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Love that they doubled down on WR in this draft


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2 hours ago, ngbills said:

It is interesting and human nature I guess. Fans tend to overvalue the unknown. Last year Duke was not playing and there was so much talk about how he is the best WR on the roster etc. 

 

Now we draft Davis and Hodgins and the Bills have "double-downed" on WR. Reality is neither of these guys could make the roster. Who are they better than?

 

Diggs, Brown, Beasley - No

Roberts, Foster, McKenzie - Probably not

Williams, McCloud, Easley - Maybe

 

I have no problem with them being drafted where they were. But lets not exaggerate the value here. If they had moved up or drafter guys early - like Higgins, Aiyuk, Pittman etc. Even one of the first 10 WR off the board that would be one thing. But they took the 17th and 30th WR of the draft. These are low risk, maybe the make the team type of picks. Its lower than a free agent signing like a Rashard Higgins, Marquise Lee, Jordan Matthews and if one of those guys were signed would we have a Bills double down thread?

So your basically it totally on where they were drafted......okkkkkay

10 minutes ago, ngbills said:

I dont think it is that simple. Zay Jones had 399 NCAA receptions - more than that entire list combined. R Foster caught for over 500 yds as an undrafted rookie including 3 100 yd games. Duke was supposedly all world if not for off the field issues. You can dice it up at many ways. At the end of the day I dont think it is unreasonable to call this what it is. Davis and Hodgins are your typical 4-7 round prospects that may or may not have careers in this league. 

In what was the best wide receiver class in what.....a decade?

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2 hours ago, ngbills said:

It is interesting and human nature I guess. Fans tend to overvalue the unknown. Last year Duke was not playing and there was so much talk about how he is the best WR on the roster etc. 

 

Now we draft Davis and Hodgins and the Bills have "double-downed" on WR. Reality is neither of these guys could make the roster. Who are they better than?

 

Diggs, Brown, Beasley - No

Roberts, Foster, McKenzie - Probably not

Williams, McCloud, Easley - Maybe

 

I have no problem with them being drafted where they were. But lets not exaggerate the value here. If they had moved up or drafter guys early - like Higgins, Aiyuk, Pittman etc. Even one of the first 10 WR off the board that would be one thing. But they took the 17th and 30th WR of the draft. These are low risk, maybe the make the team type of picks. Its lower than a free agent signing like a Rashard Higgins, Marquise Lee, Jordan Matthews and if one of those guys were signed would we have a Bills double down thread?

I think that Davis and Hodgins will be given every opportunity to show that they belong on the active roster.

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4 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

So your basically it totally on where they were drafted......okkkkkay

In what was the best wide receiver class in what.....a decade?

Yes - because that is the price paid to get them. How else would I base it? If they took a WR in the 2nd that is them taking a bigger bet on the player. I would call that doubling down. What they did is what teams do in and out every year. WR was one of the weaker units on the team. Everyone single draft "expert" expected the Bills to draft WR's. 

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2 minutes ago, ngbills said:

Yes - because that is the price paid to get them. How else would I base it? If they took a WR in the 2nd that is them taking a bigger bet on the player. I would call that doubling down. What they did is what teams do in and out every year. WR was one of the weaker units on the team. Everyone single draft "expert" expected the Bills to draft WR's. 

Are you of the opinion that most WR's that can play are drafted high?

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30 minutes ago, ngbills said:

I dont think it is that simple. Zay Jones had 399 NCAA receptions - more than that entire list combined. R Foster caught for over 500 yds as an undrafted rookie including 3 100 yd games. Duke was supposedly all world if not for off the field issues. You can dice it up at many ways. At the end of the day I dont think it is unreasonable to call this what it is. Davis and Hodgins are your typical 4-7 round prospects that may or may not have careers in this league. 

Ok I will take the bait here.  Zay Jones averaged just over 10 YPC and had only 23 TDs (same as Davis) on 400 catches (or 247 more), one every 17 catches. 

Hodgins, for the record caught 176 passes and 20 TDs in 34 games at Oregon State.  He averaged 13.4 YPC and scored a TD on every 8.6 catches.  Against mostly PAC 10 teams.

