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The Trump Economy


GG

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4 minutes ago, TakeYouToTasker said:

@Joe in Winslow

 

What is your fascination with ex-post facto laws designed to throw people in jail for things which weren’t crimes when they were done?

 

As GG mentioned, unethical possibly; but not illegal.  

 

Problem is, mister "rule of law", did the laws change to prevent this kind of nonsense again?

 

Edited by Joe in Winslow
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1 minute ago, TakeYouToTasker said:

@Joe in Winslow

 

What is your fascination with ex-post facto laws designed to throw people in jail for things which weren’t crimes when they were done?

 

As GG mentioned, unethical possibly; but not illegal.  

 

You'd have a tough climb even convincing me it was unethical.  They were creating highly leveraged trading vehicles that were multiple times removed from any tangible value.  They were trading vapor whose only value was that it acted like something else that had tangible value.  That's stupid, but not immoral.  

Just now, Joe in Winslow said:

 

Problem is, mister "rule of law", did the laws change to prevent this kind of nonsense again?

 

 

No.

 

I mean, they changed.  But not in any meaningful way that'll prevent another catastrophe.  Just as how the previous catastrophe was caused by the change in laws motivated by the catastrophe before that (Enron).

 

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1 minute ago, DC Tom said:

 

You'd have a tough climb even convincing me it was unethical.  They were creating highly leveraged trading vehicles that were multiple times removed from any tangible value.  They were trading vapor whose only value was that it acted like something else that had tangible value.  That's stupid, but not immoral.  

 

I say possibly unethical because there were certainly some few who perfectly understood the machinations, but acted anyway; though it would be hard to prove.

 

3 minutes ago, Joe in Winslow said:

 

Problem is, mister "rule of law", did the laws change to prevent this kind of nonsense again?

 

 

So, mister “arbitrary whims of a dictator”, explain what legal changes should have been made, and what the impacts would have been.

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3 hours ago, Foxx said:

not necessarily. the proposed work for welfare thing has been floated again. maybe this time it has a chance?

 

I have not heard this. I am 1000000% behind this. It would be a huge game changer. When I lived in San Francisco the litter drove me nuts. Of course every urban area is like that. But I was saying if we handed welfare/unemployment recipients a rake and a garbage bag and they got their check when they finish cleaning up the mess this cities would be much more enjoyable. 

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2 minutes ago, TakeYouToTasker said:

So, mister “arbitrary whims of a dictator”, explain what legal changes should have been made, and what the impacts would have been.


Well for one thing, I'd have made it illegal to bundle sub-prime and sub-sub-prime mortgages into resale packages with solid ones.

 

9 minutes ago, DC Tom said:

No.

 

I mean, they changed.  But not in any meaningful way that'll prevent another catastrophe.  Just as how the previous catastrophe was caused by the change in laws motivated by the catastrophe before that (Enron).

 

 

So, then I suppose the answer is to let the corruption continue unabated. Shame, that.

 

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1 minute ago, Joe in Winslow said:


Well for one thing, I'd have made it illegal to bundle sub-prime and sub-sub-prime mortgages into resale packages with solid ones.

 

 

So, then I suppose the answer is to let the corruption continue unabated. Shame, that.

 

 

You don't even understand where the corruption is, dumbass.  Shut the ***** up.

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10 minutes ago, Joe in Winslow said:


Well for one thing, I'd have made it illegal to bundle sub-prime and sub-sub-prime mortgages into resale packages with solid ones.

 

 

Speak to why, and make comparisons, and draw distinctions between these and other bundled securities.

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14 minutes ago, TakeYouToTasker said:

 

Speak to why, and make comparisons, and draw distinctions between these and other bundled securities.


Why? You really need to ask why?

 

Because the people who were sold the CDS instruments were sold a product that wasn't what was advertised.

 

That's not right, and was a HUGE part of what caused multiple institutions to crash and burn which then required billions of taxpayer dollars to fix. What SHOULD have been allowed to happen is every single institution affected by the problem should have been allowed to fail without assistance. THAT would have been the free market at work.

 

 

Edited by Joe in Winslow
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55 minutes ago, DC Tom said:

 

More accurately, no one understood how much exposure banks had to borrowers who over-borrowed, through their own negligence or being defrauded or blackmailed into it (e.g. Countrywide.)

