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2020 Draft, biggest bust potential


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My thread, my rules.  

 

A bust shall be defined as any player who does not come close to reaching his draft potential, irregardless of reason (drugs, injury, etc.).

 

We shall go with the top 20 from this list: https://ftw.usatoday.com/gallery/2020-nfl-draft-big-board-consensus-top-40

  1. Joe Burrow
  2. Chase Young
  3. Tua Tagovailoa
  4. Jeff Okuda
  5. Isaiah Simmons
  6. Derrick Brown
  7. Justin Herbert
  8. Jedrick Wills Jr.
  9. Mekhi Becton
  10. Tristan Wirfs
  11. CeeDee Lamb
  12. Andrew Thomas
  13. Javon Kinlaw
  14. Jerry Jeudy
  15. K'Lavon Chaisson
  16. Henry Ruggs III
  17. Jordan Love
  18. Xavier McKinney
  19. CJ Henderson
  20. Justin Jefferson

 

So, of that group, who has, to you, the biggest bust potential?

 

I'll go first:

 

Tua.  I wouldn't touch him with @GunnerBill 's 10' pole.  Injury concerns are huge for me and no hands on medical evaluation make this a very risky move.  It's one I wouldn't have made prior to our current mess, but now?

 

Who ya got?

 

Only one choice per user.  No hemming, no hawing.  Put your cajones on the chopping block.

Edited by Cripple Creek
Bolded text so even a gugny can follow the directions.
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I think the three of those most likely not to be good are:

 

Justin Herbert - I just don't see any truly exceptional traits. 

Mekhi Becton - all the traits and I do like him I think sky high potential but extremely low floor. Does at times lunge at defenders in a way that gives me Greg Robinson flash backs.

CJ Henderson - he just has so many concentration lapses. The kid is talented but I don't know if he has it mentally to be a top end NFL player.

 

There are others like Chaisson and Jefferson and Thomas who I have ceiling questions with but whose floors I think mean they will still have decent enough careers. 

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8 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

I think the three of those most likely not to be good are:

 

Justin Herbert - I just don't see any truly exceptional traits. 

Mekhi Becton - all the traits and I do like him I think sky high potential but extremely low floor. Does at times lunge at defenders in a way that gives me Greg Robinson flash backs.

CJ Henderson - he just has so many concentration lapses. The kid is talented but I don't know if he has it mentally to be a top end NFL player.

 

There are others like Chaisson and Jefferson and Thomas who I have ceiling questions with but whose floors I think mean they will still have decent enough careers. 

Rules! WE MUST HAVE ORDER!

 

Pick one.  I'll go update the OP.

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Joe Burrow, unless Chase Young doesn't live up to the hype.

 

Of course Tua Tagovailoa's injury could turn him into a quick bust. 

 

But a lot of me thinks that Jeff Okuda, Isaiah Simmons, Derrick Brown and Justin Herbert might be overrated.

 

Jedrick Wills Jr., Mekhi Becton, Tristan Wirfs, CeeDee Lamb, Andrew Thomas, Javon Kinlaw and Jerry Jeudy might be as good as advertised.  Then again … they might not. 

 

K'Lavon Chaisson, Henry Ruggs III, Jordan Love and Xavier McKinney round out my list of players who could either be really good, really bad or somewhere in between.

 

But I can't leave CJ Henderson and Justin Jefferson.  These two could be superstars.  But then again, they could be busts.  But I'm leaning toward them either being studs, busts or average players.

 

I stand by these assessments and predictions and welcome being called out if they turn out to be untrue.

 

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1 minute ago, OldTimer1960 said:

Of that list, I think Chaisson as he will be drafted mostly on potential, not production.  Still, he is young (not 21 until July), reportedly a hard worker and has all the physical tools to be very good.

I would say Chaisson also... could be the next Aaron 'Mayhem' Maybin

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2 minutes ago, Gugny said:

Joe Burrow, unless Chase Young doesn't live up to the hype.

 

Of course Tua Tagovailoa's injury could turn him into a quick bust. 

 

But a lot of me thinks that Jeff Okuda, Isaiah Simmons, Derrick Brown and Justin Herbert might be overrated.

 

Jedrick Wills Jr., Mekhi Becton, Tristan Wirfs, CeeDee Lamb, Andrew Thomas, Javon Kinlaw and Jerry Jeudy might be as good as advertised.  Then again … they might not. 

 

K'Lavon Chaisson, Henry Ruggs III, Jordan Love and Xavier McKinney round out my list of players who could either be really good, really bad or somewhere in between.

 

But I can't leave CJ Henderson and Justin Jefferson.  These two could be superstars.  But then again, they could be busts.  But I'm leaning toward them either being studs, busts or average players.

 

I stand by these assessments and predictions and welcome being called out if they turn out to be untrue.

 

One person, one vote. No banditing allowed in this thread or I'll have you escorted out.  

