MJS

Doesn't AV try to account for starters on bad teams? Don't they weight starters on good teams higher versus starters on bad teams? I thought I remembered that when I last looked at the methodology. And if you don't have a good coach and don't have a good QB, you will underperform regardless of how much talent you have.

The grass is always greener on the other side. I promise you that getting a new coordinator is not necessarily going to be a good thing. Those who want to see Daboll gone don't seem to understand the risk of losing a quality coordinator. That being said, yes, I do want Daboll and Frazier to get head coaching opportunities because they deserve it and it reflects positively on the franchise. And if we have two coordinators go on to be head coaches, imagine where all the best coaching talent will want to come? Buffalo.

Nice. I always preferred real grass. Players will like that I bet. They don't have to deal with the rubber pellets flying up in their eyes and face. Except the kicker. I think kickers do better on artificial turf.

Pro Football Reference is my go-to for player and team stats. It's great. I love it.

I picked the Bills and Rams to go to the Superbowl in the off-season. If I had to choose now I would probably choose Packers over the Rams, but hey, I'll stick with my first choice out of principle. Stafford struggled down the stretch more than I thought he would. He needs to shake off his Detroit demons.

It would be interesting to see the average over the last 5 years. Also, I find it interesting that there are a lot more playoff teams in the negative versus the positive on this scale.

I'm not talking about only this pick. I'm talking about going back years. On GMF he has always been sceptical of the Bills and I feel like the positive things he has said are due to peer pressure. And also his opinions that he shares during halftime shows. I really don't care. Just stating the facts.

(Posted this in the other thread talking about this) "Created by PFR founder Doug Drinen, the Approximate Value (AV) method is an attempt to put a single number on the seasonal value of a player at any position from any year (since 1950)." This link goes into everything: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/blog/index37a8.html I think it is an interesting metric. I do think it is more valuable when looking at a player's career compared to just individual seasons. Top AV Players in Bills History: 1- Bruce Smith (201) 2- Thurman Thomas (134) 3- Jim Kelly (132) 4- Andre Reed (132) 5- Kent Hull (109) 6- OJ Simpson (107) Josh Allen is currently at 54 which ranks 44th in team history (not sure if it includes this season or not). https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/buf/career-av.htm I couldn't find a list of single season leaders in AV for the Bills, but 19 is really good. Bruce Smith only had 1 season higher than that (1996). Jim Kelly never had a season that high. Thurman Thomas has 3 seasons at 19 or better (1990 through 1992), OJ Simpson has 2, including an insane AV of 25 in 1975.

Wow, this is an excellent video. Thanks for sharing.

Nate Burleson picked the Bills to lose and predicted that Mac Jones would throw for more yards than Josh Allen (these were "bold" predictions, btw). Burleson is a closet Bills hater and always has been. Not sure why. "Mac Jones threw for a total of 164 yards in his two games vs. Buffalo during the regular season. He digs deep in his bag of tricks in Saturday night's wild-card game and leads the Patriots to an upset victory by throwing for more yards than Josh Allen." https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-super-wild-card-weekend-bold-predictions-mac-jones-outduels-josh-allen-benga Also, Greg Rosenthal from NFL.com picked the Patriots to win. Rosenthal has always been an Allen doubter and still is: https://www.nfl.com/news/super-wild-card-weekend-game-picks-2021-nfl-season

Hyde is 2nd team All Pro. Well deserved as well. The safeties both had a great season.

Freud was pretty much wrong about everything.

The Poyer snub for pro bowl was so obvious. What a bad miss.

I agree with you. Arians has a superbowl ring because of Brady and the talent that flocked to the team because of Brady. No other reason. It will be interesting how LaFleur does if Rodgers leaves. McDermott is easily a top 10 head coach in this league. I'd put him at 7, probably. And without looking I'd say Beane is a top GM. Easily top 10 for him too. Maybe top 5.

I'm not against open-air. I don't have a strong opinion either way, honestly. I live on the other side of the country so I don't get to go to games anyway, except very rarely. I do think if we never see the Bills playing in the snow again it would be a sad thing.

It's only an advantage if you have the worse team, because the weather is a great equalizer. Right now, the Bills are really good and the weather brings them down closer to their competition. In the future, though, maybe the Bills won't be as good and it will help them pull off some upsets.

What is odd about it? He is saying that the receivers are selfless and don't complain when they don't get the ball, that they root for each other to succeed and that positive energy helps the team. All he is doing is complimenting his receivers.

That is true, and I always guessed that it was because the officials were punishing him for that time he spoke out against one of them, plus he was a hothead for many years and would draw personal foul penalties a lot. But I think that "punishment" fizzled out a few years ago and he has lost a step for sure. He has not been the same player for awhile now.

The Tampa game they came back and took it to overtime. I actually think it is one of those things this team is missing, experience wise. The big comeback win.

I never said he is a jag. He is a good player. But I want more. I want a double digit sack producer. For all the credit that Bills fans like to give Hughes, he is never considered even slightly for the pro bowl or any other accolades. Pressure rate is fine, but he isn't a finisher. We need a finisher. And I know how to fairly judge defensive end play. You and others overrate Jerry Hughes. That doesn't mean he is a bad player. He's not. But he is expensive and hasn't produced sacks since Mario Williams was here. Hughes is great if he has a dominant pass rusher across from him. He is old. Time to move on. Time to develop the younger guys. I was one of those banging the drum to resign him when we did all those years ago. I have been dissatisfied with his play given what the Bills paid him.

Shula's record is crazy.

The top 3 coldest games and the 5th coldest were all in the Jim Kelly era. I wonder why those years were so cold.

I think everyone in league circles will see it the same way. I'm sure he got paid more and now he has the experience. He'll get another shot elsewhere, I'd bet. Maybe not this year, but in future years.

Guess we'll see what happens. The Bills can beat any team. It's a fact. But it's not that simple. They have to go out and do it, and that is easier said than done.

Phillips has been playing really well. Hopefully he can keep it up, because he has had stretches of poor play in the past, and I don't know if we can put all of that on his injuries. If he has truly turned the corner, that is great. Oliver has been tearing it up too. It would be amazing if we had our interior defensive line figured out.