Covid-19 discussion and humor thread [Was: CDC says don't touch your face to avoid Covid19...Vets to the rescue!

[Ridgewaycynic2013]

I see everyone’s favourite minister (cough, con man) Jim Bakker was hawking some holistic snake oil approach to dealing with the bug.  Someone should have invalidated his parking fees a long time ago.

[Logic]

2 hours ago, row_33 said:

That’s product advertising you are parroting 

 

the FDA again has asked them to stop making up an ad pitch to hawk the product against reality

 

It’s a virus, not a bacteria

 

having dealt with both, the bacteria is far more lethal but you have drugs to take, for the virus you sit and wait cause they can’t do anything for it and “there’s a lot of it going around”

This is incorrect.

[row_33]

2 hours ago, Ridgewaycynic2013 said:

I see everyone’s favourite minister (cough, con man) Jim Bakker was hawking some holistic snake oil approach to dealing with the bug.  Someone should have invalidated his parking fees a long time ago.

he’s still on the air

Saw his show flipping through channels during a recent insomnia spell 

[Hapless Bills Fan]

3 hours ago, row_33 said:

That’s product advertising you are parroting 

the FDA again has asked them to stop making up an ad pitch to hawk the product against reality

It’s a virus, not a bacteria

having dealt with both, the bacteria is far more lethal but you have drugs to take, for the virus you sit and wait cause they can’t do anything for it and “there’s a lot of it going around”

 

Dude, as detailed above: I am a trained maniac.  I once worked with viruses professionally and had accountability (taking swabs and testing them to ensure I was successfully containing the virus I was working with in the biological containment hood and killing it effectively). 

Fact: Coronavirus is killed by alcohol-based hand sanitizers >60% alcohol, soap and water, and standard disinfectants including disinfectant wipes, 0.1% bleach solution, and hydrogen peroxide.  Follow the recommended contact time for the disinfectant - usually 1 minute - and sing "happy birthday to me" while washing hands or scrubbing with handsanitizer.

 

I have no idea what product you're talking about "the FDA has asked them to stop making up an ad pitch", either it's nothing you're responding to in my post or it's incorrect

 

A statement like "the bacteria is far more lethal but you have drugs to take, for the virus you sit and wait" is so generic as to be incorrect.  Yes, bacteria are generally treatable with antibiotics - sometimes, unless they are multi-drug resistant bacteria.    They are generally killed by common disinfectant wipes - unless they have formed spores or biofilms. 

 

Antiviral drugs exist that are effective against some viruses - not cold viruses, and of limited effect against flu, but HIV, hepatitis, herpes, etc.

 

In the specific case of Covid19, China tested many treatment protocols and found some effective combinations of drugs - one reason their death rate from Covid19 is now lower (the other is infection curve flattening due to social distancing/contact tracing so that hospitals are no longer overwhelmed).

[bbb]

13 hours ago, Hardhatharry said:

My buddy and his family are going on a 5 day cruise in 3 weeks... Wonder what things will look like then.

 

I am supposed to take them there and drop them off.

 

As long as you aren't supposed to pick them up after the cruise!  

[Hapless Bills Fan]

 

[GoBills808]

16 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

I'm not sure what anti-bacterial hand stuff you mean, but standard alcohol-based hand sanitizers and standard disinfectant wipes should (very high confidence) be effective against Covid19.  Coronaviri are way easier to kill off than Noroviri

I read has to be 60% alcohol or greater to be effective

[Hapless Bills Fan]

13 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

I read has to be 60% alcohol or greater to be effective

 

That is correct; 70% preferred.  Standard alcohol based sanitizers sold for purpose  are >60% alcohol AFAIK.  I just looked at 7 brands lurking around our house; range from 60-85%, most 70%.

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

On 3/8/2020 at 12:14 PM, Hapless Bills Fan said:

Train yourself and your loved ones just never ever touch your face unless you've just washed your hands or you're in a space you control and keep clean.  If you absolutely must scratch your nose out in public, go wash your hands and then scratch it by proxy, through a Kleenex. 

 

please excuse me  before hand 

 

hahahahahahahahahahahahaahahhahaaaa 

 

I've been trying to do that for days and I was just touching my face as I read that post 

17 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

I read has to be 60% alcohol or greater to be effective

 

Just now, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

That is correct; 70% preferred.  Standard alcohol based sanitizers sold for purpose  are >60% alcohol AFAIK.  I just looked at 7 brands lurking around our house; range from 60-85%, most 70%.

 

 

soooooo  drink until the alcohol oozes out of your pores ????

