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If the Bills TRADE UP for Josh Allen...


JaCrispy

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22 minutes ago, JaCrispy said:

...will you feel as bad as you did, or worse than you did, when the team drafted EJ?

 

Just trying to get the temperature of the fan base...now remember, the term “trading up” is emphasized.

 

If you wanted the true temperature of the fan base, you could have worded your question differently, as you seem to be assuming by your question that the fan base is all thinking negatively about trading up for Josh Allen. When you pose such an "or" question you should consider giving a choice for the opposite point of view too, like "....will you feel better, about the same or worse as when the team dtafted EJ."  Then all repliers could pick an option for them and explain why they felt that, after telling others here too how they felt about us drafting EJ, to put their answer into perspective, as we cannot assume either that all here were against that draft decision of EJ. In other words, your question makes assumptions, and leaves out opposing view options.

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3 minutes ago, kdiggz said:

they reached for a projected 3rd round guy.  so they overpaid for a project QB because they were in a desperate situation without a franchise QB.  very similar situation

I don't really see it.  Say they trade up to 2 and take Allen with Rosen and Mayfield available.  They would have to have evaluated all three and still concluded that Allen would eventually be the better pro.  EJ was in a bad year for qb; this isn't.

Edited by Dr. Who
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1 minute ago, kdiggz said:

sorry, i actually try and add value and have intelligent discussions with forum members.  if you aren't into that then go troll twitter or something

Arguing that trading back and settling for, arguably, the best prospect of a weak QB class is the same as trading up and choosing who they feel is the best prospect of a strong QB class is not a terribly insightful or intelligent analysis. If you are not into those things, then perhaps you should take your own advice....

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Personally, I see many similarities with this draft to 2013 when we just  had to find our franchise qb.  In 2013 the qb class had no real can't miss qb.  All the top qb's had flaws.  We all know how that draft worked out for us.

 

Because drafting any qb in this draft class is a gamble, I am in the camp that we should stay at 12 and draft the BPA and take a qb that warrants the pick we use.  Any time you draft for need instead of the BPA, that is often where the big "busts" happen.

 

Just my opinion.  but I would not be happy if we move up in the draft and give away much of our draft capital.  Let's take a qb that falls to us naturally and pick the BPA with each of our picks.

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2 minutes ago, Dr. Who said:

I don't really see it.  Say they trade up to 2 and take Allen with Rosen and Mayfield available.  They would have to have evaluated all three and still concluded that Allen would eventually be the better pro.  EJ was in a bad year for qb; this isn't.

I think that would be extremely difficult to do. You are giving up a ton of resources for a guy with a lot of risk, everyone agrees on that. So you have a QB who may turn out to be a 9.5 In Allen, as opposed to Rosen who's perhaps an 8.5-9.0. But, Rosen has a much greater chance of helping you in the short term.JMO

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7 minutes ago, kdiggz said:

they reached for a projected 3rd round guy.  so they overpaid for a project QB because they were in a desperate situation without a franchise QB.  very similar situation

That is to presuppose Josh Allen will be an overpaid, project QB, worthy of nothing more than a 3rd round pick. There is no way to know that at this point. 

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I wasn't upset when they drafted EJ Manuel. That class was so horrifically bad at QB and everyone knew it going in. Whoever we drafted, I knew was going to be a longshot to be good. But we didn't have a choice but to take one. To be honest, at the time, I was just glad that we didn't draft Ryan Nassib.

 

re: Josh Allen: I think where the trade up occurs matters. I don't want to see us trading up to #2 for him. But if they do, i'll know he was their guy. And i'll get over it. In time. Passing on either Darnold or Rosen for him would for sure sting though.

 

If Darnold/Rosen/Mayfield go in the top 4-5 picks and we can't get a partner up there - I would be fine with trading up as high as 5-6 for him. Provided they aren't asked to seriously overpay. 

 

Either way - trust the process and all will be fine. 

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9 minutes ago, billsfan1959 said:

Arguing that trading back and settling for, arguably, the best prospect of a weak QB class is the same as trading up and choosing who they feel is the best prospect of a strong QB class is not a terribly insightful or intelligent analysis. If you are not into those things, then perhaps you should take your own advice....

They are similar situations because the Bills were in a position where they had to take a QB and if they draft Allen they are going for the big strong project QB much like they did with EJ.  Your argument is that they are not the same kind of situation because this is a stronger QB class and that is another reason why I would not be happy with them taking Allen, because there are better, more developed players available.  To me, trading a bunch of picks to get Allen at 1 or 2 is overpaying.  To get to 1 or 2 it's going to take something like 12, 22, 53, 56, 93, next year's 1st.  Much different than getting him at 7-12 and maybe you only give up 12, 53.

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5 minutes ago, horned dogs said:

I think that would be extremely difficult to do. You are giving up a ton of resources for a guy with a lot of risk, everyone agrees on that. So you have a QB who may turn out to be a 9.5 In Allen, as opposed to Rosen who's perhaps an 8.5-9.0. But, Rosen has a much greater chance of helping you in the short term.JMO

I don't think there's any question Rosen is the safer pick.  He is also arguably the most ready to play.  My main emphasis in my rejoinder was that if Beane selects Allen, it will not be (as in 2013) because there really weren't any alternative choices worthy of consideration.  I infer from this that OBD will have determined Allen's potential fairly likely to be reached and worth waiting on.  They could be wrong, naturally.  

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no because I have more confidence in Beane then i did in whaley/Nix. Plus Allen is a LOT better then EJ could hope to be. Ill also feel good that they identified the guy they want and went and got him, no matter who it is

Edited by Wsam4031
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Were talking about QB's for the first time in a long time and so are our HC/GM which means they're more competent then many before them, I trust they'll due everything possible to ensure they find the right guy that fits what they want to do and if Allen is the guy I'd be quite happy since he's a top 5 QB in this draft no doubt.

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6 minutes ago, Dr. Who said:

I don't think there's any question Rosen is the safer pick.  He is also arguably the most ready to play.  My main emphasis in my rejoinder was that if Beane selects Allen, it will not be (as in 2013) because there really weren't any alternative choices worthy of consideration.  I infer from this that OBD will have determined Allen's potential fairly likely to be reached and worth waiting on.  They could be wrong, naturally.  

I don't see this as anything like 2013 at all. Allen is a much better prospect than EJ ever dreamed of being. My point is that the upside isn't a likely thing, and you don't trade up for it unless you have too in a year with other strong candidates. Therefore, with 3 other candidates of a higher probability  of success (though perhaps a little lower ceiling), those are the guys you move up for.

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