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2024 WR Draft Class


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46 minutes ago, Dr. Who said:

Of course, that is inevitable. I am especially fond of McConkey since I believe he is going to be an excellent player and I am an UGA fan. 

I'm sure you saw this game. UGA vs Florida. 

 

I like McConkeys start/stop juking ability displayed at the :10 second and 1:36 second mark of the video.

 

Commentator Gary Danielson remarks that McConkey runs "crisp routes with sharp cuts, nothing rounded off with incredible YAC ability" at the 2:02 mark of the video.

 

 

Edited by JakeFrommStateFarm
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1 minute ago, Solomon Grundy said:

I'm all about Luke McCaffrey later in the draft. 

I like him, too. I've read some folks who dismiss him, and think if it were not for his last name, he'd be an afterthought. He's got size and tenacity. Turns out he ran a forty slightly faster than his brother. I know McConkey from watching him for years. He has the "it" factor, imo, which no amount of number crunching is going to reveal. I suspect Luke may have some of that as well.

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Sorry if this was included already, but I haven’t studied all 80 pages. I thought this was a good watch. This made me think of how high Greg Cossell was on him. 

 

 

EDIT: This is more of a breakdown of his game than a highlight reel. I’m not a huge fan of highlight reels.

 

 

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Edited by Augie
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3 hours ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

What’s everyone’s thoughts on Ricky Pearsall? 
 

 

He seems like he might be really good, or at least I've got a good feeling about him, just seems like he's got something special in his highlights compared to other ones I've seen, that's about all I've got.

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In light of the NFL Combine performances and some prospects that I've revisited, I've updated my film, metrics, and combined WR rankings. I've also thrown in my personal rankings, which isn't necessarily married entirely to the film or the metrics but sort of a bit of A and a bit of B. For example, I think the metrics are too harsh on Mitchell, but I think the metrics is keeping McConkey above Pearsall for now. As mentioned before, some guys like Jermaine Burton and Javon Baker for example are excluded; I haven't found any All 22 film of Baker and I haven't had a chance to look at Burton.

WRTable.thumb.png.32e44e9b597abd33ceb68b471aa74d59.png

 

Edited by DCOrange
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46 minutes ago, Awwufelloff said:

Speed isnt everything. Where is John Ross now?

 

 

 

 

 

The difference is that Xavier Worthy had been a projected 1st round pick in this 2024 draft since his freshman season.  

 

Worthy has been a producer at Texas since day 1.    I know there are a lot of people who don't follow college football who are suddenly interested and weighing in with hot takes about the little bit of draft history they know but Worthy is not a track star playing football or a one season wonder like most of those guys.    

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WR’s we met with:

 

Troy Franklin, Oregon 

Keon Coleman, FSU 

Tez Walker, UNC 

Xavier Worthy, Texas 

Brian Thomas Jr., LSU 

Jalen McMillan, Washington 

Adonai Mitchell, Texas 

Xavier Legette, South Carolina 

Roman Wilson, Michigan 

Johnny Wilson, FSU

 

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Its been more a fantasy stat but age of break is a solid indicator for NFL production.  “Busts” usually break out later in thier college career when they mature and have an advantage over younger competition.  Worthy breakout age 18.7.  Everyone expected a fast time from him.  I see Desean Jackson.  

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5 hours ago, OldTimer1960 said:

McConkey is an absolute route running master, Shakir is not in that class.  I’m not dissing Shakir, but I think McConkey is going to be very good - just doesn’t fill the hole the Bills have outside, but then neither does Worthy.

 

There are more than 10 receivers in the draft that could really help the Bills, but not as many that will play outside where Davis played.  I think we can discount Coleman and Franklin to the Bills round 1, but Mitchell and Legette probably fit that role.

Agreed, I think McCokey can eventually play outside at Z like Diggs but we need an X. If someone can convince me there's a Gabe upgrade at X later in the draft I can be convinced on Ladd earlier as an ultra slot/Z rotation piece early on that could take over for Diggs at Z in a couple years. Never opposed to more weapons. Have to walk away with an alpha height weight speed upgrade at X this draft at bare minimum though, that's my priority

4 hours ago, TheBeaneBandit said:

True. Could still be a dark horse for me because when you watch the film he constantly runs away from people at that size. Impressive.