 

Pick one guy and stick with him.

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1 minute ago, Cripple Creek said:

One person, one vote. No banditing allowed in this thread or I'll have you escorted out.  

 

Pick one guy and stick with him.

 

Burrow.

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Herbert, Love, Chaisson, Becton

 

I actually found this pretty easy. Biggest bust potential to me is always a high ceiling, low floor prospect. These guys all check those boxes IMO.

 

If I have to pick one I’ll pick Chaisson.

Edited by Kirby Jackson
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58 minutes ago, Derek94Hanson said:

Joe Burrow one hit wonder. 

That's my concern with him too.

 

He had a ridiculous year, but it was just one year.

 

I would have him hold a clipboard for his first season.

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52 minutes ago, BuffaloBillies said:

 

Bungles ruin everything. Their OL is likely to be bad again, and they stick in a rookie on day 1. Recipe for disaster.

The Bengals were an annual playoff team a few years ago.  I think people overrate how bad they are.  
 

And it’s Ruggs.  Like any receiver, it depends where he goes. But he is going to get drafted pretty high and I think he is a #2 at best.  Could be a really good 2 but again, he needs the right situation.  

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2 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

Herbert, Love, Chaisson, Becton

 

I actually found this pretty easy. Biggest bust potential to me is always a high ceiling, low floor prospect. These guys all check those boxes IMO.

 

If I have to pick one I’ll pick Chaisson.

 

Agree with all of those but I think Chaisson's floor is just a bit higher than Becton's.

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32 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Agree with all of those but I think Chaisson's floor is just a bit higher than Becton's.

Fair enough and he was obviously in consideration. I was SO tempted to say Love but if he ends up as Mahomes I’ll never hear the end of it. I chickened our and picked a guy that will keep me more anonymous. 

10 minutes ago, Amaru523 said:

I'm going with Tua.  I don't trust Alabama QB's in the NFL, so I'm going with a, gotta see it to believe it approach.

Do you trust Miami of Ohio QBs in the NFL? 

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4 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

Fair enough and he was obviously in consideration. I was SO tempted to say Love but if he ends up as Mahomes I’ll never hear the end of it. I chickened our and picked a guy that will keep me more anonymous. 

Do you trust Miami of Ohio QBs in the NFL? 

 

I don't love Love but at least he has a trait or two you can latch onto. I don't see what is special about Herbert at all. 

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Just now, GunnerBill said:

 

I don't love Love but at least he has a trait or two you can latch onto. I don't see what is special about Herbert at all. 

Sounds like teams are pretty split on them at this point. It’s going to be interesting IMO to see who goes first. 

Just now, Blokestradamus said:

 

I've barely watched a college game in 2 years. To be honest, the whole "Draft Twitter" thing burned me out. I've never been happier.

I don’t like it. I don’t like it one bit. 

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I think K'Lavon Chaisson is the biggest bust.  He reminds me of Rashan Gary from Michigan last year.  Great numbers, everything athletic is there, but a total lack of production from what you want to see when picking someone that high.  

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8 minutes ago, Blokestradamus said:

 

It is weird going from grading 400+ players to wondering if Joe Burrow is a QB or a cartoon rabbit.

 

Can I vote for both?

7 minutes ago, RyanC883 said:

I think K'Lavon Chaisson is the biggest bust.  He reminds me of Rashan Gary from Michigan last year.  Great numbers, everything athletic is there, but a total lack of production from what you want to see when picking someone that high.  

 

I still have hope for Gary. I know he only played spot duty and on a rotational basis his rookie year but I thought he was decent when he was out there. Got to remember the two FAs tore it up which made it harder to get Gary on the field.

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6 minutes ago, Blokestradamus said:

 

It is weird going from grading 400+ players to wondering if Joe Burrow is a QB or a cartoon rabbit.

I’ll bring you up to speed on everything that you’ve missed. There is a lot of talent in the SEC (specifically Alabama and LSU). There are a couple of guys from Iowa that are going to go in the 1st (as there always seems to be lately). The 3 best players in the draft play at or played at Ohio State. There are lots of wide receivers, good tackles and running backs. The draft is thin at IOL and edge. Probably looking at 4-5 first round QBs. Burrow has the fewest question marks which is why he’s going 1.  There, that should get you caught up...

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9 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

I’ll bring you up to speed on everything that you’ve missed. There is a lot of talent in the SEC (specifically Alabama and LSU). There are a couple of guys from Iowa that are going to go in the 1st (as there always seems to be lately). The 3 best players in the draft play at or played at Ohio State. There are lots of wide receivers, good tackles and running backs. The draft is thin at IOL and edge. Probably looking at 4-5 first round QBs. Burrow has the fewest question marks which is why he’s going 1.  There, that should get you caught up...

 

Kirbs that is not the sort of detail Blokes used to scout for. He wants to know whose buns would crack a walnut and does Central Indiana State have a kicker he can get excited about? 

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