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Moving up to #2 = No Playoffs for the next three years


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2 hours ago, Domdab99 said:

Moving up is sexy, it's fun, it's what's for dinner these days. But moving up will set the team's growth back three, maybe five years. Possibly longer. This team has so many holes, that to throw away all these picks on a QB who might be good is insanity. 

 

If we can somehow move up and still have 1 2nd and 1 3rd...I'd be willing to listen. But only for Rosen or Mayfield. Trading up for any of the other QBs is insanity. Especially since Jackson has a very good chance of being there at 12. Hell, he has a good chance of being there at 22.

 

I'd rather pick an elite player at 12 - Roquan Smith, Derwin James, Vita Vea....etc. Use the rest of the picks on holes like WR, OL, DL, LB....

 

Throwing away this draft along with a first next next year? No thanks. 

IMO this statement is poppycock.

 

One doesn’t determine the other.

Edited by Manther
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2 hours ago, Domdab99 said:

Moving up is sexy, it's fun, it's what's for dinner these days. But moving up will set the team's growth back three, maybe five years. Possibly longer. This team has so many holes, that to throw away all these picks on a QB who might be good is insanity. 

 

If we can somehow move up and still have 1 2nd and 1 3rd...I'd be willing to listen. But only for Rosen or Mayfield. Trading up for any of the other QBs is insanity. Especially since Jackson has a very good chance of being there at 12. Hell, he has a good chance of being there at 22.

 

I'd rather pick an elite player at 12 - Roquan Smith, Derwin James, Vita Vea....etc. Use the rest of the picks on holes like WR, OL, DL, LB....

 

Throwing away this draft along with a first next next year? No thanks. 

 

I'm of the opinion McBeane wants Rosen.  If they can't reasonably move up to get him, they will happily stand pat and fill all those holes you rightly mention.

 

I can't see any other strategy, frankly.  I think it's pretty obvious, imho.

 

 

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2 hours ago, Domdab99 said:

Moving up is sexy, it's fun, it's what's for dinner these days. But moving up will set the team's growth back three, maybe five years. Possibly longer. This team has so many holes, that to throw away all these picks on a QB who might be good is insanity. 

 

If we can somehow move up and still have 1 2nd and 1 3rd...I'd be willing to listen. But only for Rosen or Mayfield. Trading up for any of the other QBs is insanity. Especially since Jackson has a very good chance of being there at 12. Hell, he has a good chance of being there at 22.

 

I'd rather pick an elite player at 12 - Roquan Smith, Derwin James, Vita Vea....etc. Use the rest of the picks on holes like WR, OL, DL, LB....

 

Throwing away this draft along with a first next next year? No thanks. 

 

Three years.  Seems like an exaggeration.  But just for fun, let's go with it.

 

Let's assume we mortgage two full years worth of picks.  We give up #12 and #22 this year, along with our 2019 1st Rounder and a few 2nds/3rds for good measure.  We literally can't draft any top prospects until 2020.  And this sets the franchise back a full 3 years with NO playoffs.

 

If that gives us a CHANCE to get the franchise QB we are looking for, I will take that deal without question.  Because once those 3 years of sacrifice are over, we are setup with a QB who can keep us in championship contention for the next 10-12 years.  Maybe even a Super Bowl.

 

 

 

Now consider the alternative.  We stay put at #12 and all the strong QB prospects are gone.  So we load up on the D-Line, Linebackers, Wide Receivers, etc.  Don't forget we still need to use a Day 2 pick on a QB, like Mason Rudolph or Luke Faulk, who have a much higher chance of becoming nothing in the NFL.

 

Our roster is awesome for the next three years, but we can't get farther than the Wild Card/Division Round, because of mediocre QB play.  Then in 2022, all of our fantastic draft picks are Free Agents.  We only have so much cap space, so we can only re-sign half of those guys. 

 

.... And we are back to the exact same place as April 2018. 

 

 

 

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1 hour ago, CountDorkula said:

We have all the picks though..... That obviously means that all stars are going to come out of the wood work.

 

 AJ McCarron will slow the offense to a crawl like he did in Cincinnati when he took over and it all will matter not. 

better a crawl than a sacrifice imo 

 

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2 hours ago, Domdab99 said:

Moving up is sexy, it's fun, it's what's for dinner these days. But moving up will set the team's growth back three, maybe five years. Possibly longer. This team has so many holes, that to throw away all these picks on a QB who might be good is insanity. 

