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Sabres on NBC-NBCSN 5 Times Next Season


26CornerBlitz

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@TSNBobMcKenzie: BUF GM Tim Murray has history with Babcock dating back to days in ANA. Sabre owner Terry Pegula has lot of $ and not likely to be outbid.

 

I thought Richardson coaching was the worst kept secret in the NHL?

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You have run the simulator 50 times.

Buffalo Sabres

Wins: 10

Win %: 20%

 

 

Arizona Coyotes

Wins: 7

Win %: 14%

 

Carolina Hurricanes

Wins: 7

Win %: 14%

 

New Jersey Devils

Wins: 6

Win %: 12%

 

Philadelphia Flyers

Wins: 4

Win %: 8%

 

San Jose Sharks

Wins: 4

Win %: 8%

 

Edmonton Oilers

Wins: 3

Win %: 6%

 

Columbus Blue Jackets

Wins: 2

Win %: 4%

 

Florida Panthers

Wins: 2

Win %: 4%

 

Toronto Maple Leafs

Wins: 2

Win %: 4%

 

Colorado Avalanche

Wins: 2

Win %: 4%

 

Los Angeles Kings

Wins: 1

Win %: 2%

 

Sabres never finished lower than second

 

Arizona was first 14% of the time, second 20% (every time the Sabres finished first), third 66%

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Maybe it's explained at that simulator you guys are doing, but how the hell does this thing work??:

 

Fourteen balls, numbered 1 to 14, are placed in a lottery machine. The machine randomly selects four balls. The resulting four-number series (without regard to selection order) is matched against a chart that shows all possible combinations and the Clubs to which each is assigned.

The chart of assigned combinations will be posted at NHL.com on Friday, April 17. The complete process, including the video of the lottery drawing, also will be available on NHL.com after the lottery is conducted.

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Maybe it's explained at that simulator you guys are doing, but how the hell does this thing work??:

 

Fourteen balls, numbered 1 to 14, are placed in a lottery machine. The machine randomly selects four balls. The resulting four-number series (without regard to selection order) is matched against a chart that shows all possible combinations and the Clubs to which each is assigned.

The chart of assigned combinations will be posted at NHL.com on Friday, April 17. The complete process, including the video of the lottery drawing, also will be available on NHL.com after the lottery is conducted.

Wow that seems unnecessarily complicated.

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Wow that seems unnecessarily complicated.

 

It's a lot easier than what most would suggest. Everyone always pictures one ball coming out of the machine with a painted on logo of the winning team. In order to run that setup, they'd need 1000 balls in the machine to match the probabilities that are laid out. That would be one massive lottery machine.

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It's a lot easier than what most would suggest. Everyone always pictures one ball coming out of the machine with a painted on logo of the winning team. In order to run that setup, they'd need 1000 balls in the machine to match the probabilities that are laid out. That would be one massive lottery machine.

You'd only need 200 balls and they don't necessarily have to be ping pong sized.

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@TSNBobMcKenzie: BUF GM Tim Murray has history with Babcock dating back to days in ANA. Sabre owner Terry Pegula has lot of $ and not likely to be outbid.

If you guys get Babcock that would be great. However, Babcock was supported by a superior farm system and they had Jim Nil in charge of scouting. That really was the key to the Red Wings success imho.

Edited by Dante
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You'd only need 200 balls and they don't necessarily have to be ping pong sized.

 

Oops, I need to look at the new odds, not the old ones. But anyway, do they have lottery machines that don't use ping pong balls? Everything you ever see on tv is the ping pong ball. But either way, the earlier idea that this system unnecessarily complicates things is out the window. A 14 ball lottery is way more efficient than 200.

 

 

Edit: And not that it matters much, but I'm curious about what the true probabilities in their approach are. The ones listed are actually rounded numbers. There are 1001 possible combinations and our chance is 20%. There's one number combination not accounted for in the draft lottery odds that we see. Not that it means much of anything, but I hope that one extra shot is ours.

Edited by shrader
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Why do you even need balls, etc. Just random generated numbers. The Sabres are assigned numbers 1-40, AZ gets the next 27, etc.

 

I think this method has been devised so that nobody can accuse the league of fixing it - because nobody understands it!


 

It's a lot easier than what most would suggest. Everyone always pictures one ball coming out of the machine with a painted on logo of the winning team. In order to run that setup, they'd need 1000 balls in the machine to match the probabilities that are laid out. That would be one massive lottery machine.

 

So, how DOES it work?

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Why do you even need balls, etc. Just random generated numbers. The Sabres are assigned numbers 1-40, AZ gets the next 27, etc.

 

I think this method has been devised so that nobody can accuse the league of fixing it - because nobody understands it!

 

You answered your own question right there. People aren't going to trust a random number generator.

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