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I’m seeing 12+ wins for this team...


eball

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6 hours ago, eball said:

Time to put my money where my mouth is.  No excuses, this is the most complete Bills roster since the late 90s and they will prove it on the field.  No glaring holes at any position, and quality depth throughout.  Backup QB is a question mark, so the health of Josh Allen is key.  Provided he stays healthy, I see the Bills going 6-0 in the East, and of the remaining ten games there is only one — @SF — in which I think they will go in as an underdog.  The W5 matchup with KC is likely a pick’em, because I expect Buffalo to be 4-0 going into that one.  They’ll be favored in every other home game and the road games are not particularly daunting outside of Tennessee.  Arizona is a media darling but they are unproven and have a suspect defense.  Vegas is still, in my opinion, a mess.  Denver may be a bit better but I’m not sold on Fangio or Lock.

 

I’ll give them losses to KC, San Fran, and a couple we don’t expect — maybe Tennessee, Pittsburgh, or the roadie at NE***.

 

AFC East champs and the #2 seed in the playoffs.

 

There ya have it.

So,where is the money? You betting on this? I would love 12-4 ,but it might be overly optimistic.Covid unknowns make it extra difficult to make predictions 

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2 hours ago, Georgie said:

So,where is the money? You betting on this? I would love 12-4 ,but it might be overly optimistic.Covid unknowns make it extra difficult to make predictions 

 

Oh, I already hammered the o8.5 wins...that’s a no-brainer.

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22 minutes ago, GreggTX said:

The schedule is a lot tougher and we don't have one of the better passers in the NFL. We didn't add any game changers in FA. The D may perform above their talent level again, but I can't see any more than 9 wins.

Diggs doesn’t factor in? JA’s continued upwards trajectory is meaningless? Our D-line adds will contribute nothing? McD’s proven D will underperform? Someone else in the East like the laugh riot Jets or rebuilding Dolphins or picked over Patriots will hold us back? Sounds like a lot would have to go wrong simultaneously for a prediction of 9 wins as a cap, imho. 

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Sounds awesome, I'm seeing this though: Bill Belichick throws challenge flag to amuse football fans everywhere -  SBNation.com

 

Its going to be a dogfight and I think we split with NE, I don't put any stock in them falling off a cliff without Brady.  At least not until it does, 20 years of waiting makes me hesitant.  

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12 hours ago, GreggTX said:

The schedule is a lot tougher and we don't have one of the better passers in the NFL. We didn't add any game changers in FA. The D may perform above their talent level again, but I can't see any more than 9 wins.

 

Ugh, I don't know why I respond to your posts, but here goes.  Schedule toughness is a red herring.  The Bills will be favored in nearly every game they play this season.  They have more continuity than just about every other team in the league -- more important this year than ever before.  Allen has a year more of growth and experience.  Stefon Diggs.  Zack Moss instead of Frank Gore.  Upgrades on the DL -- Addison and Jefferson for Lawson and Phillips.

 

For you to say you "can't see" any more than 9 wins just reeks of a defeatist attitude.

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On 8/30/2020 at 2:17 PM, NoHuddleKelly12 said:

But why? 
 

Our salary cap’s been cleaned up, our roster is competitively deep at almost each marquee position, our QB’s chemistry with the new ammo has the goods written all over it, and we have less opt outs than the Patsies. Just wondering why @eballshould be reined in? 

 

Because we have a tough schedule, plus I'm a Bill's fan, lol

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On ‎8‎/‎31‎/‎2020 at 2:07 PM, eball said:

 

Ugh, I don't know why I respond to your posts, but here goes.  Schedule toughness is a red herring.  The Bills will be favored in nearly every game they play this season.  They have more continuity than just about every other team in the league -- more important this year than ever before.  Allen has a year more of growth and experience.  Stefon Diggs.  Zack Moss instead of Frank Gore.  Upgrades on the DL -- Addison and Jefferson for Lawson and Phillips.

 

For you to say you "can't see" any more than 9 wins just reeks of a defeatist attitude.

