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Jaylon Smith - What round is he worth the risk?


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  1. 1. What round would you take Jaylon Smith?

    • Round 1 - players come back from bad knee injuries all the time
      1
    • Round 2 - maybe not worth a 1st but good value in Rd 2
      24
    • Round 3 - steal in round 3 for best player in draft
      45
    • Round 4 - you have 2 picks in the 4th so why not
      25
    • Round 4 - compensatory pick
      15
    • Round 5 - can't believe he's still on the board
      5
    • Round 6 - too good to be true
      7
    • Round 6 - compensatory pick
      5
    • Waste of a pick - not worth the risk
      4
    • UDFA
      1


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http://mmqb.si.com/mmqb/2016/04/26/nfl-draft-paxton-lynch-jaylon-smith

 

6. I think I’m going to go out on a limb and predict that Jaylon Smith will be drafted in the fourth round. The former Notre Dame linebacker was a probable Top 5 pick if he hadn’t been hurt, but the nerve damage accompanying the torn ligaments in his left leg clouds his recovery prognosis. Two evaluators with two different NFL clubs shared a similar organizational practice for players like Smith, i.e. premier talents with serious injuries from which they may or may not be able to recover: They take them off the board for the first three rounds. Think about it like this—what’s the first round where, if you cut the player drafted in that round, it’s not seen as a huge miss? The fourth round. Here’s a corollary: Marcus Lattimore, the former South Carolina running back with nerve damage in his dislocated knee, was drafted by the 49ers with their fourth-round compensatory pick in 2013. He was never able to play in the NFL, but the gamble the Niners took wasn’t at a giant cost.

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http://mmqb.si.com/mmqb/2016/04/26/nfl-draft-paxton-lynch-jaylon-smith

 

6. I think Im going to go out on a limb and predict that Jaylon Smith will be drafted in the fourth round. The former Notre Dame linebacker was a probable Top 5 pick if he hadnt been hurt, but the nerve damage accompanying the torn ligaments in his left leg clouds his recovery prognosis. Two evaluators with two different NFL clubs shared a similar organizational practice for players like Smith, i.e. premier talents with serious injuries from which they may or may not be able to recover: They take them off the board for the first three rounds. Think about it like thiswhats the first round where, if you cut the player drafted in that round, its not seen as a huge miss? The fourth round. Heres a corollary: Marcus Lattimore, the former South Carolina running back with nerve damage in his dislocated knee, was drafted by the 49ers with their fourth-round compensatory pick in 2013. He was never able to play in the NFL, but the gamble the Niners took wasnt at a giant cost.

A fourth round lottery ticket would work for me. It is a giant risk to take him but it could be a giant payoff. Or a giant waste of a 4th.

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It is a move a team will make in round 2. The Bills don't have the luxury to choose him before round 3. (IMO)

If they trade down.........maybe. Agree that no way he goes past RD 2. He is worth more than a 3rd RD grade. Thing is everyone will want a sure starter in the 1st. He'll slide but not nearly as far as some think.

Edited by Rockinon
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I don't know them personally of course but something tells me Lattimore didn't have the heart and desire that Jaylon has. He was the leader of that defense and I think he has what it takes to overcome his injury. RB's are a dime a dozen in the NFL and you have to have the desire to make it even if you aren't injured and I don't think Lattimore had what it takes. He said himself that he didn't know why the 49ers picked a RB with 2 bad knee injuries. I'd take a chance on a high character guy like Jaylon Smith knowing that if he can't do it then nobody can

i don't know anything about Jaylon but he seems to have a positive attitude. His brother Rod was a RB at OSU and he was a complete turd.

 

Marcus Lattimore definitely had heart and work ethic.

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