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Where are you at this brand new “No running Josh” ?


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50 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:

 

Disagree.

 

In both games our Offense would be totally different if Josh were running. On both called QB runs AND scrambles.

 

Historically, Josh getting a couple runs in and laying some lumber to the defense settles him down. Nothing is for certain, but I could see it breaking him out of whatever weird head-space he was in in New Jersey.

 

In London, the offense needed a spark and to find its identity. I fully believe Josh running answers both of those needs. Maybe a couple of called runs and a scramble or two to keep the chains moving is all that is needed to change a one-score game.

 

I've said it in a number of threads, but it's a numbers game. When Josh is running the Bills are +1 on skills guys the defense must cover. When he isnt running, the numbers sway back to the defense's favor and it's easier for them to cover and defend.

I specifically mentioned the OT for a reason.  Maybe we would not have been in OT with more Josh running.  But that was not my point.  There is a bigger issue with the team not being able to close out games effciently. 

In London, the team looked completely unprepared on offense (same problem this week against the Giants).  I am not certain that Josh running more is the optimal answer to coming to games with a piss poor game plan, followed by piss poor play calling.   Allen's skills as passer are top 5% in NFL history.    A decent coaching staff would not have to rely on him running. 

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20 minutes ago, DabillsDaBillsDaBills said:

 

4 seems unbelievably low, where is that number from ?

 

https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/advanced-stats-wr.php

 

Looking up individual players

Knox: 4 (yikes)

Diggs: 2

Davis: 2

Harty: 1

 

Doesn't look like they track RBs but Cook has at least 1 drop this season. That would put us at 10 for the year, which passes the eye test for me. No idea how it compares league wide. 

 

For Josh running the ball: I'd love to see more scrambles and bring the designed runs back. Josh has that 6th sense where he avoids big hits while running the ball. With a few exceptions he's the one delivering the energy of the hit not absorbing the energy from the defender. 

http://hosted.stats.com/fb/tmleaders.asp?type=Receiving&range=NFL&rank=232 and now I'm wondering where they pulled from. I assumed it was the difference between what we consider a drop vs what statisticians do. I know KC is the worst, but jesus Knox almost doubles the drop number. The biggest problem there is that his production is trash, the other TEs near him in drops are having much better seasons overall. If he had 4 drops or stats like LaPorta we would probably not focus on it. 

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I've always advocated for Josh running. It is one of the things that makes him a weapon in the NFL. It is also something that helps spark the offense when things get tough.

 

Although, I do think it is good that Allen is learning how to play without doing it. That's important. Hopefully, after awhile he'll be able to find a balance and know when he needs to run to get things moving.

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30 minutes ago, DabillsDaBillsDaBills said:

 

4 seems unbelievably low, where is that number from ?

 

https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/advanced-stats-wr.php

 

Looking up individual players

Knox: 4 (yikes)

Diggs: 2

Davis: 2

Harty: 1

 

Doesn't look like they track RBs but Cook has at least 1 drop this season. That would put us at 10 for the year, which passes the eye test for me. No idea how it compares league wide. 

 

For Josh running the ball: I'd love to see more scrambles and bring the designed runs back. Josh has that 6th sense where he avoids big hits while running the ball. With a few exceptions he's the one delivering the energy of the hit not absorbing the energy from the defender. 

 

Can't be too many, Allen leads the NFL in completion percentage still north of 70%.

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3 hours ago, Italian Bills said:

After three to four years where Josh piled yards with his freaking athleticism, this season, in this first six games, his game is pretty different, very less runs (almost none even where some good opportunities come) and more of a pocket passer if not when he must escape from a sack, but also in this cases, he try to find someone open in a broken play and if none is free, then he wisely throws an incomplete. 
 

Now, i know that most of us were asking for less runs to avoid injuries first and then fumbles, but isn’t too much a change right now ? 
 

it seem that defenses know that he won’t run anymore so their job is a lot easier now. 
 

Maybe adding some good run here and there during every game would keep other D honest and would open the field for our guys. 
 

What you think ? 
 

And what about Josh ? Do you think he’s 100% ok with this new concept or maybe he would just want to be the “real” Josh when chances come ?

I think it's good that he is running less, and fewer plays are being called putting him at risk of getting destroyed by some linebacker or 300 pound DT. 

 

Doesn't mean he can't scramble or execute a called run play now and then. But not as a regular practice, hurdling people and getting lit up on the sidelines rather than go out of bounds. 

 

If he kept going the way he was going, the probability was he'd end up like Cam Newton, career basically over by age 31. 

Edited by Dr. K
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3 hours ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

I hope he runs without any hesitation at all in the postseason that’s for damn sure.

That’s where I’m at. I don’t care if I see it in the regular season. Stay healthy and run when we need it. 
We don’t need it to be a playoff team. 

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I'm torn on it.  Sometimes when I'm watching the games, it seems like he's thinking too much - you can almost see the conflicting signals going on in his thought process, where his instinct is to run, but he's been told every day, "don't run!"

 

Based on that alone, it would be easy to say "let Josh be Josh," and just have him go back to what he's used to.  But, there is also a hope that as time goes on, it becomes a more automatic thing that he doesn't have to think about as much, and he can get into the flow of the game more easily.

 

That said - it has tilted too far in the 'no running' direction.  He needs to find a happy medium, where he runs like most other QB's - when it's there.

 

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2 hours ago, Charles Romes said:

The negative is that defenses are preparing for a non-running Allen, which is easier. 

Yes, their preparing for a non running Allen while the Bills OL still struggles for a 6th straight year.  When is this organization going to ever figure it out?

6 minutes ago, Success said:

I'm torn on it.  Sometimes when I'm watching the games, it seems like he's thinking too much - you can almost see the conflicting signals going on in his thought process, where his instinct is to run, but he's been told every day, "don't run!"

 

Based on that alone, it would be easy to say "let Josh be Josh," and just have him go back to what he's used to.  But, there is also a hope that as time goes on, it becomes a more automatic thing that he doesn't have to think about as much, and he can get into the flow of the game more easily.

 

That said - it has tilted too far in the 'no running' direction.  He needs to find a happy medium, where he runs like most other QB's - when it's there.

 

Totally agree...I've said this in several posts. He's gotta continue to selectively run but protect himself better. That "happy medium" is critical to the success of our offense.  If it slides way to one side or the other, the results will be bad.

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It’s obviously been coached out of him to not just take off like he’s Forrest Gump anymore. He needs to honestly save his ground game for later in the season against the likes of the Chiefs,Eagles, and Cowboys. Teams with really high level pass rushes which will force coordinators to have to implement a spy. This will work very well if someone other than Diggs can get open in the passing game. 

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49 minutes ago, Chaos said:

I specifically mentioned the OT for a reason.  Maybe we would not have been in OT with more Josh running.  But that was not my point.  There is a bigger issue with the team not being able to close out games effciently. 

In London, the team looked completely unprepared on offense (same problem this week against the Giants).  I am not certain that Josh running more is the optimal answer to coming to games with a piss poor game plan, followed by piss poor play calling.   Allen's skills as passer are top 5% in NFL history.    A decent coaching staff would not have to rely on him running. 

Of course what you are saying is correct, even with all the designated runs you want, without improving our offense play calling, we are dead. 

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2 hours ago, Trogdor said:

The bills have 4 drops on the year and are near the bottom of the league in that category. It doesn't seem to make a difference because the open guy isn't getting the ball even against stacked boxes. 

They had 4 drops this week.

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43 minutes ago, Success said:

I'm torn on it.  Sometimes when I'm watching the games, it seems like he's thinking too much - you can almost see the conflicting signals going on in his thought process, where his instinct is to run, but he's been told every day, "don't run!"

 

Based on that alone, it would be easy to say "let Josh be Josh," and just have him go back to what he's used to.  But, there is also a hope that as time goes on, it becomes a more automatic thing that he doesn't have to think about as much, and he can get into the flow of the game more easily.

 

That said - it has tilted too far in the 'no running' direction.  He needs to find a happy medium, where he runs like most other QB's - when it's there.

 

I thought the same, Josh’s look sometimes seems lost… like if he’s thinking too much maybe not liking what Dorsey called. 
 

Right also that he has to find again the right balance between the old Josh and this one. 

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Lots of voices calling for Allen to run a lot less the last couple years. Now the Bills offense is there , and voices are calling for Allen to run more. Isn’t this what they all wanted , to extend Allen’s career etc. ? It seems like the threat of Allen running opened up more opportunities in the passing game. If Josh running is what it takes to win just a single Super Bowl title , I’m all for it. 

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