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Midwest1981

2019 Cap Space- Where We Stand Today

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I've seen some figures thrown out with considerable variance, all the way from projecting us to have as much as $100 million of 2019 cap space to as low as "just" $50 million.  Since Wood's release has been officially processed, it's a lot easier to arrive at a more exact figure, even (literally) accounting for some fluidity to this figure, especially in the next nine months.

 

Remaining 2018 Cap Space (able to be rolled over, according to Spotrac):  $15,992,915

Current 2019 Cap Space (before leftover 2018 amount is rolled over):  $57,585,556

Estimated Cap 2018 to 2019 Cap Increase:  $10,000,000

 

2019 Cap Space:  $83,578,471

 

This amount will go down a few million during the course of this season, as the Bills have to make roster moves to account for injuries.  But I don't expect we'll be re-signing anyone mid-season (Kelvin Benjamin is a possible exception- but even for him I expect McBeane wants to see him stay healthy for an entire year) that will appreciably affect this figure, if at all.  So before we make any additional cuts to likely increase this amount, we should roughly have $80 million to spend, which will be more than only a handful of teams (it might be the third-highest behind the Jets and Colts).

Edited by Midwest1981
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Not only is this good news, but I trust this FO to not spend foolishly on “big name/splash” players. I haven’t felt this positive about our situation in a long time. Not perfect, but a lot of positives. 

Edited by Augie
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For the record, I haven't gone through the list of 2019 FA's carefully enough to pull out everyone.  But it wouldn't surprise me if the Bills showed interest in Buccaneers' guard Ali Marpet, if he isn't re-signed in Tampa Bay (or tagged).  Marpet happens to be from New York and went to college at Hopart. 

 

And we all know there's a safe bet in Le'Veon Bell hitting the market, too.  It's rarely wise to spend big on a RB's second contract, especially one with a couple of suspensions already (suspensions generally void guarantees in contracts... unless your Doug Whaley and you make that giant concession to Marcel Dareus and his agent).  But if McCoy, God forbid, showed steep regression this year that was not totally attributable to our OL I could see a 31-year old Lesean released ($6.425 million saved against the cap) and a (then) 27-year old Bell brought in on a 3-4 year deal.

 

I should note that I don't necessarily believe Bell is a seamless fit into what McBeane wants to do.  I could just see it being a POSSIBLE fit.  Hopefully McCoy continues to play relatively timelessly and he can play out his contract, at least.

Edited by Midwest1981
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29 minutes ago, Augie said:

Not only is this good news, but I trust this FO to not spend foolishly on “big name/splash” players. I haven’t felt this positive about our situation in a long time. Not perfect, but a lot of positives. 

 

I think FA will be signing solid starters and depth....I don’t see us with any big splashes either.

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Think the "big" free agent signings next year will be at wr and along the offensive line.

My guess is they won't necessarily go on a spending spree next off season but instead begin to fine tune the roster as they develop drafted talent

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We will also need help at LB.  Edmunds and Milano look to be two solid starters, but Lorax is aging and there isn't too much after that.

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2 hours ago, Augie said:

Not only is this good news, but I trust this FO to not spend foolishly on “big name/splash” players. I haven’t felt this positive about our situation in a long time. Not perfect, but a lot of positives. 

The Star contract could be a bad one going forward.

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3 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

The Star contract could be a bad one going forward.

 

Hopefully he has the right mindset going forward. I’ll pray they know him well enough to have made the right call on this one. No promises....

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40 minutes ago, Cheektowaga Chad said:

Think the "big" free agent signings next year will be at wr and along the offensive line.

My guess is they won't necessarily go on a spending spree next off season but instead begin to fine tune the roster as they develop drafted talent

I think the majority of the cap will go to proven offensive players with the majority of the draft to defense!  2018 is just a prelude to what should be a very exciting 19' season. 

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42 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

The Star contract could be a bad one going forward.

 

HE could be a bad one going forward.. He has a lot to prove.

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3 hours ago, Midwest1981 said:

For the record, I haven't gone through the list of 2019 FA's carefully enough to pull out everyone.  But it wouldn't surprise me if the Bills showed interest in Buccaneers' guard Ali Marpet, if he isn't re-signed in Tampa Bay (or tagged).  Marpet happens to be from New York and went to college at Hopart. 

 

And we all know there's a safe bet in Le'Veon Bell hitting the market, too.  It's rarely wise to spend big on a RB's second contract, especially one with a couple of suspensions already (suspensions generally void guarantees in contracts... unless your Doug Whaley and you make that giant concession to Marcel Dareus and his agent).  But if McCoy, God forbid, showed steep regression this year that was not totally attributable to our OL I could see a 31-year old Lesean released ($6.425 million saved against the cap) and a (then) 27-year old Bell brought in on a 3-4 year deal.

 

I should note that I don't necessarily believe Bell is a seamless fit into what McBeane wants to do.  I could just see it being a POSSIBLE fit.  Hopefully McCoy continues to play relatively timelessly and he can play out his contract, at least.

