
Ed_Formerly_of_Roch
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Everything posted by Ed_Formerly_of_Roch
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I agree with 99% of your assessment , however with Tua playing as he did, and as a rookie, the team still won 10 games, 2 games better than the Raiders and within one game of every other team on your list not named Bills or Chiefs. They are a solid team and just had a good draft with multiple early picks, minus the QB so for that reason I'd place them at the 3/4 mark as they are as good as others on that list IMO. If Tua improves which I also tend to agree is somewhat doubtful, they could jump towards the top. I said I agree with 99%... the one exception is a less polished arm. I recall plenty of TT passes into the ground or way wide, etc. hard to beleive someone could be worse in that respect. Maybe TT's form was good, but just produced bad results!
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OK great idea, what exactly do you think they should be doing to gamble for this season? Trade our first and second round draft picks for JJ Watt?? Trade next years 1st for Ertz? The Bills don't have much money to gamble with so options are limited other than making short sighted trades that MAY help in 2021, but long term would likely hurt. As was stated, it's not a real true number as likely both Edmunds and Allen will sign long term deals prior that will greatly reduce their 2022 cap number. The Bills are also in a position where they can cut some big $$ players for next year as mentioned in Star, Morse, Klein, Addison, & Sanders. Likely too these other teams can also cut players, but the names just mentioned can be cut without the team likely losing much on the field. Can those other teams say the same? Plus Jets and NE still have big questions at QB along with Steelers beyond 2022, Miami, and to a lesser degree Raiders and Ravens have questions at QB. Think you forgot Miami, I'd place them at the 3/4 mark too.
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Can recall Beane's exact words but he implied Bojo wasn't willing to sign a long term contract with the Bills, again not at what they were offering. Maybe that was Bojo's thing. OK I'll sign for one year at that rate, but the Bills wanted a longer contract. I do wonder if Bojo's mishaps on holds were part of the reason he's not here as again he wanted the big $$, but Bills wee offering less in part because they were concerned over his holding issues. From what I've read QB's no longer hold for the most part because they don't want to take them away from time spent doing QB work. 30 years ago the backup QB would just stay after practice with the kicker, now not allowed. For that reason easier to use the punter.
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Think I recall hearing this coming year was the last year of the contract they had with SJF. Seems the trend these days is to have camp at "home" where as 20 years ago was different and having a facility like SJF made the Bills unique in a good way! Can recall the first years seeing TD and RW whizzing around together on a golf cart. Oh...... and Williams blasting his fog horn alarm!
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Exactly, that's why I didn't count Jones as a RB. Has Breida played any ST??
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I think Wade has a shot of making the roster over Jones, but low likelihood of it happening. Think Breida and Moss are "locks". Breida strictly because he brings speed. There's a small chance Singletary could get cut if someone clearly out plays him, but not very likely either. So I think the most likely thing we'll see is Moss Singletary, Breida on the roster and Jones or possibly someone else replacing him. But then the next question would bif they'd keep all 4 active on game day, prior years they didn't.
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Technically you are correct, but exactly how many carries did Jones have last year? I'm not counting him as a RB, he's active for ST. Can recall him having one catch for a TD I believe?? Was that also in the Miami game when subs were playing more? I could have stated whether they wish to keep 4 active, but didn't think it made a difference since Jones never runs the ball anyway.
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You say Williams is working hard. Can you give some specifics to show how he's working harder than either Singletary, Moss, or Breida? Or even Wade? I'm sure they are all working just as hard, as you said you are following Williams. Everyone loves Williams and saying wow wait till next year. But was all based on what he did in 2nd half against Miami in season finale when Fish were getting blown out, knew they were done for year, out of playoffs and basically just waiting to get the bus warmed up. Maybe he really is the answer, but just as likely he's not at this point. And the tie goes to the draft pick! Plus is Williams all that different of a RB than Moss? Really would be surprised to see a backfield combo of he and Moss IMO. To me the biggest question at RB is will the Bills this year decide to keep 3 RB's on the active game day roster? They haven't done that the past couple of years, but to do that requires shorting another roster position someplace. Maybe one of the new draftee's or someone can play a duel role of position and ST so someone like a T Jones is dropped and if Jones were dropped a more likely case would be for Wade to replace him. But even then I think the most likely RB combo we'd see would be Singletary, Moss, and Breida.
