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Week 11: Bills at Dolphins - Spread: Bills -6.5


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7 hours ago, MiltonWaddams said:

I’m thinking we should load up on carries for Gore. Singletary has shown to be very effective so work away from that strength.

This made me literally laugh out loud.

 

Thanks for that!

 

:beer:

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On 11/14/2019 at 4:39 PM, CincyBillsFan said:

 

 

Yep and Allen was half a second late in getting the ball to him.  That's how close we are to substantially elevating this pass game.  And I see no reason that with more experience Allen makes that throw on time.

 

But what the picture doesn't tell you unless you look real close is that Allen is probably already feeling the heat of the Brown's DE who has badly beaten our Tackle on an inside move (I believe that's Garret) so Allen must continue moving to avoid the sack.

 

And what the picture doesn't show you is that on the pass, which was a half second late, Knox doesn't take a step towards the ball which allows the DB to close the gap and bat the ball away.  Had Knox took a step forward, like a lot of pass savvy TE's would do, he either catches the ball by shielding it from the DB or the DB commits PI.

 

Finally, while I appreciate DeMarco's help in pointing out the guy breaking open WHAT THE HELL IS HE DOING DOWNFIELD on the route.  How many times have we hit him with a pass 15 yards field in the middle of the field?  Wouldn't he have been more useful helping our tackle block Garret on that play?  Just saying.

 

 

You basically wrote that you do not think Allen will improve with experience, and that he will not make this throw in the future.

 

I think you meant exactly the opposite.


Which was it, for clarity?

 

 

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This is a game I should worry about.  Dolphins playing inspired football and would love to win a division game.  The game in Miami. 

 

Normally this would be major choke game number 1.  So it probably won’t be. 

 

McD is telling them to put petal on metal so maybe this week the offense plays great and we win 31-13 like we should. 

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5 hours ago, GoBills808 said:

I will be playing BUF-6.5 and the under. Some other plays I think have value-

 

DET+250 and the over

JAGS+2.5

JETS+2.5

CAR-4.5 and under

 

and spreading out some on dogs-

 

CHI+250

HOU+175 (and probably over parlay)

 

 

The money has been coming in on the Bills all week since Tuesday.  I got the Bills at -5.5 @ -110 on Tuesday.  I just looked at the casino odds where I bet the game & it's up to -6.5 @ -115.  

I didn't bet over/under.  

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3 hours ago, Nextmanup said:

You basically wrote that you do not think Allen will improve with experience, and that he will not make this throw in the future.

 

I think you meant exactly the opposite.


Which was it, for clarity?

 

 

 

My point was that Allen made the right read and got the ball to the TE but was probably a half second slow in doing so.  My 2 main points:

 

1)  As Allen gains experience he will make that throw a split second sooner and it's an easy TD.  That's why I'm encouraged because I think we're very close to having a much better passing game.  Next year with two seasons under his belt Allen will more often then not hit that throw perfectly.

 

2)  As Knox gains experience in the passing game he will make the slight adjustment that would have given him a decent chance to catch that ball or draw a PI even when it's thrown a split second late.

 

Bottom line is that sooner rather then later both Allen & Knox will gain that extra bit of experience that allows them to start routinely hitting on those plays.  

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18 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

https://www.buffalobills.com/news/7-things-to-watch-for-in-bills-at-dolphins-week-11

 

1. WHAT DOES FEARLESS LOOK LIKE?

After losing two of their last three, head coach Sean McDermott has challenged his team to play fearlessly. That’s what quarterback Josh Allen told the media this week.

Veteran Center Mitch Morse says it’s not just the quarterback. He said McDermott is challenging the team to play more freely and instinctively.

“I think there is something to that,” Morse said this week. “We don’t need to change everything just because we lost one game, but I think we need to look at what gets us stuck in certain situations. When you think too much on the football field you don’t play as fast. And that doesn’t mean you don’t think, that means be confident in yourself. Be confident in the group of guys with you.  Maybe sometimes less is more when it comes to communication part. Go out and just play football.”

 

 

...interesting.....so it took losing two of the last three to hatch this mantra?.......shouldn't that have been the ONGOING message from day one?.....then perhaps "losing two of the last three" does NOT happen??..........

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14 minutes ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said:

 

...interesting.....so it took losing two of the last three to hatch this mantra?.......shouldn't that have been the ONGOING message from day one?.....then perhaps "losing two of the last three" does NOT happen??..........

Right on...we would think that McDermott had already gone this route from the beginning. Sounds like he is reaching in to his toolbox.

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23 hours ago, PaattMaann said:

 

Agreed. Just really hoping he develops into the QB who hits those throws that good QBs make. He is still in his second year (and not even really that...has had less than a season and a half as a starter) as a RAW prospect coming out of a nothing college program. Gonna take time, IF it happens at all...he gets through next season before I will reach a conclusion as to if he is "the guy" or not. 

We forget he played for WYOMING. He didn’t play for Alabama or Ohio State. He probably is 1 or 2 years behind in his pro development because of it. We won’t know what we have until the end of the 2020 season. I know that sucks but that’s reality.

 

It’s why I have been pushing for AJ Green, if healthy, or some major move for a WR1 because Brown is a WR2. We can still draft a WR also but we need that WR1 next year. It won’t fix Josh but it will improve his confidence and give him a true pro offense. 

Edited by Locomark
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2 hours ago, Locomark said:

We forget he played for WYOMING. He didn’t play for Alabama or Ohio State. He probably is 1 or 2 years behind in his pro development because of it. We won’t know what we have until the end of the 2020 season. I know that sucks but that’s reality.

 

It’s why I have been pushing for AJ Green, if healthy, or some major move for a WR1 because Brown is a WR2. We can still draft a WR also but we need that WR1 next year. It won’t fix Josh but it will improve his confidence and give him a true pro offense. 

 

...thinking that is a BIG if........besides he wants a long term deal with big money along with the BIG if.......don't see it.........upcoming WR draft class sounds pretty lucrative according to the TBD folks versed in collegiate ball........

Edited by OldTimeAFLGuy
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I've been hammering Allen pretty hard this week, but he's still got plenty of time to silence the doubters. 

 

This would be a great time to start.

 

My hope is that Cleveland game is going to shake things up offensively; you can't "fake" aggressive. You can't try to micromanage a QB who's biggest asset going forward will be big plays provided he takes a step forward.

 

Yes, they passed 41 times, but I think it's time for the OC to take a step back and let the kid do what he's gonna do. It's my view that Allen is going to thrive when he's not playing scared. It's sports psychology 101. They've essentially asked him NOT to make mistakes. It's like telling a pitcher to stop throwing balls, etc. It just doesn't work that way. They need to start focusing on what he CAN do and I'm thinking/hoping they realize they need to make some changes. They shouldn't be in this predicament in the first place offensively, but what's done is done. Hope for the rest of the season is that Allen decides it's time to just play QB and let the chips fall where they may if he makes some mistakes.

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