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Stallions

Who will conquer the wind this Sunday?

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The forecast for Orchard Park is partly sunny, 45 degrees & WINDS at 20-25 MPH from the South.

Josh can throw through this type of wind.  Can Lamar or will he run more often?

Interesting and fun game this week!

 

**UPDATED FORECAST**    Winds now 20 mph + with gusts up to 30 mph.  Tough to pass!

Edited by Stallions

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3 minutes ago, Stallions said:

The forecast for Orchard Park is partly sunny, 45 degrees & WINDS at 20-25 MPH from the South.

Josh can throw through this type of wind.  Can Lamar or will he run more often?

Interesting and fun game this week!


Baltimore’s game the past few weeks has been to pound the ball and throw shorter passes.  I don’t think that the winds will really change that, though if the Bills can somehow slow the ground game (which is way easier said than done) I think it bodes well 

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1 minute ago, Phil The Thrill said:


Baltimore’s game the past few weeks has been to pound the ball and throw shorter passes.  I don’t think that the winds will really change that, though if the Bills can somehow slow the ground game (which is way easier said than done) I think it bodes well 

This.  Lamar Jackson is never going to get caught up in a passing duel.  It's just not his game.  A strong wing from the south would tend to be a cross wind at New Era Field.  That will make long field goals an adventure even for a usually reliable kicker.  That will affect strategy on drives that end in the area of the (opponent's) 30 to 40 yard line.  Buffalo will not want Josh chucking the ball deep all afternoon, not that he would anyway.  The bottom line is wind will be a factor, but it's not going to be the story of the game unless one of the teams is really stupid in their approach to it.  Neither coaching staff is stupid.

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1 hour ago, Phil The Thrill said:

Baltimore’s game the past few weeks has been to pound the ball and throw shorter passes.  I don’t think that the winds will really change that, though if the Bills can somehow slow the ground game (which is way easier said than done) I think it bodes well 

 

So a couple of things.  Yes, Baltimore's game has been to pound the ball and throw shorter passes, but the "don't sleep on the passing game" thing is just when the opponent is desperate to contain him and stop that short game to the TEs, he'll throw the long bomb - he completed a 40 yard beaut in Week 10 against the Bengals and threw an incomplete bomb in nasty conditions against SF.  Week 9, incomplete.  Week 7, completed one.   The Rams game was an exception (they did win 45-6), but it seems as though Jackson will try one or two deep bombs a game, just to remind the defense that they still need to cover the WR. 

 

Of course, if he tries one and you can pick it like the Steelers did (picked him 3x overall), Bonus for the D. 

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2 hours ago, Phil The Thrill said:


Baltimore’s game the past few weeks has been to pound the ball and throw shorter passes.  I don’t think that the winds will really change that, though if the Bills can somehow slow the ground game (which is way easier said than done) I think it bodes well 

This defense knows how to play the run ever since the Eagles game.  Adjustments in schemes with Taylor and Liuget in the mix.  No worries here!

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Shame, these conditions in a home game SHOULD make us favorites against just about the entire league outside Baltimore and the 49ers. Dealing with cooler weather and 20+ MPH, only Allen and a few others can manage. Tom would shrink (See Philadelphia away game), Brees would struggle. The list of cerebral QB's with fading arms is rather long.

 

About the only thing you would really not like to see if your Buffalo is a run oriented team and probably the best kicker in NFL history (should we end up in a one score game). That is exactly what we get Sunday.      

Edited by KzooMike
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What's potentially helpful is if the wind shrinks the field on Baltimore's offense and allows the Bills to commit more bodies to stopping the run. If Baltimore seems reluctant to throw deep or outside the numbers then it could help the Bills contain the running game at least to some degree.

 

The wind vs. Philly absolutely stopped Wentz's downfield passing game but that did not help the Bills - they got gashed by power runs and screen passes. 

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We're going to have to be able to pound the rock anyway.  Throwing 30 plus times vs that secondary is not ideal.  

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8 hours ago, Kiva said:

We know Hauschka can’t kick in it. 

If this comes down to kicks we’re f*****

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Sounds vaguely like something T & P would say.  🤔

*
(No, not TP.  T and P, from ‘South Park’.)

6 hours ago, Mike in Horseheads said:

Al Roker?

Pre Jenny Craig Roper?  Yes!

Slim Al Roker?   Not so much.

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Stack the box, gap integrity, sure tackling, and clogging the middle of the field when Lamar looks to throw. We got this. 

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13 hours ago, Codyny13 said:

If this comes down to kicks we’re f*****

Both teams may try to avoid mid-range FG's with that wind.

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I watched the Niners-Ravens last week and noticed that Lamar Jackson tends to float the ball a bit. He has a nice touch, but there is a big arc and not a lot of velocity. I’ll give be the edge here to Allen. 

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29 minutes ago, SF Bills Fan said:

I watched the Niners-Ravens last week and noticed that Lamar Jackson tends to float the ball a bit. He has a nice touch, but there is a big arc and not a lot of velocity. I’ll give be the edge here to Allen. 


I’ve been saying that.  
But people don’t want to agree with my assessment of what I see on replays. 

I used the word lobs which is to me a floater. 

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2 hours ago, Stallions said:

Both teams may try to avoid mid-range FG's with that wind.

Maybe, but I’d much rather have the best kicker in the NFL, and that ain’t us.

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Probably Justin Tucker, unfortunately. He just drilled a game winner in the rain. Gonna need some touchdowns. I keep worrying that we're coming into this game with a serious kicker /special teams disadvantage, so offense is going to have to play their best game of the year. Unless Lamar has a total meltdown against a serious D at home which would be amazing to see, but doubtful.

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15 hours ago, CaptnCoke11 said:

Last time we had these conditions the Eagles pounded us

It was dam windy for that Broncos game if I recall.

My app says 18 mile an hour winds, gusts up to 28. Is it me, or does that not sound that bad? It's almost always windy in November and December in OP since it is so flat and near the lake. I dont think it's gonna be as much of a factor as people make it out. Just my two cents.

Edited by Bferra13

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