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Week 7: Dolphins at Bills (-17)


YoloinOhio

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I think we all need to chill out and hope for a win. By one point or 20. As McDermott always says, stay humble. Don’t start counting sacks, INT’s, 300 yd games. Just play your best game, execute, and play 60 minutes. I feel nervous with all this “guaranteed win” and “they’re a JV squad” crap. 

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1 minute ago, BringBackFergy said:

I think we all need to chill out and hope for a win. By one point or 20. As McDermott always says, stay humble. Don’t start counting sacks, INT’s, 300 yd games. Just play your best game, execute, and play 60 minutes. I feel nervous with all this “guaranteed win” and “they’re a JV squad” crap. 

Fortunately no one on this board is affiliated with the team 

hi Kim :wub: 

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1 minute ago, BringBackFergy said:

I think we all need to chill out and hope for a win. By one point or 20. As McDermott always says, stay humble. Don’t start counting sacks, INT’s, 300 yd games. Just play your best game, execute, and play 60 minutes. I feel nervous with all this “guaranteed win” and “they’re a JV squad” crap. 

 

 

No kidding. There are multiple posts discussing whether or not the team should sit Josh and/or other starters in the 4th Q, if/once the Bills are so far ahead it is laughable. I'm thinking, where was this talk before the Pats* game?

 

It's an NFL inter-division game. There is a VERY good chance it will be close and low scoring. And while I know fans losing focus likely has no impact on the team, sometimes it (irrationally) feels as though it does. 

 

Don't be like a Yankee/Pats* fan. Stay humble.

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1 hour ago, Boatdrinks said:

Again, not misleading. It’s one metric focused on  a specific aspect of offense: scoring TDs when in the red zone. Not understanding what the metric is doesn’t make it misleading. Anyone who points to the metric as meaning anything but what it actually indicates would be wrong, but not mislead into doing so. Scoring TDs gets more difficult as the offense gets closer to the goal line as the defense doesn’t have much ground to cover. Hence the reason for the stat. It is what it is and nothing more. 

If you followed the conversation, I initially stated that I don’t think we’ll score a lot of touchdowns. Someone else brought up that stat and stated that’s why they disagreed. Follow the conversation

1 hour ago, Boatdrinks said:

Turnovers and sacks are part of the reason for the low point total. 3rd down conversions are pretty good overall relative to the rest of the league, so you can discount that one. Fix the first two, combine it with your already strong red zone TD % and the problem should be fixed. There’s no lol about it. It’s just using stats to show where the problem lies.  The Bills offense moves the ball well, but suffers from self inflicted wounds that lower scoring. That’s an easier fix than struggling to convert third downs, poor red zone TD % etc. 

The Bills are 24th in 3D conversions, so no.

 

”Fixing turnovers and sacks and third downs and we’ll score a lot” is terrible analysis. Might as well just say play better and we’ll play better. Maybe we can try to complete more passes, run for more yards, break more tackles and get more first downs in our quest to fix our offensive woes.

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Ugh.  I am worried sick about this game.  No reason at all for the Bills to lose.  No excuse if they do.  None.  And a Bills loss tommorow would obliterate all of this excitement and enthusiasm we've built so far this season.  In some ways we have little to gain and nearly everything to lose.  That thought terrifies me.

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50 minutes ago, BringBackOrton said:

If you followed the conversation, I initially stated that I don’t think we’ll score a lot of touchdowns. Someone else brought up that stat and stated that’s why they disagreed. Follow the conversation

The Bills are 24th in 3D conversions, so no.

 

”Fixing turnovers and sacks and third downs and we’ll score a lot” is terrible analysis. Might as well just say play better and we’ll play better. Maybe we can try to complete more passes, run for more yards, break more tackles and get more first downs in our quest to fix our offensive woes.

No need to follow the conversation, you called the stat misleading. It isn’t. It’s exactly what it sounds like it is. 

