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Once and for all....PFFffffffft


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2 hours ago, billsfan89 said:

Football is so insanely subjective especially when you don’t know the specifics of the plays. I don’t think PFF is worthless as it has some objective data teams do like to use and even their subjective grades are still a data point for fans. 
 

I doubt teams are genuinely using PFF grades to measure player performance as teams know it’s just someone’s opinion.

Bingo. I’ll use PFF as a part to a story.

 

PFF, Pro Football Reference’s Advanced Stats, ESPN’s advanced QB Rating. 
 

Can’t rely on just one. 

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1 hour ago, Buffalo716 said:

You typically will watch film with your position group

 

There are two angles... Sideline Angle and end zone angle 

 

The sideline angle will keep every player in view throughout the entire play

 

The end zone angle is the box angle... And it does not come off of the box... Basically used for the front seven and oline

 

So an offensive line coach... Will be responsible for grading his lineman

 

He will typically use the box angle

 

And I guess it differs from coach to coach... But a lot of coaches, especially offensive line coaches will use a three-point system

 

Just a + or - for assignment, technique and effort

 

You know how many snaps they play and you multiply that by 3 and that's how many total possible pluses you can have

 

So if you played 50 snaps ... You could have up to 150 pluses... After breaking down execution technique and effort if you wind up with 140 +

 

That would be a really good day....

 

Compared to if you only had 80 pluses... You got a lot to work on

 

And then you could further break down your technique and execution to see what you need to work on or what you excel at... Obviously seeing effort is the easiest thing on film

 

And concerning when you don't bring it

I will add in my experience that skill and semi-skill players were graded off of 4 points per play. In addition to your three, alignment was also a scored factor. 

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2 hours ago, JoPoy88 said:

https://x.com/pff_sam/status/1747719174867079220?s=46&t=rG8S37R56ISI2zmCE2WlYQ

 

PFF’s response

 

(edit: I have no idea why X links don’t embed automatically anymore, sorry guys)

IMO having a response to criticism like that just screams lacking belief in what you do-it’s really not productive. If PFF believes in what they do a simple no response says more- to me anyway .

 

 

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The play a couple of weeks ago when Josh threw to Gabe in the endzone and was picked...  How do you grade that?  Did Josh just make a bonehead play under duress?  Or did Gabe go to the wrong spot based on the defense?   How does the PFF grader know?  Even if the grader is a former All-Pro, he can't know.  He can only guess.  

 

You see this with linemen, too.  Sometimes, for example, you'll see an OL fail to pick up a blitzer.  I imagine PFF gives him a bad grade.  But we don't know what the lineman was asked to do.  Maybe the back was supposed to pick up the blitzing LB but went out to the flat instead.  Assignments matter.  

 

Some egregious blunders I see during the game make a lot more sense when I hear the explanations in the post-game interviews.  The explanations change my perspective.  But not PFF's.  

 

 

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2 hours ago, eball said:

 

And so, according to some, is JJ Watt.  ;)

 

 

He most certainly is an idiot and give him a few minutes and he will clear up any doubt about that.    

 

I saw his whole interview not just the initial clip.

 

He went off the rails and started rambling nonsense about sh!t like "turnover worthy plays" shouldn't mean anything it's only a bad throw if it's intercepted and McAfee and Hawk had to rescue him before he went off further into the void.

 

And he was also convinced his important presence as a soccer owner is going to force The Premier League to officiate more fairly.   Hey @GunnerBill aren't you glad that JJ is there to fix everything for you guys?   Maybe an equivalent goofball.......I dunno, maybe Rowan Atkinson?.........can come over here and fix NFL officiating for us.

 

Also had this doozy the other day..........totally clueless to the fact that the game was cancelled as much because fans and workers couldn't get to the game as anything:

 

 

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Would you prefer a former professional or knowledgeable person review game film and provide some insights on players we wouldn't have with normal statistics? I think anyone would agree right away it won't be perfect. At the very least it's directionally correct. So who cares if it's not perfect? I guess I don't understand what the uproar on this is. 

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4 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

He most certainly is an idiot and give him a few minutes and he will clear up any doubt about that.    

 

I saw his whole interview not just the initial clip.

 

He went off the rails and started rambling nonsense about sh!t like "turnover worthy plays" shouldn't mean anything it's only a bad throw if it's intercepted and McAfee and Hawk had to rescue him before he went off further into the void.

 

And he was also convinced his important presence as a soccer owner is going to force The Premier League to officiate more fairly.   Hey @GunnerBill aren't you glad that JJ is there to fix everything for you guys?   Maybe an equivalent goofball.......I dunno, maybe Rowan Atkinson?.........can come over here and fix NFL officiating for us.

 

Also had this doozy the other day..........totally clueless to the fact that the game was cancelled as much because fans and workers couldn't get to the game as anything:

 

 

 

Tale as old as time - guy wins the gene pool lottery and is a physical freak of nature so he must also be smarter than anyone who studies the sport.

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12 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

He most certainly is an idiot and give him a few minutes and he will clear up any doubt about that.    

 

I saw his whole interview not just the initial clip.

 

He went off the rails and started rambling nonsense about sh!t like "turnover worthy plays" shouldn't mean anything it's only a bad throw if it's intercepted and McAfee and Hawk had to rescue him before he went off further into the void.