 

Really, the three parties most directly responsible are Washington Mutual and Countrywide - who rightfully went out of business, and some of whose executives were rightly jailed - and HUD, for completely neglecting to enforce regulations concerning settlements.  Of course, no one was held responsible for that.

 

Four - IndyMac, and of course GMAC's mortgage subsidiaries.    Oops lost another loan to Ditech.

 

51 minutes ago, DC Tom said:

 

No.

 

I mean, they changed.  But not in any meaningful way that'll prevent another catastrophe.  Just as how the previous catastrophe was caused by the change in laws motivated by the catastrophe before that (Enron).

 

 

As always new regulations are enacted to prevent the prior crises, not to prevent the next crises.   Regulators are usually 2 steps behind.

48 minutes ago, TakeYouToTasker said:

 

I say possibly unethical because there were certainly some few who perfectly understood the machinations, but acted anyway; though it would be hard to prove.

 

 

The ones who truly understood it profited massively from the fallout.  They weren't the ones who structured and sold the original issues.  They would squarely be more on the stupid side than unethical.

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48 minutes ago, Joe in Winslow said:


Well for one thing, I'd have made it illegal to bundle sub-prime and sub-sub-prime mortgages into resale packages with solid ones.

 

 

 

For starters, that's exactly NOT what caused the liquidity crisis, but carry on.    

 

They weren't CDS securities, idiot.   At least get the basics of the terminology right.

Edited by GG
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2 hours ago, GG said:

 

 

 

 

 

The trouble with your example is that sanctuary cities are also the places where labor laws are the toughest and it's almost impossible for large companies to hire illegals in the industries that you cite.  The jobs are in fact filled largely by immigrants, but almost always they're not by the wall jumpers.

 

Your Chicago example is quaint, but it will take much more than raising the landscapers' pay rate to get the inner city youth into the workforce.

 

 

 

 

 

Nope.  In Chicago and all over illinois illegal immigrants from all over the globe work in union jobs, restaurants, as truck drivers, warehouse operations, etc.... and they are taking work away from citizens that want the jobs every day.  Citizenry as an employment requirement is barely enforced here.  Don't believe the 4% unemployment bull#### number.  Whenever I place an ad for an entry level operations position here in our small company I get literally 100+ applicants within 3-4 days of posting the job on indeed or similar. Sometimes 200+. 

 

 

1 hour ago, GG said:

 

WTF are you talking about?  There was nothing illegal in the creation of the financial instruments.  You would have a valid argument that it was unethical and with very lax oversight by everybody, but it wasn't illegal.  The illegal stuff was happening on the ground with false representations on mortgage documents.   Now run along and round up the thousands of real estate agents and bogus mortgage brokers.

 

Exacerbated by Fannie, Freddie and others who would buy debt in staggering numbers without having strict underlying credit requirements and audits.  The portion of actual fraudulent applications was pretty low. 

Edited by keepthefaith
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9 minutes ago, row_33 said:

 

what has been the recent number and what has been seen as acceptable recently?

 

The average was 2.2% over the previous 5 years.  Would you like to ask what you're really trying to get at?

As I"ve said many times here, his policies of tax cuts and spending increases helped last year, and I expected it to be a little better than it was.  This year I expect it will be closer to 2.5%; however, the first quarter looks like it will be closer to 2%.

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This economy is moving ahead in spite of Trump's irrational and uninformed policies: 

 

 

Quote

 

A confidential government report has provided President Donald Trump with a legal rationale to impose heavy new tariffs on foreign cars as soon as this spring, a prospect fiercely opposed by White House officials and congressional Republicans alarmed by its enormous economic and political stakes.

The Commerce Department submitted the report to the White House in mid-February, triggering a 90-day period for Trump to decide whether to impose tariffs, which could reach as high as 25 percent, on imported autos. It concluded that Trump could justify the tariffs on national security grounds and offered a range of options in response — putting the decision in the president’s hands, four people familiar with its conclusions told POLITICO.

 


 

Just stupid 
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6 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

This economy is moving ahead in spite of Trump's irrational and uninformed policies: 

 

 

Just stupid 

Yea....it would be WAY BETTER if the genius Obama was still running things. Nothing like a commitment to mediocrity. I miss those days.

