Bosa/Rousseau/Epenesa/Jackson/Solomon......over/under 23.5 combined sacks???

[Special K]

I did a few of these last year before training camp, and then revived them towards the end of the regular season to see how we all did.

 

This is 2025's first installment:

 

Everyone is excited to see how the Bills revamped D-line is going to fare this season....this question focuses on the Defensive Ends.

 

I think the success of the pass rush will be determined by two things.....the strength and stoutness of the Bills new interior D-lineman, and the health of Bosa.

 

I decided to leave Hoecht off the list since he will miss the first 6 games, and because I am not sure if he will get more snaps at DT or DE when he gets back.

 

My prediction:

 

I know that 24 sacks to reach the over is a high bar, but I'm taking the optimistic route and going with the over. The Bills have a strong DE rotation that will hopefully limit Bosa's snap counts, thus keeping him fresh and healthy throughout the season....I'm also expecting a stellar rookie campaign from Landon Jackson as well..

 

Bosa: 8.5 sacks

Rousseau: 7 sacks

Jackson: 5.5 sacks

Epenesa: 3.5 sacks

Solomon: 2 sacks

 

Total: 26.5 sacks

 

 

What do you think???

[Victory Formation]

Easy one. Over.

[BullBuchanan]

It better be over by at least 4. If it's not over, we probably miss the playoffs.

Why the massive regression for AJ?

[buffblue]

Over but not by much. I think the vast majority from your group will come from Groot and Jackson 

[uticaclub]

Boss: 1.5 sacks

Rousseau: 8.5 sacks

AJE: 6 sacks

Jackson: 4 sacks

Solomon: 6 sacks

 

These are very low end estimates and you get there pretty easily, hopefully we smash these stats.

[Sojourner]

The additions of Sanders, Ogunjobi and possibly Walker to pair with Oliver should collapse pockets better leaving those edge guys with a significant amount of 1v1’s. 
 

Im with @Victory Formation, over. Easily. 

[3rdand12]

The pressures will go waaay up and so will turnovers

Eternal Bills optimistic here , but pretty sure I will be proven out

10 minutes ago, uticaclub said:

Boss: 1.5 sacks

Rousseau: 8.5 sacks

AJE: 6 sacks

Jackson: 4 sacks

Solomon: 6 sacks

 

These are very low end estimates and you get there pretty easily, hopefully we smash these stats.

I see you have Bosa injured early and often here lol

[atlbillsfan1975]

Double digits from Rousseau. Bosa and AJ each get 6-8 and I really like the Jackson kid. Over is my vote. 

[DrDawkinstein]

I want to believe... but 8.5 for Bosa seems much higher than my expectations.

[H2o]

Even without Solomon, they will be over. That would only call for 6 sacks from each of Jackson, Rousseau, AJE, and Bosa. Easy over imo. 

[Mikie2times]

 

19 hours ago, uticaclub said:

Boss: 1.5 sacks

Rousseau: 8.5 sacks

AJE: 6 sacks

Jackson: 4 sacks

Solomon: 6 sacks

 

These are very low end estimates and you get there pretty easily, hopefully we smash these stats.

I think this is closer than the original. I would probably go something like this 

 

Boss: 5 sacks

Rousseau: 9 sacks

AJE: 5 sacks

Jackson: 5 sacks

Solomon: 2 sacks

 

 

 

Edited 15 hours ago by Mikie2times

[HOUSE]

Just like Cole Beasley

It's over

 

.

Edited yesterday at 12:55 AM by HOUSE

[Maynard]

22 sacks. 

[DrDawkinstein]

I'm too lazy to look it up right now, but what are the comparable numbers?

 

How many sacks did we have as a team last year? How many sacks did the top 2-3 teams have?

[eball]

If it isn’t way over we’re facked. 
 

[Billsfed1]

I think overall we’ll have a good number but it’s a little of everything.  

 

Edge, DT, linebacker, DB’s.  

 

I think the guys up front in general will have a good year.

[ControllerOfPlanetX]

Per game?

[BarleyNY]

Bills DEs had a total of 18.5 sacks in 2024, 23 in 2023 and 26 in 2022. 2022’s success was behind 8 each from Miller and Rousseau. 23.5 probably would require Bosa to stay healthy and ball out. 

[uticaclub]

3 hours ago, 3rdand12 said:

I see you have Bosa injured early and often here lol

Or ineffective.

 

He wasn't very productive last year in LA; hopefully, he will thrive in a new system and come close to 20 sacks himself. Any production we get from Bosa should be seen as found money. 

[Special K]

4 hours ago, BullBuchanan said:

Why the massive regression for AJ?

 

I was just projecting that AJ's snap count may be lower this year if Jackson is as good as we all think he will be......he may even lose snaps to Hoecht when he comes back from suspension.

 

I have Solomon's total low as well because he may be a healthy scratch most weeks unless there is an injury.