 

Davis and Hodgins are down the field, contested catch WR targets unlike Zay in college.  They will go get the ball, something Foster, Zay and Duke have shown they struggle with.

 

I believe they both will be better than Zay (not hard to do) and beat our Foster and Williams.

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17 hours ago, Mark Vader said:

I said many times prior to the draft that I wanted the Bills to select 2 WR's.

 

Several people on this board chided me, stating that "What good does drafting a #4 & 5 WR help the Bills."

 

It was always about the big picture. Brown & Beasley getting into their 30's and also only signed for just 2 more seasons. Not to mention the fact that this WR group was loaded with talent.

 

Honestly, did anyone else here feel confident going into the season with Foster, WIlliams, McKenzie & Roberts being our reserve group?

 

Our WR unit just got a lot better overall. Thank you, Mr. Beane. GO BILLS!!! 

The wind blows and McKenzie falls down- they will cut him and Foster imo

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17 minutes ago, freddyjj said:

Ok I will take the bait here.  Zay Jones averaged just over 10 YPC and had only 23 TDs (same as Davis) on 400 catches (or 247 more), one every 17 catches. 

Hodgins, for the record caught 176 passes and 20 TDs in 34 games at Oregon State.  He averaged 13.4 YPC and scored a TD on every 8.6 catches.  Against mostly PAC 10 teams.

 

Davis and Hodgins are down the field, contested catch WR targets unlike Zay in college.  They will go get the ball, something Foster, Zay and Duke have shown they struggle with.

 

I believe they both will be better than Zay (not hard to do) and beat our Foster and Williams.

Or they dont make the team and in a year people need to look up their names to remember who those two late round WR's were. 

 

Isn't Duke sold as the go get the ball guy?

28 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

Are you of the opinion that most WR's that can play are drafted high?

Generally speaking the higher your drafted at any position, the better the player. Obviously doesn't always go that way. But the odds of a 1-3rd rounder making it vs a 4-7th rounder are vastly different. People here about the few late rounders that do well and think its the norm and forget the fact there 10-15 guys that never make it. 

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After the top 3 WR's, there's a big dropoff, so good move. I still wish they'd do more to upgrade the right side of the OL though. Hopefully one of those guys will be a solid #4. I likr McKenzie for his speed and versatility and Roberts as well. I can see us carrying 6 WR's on the roster and a rookie WR on the PS.

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1 hour ago, ngbills said:

Yes - because that is the price paid to get them. How else would I base it? If they took a WR in the 2nd that is them taking a bigger bet on the player. I would call that doubling down. What they did is what teams do in and out every year. WR was one of the weaker units on the team. Everyone single draft "expert" expected the Bills to draft WR's. 

These two guys put up some pretty big numbers at big universities, this is supposedly one of the deepest receiver drafts in years. Hodgins caught I think it is like 156 of 159 catchable balls in college, he is also 6"4 and long armed, and ran the fastest 20 yard shuttle at the combine. That is the type of camp body I like to have on the roster, I am more pumped about him than I am Davis and he was picked in the late 6th round. If it even takes a year to get him up to speed on the practice squad (hopefully if need be they can get him to clear waivers) I am very excited about his potential.

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44 minutes ago, BuffaloHokie13 said:

Doesn't sell well when the last memory people have is Duke dropping the go get it ball that would have put us up in an elimination game. 

Yeah....I was high on Duke last year but dropping it when we needed it the most was NOT a good look.

 

and

 

Its not the first time last year that a big physical receiver fighting for a ball in the end zone and coming down with it would have helped us.

5 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Read my day 3 debrief. I say exactly that!

Maybe when its all said and done they will be calling Tee Higgins the lite version of him

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5 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:

 

Maybe when its all said and done they will be calling Tee Higgins the lite version of him

 

Maybe but I think Tee is gonna be a really good player and landed in a perfect spot. I do like Gabe a lot though  

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6 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Maybe but I think Tee is gonna be a really good player and landed in a perfect spot. I do like Gabe a lot though  

Tee with CB2 or CB3 on him without safety help will be pretty nice. If AJ Green is healthy, that offense might start rolling early.