[Hapless Bills Fan]

Just now, SlimShady'sGhost said:

 

please excuse me  before hand 

 

hahahahahahahahahahahahaahahhahaaaa 

 

I've been trying to do that for days and I was just touching my face as I read that post 

 

I tell you.  Just visualize your fingers as coated with dog poo.  Scrub that stuff off before you touch.

[4_kidd_4]

 I can’t stop touching @teef’s face either.

[Hapless Bills Fan]

4 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

soooooo  drink until the alcohol oozes out of your pores ????

 

Nice thought, but you got >60% alcohol oozing out your pores, you've been embalmed.

[Hapless Bills Fan]

12 minutes ago, 4_kidd_4 said:

 I can’t stop touching @teef’s face either.

 

Your Kink is O.K.?

[Logic]

The amount of ignorance surrounding COVID-19 right now is stunning and infuriating.

If I hear "it's less deadly than the flu!" or "this is just media-created hype over nothing" ONE MORE TIME... ?"

I get it: Its a frightening reality and in order to attempt to assuage their own fear -- which most of them won't even admit they're feeling -- many people downplay the seriousness and potential risk of the virus. If that's how you want to think of the thing in your own mind, fine. But please, PLEASE...don't go around spouting that factually incorrect, downright dangerous disinformation within earshot of other people who are foolish enough to actually believe it.

I will refrain from saying the rest of what I'd like to say about this virus and our federal government's reaction to it or lack thereof, for there would be no way to avoid it become political. 

[K-9]

1 hour ago, Logic said:

The amount of ignorance surrounding COVID-19 right now is stunning and infuriating.

If I hear "it's less deadly than the flu!" or "this is just media-created hype over nothing" ONE MORE TIME... ?"

I get it: Its a frightening reality and in order to attempt to assuage their own fear -- which most of them won't even admit they're feeling -- many people downplay the seriousness and potential risk of the virus. If that's how you want to think of the thing in your own mind, fine. But please, PLEASE...don't go around spouting that factually incorrect, downright dangerous disinformation within earshot of other people who are foolish enough to actually believe it.

I will refrain from saying the rest of what I'd like to say about this virus and our federal government's reaction to it or lack thereof, for there would be no way to avoid it become political. 

Because pandemics require the actions and interactions of governments and the various agencies under their administrations, they are inherently political. That’s always been the case and always will be. 
 

The key is to be adults about it. 

[Poleshifter]

18 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

Play the flute over the virus, that should work about as well. 

 

Look, even if the copper swabby thing works.... it will only kill any virus that is lingering at the nostril depth you swab.  The minute you inhale some virus or insert it into your nostrils (you know what you do), mouth or eyes, it will start migrating into your body.  Virus will not hang around swab-deep in your nose.  And cut your nostrils by sticking a piece of metal inside them, you've just created a door for easy viral entry.

 

Thanks for the reply.

 

I realize sharp metal pieces would not be good in the nose.

[Augie]

On 3/5/2020 at 9:30 AM, teef said:

i never realized how much i touch my face until recently.

 

Every once in a while I realize I’’m NOT touching my face! 

 

 

This is crazy now that I pay attention! What’s really bad is I want to start touching other people’s faces. That has gotten me into some trouble.....

[teef]

i'm just going to start touching tips.  you guys know what i'm talking about.

[Hapless Bills Fan]

 

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/italy-extends-coronavirus-lockdown-to-entire-country-imposing-restrictions-on-60-million-people/2020/03/09/baa10058-6248-11ea-8a8e-5c5336b32760_story.html

[Hapless Bills Fan]

2 hours ago, Poleshifter said:

Thanks for the reply.

 

I realize sharp metal pieces would not be good in the nose.

 

I intended no disparagement of your common sense.  I was more thinking that even carefully smoothed (but still hard, because metal) pieces, inserted into the nostrils the requisite many times a day this would require to be effective, could probably rub a sore.  Just as one may get a blister from thousands of steps in soft wool socks rubbing against smooth boot lining.

[teef]

my wife and daughter were supposed to attend a performance of the little mermaid put on by the local philharmonic this saturday at the kodak center.  just found out it was canceled due to the virus.  they are supposed to have sesame street live in the same place in a few weeks, so i'm assuming that's canceled too.  not a big deal to cancel either, but as far as i'm aware, there's not a single reported case of the virus in the area.  

 

on a similar note, i spoke with a patient today who has kids in college in ohio and pennsylvania.  they warned each student to bring their study materials home with them as they may actually make the decision that the kids don't come back.  they'll try to do the online thing for the rest of the semester.  

