen.

 

What you can see is that two weeks after a hard shutdown, the true new cases had plummeted AND the positive test results were trending down.

But then, before things could be opened up again, procedures for testing, contact tracing, and supervised quarantine had to be put in place.

 

image.thumb.png.673dcefa75e21d8bcec1d7fa8122df6e.png

quick question here...

 

do you feel that numbers out of China are accurate?

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5 minutes ago, Sundancer said:

 

Fantastic chart. This makes sense in view of Bill Gates's suggestion that the shutdown has to last 10 weeks and be widespread to get the caseload down to near 0. And then you re-open with massive testing and (of course by then) awareness because it's easy to just fall back into the exponential growth trap.

 

10 weeks only works if people abide by it. 

 

And even with this, we will likely see more waves as is predicted in the Imperial College report. God knows when we will allow people back from other countries. A looooooooooooooong time thereafter. 

 

I don't think it needs to be quite 10 weeks, but to shorten it requires what China is doing - they are testing EVERYONE with fever, and they have devoted huge resources to contact tracing in a very boots-on-the-ground way combined with "Big Data" - they are harvesting everyone's cell phone tracking data to determine who might have been in contact with a diagnosed covid-19 case.  Can read about the contact tracing here, I only have indirect sources on the "big data" harvest though it's referenced here (which is a cool article in its own right).

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Healthcare workers today are like the firefighter and police heroes of 9/11.  They put themselves at risk and push themselves to their limits to save others. The least we can do is play by the rules and hunker down. 

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12 minutes ago, Foxx said:

quick question here...

 

do you feel that numbers out of China are accurate?

 

Plus/minus, yes I do - at least as of a few weeks ago.  They let a big international commission into the country and let them spend two weeks digging into what they'd done.  I don't know if I trust "no new cases".

 

The key point is that it's not that China just suddenly announced the case counts diminished.  They have been invading everyone's privacy BIG TIME, and putting huge resources into contact tracing and aggressive testing.  They are now quarantining all incoming foreigners for 14 days - they stick you in a hotel room and bring you a meal 2x a day and there you stay!!!  

I also think there is enough contact with people who have family in China and work in US that if something were massively discordant it would come out.  I know a physician working Shenzen, for example, she communicates to relatives and friends in US regularly.  I don't like it that China is throwing out some US journalists, though, even if it's retaliatory.

Another key point is that Democratic countries like Taiwan and Singapore that instituted similar measures never saw an epidemic flare from the cases they got, and S. Korea (also similar meaures) seems to have it under control. So there is reason to believe if China is doing similar, they will see similar results.
 

5 minutes ago, jburt2625 said:

Not at all. All those videos from months ago with body bags everywhere are evidence enough for me at least. Just my 2 pennies 

 

Please do not make unsourced or unsubstantiated statements.  And the videos you post must be from legit sources.  If they reak of conspiracy take 'em to PPP.  But I mean, they had 3,130 deaths in Hubei province, it must have overwhelmed the usual mortuary services so the bodies must have gone somewhere.

 

You will probably see that in Italy and maybe here too, in a month.

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5 hours ago, RaoulDuke79 said:

That's how I feel. One one hand I need to keep some type of normalcy sonthe kids dont freakout, on the other hand I rather just fall asleep for a month. Hope for the best and prepare for the worst is what I've been doing.

We all just need to stay home and take a dose of this....

 

Hibernol

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8 hours ago, plenzmd1 said:

Wheres Fauci been last two days?

Huh???

 

Every single day this week that the task force has held their daily presser at the White House, he has been there, and has stepped to the podium to say a few words.. I've seen it and/or heard it in my vehicle on my Sirius feed. 

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2 minutes ago, John in Jax said:

Huh???

 

Every single day this week that the task force has held their daily presser at the White House, he has been there, and has stepped to the podium to say a few words.. I've seen it and/or heard it in my vehicle on my Sirius feed. 

Not the last two you aint

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image.png.606c57ee8eee675247eae1c4a20cb26f.png

 

Seems like we're getting slightly worse compared to the crowd, including the UK where they have (until very recently) taken the stance of '***** social distancing'.  Considering we're also still way behind on testing, I assume this graph is only going to get much worse.   Also concerning that no western country has yet hit the 'flattening'.

 

btw, how is this not rampant in places with huge, poor, densely populated cities like India and Mexico?   Or are those people just getting it in droves and no one cares enough to track it?

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25 minutes ago, KD in CA said:

image.png.606c57ee8eee675247eae1c4a20cb26f.png

 

Seems like we're getting slightly worse compared to the crowd, including the UK where they have (until very recently) taken the stance of '***** social distancing'.  Considering we're also still way behind on testing, I assume this graph is only going to get much worse.   Also concerning that no western country has yet hit the 'flattening'.

 

btw, how is this not rampant in places with huge, poor, densely populated cities like India and Mexico?   Or are those people just getting it in droves and no one cares enough to track it?

Testing

 

I guarantee Africa is lousy w/ coronavirus what with massive Chinese investment and influence but healthcare isn’t up to testing so confirmed numbers are low

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