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4 hours ago, thebandit27 said:


So how many players do teams get to keep on their permanent roster that are protected from being poached off the PS on non-gamedays?

 

I'm assuming none as of now.  I've been searching for an answer (hey that a Chicago tune) but I can't find anything.  I know there was some talk

about that before the CBA was signed.  If I find something out I will definitely start a thread about it.  Hope others do the same.

 

3 hours ago, Chandler#81 said:

Andre Roberts provided a few thrills last year, but never delivered a knockout punch and was virtually invisible as a WR. Add his salary and he’s on the bubble. ‘Rue-Rue’? ‘Dupe’? ‘Sleazy’? ‘Fluster’? fuggetaboutit..

 

I’m guessing last year was the last year..

 

Yes to your first post and I hope so for your second.

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5 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said:

 

I'm assuming none as of now.  I've been searching for an answer (hey that a Chicago tune) but I can't find anything.  I know there was some talk

about that before the CBA was signed.  If I find something out I will definitely start a thread about it.  Hope others do the same.

 

 

Yes to your first post and I hope so for your second.

Bills had the 8th best average starting field position, and Roberts was a part of that.

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5 hours ago, ngbills said:

Foster, McKenzie - Probably not

Williams, McCloud, Easley - Maybe

Too funny NG.  The 2 guys the Bills drafted in a very rich WR draft year in Rd 4 and Rd 6 are worse or no better than a 5th Rounder from 2017 (McKenzie), a 6th rounder from 2018 McCloud or 3 UDFAs in Williams, Easley and Foster.

 

Here's the world for the 2020 picks now.  Make this team over 5 guys with little or no production in the NFL.  Doesn't really matter what you or I think but Davis and Hodgins probably like their odds.

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25 minutes ago, FireChans said:

Bills had the 8th best average starting field position, and Roberts was a part of that.

 

Andre Roberts is very good as a returner although his numbers dropped off a lot from the previous year with the Jets.

The negative is he brings nothing to the WR room.  As the Bills roster improves keeping a return specialist increases

the odds that another good player loses his spot.  Roster spots will be at a premium this year.

 

Time will tell what happens with him this year but my point is a valid one.

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7 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said:

 

Andre Roberts is very good as a returner although his numbers dropped off a lot from the previous year with the Jets.

The negative is he brings nothing to the WR room.  As the Bills roster improves keeping a return specialist increases

the odds that another good player loses his spot.  Roster spots will be at a premium this year.

 

Time will tell what happens with him this year but my point is a valid one.

McD cares a lot about ST though. He’s shown that with his rosters through the years.

 

I see Diggs, Brown, Beasley, Davis, Hodgins, McK and Roberts as the room if they  can keep 7.

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8 minutes ago, FireChans said:

McD cares a lot about ST though. He’s shown that with his rosters through the years.

 

I see Diggs, Brown, Beasley, Davis, Hodgins, McK and Roberts as the room if they  can keep 7.

 

McD certainly does and with the 2 additional game day roster spots Roberts has a good chance of staying for his last year of his contract.

Will the Bills re-sign him for 2021 to another 2 year contract?  I don't know about that.

If not they will need another return man soon.

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16 minutes ago, freddyjj said:

Too funny NG.  The 2 guys the Bills drafted in a very rich WR draft year in Rd 4 and Rd 6 are worse or no better than a 5th Rounder from 2017 (McKenzie), a 6th rounder from 2018 McCloud or 3 UDFAs in Williams, Easley and Foster.

 

Here's the world for the 2020 picks now.  Make this team over 5 guys with little or no production in the NFL.  Doesn't really matter what you or I think but Davis and Hodgins probably like their odds.

Diggs, Brown, Beasley have had production for multiple years in NFL

Roberts and McK both played a a key role on the team for multiple years

Foster had 500 yds as a rookie

Duke showed flashes and played well in a playoff game

 

That is 7 guys that have legitimately played in the NFL. Only Easley and McCloud fall in the little or no production group. Davis and Hodgins are battling it out with Roberts, McK, Foster, Duke for the final 2-3 sports. With a short training camp it could be an uphill battle.