 

I don't agree schedule toughness is a red herring. This schedule IS tough. If you put the 2017 against this schedule for example they don't got 9-7 and break the drought.... they might be lucky to win 6 games. It's an interesting question actually.... if the odds makers priced up every game right here, right now, how many would they favour the Bills in? I reckon 9. There are lots of coin flip games on this schedule. There are two gimmes against the Jets. There are two real toughies against KC and San Fran. The other 12 are all, to some extent, games that looked at in isolation it wouldn't shock me if the Bills won or lost. It would shock me if they didn't win more of those games than they lose.... but trying to work out which fall into which category is trickier this year than in a long while IMO.

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This has not been talked about and I think this will be a factor - special teams.

 

We have a new FG kicker who has not seen NFL pressure yet and while has strong leg is a bit inaccurate.  He also has not had time to adjust to whirling winds of Orchard Park nor eventual weather issues.

We are keeping a punter who shanks punts in wrong games.

We do not have a special teams coach who can help these kickers.

We have a kick returner who tends to take kicks out of end zone when we would get more yards (and less chance of injury) by kneeling.

 

Not ready to make call until I see roster or special teams in action.

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38 minutes ago, Limeaid said:

This has not been talked about and I think this will be a factor - special teams.

 

We have a new FG kicker who has not seen NFL pressure yet and while has strong leg is a bit inaccurate.  He also has not had time to adjust to whirling winds of Orchard Park nor eventual weather issues.

We are keeping a punter who shanks punts in wrong games.

We do not have a special teams coach who can help these kickers.

We have a kick returner who tends to take kicks out of end zone when we would get more yards (and less chance of injury) by kneeling.

 

Not ready to make call until I see roster or special teams in action.

 

Disagree on Roberts. He is a net gain. But on the kicker and punter you are right. 

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Covid is the wild card.  I think there will be players sitting out games in recovery.  Who those are on each of the teams and for which games will make some wins and losses go different than is planned or expected.  If one of the better teams is lucky to not have any of its players miss any games, they will have have the playoff seeding advantage.  A team or more that catches an outbreak heading into the playoffs can have their season obliterated by the virus.

 

How much the virus impacts these things can, and most likely will, put an asterisk next to the 2021 Super Bowl Champion in the history books.

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On 8/30/2020 at 8:18 PM, Don Otreply said:

I’m with you eball, AFCE is in the pocket! 

Go Bills!!!

You still have to earn it.   The dolphins have added talent and can compete.  The Patriots will always be solid under Hoody

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On 8/30/2020 at 10:55 AM, eball said:

 

So far, McD has done a good job of not allowing that to happen.  I don’t think the Bills will lose a couple they “should have” won, I just think there will be a couple of hard fought games against good teams that may not go our way.

 

Tell me — as an opposing coach, what exactly do you look at when you have to play the Bills and think “oh good, we can really take advantage of that?”  The Bills are a beast for any team to handle.  You think other teams are just counting on a couple of errant Josh Allen throws?

 

Last year the Bills proved to themselves they belong in the conversation.  This year they take the next step.

 

I'm with you, especially since our gains clearly outweigh our losses in personnel, and we were essentially an 11 win team last year.  Only one team (Philly) in 17 games handled us. 

 

The two players that must stay healthy are Tre White and Josh.  Either one of those two guys go down and the dropoff in depth at those positions is gonna hurt badly.

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On 8/30/2020 at 9:04 AM, eball said:

Time to put my money where my mouth is.  No excuses, this is the most complete Bills roster since the late 90s and they will prove it on the field.  No glaring holes at any position, and quality depth throughout.  Backup QB is a question mark, so the health of Josh Allen is key.  Provided he stays healthy, I see the Bills going 6-0 in the East, and of the remaining ten games there is only one — @SF — in which I think they will go in as an underdog.  The W5 matchup with KC is likely a pick’em, because I expect Buffalo to be 4-0 going into that one.  They’ll be favored in every other home game and the road games are not particularly daunting outside of Tennessee.  Arizona is a media darling but they are unproven and have a suspect defense.  Vegas is still, in my opinion, a mess.  Denver may be a bit better but I’m not sold on Fangio or Lock.

 

I’ll give them losses to KC, San Fran, and a couple we don’t expect — maybe Tennessee, Pittsburgh, or the roadie at NE***.

 

AFC East champs and the #2 seed in the playoffs.

 

There ya have it.

 

Have you considered writing for SI? They are having a serious lack of talent.

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