What's wrong with Josh?

Big Turk · 2025-10-28T14:11:37Z

2 minutes ago, Low Positive said:

I didn't think that was as concerning as you do. Josh has lulls that we tend to forget as he starts to play his best down the stretch. In my own look at the All-22 (and I'm sure Marino talks about this in his paid service), I saw two things:

Josh is spooked by INTs: Before last year, a lot of Josh Allen's INTs were on passes where he failed to see a trailing DB waiting to jump a route. He cleaned that up last year, and I thought this was behind him. But then he threw two of those very same INTs in back-to-back games (NO and NE), and he has hesitated to pull the trigger ever since. You saw this in the Atlanta game. Then, he threw another one of these in the second quarter of this game (the LB dropped it, but it hit him in the hands), and he started refusing to throw the ball down the field into any type of coverage. On the play that everyone keeps breaking down (the incompletion to Davis), the read appears to be a fake screen and then a shot downfield to Shavers. Shavers was sort of open and Josh starts to throw him the ball and decides against taking the risk. A confident Josh Allen guns that one in there, but he's not trusting what he's seeing. Josh needs to be given the leeway to make mistakes so that he can take some risks again.

Josh isn't setting his feet and stepping into throws: I think this is related to the first point. He's coming to checkdowns so late in the play that he rushes the throws and doesn't set his feet. These tend to be upper-body throws where he whips his torso around and is almost falling away from the target. These throws often go wide for obvious reasons.

I think some of this is that he doesn't trust his receivers. We need to make a trade and get Palmer back and Kincaid fully healthy. Finally, I don't think any of us would be having this conversation if Moore and/or Shakir could get a second foot in-bounds. It's not college, boys! Drag that trailing foot!

He looked very off in the first half but very different in the second half and looked much more like his normal self making several patented Allen plays and throws.

zow2 · 2025-10-28T14:18:47Z

8 minutes ago, Low Positive said:

I didn't think that was as concerning as you do. Josh has lulls that we tend to forget as he starts to play his best down the stretch. In my own look at the All-22 (and I'm sure Marino talks about this in his paid service), I saw two things:

Josh is spooked by INTs: Before last year, a lot of Josh Allen's INTs were on passes where he failed to see a trailing DB waiting to jump a route. He cleaned that up last year, and I thought this was behind him. But then he threw two of those very same INTs in back-to-back games (NO and NE), and he has hesitated to pull the trigger ever since. You saw this in the Atlanta game. Then, he threw another one of these in the second quarter of this game (the LB dropped it, but it hit him in the hands), and he started refusing to throw the ball down the field into any type of coverage. On the play that everyone keeps breaking down (the incompletion to Davis), the read appears to be a fake screen and then a shot downfield to Shavers. Shavers was sort of open and Josh starts to throw him the ball and decides against taking the risk. A confident Josh Allen guns that one in there, but he's not trusting what he's seeing. Josh needs to be given the leeway to make mistakes so that he can take some risks again.

Josh isn't setting his feet and stepping into throws: I think this is related to the first point. He's coming to checkdowns so late in the play that he rushes the throws and doesn't set his feet. These tend to be upper-body throws where he whips his torso around and is almost falling away from the target. These throws often go wide for obvious reasons.

I think some of this is that he doesn't trust his receivers. We need to make a trade and get Palmer back and Kincaid fully healthy. Finally, I don't think any of us would be having this conversation if Moore and/or Shakir could get a second foot in-bounds. It's not college, boys! Drag that trailing foot!

Some good analysis there. He's definitely is spooked by the INTs. He isn't playing with that swag and has no confidence throwing the ball. He has to snap out of it. INT's will happen but if you score enough they can be overcome. Look at Mahomes last night, 2 first half picks and he didn't get down on himself, he got angry and kept throwing.

Low Positive · 2025-10-28T14:21:26Z

8 minutes ago, Big Turk said:

He looked very off in the first half but very different in the second half and looked much more like his normal self making several patented Allen plays and throws.

I just went and watched a few plays from the 3rd, and you're correct. He started to click on some throws there. One on a bootleg to Keon and another when he steps up and hits Hawes on 3-7 in the RZ. I think this didn't leave the impression that it could have because the Bills pulled Josh for the entire 4th.

Big Turk · 2025-10-28T14:24:21Z

3 minutes ago, Low Positive said:

I just went and watched a few plays from the 3rd, and you're correct. He started to click on some throws there. One on a bootleg to Keon and another when he steps up and hits Hawes on 3-7 in the RZ. I think this didn't leave the impression that it could have because the Bills pulled Josh for the entire 4th.

Even the TD pass to Shakir I don't think we realize what an elite throw that was...essentially he "told" Shakir to turn towards the sideline by where he put that ball on his outside shoulder because he saw the defender coming from the inside. So instead of spinning into the defender, Shakir spun away from the defender, up the sideline and to the house...in part because Allen made an elite, perfect throw on the play after diagnosing the situation properly.

Edited 15 hours ago by Big Turk

BillsSbSoon · 2025-10-28T14:29:42Z

Idk, there’s something going on. But how about the fact we have no downfield passing game and we turned one of the most talented gunslingers in nfl history into a game manager while he’s still in his 20s?? Imagine doing that to Favre or elway in their primes

Mat68 · 2025-10-28T14:36:24Z

8 minutes ago, Low Positive said:

I just went and watched a few plays from the 3rd, and you're correct. He started to click on some throws there. One on a bootleg to Keon and another when he steps up and hits Hawes on 3-7 in the RZ. I think this didn't leave the impression that it could have because the Bills pulled Josh for the entire 4th.

Agreed. Low volume makes normal passing game miscues stick out more. He will miss a few than make 10 in a row. Gotta just be happy with a historic rushing day by Cook. It’s like saying Cook didnt run enough if Allen threw for 500 yards. Brady wants a balanced attack so he can hammer a mismatch or tactical advantage. He was the OC vs the Rams, Ravens and Lions. If they can attack outside, inside, down the field, over the middle, or underneath they will.

Bill51390 · 2025-10-28T14:49:36Z

He’s not having fun out there. Unleash Josh, bring sugar high Josh back, just a little bit.

BananaB · 2025-10-28T14:52:53Z

This is kind of a yearly thing. Always looks like at some point he doesn’t trust WRs. 4 years in a row heading into November with WR issues.

Edited 14 hours ago by BananaB

billsfan_34 · 2025-10-28T15:53:57Z

3 hours ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

I've seen Keon completely stop multiple times when the play has extended.

Gabe Davis is fairly underrated at "adlib" get him out there

Right on! Keon legit runs into defenders too. Its awful. I just watched a huge breakdown on him last night - wanna say like ten separate plays dialed in on him. Its so bad they aren’t even looking his way.