Josh Allen....Over/Under 44.5 combined Passing and Rushing TD's??

[uticaclub]

We aren't going to win many games without Josh scoring over 3 TDs a game. I’m taking the over!

[Gregg]

12 minutes ago, uticaclub said:

We aren't going to win many games without Josh scoring over 3 TDs a game. I’m taking the over!

 

I hope you are wrong about this because that would imply the Bills aren't a very good team unless Allen goes into Superman mode. 

[frostbitmic]

Under

 

34 passing TDs + 10 Rushing TDs = 44

[TBBills Fan]

17 hours ago, Don Otreply said:

How does one score half a TD? 

It's like when the wife almost decides to give you some but ends up giving an uninspired handy instead 

[Lieutenant Aldo Raine]

20 hours ago, Special K said:

Last year, he had 28 passing TD's and 12 Rushing TD's for a total of 40 combined TD's.

 

How many TDs would he have had if he didn't sit several 4th QTR of games last year.  You could probably safely assume at least 4-5 more touchdowns.

[DeltaDigital]

7 hours ago, Gregg said:

 

I hope you are wrong about this because that would imply the Bills aren't a very good team unless Allen goes into Superman mode. 

hows he wrong? without allen, they win maybe 7 games. he's that good. even when he's NOT superman... and our defense is THAT bad. 

[Gregg]

Just now, DeltaDigital said:

hows he wrong? without allen, they win maybe 7 games. he's that good. even when he's NOT superman... and our defense is THAT bad. 

 

With all the moves made by Beane this offseason I am curious to see what the defense looks like this year. 

[Buffalo Boy]

[ChronicAndKnuckles]

19 hours ago, Victory Formation said:

I think we have a more complete team this year, thus I think Josh Allen will not need to put up career numbers, he won’t need to..

This more or less my thinking. We know Josh can score 45 TDs. The point is for other guys to contribute. Cook has been a great start. As awesome as Josh running it is, I’d like to see Brady tone it down more. We’ve got some great RAC options all over this offense. 

[billsfan89]

If he's healthy I think he gets it. Mid to upper 30's passing TD's and 8-10 rushing TD's seems doable. Cook vultured a lot of TD's on the ground last season so there's room for positive regression in total passing TD's that could easily compensate for a lower level of Josh rushing TD's. Secondly while the defense was bad at times last year the defense also was good against bad to average offenses. The Bills got elite defensive performances in 6 games last year letting up on 14 or less points. All 6 of those games were blowouts. The Bills were nursing leads late in about 8 games last year plus the one blowout loss against the Ravens. 

 

So the argument that the Bills defense could be improved and lead to more blowouts and less shootouts is also a bit flawed because about 9 games last year were blowouts for or against the Bills. So the regression there is not likely to be major. The Bills defense gave up a ton of points in shoot out situations against the Fins second game (27 points), Rams (48 points), Lions (42 points a little window dressing on that but still left the door open for Josh to have to score more), and Cards opening day (28 points). Only other game where the Bills gave up massive points was in the Ravens loss and that was not a shoot out given the offenses lack of matching production. 

 

So that's only 5 games where the defense gave up more than 23 points. The defense even if it improves and clamps down on 1-2 more games that's not a lot of negative regression either. The Bills also did not play Josh against the Pats in week 18. I hope the Bills are getting that same chance to rest starters because they got their seed (2 or better) locked up but it is possible for Josh to get a full games worth of additional opportunities for TD's if needed.

[uticaclub]

9 hours ago, Gregg said:

 

I hope you are wrong about this because that would imply the Bills aren't a very good team unless Allen goes into Superman mode. 

I hope I am wrong too

[BillsFooteball]

Slight under 

[DeltaDigital]

19 hours ago, Gregg said:

 

With all the moves made by Beane this offseason I am curious to see what the defense looks like this year. 

same. if history is an indicator... woof. these suspensions etc... just not great. they NEED to build a top 10 defense. top 10 in sacks. top 10 in stopping the run, or we will get more of the same. 

[Freddie's Dead]

Take the ovaries.  Easy.

[Special K]

Bump......get your votes in!!

[Special K]

8 games in with 9 to go......here's how it stands now:

 

13 Passing TD's

7 Rushing TD's

 

20 Total TD's.

 

He is on pace to match his combined TD total of 40 last year.

 

With a big game vs the Fins on Sunday, he can get himself on pace to hit the over, and if the Rushing TD's keep coming (7 in 8 games) like I think they will in the second half of the season, the over is certainly attainable.

[Scott7975]

17 minutes ago, Special K said:

8 games in with 9 to go......here's how it stands now:

 

13 Passing TD's

7 Rushing TD's

 

20 Total TD's.

 

He is on pace to match his combined TD total of 40 last year.

 

With a big game vs the Fins on Sunday, he can get himself on pace to hit the over, and if the Rushing TD's keep coming (7 in 8 games) like I think they will in the second half of the season, the over is certainly attainable.

I didn’t realize this was an old thread bump lol. I voted under. Probably will hang around his 40 mark. 

[Kirby Jackson]

Great question!!

 

I would have said under a couple of weeks ago but it feels like we are entering “Thanos time.” It feels like he is about to start dominating. “Feeling” isn’t the best way to analyze something but you know it when you see it. He had that look last week that has been largely absent for the first half of the year. We may see him dominate the second half on his way to another MVP.

[Big Turk]

3 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:

Great question!!

 

I would have said under a couple of weeks ago but it feels like we are entering “Thanos time.” It feels like he is about to start dominating. “Feeling” isn’t the best way to analyze something but you know it when you see it. He had that look last week that has been largely absent for the first half of the year. We may see him dominate the second half on his way to another MVP.

 

Currently on pace for 42.5, likely gets a few more so I'll say 44. Unless he sits week 18, then probably 41 or 42.

Edited 7 hours ago by Big Turk

[Buffalo Ballin]

Since our receiving corp is one of the worst in the league, Josh Allen has to find ways to beat the opponent with running for the rest of the season and playoffs.