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4 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:

Yea....it would be WAY BETTER if the genius Obama was still running things. Nothing like a commitment to mediocrity. I miss those days.

Obama was/is light years ahead of this clown in integrity, intelligence and just being a decent human. You'd really have to be brain damaged to say otherwise. 

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relevant to the discussion between Joe and GG.

 

JPMorgan agrees $13 billion settlement with U.S. over bad mortgages

... JPMorgan finally took its punishment on Tuesday, agreeing to a $13 billion settlement with the U.S. government to settle charges that the bank overstated the quality of mortgages it was selling to investors in the run-up to the financial crisis.

 

The Department of Justice trumpeted its settlement as a big step toward holding banks accountable for their behavior before the financial crisis.

 

The behavior that the largest U.S. bank admitted to, authorities said, is at the heart of what inflated the housing bubble: lenders making bad mortgages and selling them to investors who thought they were relatively safe. When the loans started turning bad, investors lost faith in the banking system, and a housing crisis turned into a financial crisis.

 

The Justice Department said in its statement that JPMorgan acknowledged it had regularly and knowingly sold mortgages to investors that should have never been sold.

 

But JPMorgan’s Chief Financial Officer, speaking on a conference call, said the bank had not admitted to violating any laws. CFO Marianne Lake added that the facts the bank admitted to did not leave it vulnerable in other litigation.

 

In other words, the bank and the government did not agree about what they had agreed to in the settlement, capping weeks of squabbling over the terms of the deal.

 

At issue in Tuesday’s settlement was the long chain of companies between lenders giving mortgages to consumers during the mortgage bubble and the investors that ultimately forked over the money to fund the loans. Often smaller lenders would make subprime mortgage loans, and sell them to a bank, which would package loans into bonds, and in turn sell them to investors.

 

With so many middlemen, investors had poor information about what they were buying, and capital flowed to loans that arguably should never have been made. ...

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51 minutes ago, Foxx said:

relevant to the discussion between Joe and GG.

 

JPMorgan agrees $13 billion settlement with U.S. over bad mortgages

... JPMorgan finally took its punishment on Tuesday, agreeing to a $13 billion settlement with the U.S. government to settle charges that the bank overstated the quality of mortgages it was selling to investors in the run-up to the financial crisis.

 

The Department of Justice trumpeted its settlement as a big step toward holding banks accountable for their behavior before the financial crisis.

 

The behavior that the largest U.S. bank admitted to, authorities said, is at the heart of what inflated the housing bubble: lenders making bad mortgages and selling them to investors who thought they were relatively safe. When the loans started turning bad, investors lost faith in the banking system, and a housing crisis turned into a financial crisis.

 

The Justice Department said in its statement that JPMorgan acknowledged it had regularly and knowingly sold mortgages to investors that should have never been sold.

 

But JPMorgan’s Chief Financial Officer, speaking on a conference call, said the bank had not admitted to violating any laws. CFO Marianne Lake added that the facts the bank admitted to did not leave it vulnerable in other litigation.

 

In other words, the bank and the government did not agree about what they had agreed to in the settlement, capping weeks of squabbling over the terms of the deal.

 

At issue in Tuesday’s settlement was the long chain of companies between lenders giving mortgages to consumers during the mortgage bubble and the investors that ultimately forked over the money to fund the loans. Often smaller lenders would make subprime mortgage loans, and sell them to a bank, which would package loans into bonds, and in turn sell them to investors.

 

With so many middlemen, investors had poor information about what they were buying, and capital flowed to loans that arguably should never have been made. ...

JPMorgan, don't think I'd want to work for them....

http://wallstreetonparade.com/2019/03/jpmorgan-managing-director-dies-suddenly-has-links-to-other-jpm-deaths/

 

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4 hours ago, Tiberius said:

Obama was/is light years ahead of this clown in integrity, intelligence and just being a decent human. You'd really have to be brain damaged to say otherwise. 

If by this you mean getting it from Rahm Emmanuel in a gay bathhouse in Chicago while marrying a transvestite and faking two kids then, yeah.

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2 hours ago, DC Tom said:

 

Racist

 

Last week a customer came into the office, someone I know to some degree.  He's African American.  I greeted him and asked him "how are you"?  He responded "tall and black".  He recognized that for a brief moment I wasn't sure how to respond so he started to laugh.  Good moment. 

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