 

Yes it was a very rich WR draft. That does not mean it trickles down to every single player. The difference was and as we saw there were 5-6 guys worthy of a 1st rounder and another 6-8 worthy of 2nd round picks. Typically there are 2-3 first rounders and maybe another 5-8 worthy of 2nd's. So loaded was in the sense of lots early talent, that does not mean even the 6-7th rounders were better. In total 35 WR were drafted. In 2019 there was 28, in 2018 there was 34, in 2017 it was 32 anke keep going and it has been in the 30+ range for years. 

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17 minutes ago, ngbills said:

Diggs, Brown, Beasley have had production for multiple years in NFL

Roberts and McK both played a a key role on the team for multiple years

Foster had 500 yds as a rookie

Duke showed flashes and played well in a playoff game

 

That is 7 guys that have legitimately played in the NFL. Only Easley and McCloud fall in the little or no production group. Davis and Hodgins are battling it out with Roberts, McK, Foster, Duke for the final 2-3 sports. With a short training camp it could be an uphill battle.

 

Yes it was a very rich WR draft. That does not mean it trickles down to every single player. The difference was and as we saw there were 5-6 guys worthy of a 1st rounder and another 6-8 worthy of 2nd round picks. Typically there are 2-3 first rounders and maybe another 5-8 worthy of 2nd's. So loaded was in the sense of lots early talent, that does not mean even the 6-7th rounders were better. In total 35 WR were drafted. In 2019 there was 28, in 2018 there was 34, in 2017 it was 32 anke keep going and it has been in the 30+ range for years. 

 

All these guys are easily replaceable.

McKenzie rushed for only half the yards per attempt compared to Diggs last year.

Foster and Duke are UDFA JAGs in my opinion.

Roberts has only been on the team for 1 season and was a bit of a let down compared to his previous year with NYJ but like I said probably stays 1 more year.

 

None of these guys were drafted by Beane and I doubt seriously that Brandon "wasted" 2 picks.

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36 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said:

 

All these guys are easily replaceable.

McKenzie rushed for only half the yards per attempt compared to Diggs last year.

Foster and Duke are UDFA JAGs in my opinion.

Roberts has only been on the team for 1 season and was a bit of a let down compared to his previous year with NYJ but like I said probably stays 1 more year.

 

None of these guys were drafted by Beane and I doubt seriously that Brandon "wasted" 2 picks.

I agree. I also think these draft picks are easily replaceable. 

 

Its funny - I can guarantee that if the Bills did not draft any WR's I would be hearing " relax, we have Duke, Foster, McKenzie, Roberts, Ray Ray and none of the guys available in the draft after the 3rd round were better". 

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2 minutes ago, ngbills said:

I agree. I also think these draft picks are easily replaceable. 

 

Its funny - I can guarantee that if the Bills did not draft any WR's I would be hearing " relax, we have Duke, Foster, McKenzie, Roberts, Ray Ray and none of the guys available in the draft after the 3rd round were better". 

 

The thing about draft picks in general is you don't know what you got until you see them play.  I've seen the others play and I have say I don't

expect much more than what I have seen.

 

As for the 2nd part I have to say "Not me!".   I was the guy that started the "Brandon Beane:  Please Draft Offensive Playmakers" thread.

I can't wait to see how it all shakes out.

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1 hour ago, FireChans said:

McD cares a lot about ST though. He’s shown that with his rosters through the years.

 

I see Diggs, Brown, Beasley, Davis, Hodgins, McK and Roberts as the room if they  can keep 7.

 I think this is correct except Diggs can replace what mck does. I think injury to one of these guys is the only way Duke of Foster makes this team

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1 hour ago, ngbills said:

Roberts and McK both played a a key role on the team for multiple years

Foster had 500 yds as a rookie

Duke showed flashes and played well in a playoff game

Gotta call you out on your assessments of current talent.  

