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What of Elam now??


JMM

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2 hours ago, JMM said:

Hmm, let's see I posted an OPINION, on a message board. How OUTRAGEOUS! I mean if we dont speak on known 100% facts, then possibly the internet police should come for me. Shudder...Now let's see, local pundits that cover the team for a living stated this was likely. National pundits also suggested it, many on this board did as well. But hey , what do they know? Good enough? Remember though

, from now on, nobody on this OPINION board is allowed to state ONE, they can only comment on KNOWN FACT.  Assumption is STRICTLY PROHIBITED. Right?

Never said you couldn't post an opinion.... Did your wife / girlfriend / little sister write this for you ? 

 

"Obviously the Bills tried to trade him. Possibly they never got a good offer, but it's just as likely no other team was really interested." That, my friend, isn't an opinion. 

 

What an odd little temper tantrum. 

1 hour ago, JoPoy88 said:


I guess you feel that YOUR opinions can’t be challenged/questioned? That’s the only reason I see for this little fit.

 

Yes, many local and some national football pundits thought the Bills might try to trade Elam. You turned that into “OBVIOUSLY the team tried to trade him.” Bit of reach, no? That’s why you were questioned but I guess you can’t handle that.

Yeah, his little fit was childish. 

 

Didn't rebut my question just deflected lol 

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14 minutes ago, FireChans said:

Yeah sure, teams definitely say, “man this draft bust sucks so bad, I hope no one tries to trade for him,” lmao.

 

If teams were poking around on Elam and offering conditional 7ths, yeah Beane probably said no. But Elam being inactive pretty much every week means he was on the market, and every other GM knew it.


not sure how you pulled the bold from what I said, I didn’t imply that at all.

 

And Elam being inactive so many weeks =/= “he was on the market.” There are other, valid reasons for landing on the inactive list. His level of play/practice habits being the most obvious. That doesn’t mean they are willing or eager to trade him at this stage. Again, similar to the OP, you’re stating your assumptions as fact. 

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I agree with the positive takes and the 22 year old upside, but it’s all a bit weird really, going back to his abysmal, looking lost play in the preseason. Worried he has the football equivalent of the yips (is that also the yips?) or something mental at this point. Was enough to end Knoblauch’s career.

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4 hours ago, Mango said:

For a good number of Bills draft picks, they aren’t allowed to get better by playing, or be decent on early on a rookie contract.
 

They’re required to sit behind some free agents until they’re a free agent. Once you go from rookie deal to extension, then and only then, can you grasp the Buffalo Bills.

Yet somehow someway Bernard and Benford have cracked the lineup.  

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1 hour ago, JoPoy88 said:


My opinion is there was nothing “obvious” surrounding the Elam situation as it stands today. There were factors, no. 1 being his play up to now, that suggested the team may try to move him. There are other factors, his draft status being no. 1, that suggested the team is nowhere close to giving up on him, especially when his trade value right now is pretty much bottomed out.

 

28 minutes ago, JoPoy88 said:


not sure how you pulled the bold from what I said, I didn’t imply that at all.

 

And Elam being inactive so many weeks =/= “he was on the market.” There are other, valid reasons for landing on the inactive list. His level of play/practice habits being the most obvious. That doesn’t mean they are willing or eager to trade him at this stage. Again, similar to the OP, you’re stating your assumptions as fact. 

"We don't want folks trying to trade for him because he's so bad his value is basically zero" is pretty much implied from the bolded. Which is just not how NFL teams operate.

 

Elam being inactive so many weeks ABSOLUTELY means he is on the market. You know who isn't on the market?  Josh Allen. Dion Dawkins. Terell Bernard. Guys who play and have value to their team RIGHT NOW. Everyone else is on the market.

 

If a GM calls Beane and says "hey we're interested in Elam, want to make a deal?," do you think Beane is saying "No thanks, he has tremendous value to us on the healthy scratch list every week, I don't even want to hear your offer."

 

OF COURSE NOT. THAT'S INSANE.

 

Every GM in the NFL knows the deal with Elam. He is not a roster untouchable. Some probably tried to buy so low that Beane decided it wasn't worth the cap hit to get a conditional 7th or whatever garbage was offered. However, that doesn't mean he wasn't on the market.

 

If Brandon Beane was offered a day 2 pick for Elam today, do you think Elam is still a Bill?  I don't. And if you think yes, then I would say Beane is wrong in that scenario.

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2 hours ago, Ethan in Cleveland said:

They couldn't trade him now because his signing bonus would have eaten any remaining cap space. His dead cap hit was $11M. Even next year will be hard to move him as he will have a dead cap hit of over $8M.  He's probably on the team through 2024.

I wonder if they try to move him to nickel with a possibility he replaces Taron in 2025. 


You don’t want to keep paying Taron $8m per year ?

 

Im gunna guess not ….

 

Actually ..he has been below average he past couple of weeks

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13 minutes ago, FireChans said:

 

"We don't want folks trying to trade for him because he's so bad his value is basically zero" is pretty much implied from the bolded. Which is just not how NFL teams operate.