 

And he was also convinced his important presence as a soccer owner is going to force The Premier League to officiate more fairly.   Hey @GunnerBill aren't you glad that JJ is there to fix everything for you guys?   Maybe an equivalent goofball.......I dunno, maybe Rowan Atkinson?.........can come over here and fix NFL officiating for us.

 

Also had this doozy the other day..........totally clueless to the fact that the game was cancelled as much because fans and workers couldn't get to the game as anything:

 

 

 

I didn’t say I disagree with you.  It was just a fun topic for discussion.

 

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42 minutes ago, BlazinBill said:

IMO having a response to criticism like that just screams lacking belief in what you do-it’s really not productive. If PFF believes in what they do a simple no response says more- to me anyway .

 

 


I 100% agree with you. If PFF put out more publicly on how these graders are trained and instructed, it might alleviate some of this bewilderment for some of their grades and hatred for them in general. But they don’t do that. Wonder why?

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19 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

He most certainly is an idiot and give him a few minutes and he will clear up any doubt about that.    

 

I saw his whole interview not just the initial clip.

 

He went off the rails and started rambling nonsense about sh!t like "turnover worthy plays" shouldn't mean anything it's only a bad throw if it's intercepted and McAfee and Hawk had to rescue him before he went off further into the void.

 

And he was also convinced his important presence as a soccer owner is going to force The Premier League to officiate more fairly.   Hey @GunnerBill aren't you glad that JJ is there to fix everything for you guys?   Maybe an equivalent goofball.......I dunno, maybe Rowan Atkinson?.........can come over here and fix NFL officiating for us.

 

Also had this doozy the other day..........totally clueless to the fact that the game was cancelled as much because fans and workers couldn't get to the game as anything:

 

 

 

Rowan >>> JJ

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3 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

What you don't want is to become a sport where the analytics make scouting efficient to the point that it renders outcomes too predictable.

 

Like regular season MLB where, for instance and among other things,  teams know exactly where players will hit the ball most times based on analysis of a large sample size game.   Then you gotta' put rules in place to prevent teams from playing smart.   

 

The 17 game NFL season vs. the 162 game MLB season will limit that sort of analysis

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2 hours ago, BullBuchanan said:

I mean, most coaches are awful and the majority of the rest are painfully mediocre former athlete dinosaurs. Is it a surprise their grades don't correlate 1:1 with empirical analysis?

A grade is a grade based on inputs and a model. It doesn't care what you believe. What a result of a model means is up for interpretation, but the grade itself really isn't so long as the input is accurate to the rubric.


There is nothing empirical about PFF player grades. Jesus Christ.

 

Edit: and this is the biggest problem with PFF - they’re liars (or at least, manipulators.) PFF holds themselves out as leaders in analytical football data. and they do in fact do a lot of that - that’s what they sell to teams. But PFF player grades are not that, never have been. That’s their fan facing product. That’s to drive those clicks and engagements. And they rely on fans like ol’ Bull here, who’s never met a topic he knew nothing about he wouldn’t comment on, to not know the difference. And they’re succeeding.

Edited by JoPoy88
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36 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

Also had this doozy the other day..........totally clueless to the fact that the game was cancelled as much because fans and workers couldn't get to the game as anything:

 

 

I could be wrong but I thought public safety isssues (severe weather necessitating driving ban, need to have emergency responders helping people vs. directing traffic and policing game) were the major reasons for the cancellation?

 

In his interview on Pat McAfee, Mitch Morse said game safety concerns were pointed out to the players - for example, in the weather that occurred on Sunday, if there were a serious injury on the field, EMS could be unable to get the injured player through the weather to a Level 1 Trauma Center in a timely fashion.

 

McAfee looked like he was having a 💡 "oh *****, you're right, I never thought of that!" moment. 

 

It is possible that enlightenment will come to Watt.

 

Or, maybe not.

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7 minutes ago, Beck Water said:

 

I could be wrong but I thought public safety isssues (severe weather necessitating driving ban, need to have emergency responders helping people vs. directing traffic and policing game) were the major reasons for the cancellation?

 

In his interview on Pat McAfee, Mitch Morse said game safety concerns were pointed out to the players - for example, in the weather that occurred on Sunday, if there were a serious injury on the field, EMS could be unable to get the injured player through the weather to a Level 1 Trauma Center in a timely fashion.

 

McAfee looked like he was having a 💡 "oh *****, you're right, I never thought of that!" moment. 

 

It is possible that enlightenment will come to Watt.

 

Or, maybe not.


People pointed that out to Watt shortly after he posted that and he acknowledged it.

 

Somebody can be right about one thing and wrong about another.

Edited by JoPoy88
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15 hours ago, Punch said:

PFF loves Josh Allen, FWIW. 

 

Not to defend PFF, but "literally putting a coaches grade next to a PFF grade" doesn't really prove much considering how many meatheads are coaching in the NFL. Coaches are constantly wrong when evaluating talent and situation. 

You are literally parroting PFF and don't even realize it.

15 hours ago, EmotionallyUnstable said:

The NFL pays PFF for raw data. There has to be some merit to what they do. It is one evaluation system, a piece, not the gospel. 

Raw data, not grades.

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