  • Roberts has had success in league at WR with Cards and Ravens (1/2 year) but has not played a role on Bills for multiple years as signed last year and played 2019 only as a Bill.
  • McKenzie has played in 22 games as a Bill, starting 9.  He has 3 TDs (2 on runs) and a total of 433 yds on 45 catches and 115 yds  rushing on 18 carries.  I would not say 240 yds in 2018 or 318 yds last year define a key role on the Bills.
  • In a what have you done lately year, foster had 3 catches on 18 targets last year.  THREE!  No TDs, only 2 starts and appeared in only 13 games.  McKenzie and Duke beat him out by years end.  If he wasn't a ST gunner he would already be long gone.  Yards per target was 3.2 in 2019!
  • Duke showed flashes when?  He only played in 4 regular season games, starting in 3.  He scored on a quick slant vs TEN and had 4 catches for 29 yds.  He had 10 catches (22 targets) for 157 yds vs Jets in season finale and HOU in playoff.  No TDs in either and a critical drop in end zone in playoffs. -catching 4/10 balls for 49 yds and no TDs is Zay Jonesque.  Believe OBD voted on SAT by picking 2 players they hope can do better.
  • Nobody drafted at 54 or after would be > Diggs, Brown Beasley this year.  They just need to catch the FA pool of Williams, McKenzie and Foster.  Not too hard to do so.
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17 hours ago, freddyjj said:

Gotta call you out on your assessments of current talent.  

  • Roberts has had success in league at WR with Cards and Ravens (1/2 year) but has not played a role on Bills for multiple years as signed last year and played 2019 only as a Bill.
  • McKenzie has played in 22 games as a Bill, starting 9.  He has 3 TDs (2 on runs) and a total of 433 yds on 45 catches and 115 yds  rushing on 18 carries.  I would not say 240 yds in 2018 or 318 yds last year define a key role on the Bills.
  • In a what have you done lately year, foster had 3 catches on 18 targets last year.  THREE!  No TDs, only 2 starts and appeared in only 13 games.  McKenzie and Duke beat him out by years end.  If he wasn't a ST gunner he would already be long gone.  Yards per target was 3.2 in 2019!
  • Duke showed flashes when?  He only played in 4 regular season games, starting in 3.  He scored on a quick slant vs TEN and had 4 catches for 29 yds.  He had 10 catches (22 targets) for 157 yds vs Jets in season finale and HOU in playoff.  No TDs in either and a critical drop in end zone in playoffs. -catching 4/10 balls for 49 yds and no TDs is Zay Jonesque.  Believe OBD voted on SAT by picking 2 players they hope can do better.
  • Nobody drafted at 54 or after would be > Diggs, Brown Beasley this year.  They just need to catch the FA pool of Williams, McKenzie and Foster.  Not too hard to do so.

Well you somewhat prove my point in saying "Nobody drafted at 54 or after would be > Diggs, Brown Beasley"

 

We drafted a couple guys that could make the team or could not beat out the likes of Duke, McK, Foster, Roberts. We may not carry 6 WR's if we carry 3 TE's so could end up being Diggs, Brown, Beasley, and only two of Duke, McK, Foster, Roberts, Davis, Hodgins. 

 

Duke Williams - He was the Bills most targeted WR in the playoff game. The staff must have some faith in him. Numbers were not off the board but he was still on par with John Brown and better than Beasley in that game. Not sure I would write him off that easily. 

 

McD values special teams which is why Roberts stays on this roster. He is the quasi 6th WR.

 

McK is Daboll's gadget guy and #5 WR at this point. Who knows if they keep him.

 

Foster is probably gone regardless of if they drafted anyone. But he did put up good numbers and showed promise. He could wind up elsewhere and find his success again. Who, knows.

 

I do find it funny that when I criticize the Bills WR's the response in the past was how clueless I am and Foster is awesome, Duke is going to be a pro bowler or McD disagrees with you. Now that I say our drafted buys may not beat them out it is those guys suck and no question our 4th and 6th round picks are better. 

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1 hour ago, ngbills said:

Well you somewhat prove my point in saying "Nobody drafted at 54 or after would be > Diggs, Brown Beasley"

 

We drafted a couple guys that could make the team or could not beat out the likes of Duke, McK, Foster, Roberts. We may not carry 6 WR's if we carry 3 TE's so could end up being Diggs, Brown, Beasley, and only two of Duke, McK, Foster, Roberts, Davis, Hodgins. 

