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MVP; Hurts / Allen / Mahomes by the numbers...


Inigo Montoya

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3 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

I don’t think the mahomes game ending int against buffalo was any better...honestly I think it was worse.    Davis was open on a post on that ot pick vs Minnesota and Allen just missed the throw badly.  It really wasn’t a bad read he just threw the ball like sh*t and it was way behind Davis.  I’m sure it was at least partly due to his banged up elbow.  An overwhelming majority of the time that’s an incompletion or a td. 
 

mahomes’ pick he held the ball way too long to make that throw…it wasn’t a good decision and if you’re gonna double clutch a throw like that there’s a good chance the defense is gonna jump the route.  Once he pumped you’ve gotta eat that sack or try to throw it away.  

Say what you will, but when Allen released the ball vs. Minny I thought TD as there was no need to throw in the endzone as still lot's of room to work with and options (was second down).  Then to see it no where close to a receiver and a simple int I was flabbergasted.    

 

We all are Allen fans, but that second half and the mistakes were just terrible.  

 

Of course would have been moot if either he doesn't fumble at the goal line or (and yes I'm throwing Diggs under the bus, because of the play and a drop) Allen's perfect pass to him on third & 15 with 3:40 left was caught (would have pretty much ended the game). 

 

Give the Bills defense credit on the Mahomes int, good pressure, great int.  

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2 hours ago, Billsfan1972 said:

Say what you will, but when Allen released the ball vs. Minny I thought TD as there was no need to throw in the endzone as still lot's of room to work with and options (was second down).  Then to see it no where close to a receiver and a simple int I was flabbergasted.    

 

We all are Allen fans, but that second half and the mistakes were just terrible.  

 

Of course would have been moot if either he doesn't fumble at the goal line or (and yes I'm throwing Diggs under the bus, because of the play and a drop) Allen's perfect pass to him on third & 15 with 3:40 left was caught (would have pretty much ended the game). 

 

Give the Bills defense credit on the Mahomes int, good pressure, great int.  

Oh yea they were both bad mistakes…but I’d take a bad throw over a big time mental error personally though.  Davis had a step and Harrison smith got pulled by the inside route so there was a ton of room to get the ball for a td or at the very worst an incompletion. it really wasn’t a bad read by any means.   Also Allen hit knox on a perfect pass the previous play that he certainly could’ve made a play on.  I think josh gets SOME goodwill back for the fg drive to tie it up late too (despite gabe getting away with that drop)

 

idk I’m not that high on that mahomes play.  He sees the route isn’t there and double pumps the ball and the pressure is coming so he’s like ehhh let’s just throw it anyway.  It wasn’t like taron jumped the route out of nowhere, mahomes completely telegraphed it.  If pressure is an excuse for bad qb play then josh gets way more points added than mahomes because our offensive line is poop 😂

 

certainly not trying to minimize Josh’s mistakes…he made too many in that second half.  But mahomes blew that bills game every bit as much as Allen blew the Vikings game imo 

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19 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

Oh yea they were both bad mistakes…but I’d take a bad throw over a big time mental error personally though.  Davis had a step and Harrison smith got pulled by the inside route so there was a ton of room to get the ball for a td or at the very worst an incompletion. it really wasn’t a bad read by any means.   Also Allen hit knox on a perfect pass the previous play that he certainly could’ve made a play on.  I think josh gets SOME goodwill back for the fg drive to tie it up late too (despite gabe getting away with that drop)

 

idk I’m not that high on that mahomes play.  He sees the route isn’t there and double pumps the ball and the pressure is coming so he’s like ehhh let’s just throw it anyway.  It wasn’t like taron jumped the route out of nowhere, mahomes completely telegraphed it.  If pressure is an excuse for bad qb play then josh gets way more points added than mahomes because our offensive line is poop 😂

 

certainly not trying to minimize Josh’s mistakes…he made too many in that second half.  But mahomes blew that bills game every bit as much as Allen blew the Vikings game imo 

You mean another pass that just once you want to see a Bill make a play on.  Wasn't an easy catch, but certainly catchable. 

 

Again you're right about the Allen int, but those were passes he didn't miss until the second half this year.

 

I like Mahomes and yes some blame belongs to him, but still was a great int.  These were the plays the Bills made early in season. 

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5 hours ago, D. L. Hot-Flamethrower said:

Not sure this holds a ton of water for me. His passing attack seems to be much more QB friendly with a strong running game, great Oline and schemed receivers running open. Whereas Allen has none of that. He does only have 5 INT to Mahomes and Allen with 11, but his schedule played isn't made up of great defenses faced. He's not even that much ahead of Allen in fumbles 9 to 11, and behind Mahomes who has 5! I think the team friendly context accounts for his numbers ALOT! JMHO

 

There are no great defenses outside of maybe San Francisco.  Today's rules have made it near impossible.