[Hapless Bills Fan]

This graph is the answer to everyone who posts somewhere about "why don't we just all accept that we're going to get the disease, accept the mild symptoms most of us will have, and get it over with?" 
 

 

This is the classic "contained vs uncontrolled transmission" epidemic graph.

 

If 80% have a mild disease, but ~15% are seriously ill and require medical intervention including oxygen and ~5% become severely ill and require intensive care, hospitals and HCW quickly become overwhelmed.  This is undoubtedly part of the high initial death rate in Wuhan - the healthcare system, despite redeployment of resources from other parts of the country, was simply too far above capacity.  (Oh, and be sure to schedule your heart attack or your meningitis so that it doesn't occur at the epidemic peak.)

 

 

[Hapless Bills Fan]

25 minutes ago, teef said:

my wife and daughter were supposed to attend a performance of the little mermaid put on by the local philharmonic this saturday at the kodak center.  just found out it was canceled due to the virus.  they are supposed to have sesame street live in the same place in a few weeks, so i'm assuming that's canceled too.  not a big deal to cancel either, but as far as i'm aware, there's not a single reported case of the virus in the area.  

 

Teef, please allow me to reprise something I said upthread with some emphasis:

"Anyone want to bet the rent that if there's community spread in Snohomish, Washington originating from travel mid-December to mid-January, there is not already community spread elsewhere in the country?  I don't.  (Yes, there are caveats here, but do we want to bet the low probabilities vs an emerging epidemic...?)

 

Why don't we know that there's community transmission underway all over the country?  Until this week, testing was 100% focused on returning travel from known infected places because the "case definition" included these.  Seriously.  If you hadn't traveled but had symptoms, you couldn't be tested (...).  Meanwhile, places like Taiwan "get it": "they proactively sought out patients with severe respiratory symptoms based on records in the national health insurance (something which all developed countries can deploy with relative ease, with the notable exception of the US [my note: but we could still do it, just harder])."  Meanwhile, In US, people in hospital with severe respiratory symptoms who tested negative for flu were NOT being tested for Covid19.  Even a nurse who became ill with respiratory symptoms AFTER CARING FOR A KNOWN COVID19 PATIENT in CA struggled to get tested - and this is a critical test, because if a HCP falls ill caring for a patient, it's a Red Alert that the infection control protocol needs revision. "

 

It is my belief (but to my knowledge, this belief is shared by actual epidemiologists) that we probably have community spread underway in many parts of the country, undetected because we have not been testing and contact-tracing patients with severe respiratory symptoms (especially those who test negative for influenza) who may have traveled or been in contact with someone who traveled in late Decembe to mid January - the question asked is "travel in last 30 days" which at this point, means back to early February.

Where we don't have community spread actually underway, we almost certainly have someone who has been exposed to the virus in the latent stage able to transmit to any large gathering.

 

Make sense?

 

Quote

on a similar note, i spoke with a patient today who has kids in college in ohio and pennsylvania.  they warned each student to bring their study materials home with them as they may actually make the decision that the kids don't come back.  they'll try to do the online thing for the rest of the semester.  

 

TBH, what colleges really should do is ask everyone to cancel their spring break travel, but where colleges aren't yet having a problem, after kids go home then return they are almost certain to bring the disease with them.  20 colleges and counting have canceled F2F classes and gone to "online only" formats (including Stanford, Columbia, Fordham, Rice, USC, Hofstra, U of Washington, and Princeton), which is fine but what about laboratory courses?  And will the kids remain on campus collecting in dorms and cafeterias?  Lots of unknowns.

 

 

[Patrick Duffy]

It's ok, if you get it you will be fine for a week or so, then shortly after an Alien will burst from your stomach.

[Hapless Bills Fan]

https://www.ecodibergamo.it/stories/bergamo-citta/con-le-nostre-azioni-influenziamola-vita-e-la-morte-di-molte-persone_1344030_11/

 

or if you don't speak Italian, it's translated here (scroll down past the picture)

 

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/coronavirus-shocking-image-italian-patients-21663653

 

Key take home:

Francois Balloux of the University College London Genetics Institute said: “The trajectory in the UK is so far roughly comparable to the one in northern Italy, but with the epidemic [there] two to three weeks ahead of the situation [here].

“It is possible that a lockdown strategy similar to the one imposed in northern Italy may be adopted by the UK. The Covid-19 epidemic cannot be contained any more.”