 

Marpet went to HOBART College in Geneva NY.  Quite the sleeper!

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Thanks, Midwest! I ‘trust the process’ and am excited for 2019. Just not this year..

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16 minutes ago, Punt75 said:

 

Marpet went to HOBART College in Geneva NY.  Quite the sleeper!

Yeah, most wouldn't even be aware that they had a football team.  Tiny school. 

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6 hours ago, Midwest1981 said:

I've seen some figures thrown out with considerable variance, all the way from projecting us to have as much as $100 million of 2019 cap space to as low as "just" $50 million.  Since Wood's release has been officially processed, it's a lot easier to arrive at a more exact figure, even (literally) accounting for some fluidity to this figure, especially in the next nine months.

 

Remaining 2018 Cap Space (able to be rolled over, according to Spotrac):  $15,992,915

Current 2019 Cap Space (before leftover 2018 amount is rolled over):  $57,585,556

Estimated Cap 2018 to 2019 Cap Increase:  $10,000,000

 

2019 Cap Space:  $83,578,471

 

This amount will go down a few million during the course of this season, as the Bills have to make roster moves to account for injuries.  But I don't expect we'll be re-signing anyone mid-season (Kelvin Benjamin is a possible exception- but even for him I expect McBeane wants to see him stay healthy for an entire year) that will appreciably affect this figure, if at all.  So before we make any additional cuts to likely increase this amount, we should roughly have $80 million to spend, which will be more than only a handful of teams (it might be the third-highest behind the Jets and Colts).

 

Thanks for this.  But just FYI those numbers don't count Josh Allen's salary cap (for 2018 or for 2019)  

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5 hours ago, msw2112 said:

We will also need help at LB.  Edmunds and Milano look to be two solid starters, but Lorax is aging and there isn't too much after that.

9 draft picks in April 2019.  More young, cheap reinforcements coming.  Rather draft another LB.  

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8 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

 

I think FA will be signing solid starters and depth....I don’t see us with any big splashes either.

 

we signed Star who was a top prospect, I can see them signing a couple guys like this (hopefully on Oline) and then solid depth players but I agree in that we won't go for the "Super Stars" like mario.

 

 

7 hours ago, LABILLBACKER said:

I think the majority of the cap will go to proven offensive players with the majority of the draft to defense!  2018 is just a prelude to what should be a very exciting 19' season. 

 

It seems were are forever in future mood but thankfully those days are over with McBeane here, post season in the books and our franchise QB here.

 

 

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If Bills' 2018 and 2019 draft are close to being as good as the 2017 draft class appears to be, they might not have a lot of holes to be filled.  Vet WR, LB, OL. 

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12 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

 

I think FA will be signing solid starters and depth....I don’t see us with any big splashes either.

Probably no top 10 contracts, but 2-3 deals similar to what we saw this year. I also think they get a Benjamin deal done, so likely 3-4 deals in the $10 million cap hit range.

 

 

Edited by TheTruthHurts
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11 hours ago, Adam727 said:

 

Thanks for this.  But just FYI those numbers don't count Josh Allen's salary cap (for 2018 or for 2019)  

Oh, excellent reminder, Adam- thanks.  Yeah, that will decrease our total amount by a little more than $4 million on average both this year and next year.  That's based on what last year's 7th overall pick- Mike Williams- signed for.  He signed a 4-year deal worth a total of $19,750,056 with a cap # of $3,590,919 in his rookie year and a $4,488,649 cap figure in his second season.

 

Of course, for a multitude of reasons our cap # is very fluid, such as the fact that we'll need to sign guys in-season this year and we'll be releasing other guys post year.  A cut candidate, if he has a middling campaign like he had in his two years in Jacksonville, in Chris Ivory, for example.  Cutting him would save $2.25 million against the 2019 cap.

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5 hours ago, TheTruthHurts said:

Probably no top 10 contracts, but 2-3 deals similar to what we saw this year. I also think they get a Benjamin deal done, so likely 3-4 deals in the $10 million cap hit range.

 

 

I surely hope we don’t resign Benjamin until after the season.  Him remaining healthy is paramount.  If his knee continues to give him problems, I’d move on.

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16 hours ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

The Star contract could be a bad one going forward.

 

Good thing about Star's deal is that only half is guaranteed and there is a potential out after the 3rd year.

 

So if it doesn't pay off we can get out of the contract after 3 years.  Might be a lot of money, but a smart deal in that we can get out of it.

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20 hours ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

The Star contract could be a bad one going forward.

 

Or it could be a good one...

 

One thing is for sure, the Bills needed help on the inside, and weren't very good against the run last year. When we look back on his signing in a couple years, hopefully we don't look at his stat sheet as much as we'll look at the run defense as a whole. I don't need to see big numbers from him in the tackle and sack department to "justify" his contract. I want to see improvement against the run, and fewer tackles by the safeties. 

Edited by Drunken Pygmy Goat
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