 

Elam being inactive so many weeks ABSOLUTELY means he is on the market. You know who isn't on the market?  Josh Allen. Dion Dawkins. Terell Bernard. Guys who play and have value to their team RIGHT NOW. Everyone else is on the market.

 

If a GM calls Beane and says "hey we're interested in Elam, want to make a deal?," do you think Beane is saying "No thanks, he has tremendous value to us on the healthy scratch list every week, I don't even want to hear your offer."

 

OF COURSE NOT. THAT'S INSANE.

 

Every GM in the NFL knows the deal with Elam. He is not a roster untouchable. Some probably tried to buy so low that Beane decided it wasn't worth the cap hit to get a conditional 7th or whatever garbage was offered. However, that doesn't mean he wasn't on the market.

 

If Brandon Beane was offered a day 2 pick for Elam today, do you think Elam is still a Bill?  I don't. And if you think yes, then I would say Beane is wrong in that scenario.


You have no idea how NFL teams operate. The statement that his current trade value is low is matter-of-fact. It was not implied that it is prohibitive to a trade if Beane really wanted to move him and was motivated to do so today, which he didn’t. It’s simply a possible factor that might weigh into the decision.

 

Seriously, the percentage of what random fans *think* they know for certain about team decision-making, when they don’t know squat, to what they can actually state with accuracy is probably something like 95%-5%. Around this place it’s probably closer to 99%-1%. 


Even the so-called experts and “pro” rumor mongers on social media, with presumed actual contacts around the league, don’t bat anywhere close to 1.000. 
 

But yeah let’s also listen to Mr. FireChans here and they’ll lecture us on “how the league works.” Pfff.

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2 minutes ago, JoPoy88 said:


You have no idea how NFL teams operate. The statement that his current trade value is low is matter-of-fact. It was not implied that it is prohibitive to a trade if Beane really wanted to move him and was motivated to do so today, which he didn’t. It’s simply a possible factor that might weigh into the decision.

 

Seriously, the percentage of what random fans *think* they know for certain about team decision-making, when they don’t know squat, to what they can actually state with accuracy is probably something like 95%-5%. Around this place it’s probably closer to 99%-1%. 


Even the so-called experts and “pro” rumor mongers on social media, with presumed actual contacts around the league, don’t bat anywhere close to 1.000. 
 

But yeah let’s also listen to Mr. FireChans here and they’ll lecture us on “how the league works.” Pfff.

Whatever you say lmao.

 

The only players on the market were the ones traded today I guess lol.  A nice fishbowl worldview.

 

I noticed you dodged the question on if Elam is a Bill today if Beane was offered a day 2 pick. Probably because you know the answer.

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Just now, FireChans said:

Whatever you say lmao.

 

The only players on the market were the ones traded today I guess lol.  A nice fishbowl worldview.

 

I noticed you dodged the question on if Elam is a Bill today if Beane was offered a day 2 pick. Probably because you know the answer.


I’m not dodging anything. I don’t know the answer, for certain. That’s the difference here - you think you know things you don’t, for certain.

 

If your strawman is “does the desire to move player X increase if the compensation goes up” then yeah sure. agreed. Quite an insight.

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The attrition rate of 1st round picks looks like the following. I think Elam eventually gets PT either on Bills or elsewhere.

 

2010 only 4/32 playing in 2023

2011 7/32

2012 7/32

2013 4/32

2014 12/32

2015 19/32

2016 20/31

2017 25/32

2018 29/32

2019 30/32 *1 death

2020 28/33 *1 prison

2021 32/32

2022 32/32 * Elam doesn’t play

 

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6 hours ago, skibum said:

To all the folks who suggest he be traded - Traded for what??? He's a first round pick who can't get on the field, even when injuries strike. Who is press-boxed in favor of off-the-couch Josh freaking Norman! Who forced his GM to cough up a 3rd rounder to bring in yet another vet at the deadline!

 

How do you wash that kind of stink off? I think they're stuck with him. Either the light bulb goes on, or they cut him in the off-season. Maybe they try to stash him on the practice squad, but it seems like they think he can't play pro ball at all. 

 

If they cut him and put him on PS then the 5th year option goes away and it eliminates part of his value.

 

Elam has been inactive for 8 regular season games.

Physically he has the ability to play but he does not seem to be able to transition yet to being a zone QB.

He has played some special teams but there are players who are better than him.

He has had 0-8 tackles per game on defense (tackling very important for Bills DBs) and four games where he has been credited with a pass defended.

He also has had 2 games in 2022 with an interception plus an interception in Miami playoff game.

He had 3 penalties in 2022 (2 for Defensive Holding and 1 for Defensive Pass Interference).  One Defensive Pass Interference in 2023.

 

 

I do not think Bills have given up on him but with number of injuries they cannot afford him to learn on the job,

 

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53 minutes ago, JoPoy88 said:


I’m not dodging anything. I don’t know the answer, for certain. That’s the difference here - you think you know things you don’t, for certain.

 

If your strawman is “does the desire to move player X increase if the compensation goes up” then yeah sure. agreed. Quite an insight.

It’s not a strawman. 
 

You can’t hold two contrary opinions. Elam can’t be “not on the market” and also “available for the right price.”  Lol

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