 

Fact remains, Hurts has 8 less turnovers than Allen.  That's a lot, especially considering the red zone turnovers by Josh.

5 hours ago, HappyDays said:

 

He has the luxury of taking care of the ball because he doesn't have to be the team's entire offense. Allen and Mahomes don't have the luxury of the best run offense in football, the best OL in football, and two #1 WRs. If they don't put it all on the line every week their teams will lose most games, and yes that leads to turnovers but it also leads to unbelievable plays that are necessary to win the game. Case in point the Texans and Dolphins arguably outplayed the Chiefs and Bills in their respective matches last weekend, the only reason their teams won is because of the QB play. I'll be surprised if the Eagles offense drops off that far with Gardner Minshew but we'll see.

 

Then I suggest KC and Buffalo do a better job of team building.  

 

Allen and Mahomes are fully capable of taking what the defense gives them, but they believe in their talent a little too much at times and it costs them.  

 

Thems the breaks.

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11 hours ago, BIGFOOTspaceman said:

 

They don't though.  It's strictly a "Who has the biggest stats" award.

 

For me, Allen and Mahomes are such a large portion of why the Bills and Chiefs are so successful, they are really the only candidates for me.  If anything, Allen should be the front runner based on what he means to the offense.  Out of the Bills, Chiefs and Eagles.....Bills suffer extraordinarily if Allen is out.  Which is case enough for me for Allen to win MVP.  But I don't vote so, moot point. 

 

 

how many games the Chiefs win without mahomes?

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1 hour ago, Mr. WEO said:

 

 

how many games the Chiefs win without mahomes?


 

Exactly.  No 2 players in the league do more for their teams then Allen and Mahomes - their stats say so and their teams records say so.  
 

Burrow is close but the talent he has and the crap schedule he (and Hurts) have played lead me to vote for someone else.  
 

 

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I think Josh has an outside shot looking in. The Monday night Bengals game, on the road, vs. the reigning AFC Champions who are playing very good football and in the 1 seed conversation, will loom large.

 

If he goes out and lights in up and the biggest stage football has to offer, in a meaningful game, vs a quality opponent, I think he’s right in the conversation

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3 minutes ago, BananaB said:

Hurts getting MVP with a pro bowl WR, RB and 3 olineman is just comical to me. 

I think you are being tough on Hurts, but when I see highlights (vs. every game Allen plays), what I see are receivers running wide open, runs often where it is like the sea parting (last weeks TD run vs. Chicago was a 25 yard walk into the end zone) and the one thing we never see with Allen is receivers winning battles and making that difficult catch.

 

Allen, outside Diggs, I can think of 3-4 great catches this year.

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On 12/20/2022 at 9:53 PM, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

 

It's been a QB award for a long time. But it is antiquated to not include rushing production in the discussion of "best QB stats" in today's NFL. Mahomes has around a 6 TD and 650 yard lead on Allen if we only consider passing stats. But that lead shrinks significantly when we add in the production with their legs. 240 yards and 2 TD's can simply be the difference of one QB playing in one extra blizzard condition game than the other. Or having played three games against top 5 defenses vs just 2 games for the other QB. 

If that’s the case then Hurts is beating out both of them. The fact is Hurts is the front runner and has been for awhile. He is the media darling right now and they decide the winner so unless something odd happens he is winning the  MVP.

 

Also to the person called the Dallas game a BIG game. It really isn’t the Eagles have the East all wrapped up. The only chance Dallas has is if they win out and the Eagles lose out.. heck if the eagles win 2 of the last 3 they have a first round by.. Guaranteed.. (and assuming everyone else wins out is the only way they lose the 1 seed going 1 and 2 )

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20 minutes ago, PatsFanNH said:

If that’s the case then Hurts is beating out both of them. The fact is Hurts is the front runner and has been for awhile. He is the media darling right now and they decide the winner so unless something odd happens he is winning the  MVP.

 

Also to the person called the Dallas game a BIG game. It really isn’t the Eagles have the East all wrapped up. The only chance Dallas has is if they win out and the Eagles lose out.. heck if the eagles win 2 of the last 3 they have a first round by.. Guaranteed.. (and assuming everyone else wins out is the only way they lose the 1 seed going 1 and 2 )

I took "big" in the sense of MVP narrative.  If Minshew plays an effective game and the Eagles win comfortably over one of the toughest opponents on their schedule, one might assume that it might diminish the Hurts' MVP scenario.  I am not sure I buy that reasoning but I could see some thinking that way.

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