Doctor-turned-author Adam Kay said it should be a stark warning for Britain. He said: “­Fourteen days ago, Italy had fewer coronavirus cases than we do today. They employed similar public health measures to us.

“Unless I’m missing something, this is us in a fortnight.”

 

From the translation of Italian Physician Dr Daniele Macchini of Humanitas Gavazzeni hospital's Facebook post:

"There are no more surgeons, urologists, orthopaedists – we are only doctors who have become part of a single team to face this tsunami that has overwhelmed us.

"Cases are multiplying, with a rate of 15-20 admissions per day – all for the same reason. The results of the swabs now come one after the other: positive, positive, positive. Suddenly the ER is collapsing. Reasons for admission are always the same: fever and breathing difficulties, fever and cough, respiratory failure.

"Radiology reports are always the same: bilateral interstitial pneumonia. All to be hospitalised.

"Some are already intubated go to intensive care. For others it’s too late. Ventilators are like gold dust: those in operating theatres that have suspended non-urgent activity become intensive care places that did not exist before.
(....)

"There are no more shifts, no more hours. Social life is suspended. We no longer see our families for fear of infecting them. Some of us have already become infected despite the protocols.  "Some infected colleagues have infected relatives, some of whom are already fighting for their lives.

 

"So be patient – you can’t go to the theatre, museums or the gym. Try to have pity on the myriad of old people you could exterminate. 

"We try to make ourselves useful. You should, too. We influence the life and death of a few dozen people. You, many more. Please share this."

 

 

[row_33]

Soap and water

 

oh, 600 people in the US after 1.5 months.....

 

c’mon.....

[row_33]

excellent work in North America to educate and try to contain the mess, keep going 

[Troll Toll]

9 hours ago, Logic said:

The amount of ignorance surrounding COVID-19 right now is stunning and infuriating.

If I hear "it's less deadly than the flu!" or "this is just media-created hype over nothing" ONE MORE TIME... ?"

I get it: Its a frightening reality and in order to attempt to assuage their own fear -- which most of them won't even admit they're feeling -- many people downplay the seriousness and potential risk of the virus. If that's how you want to think of the thing in your own mind, fine. But please, PLEASE...don't go around spouting that factually incorrect, downright dangerous disinformation within earshot of other people who are foolish enough to actually believe it.

I will refrain from saying the rest of what I'd like to say about this virus and our federal government's reaction to it or lack thereof, for there would be no way to avoid it become political. 

I agree, if people only knew how much open borders and fighting travel bans would help the CoronaVirus!

Edited March 10, 2020 by Troll Toll

[teef]

11 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

Teef, please allow me to reprise something I said upthread with some emphasis:

"Anyone want to bet the rent that if there's community spread in Snohomish, Washington originating from travel mid-December to mid-January, there is not already community spread elsewhere in the country?  I don't.  (Yes, there are caveats here, but do we want to bet the low probabilities vs an emerging epidemic...?)

 

Why don't we know that there's community transmission underway all over the country?  Until this week, testing was 100% focused on returning travel from known infected places because the "case definition" included these.  Seriously.  If you hadn't traveled but had symptoms, you couldn't be tested (...).  Meanwhile, places like Taiwan "get it": "they proactively sought out patients with severe respiratory symptoms based on records in the national health insurance (something which all developed countries can deploy with relative ease, with the notable exception of the US [my note: but we could still do it, just harder])."  Meanwhile, In US, people in hospital with severe respiratory symptoms who tested negative for flu were NOT being tested for Covid19.  Even a nurse who became ill with respiratory symptoms AFTER CARING FOR A KNOWN COVID19 PATIENT in CA struggled to get tested - and this is a critical test, because if a HCP falls ill caring for a patient, it's a Red Alert that the infection control protocol needs revision. "

 

It is my belief (but to my knowledge, this belief is shared by actual epidemiologists) that we probably have community spread underway in many parts of the country, undetected because we have not been testing and contact-tracing patients with severe respiratory symptoms (especially those who test negative for influenza) who may have traveled or been in contact with someone who traveled in late Decembe to mid January - the question asked is "travel in last 30 days" which at this point, means back to early February.

Where we don't have community spread actually underway, we almost certainly have someone who has been exposed to the virus in the latent stage able to transmit to any large gathering.

 

Make sense?

 

 

TBH, what colleges really should do is ask everyone to cancel their spring break travel, but where colleges aren't yet having a problem, after kids go home then return they are almost certain to bring the disease with them.  20 colleges and counting have canceled F2F classes and gone to "online only" formats (including Stanford, Columbia, Fordham, Rice, USC, Hofstra, U of Washington, and Princeton), which is fine but what about laboratory courses?  And will the kids remain on campus collecting in dorms and cafeterias?  Lots of unknowns.