My mistake on the 3rd down conversions. The stat the Bills offense ranked highly in was total first downs ( 8th) , not 3rd down conversions. They move the football well. You are massively oversimplifying the analysis to disregard it. The Bills issues are mostly on them, not anything their opponents have done. The sacks and INTs have been largely on Allen rather than exceptional play by the defense. He just needs to make better decisions and live to fight another down. You make it sound like the Bills offense is a hopeless mess, needing improvement in every area when the numbers bear out a different conclusion. They don’t have that far to go to bring that scoring total up. 

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8 minutes ago, The Red King said:

Ugh.  I am worried sick about this game.  No reason at all for the Bills to lose.  No excuse if they do.  None.  And a Bills loss tommorow would obliterate all of this excitement and enthusiasm we've built so far this season.  In some ways we have little to gain and nearly everything to lose.  That thought terrifies me.

The thing about that is i think we have the right coach for that type of thinking. Mcd isnt going to let them get too cocky and overconfident

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11 minutes ago, The Red King said:

Ugh.  I am worried sick about this game.  No reason at all for the Bills to lose.  No excuse if they do.  None.  And a Bills loss tommorow would obliterate all of this excitement and enthusiasm we've built so far this season.  In some ways we have little to gain and nearly everything to lose.  That thought terrifies me.

Perhaps it would, for a week. Then a win over the Eagles would bring it all back. The Bills should win this game, but it’s a week to week league and one win or loss won’t define the season on its own. The Pats* lost at Miami the last two seasons. No reason to lose, but they did. It didn’t matter one bit. 

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11 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:

No need to follow the conversation, you called the stat misleading. It isn’t. It’s exactly what it sounds like it is. 

My mistake on the 3rd down conversions. The stat the Bills offense ranked highly in was total first downs ( 8th) , not 3rd down conversions. They move the football well. You are massively oversimplifying the analysis to disregard it. The Bills issues are mostly on them, not anything their opponents have done. The sacks and INTs have been largely on Allen rather than exceptional play by the defense. He just needs to make better decisions and live to fight another down. You make it sound like the Bills offense is a hopeless mess, needing improvement in every area when the numbers bear out a different conclusion. They don’t have that far to go to bring that scoring total up. 

No need to follow the conversation when you’re trying to have a conversation? Okay, I’m going to stop following this one lol

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7 hours ago, OldTimeAFLGuy said:

....quick question....would it surprise you if Lorax said, " ok one more year if they'll have me"?.......what would be your call?...............

 

If he finishes the season as he's going now .... in a NY minute.  It would depend of course on what he wants for it, but I'd sure pull up a chair to the negotiating table and say "what are you thinking of?"  Even if he loses a step, he's such a smart player now it's like the final years of Jim Leonhard, he makes up for it being smart.

 

But that's the real problem with being 'Zo's age - easier to get injured, harder to come back.  So let's finish the season first.

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It’s Gameday Baby - Let’s Go Bills!

 

fwiw, I’m in Barcelona and the game won’t be on until 7pm.  Seems like a loooong wait, also not quite sure where I’m even going to watch, but I’ll figure it out ???

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10 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:

I’ve gambled my left nut on Dolphins +17...

 

It just seems like too much.. 

 

 

We beat them 42-17 at home last year and we've moved in opposite directions in terms of talent since.  We should be able to cover.  Yet again, Fitz still scares the hell out of me.  It's gotta be the beard.

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The fin fan forum expect a big win for the Bills

 

https://finheaven.com/threads/final-score-miami-dolphins-v-buffalo-bills.357213/

 

game time weather looks ideal for football , low 60s , little wind

 

A refresher course

 

Even though they live in the ocean all of the time, dolphins are mammals, not fish. Like every mammal, dolphins are warm blooded. Unlike fish, who breathe through gills, dolphins breathe air using lungs. Dolphins must make frequent trips to the surface of the water to catch a breath.

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