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My 2021-22 Bills Schedule Prediction
Ed_Formerly_of_Roch replied to corta765's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Also west coast teams tend to also end up with more 4:25 games just because that's a normal 1:00 start for them. Kind of funny last year I expected the Bills to have more 4:25 starts with all the west coast games, but the San Fran ended up being a Monday night, and Arizona game ended up a week where Fox had doubleheader game. Bills/Raiders game was the secondary game, but ended up getting bumped to main game due to Covid cancellation of other game. This year no scheduled late starts due to time zone. -
My 2021-22 Bills Schedule Prediction
Ed_Formerly_of_Roch replied to corta765's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don't believe the Thursday night games are considered prime time though. Infact I believe they try to have every play one Thursday night game. -
If their salaries are a liability for Buffalo and a less experienced guy is able to take their place with no drop off in talent means they're easy to replace so why wouldn't their salaries also be a liability for every other team? I doubt they dump Dawkins regardless of salary. Williams yes, but he'll be cut or if could find someone to take him it will be maybe for a 5th or 6th round pick, but most likely cut. Dawkins could maybe get a 2nd, but again ,he's not going anywhere for awhile. Player who are traded are either still on cheap contracts or superstar level. It's amazing how everyone wants to trade their garbage, but expects other teams to pay top $$ for it.
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Let's revisit and grade 2017 draft
Ed_Formerly_of_Roch replied to No_Matter_What's topic in The Stadium Wall
OK, but then still a B for Vallego?? Did he contribute much more than I recall?? I barely remember the name. -
53 Man Roster: Way Too Early
Ed_Formerly_of_Roch replied to ngbills's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think what is going to happen with a couple of these rookies, Brown or Doyle, Anderson, maybe even Rousseau will get "hurt" around the end of August and end up on IR so more vet backups make final roster like Lamp, Hart, Obada, etc. Beane may even decide to hire Troy Vincent to the staff to help out in this regard! -
Sure all true, but I'd argue that teams who drafted QB's in 2015 thru 2017 are in worse shape in that the second QB contracts have already kicked in and got hit with the cap reduction (not fully for 2017 draftees) LA with Goff, Eagles with Wentz. Coincidentally or not, many of those teams haven't done that well so not in the Super Bowl window to start with, instead rebuilding.
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Let's revisit and grade 2017 draft
Ed_Formerly_of_Roch replied to No_Matter_What's topic in The Stadium Wall
So you're giving T Vallego whom I barely remember a 3 and T White a 4. No idea what the highest score you gave was, but overall the numbers you gave doesn't seem to reflect their contributions and level of their play. -
Interesting in that Lombardo and Nystrom graded on true curves in that roughly equal amounts of "A's" and "F's" where as many others were unbalanced towards the top.
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Beane compensatory picks...he's clever
Ed_Formerly_of_Roch replied to Hebert19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Big difference, Lee Smith only had a salary coming of about $2 mil from what I recall, Hughes is due $9.5 mil with $3.1 dead and Addison is due $8.2 mil with $4.8 dead. So doubt you're trading them, likely the only ones you cna trade are the ones on initial contracts. Based on talent, agree, but Addison has a fully guaranteed contract so can't see him getting cut. Efe and Phillips are the two guys who might get something back in return, maybe a 5th rounder as if the Bills announce they are being shopped, every other team also knows they may be cut. Efe is also the guy who could be the best of all of them too long term. Agree but good chance the guys you're getting rid of like a Johnson, Phillips, Zimmer, or Efe may be better than the guys replacing them in their rookie year. -
Other than pride, you wonder at what point in draft is it better to not get drafted and be able to choose the team where you might fit the best. Like the Bills drafting a guard in round 7, would he have been better being un-drafted and choose a team with not much depth at guard. I'm guessing mid 6th round and lower, better chance of making team as UDFA.
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Beane compensatory picks...he's clever
Ed_Formerly_of_Roch replied to Hebert19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
So what's your solution for the log jam on the D line?? Very likely Hughes, Star, an Addison have no trade value due to big contracts and Addison and Star have no cap savings if cut. Not sure about Hughes, likely not a huge savings. So the only ones left are players still on their 1st contracts and not Oliver who starts are Phillips, Zimmer, Johnson, and Epinesa or the FA they just signed. Agree it would be rather unusual to trade a 2nd round pick after one season but something needs to give. Teams also will know the Bills have to cut some of these guys so will try and wait them out and not agree to trade for them. -
Beane compensatory picks...he's clever
Ed_Formerly_of_Roch replied to Hebert19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Can't see Addison getting traded with his contract. I think the more likely option would be to trade someone like a Phillips, Zimmer, Johnson, Bates, etc than someone drafted this year. You look at when the team traded Teller, he had one year of playing time and film to go off of. Can't imagine a team trading for a guy we just selected and saw him play all of half of 2 pre-season games. Considering the depth at DE, would they consider trading Epinesa??