 

 

great points.  i'm all for the proactive prevention attempts.  this is just the first time it's become, "real" in this area.  our friend works for the local ahl hockey team, and she thinks there's going to be a decision by the end of this week as to whether fans are allowed back to watch the games.  

[Teddy KGB]

These folks can show you the way ???

 

 

[row_33]

I gave up going to games a decade ago, too much noise noise noise and always some jerk or 7 jerks around me ruining it 

 

 

[SlimShady'sSpaceForce]

So ...  

 

How does one go about blowing ones nose if you are not supposed to touch your face ?

 

 

Dr. Phil’ Joins ‘Jeopardy’ & ‘Wheel Of Fortune’ To Film Without Audience Over Coronavirus Concerns

and they wonder why people panic 

 

[Sundancer]

2 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

So ...  

 

How does one go about blowing ones nose if you are not supposed to touch your face ?

You got this one eventually right?

[Augie]

This is a copy and paste from a doctor on my college hoops board. Take it for what you will, but I found it VERY interesting:

 

 

 “Lots of things in this thread are making this much more complicated then I think it needs to be. Bottom line is that age is the number one predictor of mortality for this virus.

AGE
DEATH RATE
confirmed cases

80+ years old
21.9%

70-79 years old
8.0%
60-69 years old
3.6%
50-59 years old
1.3%
40-49 years old
0.4%
30-39 years old
0.2%
20-29 years old
0.2%
10-19 years old
0.2%
0-9 years old    
no fatalities

There's a multiplier that can be added based on comorbidities oh, but these percentages give you the bottom line.”

 

 

 

.

 

.

Edited March 11, 2020 by Augie

[Hapless Bills Fan]

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

 

This is by far the best article about the coronavirus.  It is factual, it is matter of fact, and it is correct.

If you read nothing else, read this.  It explains the different disease outcomes in Hunan vs rest of China, in Korea vs Hunan, and in Italy.

It explains the difference between known and actual cases and the reason for mitigation factors like social distancing and cordons.

 

Read it.

[row_33]

1 hour ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

 

This is by far the best article about the coronavirus.  It is factual, it is matter of fact, and it is correct.

If you read nothing else, read this.  It explains the different disease outcomes in Hunan vs rest of China, in Korea vs Hunan, and in Italy.

It explains the difference between known and actual cases and the reason for mitigation factors like social distancing and cordons.

 

Read it.

guesswork

 

oh, it went from 5 to 6 people, that’s a leap of 20%, so many more facets to add to the picture to get it to be factual and real

my day includes people who believe the whole thing is a hoax and people who believe we will all die by June

 

 

 

 

Edited March 11, 2020 by row_33

[Hapless Bills Fan]

6 hours ago, row_33 said:

guesswork

oh, it went from 5 to 6 people, that’s a leap of 20%, so many more facets to add to the picture to get it to be factual and real
my day includes people who believe the whole thing is a hoax and people who believe we will all die by June

 

That article does the best job I've seen of explaining

1. why the case load in Wuhan lagged the reported cases, why the shutdown actually was effective

2. why the death rate is so much lower in S. Korea - it's not because of more testing or more accuracy, it's because of aggressive contact tracing and testing and quarantine, keeping illness below the capacity of hospitals to optimally treat

3. why the death rate in China now is so much lower than it was in Wuhan - for the same reason

4. why the death rate in Italy is so high - the hospitals are overwhelmed and literally making life or death decisions.  We will be there too if we don't act, the disease doesn't care about your politics.  Its. A. Virus.

5. it gives factual examples of what happened in the 1918 flu in cities that took immediate social distancing measures (St Louis) vs those that did not (Philidelphia)

 

To dismiss that whole article as guesswork because you don't understand what epidemiologists do (hint: it is highly educated guesswork and usually quite accurate) is your choice, but IMHO it is foolish.  Very foolish.

 

Please keep in mind that I am a "trained Maniac", not an epidemiologist nor a virologist but a highly-trained scientist who has worked with both.

But of course it is still your choice who to believe.

[row_33]

instead say, this is what one person says

 

(and it may be inflammatory on purpose)

 

And that we don’t KNOW and cannot predict the future 

 

 

[RaoulDuke79]

Any cases reported in Elmira NY? I'm visiting the Hardinge factory today.

[Halloween Land]

It seems that this virus isn't affecting really young kids ages 0-9? Why is that?