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Bills 17.5 pt favorites vs the Texans


Process

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1 minute ago, No Place To Hyde said:

I mean, a few years ago they Vikings got a HUGE point spread, at home against a rookie QB, but that fella jumped to action and pulled an upset. Allen something or other. Wonder what he's up to these days?

That rookie QB was a first round pick and an athletic freak. He was also playing vs Kirk Cousins.

 

Not hating on Kirk, but he is not someone who should be favored by that much, EVER. 

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Very simple stat that I followed to see if was true many years ago. Pick the team you think will win the game and 80% of the time they cover. I followed all NFL scores for 2 years and it's true. Trick is picking the team that wins and 20% of the time this method doesn't work even if they win. Having said that... I would not pick the Bills with this spread. 

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34 minutes ago, Process said:

When is the last time the Bills were this big of favorites? And if you want to bet the Bills it's probably best to do it early because I could see the line moving. 

 

It's a huge spread (I would never bet an NFL spread this big), but this just seems like a game where we absolutely dominate. Flukey things can always happen (they run a screen play and our MLB is caught getting blocked by a WR down the sidelines), but it feels like a 42-7 type game to me. Having a hard time seeing how they score. 

 

 

Forget the Bills...when was the last time any team was that huge of a favorite??

I think Trubisky gets quite a bit of game action next week...

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53 minutes ago, Process said:

When is the last time the Bills were this big of favorites? And if you want to bet the Bills it's probably best to do it early because I could see the line moving. 

 

It's a huge spread (I would never bet an NFL spread this big), but this just seems like a game where we absolutely dominate. Flukey things can always happen (they run a screen play and our MLB is caught getting blocked by a WR down the sidelines), but it feels like a 42-7 type game to me. Having a hard time seeing how they score. 

 

Edit.. here's the answer to my question. Guess it hasn't been that long. 

 

If Josh goes off again may have to keep the Never Allen’s on here from sharp objects or the medicine cabinet 

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1 hour ago, Beast said:

They could be winning 31-7 late in the game and a meaningless TD at the end could cover. That's an extremely high line for an NFL game.

If the Bills are up 31-17 late in the fourth quarter, I hope Allen is planted firmly on the bench, and Trubisky is getting some snaps.  Covering a spread like that is no reason to leave Allen exposed.  Not that Houston has anyone who's a threat to Allen's well-being...but still.

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4 minutes ago, Utah John said:

If the Bills are up 31-17 late in the fourth quarter, I hope Allen is planted firmly on the bench, and Trubisky is getting some snaps.  Covering a spread like that is no reason to leave Allen exposed.  Not that Houston has anyone who's a threat to Allen's well-being...but still.

I think the Bills cover even if Mitch played the entire game.

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