 

Duke Williams - He was the Bills most targeted WR in the playoff game. The staff must have some faith in him. Numbers were not off the board but he was still on par with John Brown and better than Beasley in that game. Not sure I would write him off that easily. 

 

McD values special teams which is why Roberts stays on this roster. He is the quasi 6th WR.

 

McK is Daboll's gadget guy and #5 WR at this point. Who knows if they keep him.

 

Foster is probably gone regardless of if they drafted anyone. But he did put up good numbers and showed promise. He could wind up elsewhere and find his success again. Who, knows.

 

I do find it funny that when I criticize the Bills WR's the response in the past was how clueless I am and Foster is awesome, Duke is going to be a pro bowler or McD disagrees with you. Now that I say our drafted buys may not beat them out it is those guys suck and no question our 4th and 6th round picks are better. 

NGBills our poles are drawing together.  We need a better bottom 1/2 of our WR corps and this is where these rookies will have a chance to land.  I was never a Foster or Duke fan so no problem for me if we move on. 

 

Williams had a tough playoff game - despite being #1 in targets.  

 

Foster's demise is puzzling.  Wonder if there is a side story.

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On 4/26/2020 at 10:43 PM, Ethan in Portland said:

Pump the brakes there fellas.  Last year they carried six WR. The first four are set - the trio of Diggs, Brown, and Beasley with Roberts set as a great return guy.  McKenzie is the gadget player that Daboll loves that is not in the skill set of the rookies.

 

That leaves one roster spot that presumably will go to Davis.  He will fill the Duke Williams role.  Foster will be gone.  And Hodgins may make the PS or tweak his hamstring in training camp so they can put him on IR for a year.  


Roberts is fine, but somehow I’d rather a younger guy back there with potential upside as a WR, RB, Nickel corner or something. 

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On 4/26/2020 at 9:18 PM, Mark Vader said:

 

Honestly, did anyone else here feel confident going into the season with Foster, WIlliams, McKenzie & Roberts being our reserve group?

 

-2022

 

Honestly, did anyone else here feel confident going into the season with Davis and Hodgins being our reserve group?

 

You will be saying this in a few years. Simmer down a bit these were 4th and 6th round picks.

 

FYI Roberts was a 3rd round pick and Mckendrick a 5th round pick so...

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3 minutes ago, MrSarcasm said:

 

-2022

 

Honestly, did anyone else here feel confident going into the season with Davis and Hodgins being our reserve group?

 

You will be saying this in a few years. Simmer down a bit these were 4th and 6th round picks.

 

FYI Roberts was a 3rd round pick and Mckendrick a 5th round pick so...

This is assuming that Brown & Beasley are still on the team, and considered the top receivers after Diggs.

 

I see more upside with Davis & Hodgins than we do with our current back-ups.

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3 minutes ago, Mark Vader said:

This is assuming that Brown & Beasley are still on the team, and considered the top receivers after Diggs.

 

I see more upside with Davis & Hodgins than we do with our current back-ups.

I understand the upside point of view but we are talking about a 4th and 6th round picks. You need to cool your jets. These players will have 0-minimal impact this year and next yet you are treating this as if these two are the clonings of Anquan Boldin (Cardinal)

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1 hour ago, MrSarcasm said:

I understand the upside point of view but we are talking about a 4th and 6th round picks. You need to cool your jets. These players will have 0-minimal impact this year and next yet you are treating this as if these two are the clonings of Anquan Boldin (Cardinal)

Anquan Boldin? Give me a break.

 

Are you saying that there is no realistic chance that these two players could improve our WR group? That we can't do any better than the back-ups we currently have?

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2 hours ago, Mark Vader said:

Anquan Boldin? Give me a break.

 

Are you saying that there is no realistic chance that these two players could improve our WR group? That we can't do any better than the back-ups we currently have?

I'm saying 90% of 4th and 6th rounders are Andre Robert's and Mckendrick caliber players and it is unrealistic to expect them to be the 10%. I understand being a fan and what that means but geesh can we please step outside of the bubble on this one.

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