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Zach Moss needs to be the lead back


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1 hour ago, ganesh said:

He still fumbles the football.   

 

Singletary has fumbled the ball ball more times than Moss this year....lucky for DS, all his fumbles went out of bounds, but he still fumbled the ball.

 

1 hour ago, MJS said:

Just play the hot hand. Some weeks it will be Singletary. It's a committee backfield. It doesn't matter who you list first.

 

 

I’m sure it matters to them who starts. It also sends a bad message to the locker room if you aren’t starting the player who is playing the best at the position.

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I agree that Moss has been the better back, but I'm not sure I'd change anything. Maybe I'd like to see them go with the hot hand a bit more which would likely be Moss, but we're 5th in the NFL in rushing right now so I think things are working. I also prefer our approach to Minnesota's, who is #4 in rushing, and just runs Dalvin Cook into the ground every year. 

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1 hour ago, Special K said:

 

Singletary has fumbled the ball ball more times than Moss this year....lucky for DS, all his fumbles went out of bounds, but he still fumbled the ball.

 

 

I’m sure it matters to them who starts. It also sends a bad message to the locker room if you aren’t starting the player who is playing the best at the position.

 

 

It may matter to Moss and Singletary, but I greatly doubt it matters to the coaches. If it did they'd pick a guy and stick with him.

 

And it doesn't send any kind of bad message, because the coaches feel, and doubtless communicate, that they are playing these guys for game-specific advantages in who they start. This isn't going to piss anybody off or send bad messages, the idea's ridiculous. It's not like the Bills are doing something wild here by going back and forth. It's S.O.P. these days on many teams. 

Edited by Thurman#1
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4 hours ago, Shaw66 said:

Yes, but there's a tactical advantage to having your best running back threat on the field on first down.   That's the down when you can attack the whole field, so that's when you want your best running back out there.   Regardless of how the touches vary from week to week, you want the opponent to have to plan for the guy as a threat on most of the offense's plays.  Singletary's been okay, but Moss seems more consistently to find opportunities for an 8-15 yard gain.  I'd start Moss and force the opponent to plan for his brand of explosiveness.  

 

 

Why not force the opponent to prepare for both ... to not know? The way we have it now, they already have to prepare for Moss's brand of explosiveness. But they also have to prepare for Singletary's brand of explosiveness. 

 

As for your argument that Moss more consistently finds 8 - 15 yard opportunities, I'd argue that's recency bias and the unfair decision to try to gerrymander out the longer runs of both guys. Here are all of the gains for both of them of over eight yards. (I went play-by-play, and I could have missed one ... please feel free to check my work).

 

SINGLETARY eight or more yard carries  (35 rushes for 180 yards)

Pitt 10:35 1st Q 8 yards

Pitt 8:35 4th Q 15 yards

Pitt 7:46 4th Q 25 yards

Mia 12:33 1stQ 46 yards

Mia 1:15 2nd Q 8 yards

 

MOSS eight or more yard carries  (21 rushes for 86 yards)

Mia 5:16 1st Q 10 yards

Wash 14:59 2nd Q 8 yards

Wash 0:45 3rd Q 9 yards

Wash 5:21 4th Q 8 yards

 

They appear to be pretty similar with Moss getting slightly more eight-yarders per carry, but the difference probably being statistically insignificant. But Singletary appears to get more longer higher-impact plays.

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2 hours ago, Nelius said:

I agree that Moss has been the better back, but I'm not sure I'd change anything. Maybe I'd like to see them go with the hot hand a bit more which would likely be Moss, but we're 5th in the NFL in rushing right now so I think things are working. I also prefer our approach to Minnesota's, who is #4 in rushing, and just runs Dalvin Cook into the ground every year. 

I like the platoon but asking Moss to get 60% is not unreasonable. He's the better runner and pass catcher. They both fumble equally so that's a wash.

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11 hours ago, Shaw66 said:

Yes, but there's a tactical advantage to having your best running back threat on the field on first down.   That's the down when you can attack the whole field, so that's when you want your best running back out there.   Regardless of how the touches vary from week to week, you want the opponent to have to plan for the guy as a threat on most of the offense's plays.  Singletary's been okay, but Moss seems more consistently to find opportunities for an 8-15 yard gain.  I'd start Moss and force the opponent to plan for his brand of explosiveness.  

1st down where though? Between the 20's that should be Singletary against most opponents as long as we are in 11 or 10 personnel.

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9 hours ago, Thurman#1 said:

 

 

It may matter to Moss and Singletary, but I greatly doubt it matters to the coaches. If it did they'd pick a guy and stick with him.

 

And it doesn't send any kind of bad message, because the coaches feel, and doubtless communicate, that they are playing these guys for game-specific advantages in who they start. This isn't going to piss anybody off or send bad messages, the idea's ridiculous. It's not like the Bills are doing something wild here by going back and forth. It's S.O.P. these days on many teams. 

 

I’m not saying they shouldn’t play both guys, they absolutely should, but being number 1 on the depth chart matters to the players. IMO, Moss is the better back, and should start even if they are going to continue to split carries.