I'm also intrigued that he was a kick returner, need some sauce & instincts on top of speed for that. Eric Moulds started out as KR too

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42 minutes ago, Mat68 said:

Its been more a fantasy stat but age of break is a solid indicator for NFL production.  “Busts” usually break out later in thier college career when they mature and have an advantage over younger competition.  Worthy breakout age 18.7.  Everyone expected a fast time from him.  I see Desean Jackson.  

I’m not sure the young breakout age is really a great indicator so much as an old one is bad. The youngest breakout ages for a Day 1/2 pick dating back to 2007:

  • Bryan Edwards
  • Drake London
  • Parris Campbell
  • Jordan Matthews
  • Donte Moncrief
  • Aaron Dobson
  • Rondale Moore
  • Amari Cooper
  • Sammy Watkins
  • DeAndre Hopkins
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People talk about this class like it has unprecedented depth at the WR position. But 2020 was just as deep, and not all of those guys hit.

 

First Round

  • 12- Henry Ruggs (No idea)
  • 15- Jerry Jeudy (Disappointment)
  • 17- CD Lamb (Hit)
  • 21- Jalen Reagor (Bust)
  • 22- Justin Jefferson (Superstar)
  • 25- Brandon Aiyuk (Hit)

Second Round

  • 33- Tee Higgins (Hit)
  • 34- Michael Pittman (Hit)
  • 42- Laviska Shenault (bust)
  • 46- KJ Hamler (Bust due to injuries)
  • 49- Chase Claypool (Bust-ish)
  • 57- Van Jefferson (??)
  • 59- Denzel Mimms (Bust)

Late-round steals included Devin Duvernay (3rd), Gabe Davis (4th), Darnell Mooney (5th), KJ Osborne (5th), and guys like Quez Watkins, Peoples-Jones, and Hodgins in the late rounds that are not great but are playing on NFL rosters. 

 

What I mean in all of this is that one or more of these guys that you are all drooling over is going to be the Reagor/Shenault of this draft. I would place good money on it being someone who vaults up draft boards to his performance against air yesterday. 

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15 minutes ago, MiracleAtRich1393 said:

Agreed, I think McCokey can eventually play outside at Z like Diggs but we need an X. If someone can convince me there's a Gabe upgrade at X later in the draft I can be convinced on Ladd earlier as an ultra slot/Z rotation piece early on that could take over for Diggs at Z in a couple years. Never opposed to more weapons. Have to walk away with an alpha height weight speed upgrade at X this draft at bare minimum though, that's my priority

I'm also intrigued that he was a kick returner, need some sauce & instincts on top of speed for that. Eric Moulds started out as KR too

It's funny but when I read Xavier Legette's evaluation and read someone called him a good kick returner too and made me think of Moulds because both have alpha big WR bodies.. 

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2 minutes ago, DCOrange said:

I’m not sure the young breakout age is really a great indicator so much as an old one is bad. The youngest breakout ages for a Day 1/2 pick dating back to 2007:

  • Bryan Edwards
  • Drake London
  • Parris Campbell
  • Jordan Matthews
  • Donte Moncrief
  • Aaron Dobson
  • Rondale Moore
  • Amari Cooper
  • Sammy Watkins
  • DeAndre Hopkins

I must have a different Idea of what breakout is vs the actually metric.  Cambell is a 18.1 but only caught 10 passes as a freshman.  He didnt produce until his senior year.  

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19 minutes ago, Mat68 said:

I must have a different Idea of what breakout is vs the actually metric.  Cambell is a 18.1 but only caught 10 passes as a freshman.  He didnt produce until his senior year.  

His junior season would have been his breakout as he led the team in receiving that year. But I do think his listed breakout age in incorrect. That’s quite interesting. I believe his correct breakout age would be 20.1 instead of 18.1. 

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