Jump to content

The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19


Hedge

Recommended Posts

4 minutes ago, Deranged Rhino said:

 

In that time, the evidence for my case has grown exponentially stronger, while the counter argument of many has all but been destroyed. This is objectively undeniable.

 

Keep thinking nothing's coming. You've been wrong about everything for years, why buck that trend now? 


Can’t wait 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Deranged Rhino said:

 

In that time, the evidence for my case has grown exponentially stronger, while the counter argument of many has all but been destroyed. This is objectively undeniable.

 

Keep thinking nothing's coming. You've been wrong about everything for years, why buck that trend now? 

And who are you presenting this case to? A bunch losers on a sub forum of a football site? 

15 minutes ago, Koko78 said:

 

At least he let them wait until 5pm to find out.

 

?

Oh, they already knew he was running away with his tail between his legs! ???

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Magox said:

 

 

Im not sure what you are trying to say but what I was speaking to is that they look like geniuses compared to the rest of the world.   They didn’t have to restrict their lives and suffer quite as bad of an economic downturn as everyone else.  And they did the logical thing, which was try to protect the most at risk while allowing others to go on about life with social distancing measures.


Your post is a good one with respect to mortality stats. The hospitalization rate concerns me a lot more. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

25 minutes ago, shoshin said:


Your post is a good one with respect to mortality stats. The hospitalization rate concerns me a lot more. 

I’d like to see more numbers on the % of hospitalized that have an underlying health issue. NYC numbers were striking. This is looking more like a personal/ individual health issue . Still potential to flood hospitals , but it seems like they’ve ramped up capacity to deal with it. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Boatdrinks said:

I’d like to see more numbers on the % of hospitalized that have an underlying health issue. NYC numbers were striking. This is looking more like a personal/ individual health issue . Still potential to flood hospitals , but it seems like they’ve ramped up capacity to deal with it. 


Comorbidity drives hospitalizations as was covered well in the Time article earlier this week. But making sure our hospitals have capacity to deal with Covid and regular patients is probably the best metric for being open and how much to be open. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, Chef Jim said:


What does Bill Barr have to do with you aligning yourself with some of the most immature, childish, angry posters here?  

Bill Barr is a lawyer who aligns himself with an immature, childish, and angry boss. 

4 hours ago, Deranged Rhino said:

 

 

 

*******************

 

Fake news.  Nobody was arrested for being in the sun.  This is why you’re on the fake news list. 

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, B-Man said:

Don't worry, Democrats will throw more money we don't have at it to prop it up again. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, Magox said:


Which hospital data point concerned you?


There are no good numbers for that nationally and it would be a dumb national number to average across the country. What I was saying is that hospitalization rate or ICU beds available would be probably the best measure of entry into and progression through phased opening, regionally.  
 

For example, if your region has 10% capacity or less, close because things are about to get dire,  10-20, open with lots of restrictions. 20-40, open with fewer restrictions. Etc. 

 

That ensures the health care system can deal with this. If Covid is going to be around for a while and it clearly is, health care is going to be the limiting resource. It would seem that defining the staged opening with respect to that makes the most sense.
 

In my area, we still have a fair amount of capacity even though deaths are steady, but our governor has defined phased opening according to positive tests per population, which is a B word to achieve especially as testing capacity increases (hopefully). So our healthcare system will have massive capacity long before we ever reach our positive test threshold.  

Edited by shoshin
  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, shoshin said:


There are no good numbers for that nationally and it would be a dumb national number to average across the country. What I was saying is that hospitalization rate or ICU beds available would be probably the best measure of entry into and progression through phased opening, regionally.  
 

For example, if your region has 10% capacity or less, close because things are about to get dire,  10-20, open with lots of restrictions. 20-40, open with fewer restrictions. Etc. 

 

That ensures the health care system can deal with this. If Covid is going to be around for a while and it clearly is, health care is going to be the limiting resource. It would seem that defining the staged opening with respect to that makes the most sense.
 

In my area, we still have a fair amount of capacity even though deaths are steady, but our governor has defined phased opening according to positive tests per population, which is a B word to achieve especially as testing capacity increases (hopefully). So our healthcare system will have massive capacity long before we ever reach our positive test threshold.  


 

Oh, I see.   I thought you were referring from data in the link I provided.   You are talking about from a capacity/utilization aspect so that we can gauge preparedness for outbreaks as one of the metrics that should be considered.  To see what areas can begin phasing in the workforce.  Correct?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Magox said:


 

Oh, I see.   I thought you were referring from data in the link I provided.   You are talking about from a capacity/utilization aspect so that we can gauge preparedness for outbreaks as one of the metrics that should be considered.  To see what areas can begin phasing in the workforce.  Correct?


Yes. Mortality is not the best metric to measure success in dealing with this and reopening. It’s a good measure to know for sure because if it’s high then we have more serious consequences for spread of Covid. It’s just not the measure that makes sense to control opening. 
 

Currently mortality is the only decent measure of progress we have but it’s a big macro number not without its own problems. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...