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Devin is better at creating space when none is there as he is a lot shiftier and I think he fits Dabolls system better beause Daboll is terrible at designing run plays with clear holes.  Daboll might be the worst run game OC in the NFL, and one of the worst I have ever seen.  If we ran more from run formations, I wonder who would be the better back, Moss or Devin because Moss does hit the hole hard too.  But given the way we call run plays, I think Devin's ability to be shifty and find the lanes has more consistent value from a running perspective and why he has a higher YPC career average IMO.  

 

Moss on the other hand is better suited for our system than Devin as a receiver out of the back field and also for the tough yards.  So I think they compliment each other well.  

 

But, this is another example of "hot takes"...Devin ran great the first 2 weeks, and McD also said he would go with the hot hand in a game to game scenario.  So just because Moss was more productive this week doesn't all of a sudden wipe out how effective Devin was the previous 2 weeks, including a 45 yard TD run.  Devin was arguably our best offensive player week 1 and then he had another strong game week 2 when our passing offense was still fluttering a bit with another poor showing by the OL week 2.  

 

Personally, I think Devin will function as the "starting RB" all year, and will get his 12+ carries a game with Moss still getting 8-10 carries and probably a little more action in the receiving game than Devin has his hands are more reliable.  Both are going to be good players for us and I still think Devin hits 1000 yards rushing by years end as I think its clear Daboll is at least trying to get the run game more established this year even though he still runs too often from funky formations to really get that ground game consistency. 

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15 hours ago, balln said:

garbage time run against PIT late.

 

without the long td run. his avg was like 2.2 yds per carry

 

Wow what a terrible take.  The drives on Pitt were incredibly important and needed as we still had a shot in that game at that time.  Second, I utterly hate when people say "take away this and then its this".  You can do that with any player in the league and substantially change their stats.  Its such a foolish statement, especially when you don't do that to any of the comparable players.  

 

Bottom line is Devin as a rookie splitting time with Gore was just a few rushes behind the league leader in most carries over 20+ yards, and he only had like 150 carries.  He has a career rushing average near 5 ypc, so this nonsense of wiping out one play to paint a different picture than what his career has shown is utterly ridiculous and has not value what so ever.  

 

Despite your clearly biased opinion, Devin has done a great job the first 2 weeks and one could argue he should have been given even more work in the Steelers game while our passing game was struggling instead of throwing 51 times, he was literally our best player on offense that week while everyone else, literally the entirety of the remaining 10 guys on the field were all struggling.  

 

Moss and Devin compliment each other well and they will both get plenty of touches this year, especially since Daboll seems to be trying to get the run game more established after the week 1 game.  

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I posted elsewhere that I think Buffalo should start Moss when they play a team with a good physical defensive line.  I think when Buffalo plays a team with a soso defensive line, they should start Singletary.  That's because Moss seems better and making something out of nothing.  When the offensive line can blow holes in the defensive line, Singletary has more ability to make people miss when he gets into the open field.

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46 minutes ago, BananaB said:

The only thing Singletary has over Moss is he’s a bit shiftier. I’m not even sure that matters when you are comparing slow RBs, I’d rather the guy who’s gonna put his head down and keep trucking forward. 

 

DS shiftiness can create some significant extra yards in the way he hits the holes.  Moss is far better at turning the chicken s--t our offensive line produces and getting that extra yard or two.  

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On 9/27/2021 at 7:56 PM, Miyagi-Do Karate said:

I know Devin has improved from last year, but watching moss and DS on the field, Moss just brings so much more to the table. He hits the hole harder, is a short yardage bruiser, is very good out of the backfield catching the ball, and is a very good blocker.

 

Beyond that, if the Bills go to that read option/RPO stretch action they ran a lot of during the WFT game, Moss is a much more instinctive and decisive runner. Devin was lost out there on those runs, just getting swallowed up looking for a crease. 
 

The stats from last game bear this out, with Moss having 13/60 (plus 30 rec yards), and Singletary with 11/26. 
 

I think we need both guys, but I would like to see the split be more like 80/20, than 50/50.

Looked to me washington was more prepared for singletary after his big game the previous week. While moss ran loose. Now teams will be focused in on moss after his big game. I think 50/50 is still good plan or rotate each week 80/20 to keep teams guessing

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Aside from Moss' burst, power and balance, the main difference I've noticed is his vision and decision making. It's much faster and more natural than Singletary. 

 

Motor seems to never create. He tries to ram in a hole that's visibly not there. Moss seems to feel the flow of the play and anticipate lanes opening. 

 

Moss definitely needs more action. 

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Interesting (maybe only to me) that there's been so many threads about the OL struggles, esp passing protection, but in reality it all goes hand-in-hand, one would think.  Maybe it's just me and my totally amateur football eyes but when I see Singletary and/or Moss having crappy runs, I usually see a bunch of large guys in Bills uniforms getting pushed back into their way behind the line of scrimmage.  The sucked last year in run-blocking and I don't see a world of improvement so far this year.   And this is exactly why I did not want them to draft a running back in the first or second round this year.  Without major blocking improvement, would not have seen much immediate return on investment no matter who they would have drafted.

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