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Playoffs? Playoffs?? The Playoff Chances Thread


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At this point I just need the Chargers to lose a game. I think the Titans lose out. 

That said what a wonderful Christmas present a Ravens loss would be.

 

 

Titans/Bills same record:

Depends on how the Titans and Bills are tied. If they are 9-7 and the Titans beat the Rams and lose to the Jags the Bills will. If the Titans lose to the Rams and beat the Jags than they do. If both teams are 10-6 then the Bills own it. 

Edited by dma0034
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It is correct that even if the Bills win out, they are not guaranteed to make the playoffs. That would put us at a 96% chance of making it, so there are some scenarios under which we still wouldn't make it. But I'll take those odds and worry about what we can control.

Without bringing up Pittsburgh 2004 again .... one of the several excellent things that happened this weekend is that as a consequence of today's loss, the Dolphins really have nothing to play for.  Under ordinary circumstances you might find them starting their backup QB in anticipation of planning for 2018, etc., but given that Matt Moore is also a known quantity, I'm not sure what they'll do. But I would hope that you see a demoralized Dolphins team rather than the resurgent one that's shown up for the last few weeks.

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1 minute ago, The Frankish Reich said:

It is correct that even if the Bills win out, they are not guaranteed to make the playoffs. That would put us at a 96% chance of making it, so there are some scenarios under which we still wouldn't make it. But I'll take those odds and worry about what we can control.

Without bringing up Pittsburgh 2004 again .... one of the several excellent things that happened this weekend is that as a consequence of today's loss, the Dolphins really have nothing to play for.  Under ordinary circumstances you might find them starting their backup QB in anticipation of planning for 2018, etc., but given that Matt Moore is also a known quantity, I'm not sure what they'll do. But I would hope that you see a demoralized Dolphins team rather than the resurgent one that's shown up for the last few weeks.

Titans ravens and bills win out 

jags lose out 

 

Titans jump jags with head to head 4th seed 

 

Jags would be 9-3 in conference game so they take the 5th seed 

 

ravens and bills would finish 8-4 in conference games and then the ravens would beat the bills in common games which hasn't been calculated until they play the colts next week giving the ravens the 6th seed based on the tie breaker rules

 

only scenario I could find where we wouldn't get in if we win out but it's possible 

 

root for jags to win the next two weeks 

root for a ravens and chargers to lose a game 

 

bills win

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8 minutes ago, mikemac2001 said:

 

Same results on New York Times. Trust someone just throwing it out and not looking at the tie breakers. You can do your own research i would recommend it next time.

Tenn gonna win out? Just asking for a friend?

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The Titans have a brutal two game finish to their schedule.  They are are going to be heavy underdogs to both Jacksonville and the Rams.  It would be pretty shocking if they can win either one of those two games.  So, if Buffalo can win one more it is highly likely they're in.  Easier said than done.  Now that New England has the head to head tiebreaker with the Steelers for home field advantage throughout the playoffs, they will be highly motivated to play their best next week to maintain their playoff position.  The following week, on New Years Eve, Miami will be home and motivated to try and gain payback in the rematch with the Bills.  It's not impossible for the Bills to win one of both games, but it won't be easy.  I think it is pretty obvious Miami was affected by the cold temps today, having had quite a few drops.  Hopefully, it won't be so warm in Miami as to create a weather advantage for the Dolphins on December 31, but Buffalo does lose the weather advantage they had today, and Miami gains the crowd and other intagibles from being at home in two weeks. 

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7 minutes ago, MAJBobby said:

Tenn gonna win out? Just asking for a friend?

 

You posted incorrect information from a verified reporter. I posted a scenario which proved it wrong.

 

i can't predict the future but if they do it can cost the bills a playoff spot if we win out ravens win out and if jags lose out. Which is why I said stop posting that incorrect information and do your own research 

 

 

looks like youe verified reporter got called out for being wrong 

Edited by mikemac2001
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3 minutes ago, BuffBillsForLife said:

Just pray that the Ravens lose to the Bengals, because that's our most likely way in.

Umm, the way the Bengals are playing, that's probably the least likely scenario that gets us in.

Ravens finish with 2 home games: the Colts and the Bengals. Add to that the Browns today and it's hard to imagine an easier final 3 weeks, cruising into a wild card. So it's really all about the Titans now, and they (fortunately) get a Rams team next week that is (1) playing really good football; (2) still has playoff seeding to play for.

So let's say everything plays to form next weekend: Bills drop one. Titans lose to the Rams. Ravens whup the Colts. Chargers beat the Jets. That leaves us with just a 10 percent chance of getting in.  In other words, things look rosier right now than they really are. But keep everything else the same and have us beating the Pats?  That jumps all the way up to a 63% chance of getting in. If ever there was a time to beat the Pats it's on Christmas Eve.

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1 minute ago, The Frankish Reich said:

Umm, the way the Bengals are playing, that's probably the least likely scenario that gets us in.

Ravens finish with 2 home games: the Colts and the Bengals. Add to that the Browns today and it's hard to imagine an easier final 3 weeks, cruising into a wild card. So it's really all about the Titans now, and they (fortunately) get a Rams team next week that is (1) playing really good football; (2) still has playoff seeding to play for.

So let's say everything plays to form next weekend: Bills drop one. Titans lose to the Rams. Ravens whup the Colts. Chargers beat the Jets. That leaves us with just a 10 percent chance of getting in.  In other words, things look rosier right now than they really are. But keep everything else the same and have us beating the Pats?  That jumps all the way up to a 63% chance of getting in. If ever there was a time to beat the Pats it's on Christmas Eve.

yup..can't be overstated enough how much better it would have been had the titans not choked the game away against the niners earlier today

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1 minute ago, QB Bills said:

yup..can't be overstated enough how much better it would have been had the titans not choked the game away against the niners earlier today

This seems lost on many posters here. The door closed quite a bit today if looking at results that are likely to happen. 

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1 minute ago, Boatdrinks said:

This seems lost on many posters here. The door closed quite a bit today if looking at results that are likely to happen. 

 

To me I don't understand this?

 

The Nissans lose to the Rams then the Jags and they are 8-8 even if the Bills split they are 9-7.

 

Hope for a Chargers loss or even a Ravens loss and the Bills are in. 

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4 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:

This seems lost on many posters here. The door closed quite a bit today if looking at results that are likely to happen. 

Agreed...Maybe they’ll show up agains the Rams.

 

Still, the Jags may have little to play for in two weeks.

Edited by Kgun5
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