 

If we can somehow move up and still have 1 2nd and 1 3rd...I'd be willing to listen. But only for Rosen or Mayfield. Trading up for any of the other QBs is insanity. Especially since Jackson has a very good chance of being there at 12. Hell, he has a good chance of being there at 22.

 

I'd rather pick an elite player at 12 - Roquan Smith, Derwin James, Vita Vea....etc. Use the rest of the picks on holes like WR, OL, DL, LB....

 

Throwing away this draft along with a first next next year? No thanks. 

I agree 100%.  Who will play MLB?  Is pass rush fixed?  Where is the depth at CB?  Are we starting Groy, Vlad, and Mills?  We need 2 more WRs....I would be very thrifty with our picks.  

I agree a big trade up sets us back two years at least.  So I wouldn't look forward to watching our shiny new QB running for his life because of inadequate line and WRs to throw too.  Nor would I watch teams run at will against us such as Chargers.Saints, and Jets

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1 minute ago, Pete said:

I agree 100%.  Who will play MLB?  Is pass rush fixed?  Where is the depth at CB?  Are we starting Groy, Vlad, and Mills?  We need 2 more WRs....I would be very thrifty with our picks.  

I agree a big trade up sets us back two years at least.  So I wouldn't look forward to watching our shiny new QB running for his life because of inadequate line and WRs to throw too.  Nor would I watch teams run at will against us such as Chargers.Saints, and Jets

Is QB not a hole? Is it not the biggest hole on the team?

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3 minutes ago, Pete said:

I agree 100%.  Who will play MLB?  Is pass rush fixed?  Where is the depth at CB?  Are we starting Groy, Vlad, and Mills?  We need 2 more WRs....I would be very thrifty with our picks.  

I agree a big trade up sets us back two years at least.  So I wouldn't look forward to watching our shiny new QB running for his life because of inadequate line and WRs to throw too.  Nor would I watch teams run at will against us such as Chargers.Saints, and Jets

So keep doing what we’ve been doing for 20 years, fill holes, lose players to free agency, fill holes, repeat. 

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7 minutes ago, CountDorkula said:

Is QB not a hole? Is it not the biggest hole on the team?

I put MLB up with QB as our two biggest needs.  Just because I do not wish to squander all our picks, that does not preclude us from drafting a QB.  We could take one at 12, or we can jump up to 7 or so and not pay such a steep price.  I want it all.  QB MLB WR C G CB OLB

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Just now, Pete said:

I put MLB up with QB as our two biggest needs.  Just because I do not wish to squander all our picks, that does not preclude us from drafting a QB.  We could take one at 12, or we can jump up to 7 or so and not pay such a steep price.  I want it all.  QB MLB WR C G CB OLB

If you give up 12,21,2nd,3rd,Next years first

 

You still have a 1 2 and 3 this year. I think you are being a tad over dramatic on the "All the picks part"

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4 minutes ago, CountDorkula said:

If you give up 12,21,2nd,3rd,Next years first

 

You still have a 1 2 and 3 this year. I think you are being a tad over dramatic on the "All the picks part"

That is a !@#$load of picks!  Right now I think the Bills are better the the Giants.  There is a chance the Giants trade Odell to Rams for 2 first round picks.  So if we trade all that to Gmen- they would have 5 first round picks and a 2nd and 3rd.  If that occurs, watch how much better the Giants become while our QB learns nuances of NFL

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2 hours ago, Domdab99 said:

 

Just because it works one time out a hundred doesn't mean it's going to work again. 

I like Maj but Philly had 3 bona fide qb whisperers on staff. Reich Peterson and Defilippo. Top it off... they won with pseudo journeyman Nick Foles. Philly is, if nothing else, the exception to the rule. I would love to have had their situation but we dont. I dont want anyone in a trade up but Rosen. I would settle for Mayfield. Rosen will need a much better pass pro in front of him though

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9 minutes ago, Pete said:

That is a !@#$load of picks!  Right now I think the Bills are better the the Giants.  There is a chance the Giants trade Odell to Rams for 2 first round picks.  So if we trade all that to Gmen- they would have 5 first round picks and a 2nd and 3rd.  If that occurs, watch how much better the Giants become while our QB learns nuances of NFL

Looks at Cleveland, yeap, all those pick sure helped them. They picked all those star offense and defense players and ignored the QB position so much that they went 0-16 last year. 

