PS 56 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 I don't know about the rest of you folks, but I tire at the constant fawning over Bellacheat and Brady. Last week to hear all the sports talking heads proclaim a 16 and 0 season for the Pats as a possibility was more than I could take. I finally stumbled upon an article that had something meaningful to say about the Pats and thought I would share.... http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/new-england-patriots-probably-will-not-go-16-0/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KD in CA Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 I'd be happy to have them go 16-0 if you could guarentee me they'd lose to the Bills in the playoffs. Or worst case to the Giants in the Super Bowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3rdand12 Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 why? will they spontaneously combust? with a lingering odor of sulphur? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pete Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I'd be happy to have them go 16-0 if you could guarentee me they'd lose to the Bills in the playoffs. Or worst case to the Giants in the Super Bowl. I have a buddy who is a huge Giants fan. He got a tatoo with the Pats logo with a hatchet going through it's head- that reads "17-1 slain" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jester43 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 (edited) i hope he didn't pay much for it considering that's not the right record. i guess it was done by the same guy who did this one: http://cdn.lolwot.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/05/20-misspelled-tattoo-fails-you-can-laugh-at-4.jpg Edited October 2, 2015 by jester43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
machine gun kelly Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 They play the Broncos in late November in Denver. They also play us and Rex won't make the same mistake twice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALLEN1QB Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 They play the Broncos in late November in Denver. They also play us and Rex won't make the same mistake twice. Oh no Rex would not make the mistake twice......What is his record against NE???? Might want to look it up big guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloHokie13 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Oh no Rex would not make the mistake twice......What is his record against NE???? Might want to look it up big guy. He's 4-10, which means he wins more than a quarter of the time he plays them. He's currently lost 3 in a row, so by my math he is due for a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Big Cat Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I have a buddy who is a huge Giants fan. He got a tatoo with the Pats logo with a hatchet going through it's head- that reads "17-1 slain" let's hope it was 18-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWei44 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Assume people know why winning 13 straight is very improbable, even assuming, say, they have on average a 70% chance of winning each game? You can think of it this way: Assume you have a dart board with 70% of the area in green and 30% in red. The green area reflects the likelihood of winning an individual game. Assume you really stink at darts and have no aim. You'd have to hit the green area 13 times in a row to string together the 13 wins analogous to the Pats running the table for the rest of the year. Very unlikely. Not impossible but very unlikely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
17 Josh Allen Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I've been out in Las Vegas for the last 2 weeks and I've had a great time. Today South Point Casino posted odds for the Patriots and Packers to have a undefeated season and win the Super Bowl. if you bet either team you get 20-1 odds but they must go undefeated with a perfect record and win the Super Bowl. You can also bet that the patriots will finish the regular season at 16-0 and get 12-1 odds. I sure hope the Bills put a stop to this when they play the cheats on MNF on National TV In Week 11. by the way I put $20 down on the Sabres to win the Stanley cup if they do I win $2,000.00 I also put $20.00 on the Bills to Win Super Bowl 50 if they do I win $440.00 you never know. Go Bills, Go Sabres, Go Buffalo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clippers of Nfl Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I'd be happy to have them go 16-0 if you could guarentee me they'd lose to the Bills in the playoffs. Or worst case to the Giants in the Super Bowl. +1 However I would prefer they lose the next 13 in a row and we face the stupid jaguars or the lame browns in buffalo. that would be much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeGOATski Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Their schedule is fairly easy. It's a legitimate talking point. Going 16-0 twice in this era of football is pretty ridiculous. Can't do it without cheating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clearwater cadet Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Call WEEI in boston and tell them that. That will be news to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDH Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Their schedule is fairly easy. It's a legitimate talking point. Going 16-0 twice in this era of football is pretty ridiculous. Can't do it without cheating. Even if we assume the Pats have a 90% chance of winning each game left in the regular season they have about a 25% chance of finishing 16-0. So even if they are a very dominant team the odds of them winning out isn't good. So, I'm not sure it's a legitimate talking point. Just a talking point. Once they get to 10-0 or so then I'll there's a legit chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YoloinOhio Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I don't think they are good enough on defense to go undefeated, but their schedule appears to be breaking the right way with injuries such as romo/dez so I wouldn't be shocked if it happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeGOATski Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Even if we assume the Pats have a 90% chance of winning each game left in the regular season they have about a 25% chance of finishing 16-0. So even if they are a very dominant team the odds of them winning out isn't good. So, I'm not sure it's a legitimate talking point. Just a talking point. Once they get to 10-0 or so then I'll there's a legit chance. Everyone knows the odds aren't good. It's a perfect f+%*ing season. You don't have to wait until a certain outcome is probable before you start talking about it. Especially since the Pats already did it in the last decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Tom Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Assume people know why winning 13 straight is very improbable, even assuming, say, they have on average a 70% chance of winning each game? You can think of it this way: Assume you have a dart board with 70% of the area in green and 30% in red. The green area reflects the likelihood of winning an individual game. Assume you really stink at darts and have no aim. You'd have to hit the green area 13 times in a row to string together the 13 wins analogous to the Pats running the table for the rest of the year. Very unlikely. Not impossible but very unlikely. Of course, to extend the analogy, it becomes a lot easier to hit the green 13 times in a row if you stand two feet away and push the darts into the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWei44 Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Brilliant, DC Tom! I like where your heads at on that one . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb Sewell Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 I've said it before: The Cheatriots going 16-0 was proof that the devil exists. The Giants beating them in the SB was proof that God exists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rob's House Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 I predict the Bills and Pats will both finish 15-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Adam Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 The injury bug catches up to every team. The Pats****** will lose someone(s) of enough importance this season to cost them at least a win. And also, the '07 Pats****** were coming back from a bitter loss to Indy in the AFCCG. This team, off a SB win is not hungry or angry like that team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metzelaars_lives Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 You're really calling your shot on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
papazoid Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 if brady and belichick were buffalo bills and had the same success pulling their rule interpretations...... most of you would be singing a different tune. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloHokie13 Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 if brady and belichick were buffalo bills and had the same success pulling their rule interpretations...... most of you would be singing a different tune. If Brady* and Belichick* were Buffalo Bills the Pats* still wouldn't go 16-0, so no, our tune would be the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSBill Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Assume people know why winning 13 straight is very improbable, even assuming, say, they have on average a 70% chance of winning each game? You can think of it this way: Assume you have a dart board with 70% of the area in green and 30% in red. The green area reflects the likelihood of winning an individual game. Assume you really stink at darts and have no aim. You'd have to hit the green area 13 times in a row to string together the 13 wins analogous to the Pats running the table for the rest of the year. Very unlikely. Not impossible but very unlikely. Don't Ass-u-me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts