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Spotrac has Levi Wallace valued @ $9M/yr. Thoughts?


Estro
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20 hours ago, Estro said:

I love spotrac.com, Mike Ginniti does a great job & I really like his market valuations for FAs to be.

 

He's very thorough in his breakdowns, but I think hus value for Levi is off.

 

Levi coming off of a steady 2020 season hit FA and ended up coming vacation to the Bills on a 1 yr deal that payed him a little more than $1M.  1 year later coming g off another steady year, spotrac now has Levi valued @ $9M per year.  Doesn't seem to pass the sniff test.  Levi has been a steady, solid player, but it appears no one valued him last year even @ the $2.5-3M range so I don't see how he's suddenly going to find 3x or even 4x that much on the open market.

 

I think hes worth a lot more than the $1M he played for last season, but I'd be surprised if he finds north of $6M on the open market. Don't forget teams don't love slow corners and Levi is a very limited athlete by CB standards. I think the Bills will offer him a 3 year extension in the $4M per year range and hold firm.

 

If he finds $6M or better on the open market, give me the 5th round comp. pick & find a FA vet to replace him.

 

Levi's measurable at the combine listed below, there's a reason he went undrafted

https://www.mockdraftable.com/player/levi-wallace

 

Dane Jacksons performance allows to move on from Paying Levi 10M AAV.  Replace this position in the Draft.

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13 hours ago, Turbo44 said:

He overachieved for an undrafted player but watch him vs kc in the last game and tell me he’s worth $10m.

 

Draft a CB at 25 I collect the comp pick from Wallace singing for $10m elsewhere 

There is such a massive shortage of decent CBs in the league that he’s probably worth that number. Watch teams like Washington, Atlanta, and the Jets. Their corners are generally very bad overall. Other teams (Seattle, Detroit, Minnesota, to name three) need help too. Wallace is at least decent and a legit starter. 

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7 minutes ago, Bill from NYC said:

Wow.....one whole win per season!!!

 

Thank you for making my point. 👍

 

But who do you think would have improved it more? Other than a QB? The fact is Gilmore was one of the two elite or borderline elite players on an average team. 

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1 hour ago, Bill from NYC said:

How many games did Gilmore win for the Bills? Oh yeah, how hard did he play? 

 

Gilmore was very talented but drafting him did not result in winning game for the Bills.

Bill, perhaps the main reason the Bills lost to KC was because of physically limited corners who couldn’t keep up with the KC receivers. CB is a more important position than it was 20 years ago. The game has evolved.

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BUFFALO BILLS
CB LEVI WALLACE
2021 Player Grade/Rank: 65.2 (55 of 134)
2021 Team Position Grade/Rank: 69.5 (12th of 32)

The Bills lost star cornerback Tre’Davious White for the season with a torn ACL in Week 12, and Wallace played a big part in their defense maintaining a high level of play down the stretch, earning a 68.5 coverage grade on 993 snaps. Wallace has played at least 400 snaps in every season since signing as an undrafted free agent (UDFA) in 2018 and has never earned a grade below 60.0 — a strong floor at a volatile position like outside cornerback.

 

While White is “on schedule” with his rehab per Buffalo head coach Sean McDermott, there’s no timetable for when White will be 100 percent healthy again. Sometimes players say it takes almost two years to return to full form following such an injury.

Because of that, the Bills certainly could not only prioritize getting Wallace back under contract, Buffalo might re-sign him and bring in more depth as well. Cornerback is certainly a position to keep an eye on in the coming month.

Edited by nedboy7
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One issue I noticed all year, is Wallace is an unwilling tackler. Multiple times he gets washed out of the play being blocked by a WR, or taking a terrible angle (on purpose?) when a running or screen play comes to his side of the field.

 

I haven’t noticed the same thing with Tre, Dane Jackson, or Johnson.

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5 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

That wasn't quite what he said. He said their 2nd round talents at corner had gone off the board and he wasn't going to reach for a guy because IF he reached for a guy and then he couldn't beat out Dane who had the advantage of a 2nd year in the system it would not be considered a good pick. 

 

To an extent he is right. I had four 1st round grades at corner and only two 2nd round corners last draft and they were all long gone before the Bills picked. 

 

 

I don't remember the "had the advantage of a 2nd year in the system" part.

 

At this time last year Beane was really talking up Dane Jackson quite a bit.    

 

They like Dane Jackson a lot.........I think for the most part he played as well as could be expected in White's absence...........and they see him as maybe more than just a system guy..........which is how I think they (rightly) view Levi.

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8 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

I don't remember the "had the advantage of a 2nd year in the system" part.

 

At this time last year Beane was really talking up Dane Jackson quite a bit.    

 

They like Dane Jackson a lot.........I think for the most part he played as well as could be expected in White's absence...........and they see him as maybe more than just a system guy..........which is how I think they (rightly) view Levi.

 

I'd have to listen back but I was pretty sure he said that as a reason a drafted guy might not beat Dane out. I think they do like him. I like him as well. I just don't think you can let Levi walk, plug Dane Jackson in and say off we go. That room needs more talent. 

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8 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I'd have to listen back but I was pretty sure he said that as a reason a drafted guy might not beat Dane out. I think they do like him. I like him as well. I just don't think you can let Levi walk, plug Dane Jackson in and say off we go. That room needs more talent. 

 

This is totally right.

 

I would like both Wallace and Jackson and would happy with both on the roster next year, but I wouldn't be totally comfortable even with them back. The room needs more depth and talent - at least a veteran contributor or second day player in addition to our current guys.

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5 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I'd have to listen back but I was pretty sure he said that as a reason a drafted guy might not beat Dane out. I think they do like him. I like him as well. I just don't think you can let Levi walk, plug Dane Jackson in and say off we go. That room needs more talent. 

 

 

I'd like to see them get more talent at CB.........but my rationale is more about them being more flexible/multiple on defense and making more plays on the football.    Which I have no reason to believe are priorities to Beane/McDermott.    If you are going to play mostly zone either way then elite traits at CB can be overkill/overdraft.

 

In this system one of Nick McCloud,  Cam Lewis or Olaijah Griffin might be able to step in and fill the role that Jackson did last year..........and Jackson replace Levi.    I also believe White will be back on opening day and play well next season.   Not likely as well as he was THIS season but better than Levi or Dane.  

 

I guess my take is they aren't any worse at this point than they seemed to be at this time last year when it was also assumed that Levi Wallace would sign elsewhere........and Dane was the next in line to start then.     I could see them adding a cheap vet like Richard Sherman to the mix and a late round traits guy like Josh Williams and calling it a day.    

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 7 - 7.5 is more likely solely because he hasn’t been injured so he is reliable. No one will be paying him 9-10 unless it’s a team whi will overpay because no one wants to go there like Houston or the Jags. 

Edited by Locomark
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2 hours ago, dave mcbride said:

Bill, perhaps the main reason the Bills lost to KC was because of physically limited corners who couldn’t keep up with the KC receivers. CB is a more important position than it was 20 years ago. The game has evolved.

It has evolved no doubt but if this team doesn't protect Josh they are through. 

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I think everyone would like Wallace back but it comes down to numbers and he deserves to get paid.  Here’s an interesting question, who’s more replaceable Levi or Edmunds?  Would you rather let Edmunds walk and draft his replacement early or let Wallace walk and draft his replacement early? 

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13 hours ago, ScottLaw said:

He was awful in the divisional game…. Had a good year though. They’ll be fine without him.

The whole back seven was awful in that game and several of the others had good seasons too.  They’ll be fine if they can adequately replace him. 

3 hours ago, MAJBobby said:

Now on a SIDE NOTE.  I definitely would bring Hughes back at the projection SPOTRAC has on him at 3.3M AAV

I was wondering if this was in the cards.  We need depth there and that’s still a bargain for him. 

Edited by BarleyNY
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2 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I'd have to listen back but I was pretty sure he said that as a reason a drafted guy might not beat Dane out. I think they do like him. I like him as well. I just don't think you can let Levi walk, plug Dane Jackson in and say off we go. That room needs more talent. 

He did say this, sort of. The topic was why the Bills didn’t draft a CB in the second round instead of Basham, who almost never played. Beane’s answer implied that there wasn’t a CB rated as a second round talent available, and that to reach for one who would then end up playing worse that Jackson would be bad for the team and also that draft picks development, as he would be labeled a bust.

 

It sounded to me like a very lukewarm endorsement of Jackson. Basically, just that he didn’t totally stink.

Edited by vincec
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12 hours ago, Richard Noggin said:

They've viewed him as a starter the last two seasons, though, haven't they? Definitely this past season, at least. Last season (2020) they brought in competition for him (Norman), but they didn't really do that this year, did they (I'm asking sincerely)?

Has he started because the Bills thought he was a quality #2 CB, or because they've felt they could get by with him playing that role while they upgraded other areas that needed more urgent attention?

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