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52 minutes ago, mjt328 said:

 

Three years.  Seems like an exaggeration.  But just for fun, let's go with it.

 

Let's assume we mortgage two full years worth of picks.  We give up #12 and #22 this year, along with our 2019 1st Rounder and a few 2nds/3rds for good measure.  We literally can't draft any top prospects until 2020.  And this sets the franchise back a full 3 years with NO playoffs.

 

If that gives us a CHANCE to get the franchise QB we are looking for, I will take that deal without question.  Because once those 3 years of sacrifice are over, we are setup with a QB who can keep us in championship contention for the next 10-12 years.  Maybe even a Super Bowl.

 

 

 

Now consider the alternative.  We stay put at #12 and all the strong QB prospects are gone.  So we load up on the D-Line, Linebackers, Wide Receivers, etc.  Don't forget we still need to use a Day 2 pick on a QB, like Mason Rudolph or Luke Faulk, who have a much higher chance of becoming nothing in the NFL.

 

Our roster is awesome for the next three years, but we can't get farther than the Wild Card/Division Round, because of mediocre QB play.  Then in 2022, all of our fantastic draft picks are Free Agents.  We only have so much cap space, so we can only re-sign half of those guys. 

 

.... And we are back to the exact same place as April 2018. 

 

 

 

 

Goid points. But how many years does it set us back if the QB you move up for us t anything special?

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3 hours ago, Domdab99 said:

Moving up is sexy, it's fun, it's what's for dinner these days. But moving up will set the team's growth back three, maybe five years. Possibly longer. This team has so many holes, that to throw away all these picks on a QB who might be good is insanity. 

 

If we can somehow move up and still have 1 2nd and 1 3rd...I'd be willing to listen. But only for Rosen or Mayfield. Trading up for any of the other QBs is insanity. Especially since Jackson has a very good chance of being there at 12. Hell, he has a good chance of being there at 22.

 

I'd rather pick an elite player at 12 - Roquan Smith, Derwin James, Vita Vea....etc. Use the rest of the picks on holes like WR, OL, DL, LB....

 

Throwing away this draft along with a first next next year? No thanks. 

Wrong

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3 hours ago, Domdab99 said:

Moving up is sexy, it's fun, it's what's for dinner these days. But moving up will set the team's growth back three, maybe five years. Possibly longer. This team has so many holes, that to throw away all these picks on a QB who might be good is insanity. 

 

If we can somehow move up and still have 1 2nd and 1 3rd...I'd be willing to listen. But only for Rosen or Mayfield. Trading up for any of the other QBs is insanity. Especially since Jackson has a very good chance of being there at 12. Hell, he has a good chance of being there at 22.

 

I'd rather pick an elite player at 12 - Roquan Smith, Derwin James, Vita Vea....etc. Use the rest of the picks on holes like WR, OL, DL, LB....

 

Throwing away this draft along with a first next next year? No thanks. 

 

I'm sorry - how does the math work that trading one year's worth of picks sets a team back 3-5 years??  Especially if it nets you a franchise QB, but even if it doesn't.

 

Teams routinely go from basement to playoffs in the NFL, btw - and it only takes a year.  There's also free agency (the Bills will have roughly $100M available next year) and higher picks following a bad year, and...

 

 

 

You rightly scored double-digit "confused" reactions to this OP - congrats!

 

 

9 minutes ago, Domdab99 said:

 

Goid points. But how many years does it set us back if the QB you move up for us t anything special?

 

ONE

Edited by BobChalmers
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18 minutes ago, CountDorkula said:

Looks at Cleveland, yeap, all those pick sure helped them. They picked all those star offense and defense players and ignored the QB position so much that they went 0-16 last year. 

don't use Cleveland's ineptness to demonstrate that we must overpay for a QB lottery ticket

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4 minutes ago, Pete said:

don't use Cleveland's ineptness to demonstrate that we must overpay for a QB lottery ticket

Calling it a lottery ticket is a bit disingenuous. Taking s top rated prospect is the most likely way to get a good or elite QB. 

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3 hours ago, MAJBobby said:

 

Rams say Hi 

 

Goff had one good year and his playoff record is the exactly the same as the guy we just ran out of town.  Get back to me in 3 years to see if he is still worth it. 

 

Was Robert Griffin worth it?

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