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Why bother with Special Teams?


ProcessTruster

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31 minutes ago, Buffalo Junction said:

I’m not worried about kickoffs. The issue is that many of the best special teamers (guys who stay in the league and get paid) excel in multiple roles on teams. Experienced upbacks usually call and change protections on punts and are also some of the best tacklers in kick coverage. While going for touchbacks will eliminate KO coverage it still leaves blocking and covering punts which are frequent spots for turnovers or flipped field position. 

Get rid of punting. 

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3 hours ago, Bleeding Bills Blue said:

 

They pay the ones they have a bit less, but they also pay their kicker a bit more.  They also have one of the best special teams coaches in the business so they're a bit more content to use young players (they also had a ton of draft picks).  They do still carry burton and bush who were veteran special teams only players. 

 

I'm all for eliminating paid ST only guys for the most part - i do think that it's worth having 1 or 2 vets though.  Jones is pretty cheap, and a captain.  I'd probably keep him.  

 

Did Hodgins outplay Kumerow at any given point in time?  Kumerows issues this year were injury related, not as though he was a particularly bad player.  He was also a plus blocker vs. hodgins in additiona to special teams ability. 

 

Since Hodgins has better career numbers already, I would say yes, he has out performed Kumerow. We kept Kumerow because of special teams, while he was injured. 

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9 hours ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

I honestly don’t understand why they don’t just kick it out of the end zone every kick.

 

They are trying to kick it high and make a tackle inside the 20 but it’s not likely to happen. Sets up injuries and a possible long return.

 

 I also think they have to justify the cap spent on special teams players. They need to change the philosophy. 
 

Bass was 70% touch back as a rookie and the coaches have him down to 46% last year. Dropping each year. There is very little benefit in kicking short. 

I like the thoughts and the game has changed.  So, we need to change too.

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12 hours ago, BillsFan130 said:

Some of those guys have cap hits into the 2.5 3.5 mil range.

 

Lets say you sub out 3-4 of those for guys on rookie deals/ veteran minimum vets

 

You are probably looking at 6-10 mil in cap savings. I would say that’s a descent amount 

Jones ,Neal and Matekevich total cap hit was about 6.2 million last season.

They are now all free agents so let's see what happens if Beane has to replace them all with rookies. 

They do have some value as "position" players because of their experience. 

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12 hours ago, Herb Nightly said:

You obviously are referring to COVERAGE guys, but, Hines and Bass can't do it all by themselves.

Smiley coached ST into a top unit,so,maybe he can get by with rookies replacing Jones, Matakevich,etc. But look at their cap hits; is there really that much to be saved?

You also had Neal, Kumerow, Hines, and Gilliam whose primary contributions were ST. It's a significant makeup of the roster.

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20 minutes ago, Herb Nightly said:

Jones ,Neal and Matekevich total cap hit was about 6.2 million last season.

They are now all free agents so let's see what happens if Beane has to replace them all with rookies. 

They do have some value as "position" players because of their experience. 

It was 6.2? I thought Matakavich was 3.5 and Neal was 3.3 alone.

 

I Could be wrong

 

Edit: I calculated about 7.5 mil cap for those 3 guys

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14 hours ago, BillsFan130 said:

Some of those guys have cap hits into the 2.5 3.5 mil range.

 

Lets say you sub out 3-4 of those for guys on rookie deals/ veteran minimum vets

 

You are probably looking at 6-10 mil in cap savings. I would say that’s a descent amount 

You will still be paying NFL minimum to the replacements,from about 705k to 1.2 million each. With the example I gave you might save 3 to 4 million if you replaced Neal,Jones and Matakevich with lowest-paid players. 

So, probably not 6 to 10 million saved and I dont know who the 4th player is you want to replace on ST.

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1 minute ago, Herb Nightly said:

You will still be paying NFL minimum to the replacements,from about 705k to 1.2 million each. With the example I gave you might save 3 to 4 million if you replaced Neal,Jones and Matakevich with lowest-paid players. 

So, probably not 6 to 10 million saved and I dont know who the 4th player is you want to replace on ST.

7.5 cap Hit for those 3 combined 

 

Lets say on average 900k replacement.

 

So close to 5 mil for just those 3 players alone.

 

My original guesstimate was a bit off admittedly. But the fact remains if you can save close to 5 mil on a cap strapped team, I think you have to do it.

 

 

 

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I would certainly agree that kicker, especially the guy kicking FG's, are the most important ST players since FG's often determine the outcome of a game. Other than that, just sign guys that will add solid depth and let them play ST unless they can really make an impact like Steve Tasker did.

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19 hours ago, Buffalo Junction said:

Because having good special teams usually won’t win you a game, but bad special teams play can often lose you a game. The tighter the game is the more influence special teams has with turnovers, field position, and momentum. Poor jammers or up backs can lead to turnovers, bad gunners can lead to big returns, bad holders lead to missed field goals, etc. There’s a reason why guys like Taiwan Jones and Kumerow make rosters every year. 


To cough the ball up at the 2 yard line in his ONLY job? Taiwan should have kissed Josh & Gabe on the feet for saving his @— on the next play with a 98-yard TD. There was another major flub he made on ST this season too, but it eludes me rn. 

 

T Jones is getting quite long in the tooth (34? 35?) and his play does not justify a vital roster spot. Keeping Kumerow on the roster when injured meant we lost Hodgins… who may or may not be a steal for Daboll & Schoen / NYG… and then we were forced to scrounge up John Brown & Beasley late in the year.

 

ST is important and all that jazz… but… not as much as it once was.

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4 hours ago, BillsFan130 said:

7.5 cap Hit for those 3 combined 

 

Lets say on average 900k replacement.

 

So close to 5 mil for just those 3 players alone.

 

My original guesstimate was a bit off admittedly. But the fact remains if you can save close to 5 mil on a cap strapped team, I think you have to do it.

 

 

 

That’s a starting OG. If you take that cap and Saffold’s cap you get a top free agent OG.

Edited by Buffalo_Stampede
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21 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

The thing is the data does still show that the best teams tend to be good on special teams. I did a comparison of the Bills $$s allocation to STs compared to SB winners a couple of years ago and they were pretty much right about on the average. Happy to crunch those numbers again at some point this offseason to see what has moved, but basically every team pays a few guys just to run about on special teams. 

But, experience matters on Special Teams just as it does on Offense and Defense.

I admit I don't spend time analyzing ST stats;  but I have questioned whether the investment in the likes of Hines, Neal and Matekevoch is worth it.

They rarely play O and D but in case of an injury emergency, in a critical situation, I would prefer those veterans over unproven rookies.

 

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I think there should be a maximum 6 players that are ST only - LS, K, P, combo KR/PR, 2x Gunners.

 

A player like Hines being a real backup RB plus both KR and PR is a bonus. Kumerow has played real WR snaps and can be WR #5.  Can only hope that Gilliam plays more FB on offence next year.

 

 

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